Spitfire List Web site and blog of anti-fascist researcher and radio personality Dave Emory.

For The Record  

FTR #723 Doin’ the Earth Island Boogie

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Introduction: (NB: This description contains important information not included in the original broadcast.) Highlighting maneuvering in the vast, strategically critical portion of the world known to generations of geopoliticians as “The Earth Island,” this program suggests that intelligence agencies, Islamist and Pan-Turkist elements are attempting to shift the political, economic and social order in that area. In particular, forces at work in the Central Asian states that emerged from the former Soviet Union give indications of attempting to control fossil fuel and [possibly] key strategic transit points for those resources and Afghan heroin as well.

The program begins by noting the proximity in time between a US/Russian diplomatic rapprochement and the breaking of a Russian spy scandal. On the heels of President Obama’s meeting with Russian president Medvedev in which progress on various matters appears to have been achieved, a “Russian spy scandal” dominated the headlines.

In FTR #706, we examined John Loftus’ contention that there are two CIA’s–one Democratic that serves the interests of the United States and one Republican, which serves the interests of the trans-national corporations. Is the “Republican CIA” working to poison relations between the two countries, thereby weakening Obama’s administration?

The incident brings to mind the U-2 incident of 1960, in which the CIA’s apparently deliberate sabotage of a U-2 spy plane deep-sixed a proposed summit conference between President Eisenhower and Premier Khruschev of the U.S.S.R. (This was discussed in Part I of “The Guns of November.”)

Also interesting to contemplate in this context is a December 2009 pro-jihadist conference in Georgia, held with apparent U.S. support, discussed in FTR #710. Part of the rapprochement achieved between Medvedev and Obama concerned America’s placement of a jihadist terrorist on the international terror watch list, as desired and requested by Russia.

Did this run counter to the wishes of a pro-Muslim Brotherhood, pro-jihadist element associated with transnational petroleum companies? Are they, in turn, seeking to separate the Caucasian and Central Asian fossil fuel resources from Russia? Will it serve the interests of the Underground Reich, seeking to manifest traditional German Ostpolitik, while exacerbating tensions between the U.S. and Russia? Will it serve the interests of the GOP, by weakening Obama’s foreign policy?

In the former Soviet Central Asian republic of Kyrgyzstan, ethnic tensions have flared between the government and the Uzbek minority in the key towns of Osh and Jalalabad. Seeking to take advantage of this tension, Muslim Brotherhood affiliate Hizb ut-Tahrir has promised that the installation of a caliphate would promote social justice.

Of strategic significance in this context is the fact that the Ferghana Valley (dominated by Osh and Jalalabad) is a key transit area for Afghan heroin and the presence of a key U.S. air base in Kyrgyzstan, a facility that is essential for the Afghan war effort. Indeed, the government of Kyrgyzstan is blaming the trouble on Islamists.

Another consideration to be weighed in the context of “The Earth Island Boogie” is maneuvering around the Afghan heroin crop, which NATO forces have refused to destroy. (The poppy is one of the few subsistence crops available to Afghan farmers, and destroying the harvest could alienate the population and drive them toward the Taliban.)

Russia has requested that the crop be destroyed, because heroin originating in Afghanistan is causing enormous problems in Russia. This rejection has led Russia to charge that NATO is aiding the production of Afghan heroin. Is it possible that a Saudi/Safari Club/petroleum/Underground Reich milieu may be profiting from Afghan heroin, while using the drug as a weapon to subvert Russian influence in a new “Great Game?” Are these networks supplying some of the product that has been transported by the milieu investigated by Daniel Hopsicker?

The broadcast concludes with examination of the flotilla incident–the profound involvement of Turkish government elements with the affair. Seen by some analysts as an attempt at re-asserting its primacy in the Muslim world, the Turkish maneuvering is reminiscent of the Turkish hegemony over the Arab world during the Ottoman Empire. Conceptualized by the Muslim Brotherhood as an ideal state of affairs, the “Caliphate” is something it has worked to restore.

Are we seeing a renewed Pan-Turkism in places like Kyrgyzstan and Uzbekistan–areas with Turkophone populations? We will be seeing a dovetailing of the Islamist movement and traditionally secular Pan-Turkist movement (which has adhered to the rigorous standards adopted by Kemal Attaturk at the end of World War I.) In FTR #721, we saw how Pan-Turkist elements working first for Nazi Germany and later for the Federal Republic and elements of Western intelligence were linked to the burgeoning Muslim Brotherhood. Are people like Ruzy Nazar “doin’ the Earth Island Boogie?” (Nazar is pictured above, at left).

Program Highlights Include: The devastating wildfires happening in Russia; review of the Islamists’ use of forest fires as weapons of jihad; review of the Safari Club network; review of the links between the Bank al-Taqwa milieu and the party of Turkish prime minister Erdogan; the profound links between the IHH organization that sponsored the flotilla incident and the Muslim Brotherhood; a 1997 Turkish government investigation that revealed IHH to be a jihadist organization, seeking, among other things, to overthrow Turkish secularism!

1. The program begins by noting the proximity in time between a US/Russian diplomatic rapprochement and the breaking of a Russian spy scandal. On the heels of President Obama’s meeting with Russian president Medvedev in which progress on various matters appears to have been achieved, a “Russian spy scandal” dominated the headlines.

In FTR #706, we examined John Loftus’ contention that there are two CIA’s–one Democratic that serves the interests of the United States and one Republican, which serves the interests of the trans-national corporations. Is the “Republican CIA” working to poison relations between the two countries, thereby weakening Obama’s administration? Are the petroleum industry, Underground Reich, Islamist networks and Pan-Turkist networks seeking to blunt that U.S./Russian rapprochement?

The incident brings to mind the U-2 incident of 1960, in which the CIA’s apparently deliberate sabotage of a U-2 spy plane deep-sixed a proposed summit conference between President Eisenhower and Premier Khruschev of the U.S.S.R. (This was discussed in Part I of “The Guns of November.”)

Also interesting to contemplate in this context is a December 2009 pro-jihadist conference in Georgia, held with apparent U.S. support, discussed in FTR #710. Part of the rapprochement achieved between Medvedev and Obama concerned America’s placement of a jihadist terrorist on the international terror watch list, as desired and requested by Russia.

Did this run counter to the wishes of a pro-Muslim Brotherhood, pro-jihadist element associated with transnational petroleum companies? Are they, in turn, seeking to separate the Caucasian and Central Asian fossil fuel resources from Russia? Will it serve the interests of the Underground Reich, seeking to manifest traditional German Ostpolitik, while exacerbating tensions between the U.S. and Russia? Will it serve the interests of the GOP, by weakening Obama’s foreign policy?

With the strange timing of the surfacing of this Russian spying scandal, are we seeing ‘U-2, II”?

2. Recently, Russia has been plagued by drought and wildfires. In FTR #667, we looked at Islamist elements pursuing wildfires as weapons of jihad. Are the jihadist elements referred to above involved in any way with the setting of these fires?

3. In the former Soviet Central Asian republic of Kyrgyzstan, ethnic tensions have flared between the government and the Uzbek minority in the key towns of Osh and Jalalabad.

Seeking to take advantage of this tension, Muslim Brotherhood affiliate Hizb ut-Tahrir has promised that the installation of a caliphate would promote social justice.

Of strategic significance in this context is the fact that the Ferghana Valley (dominated by Osh and Jalalabad) is a key transit area for Afghan heroin and the presence of a key U.S. air base in Kyrgyzstan, a facility that is essential for the Afghan war effort.

4. Indeed, the government of Kyrgyzstan is blaming the trouble on Islamists.

5. Another consideration to be weighed in the context of “The Earth Island Boogie” is maneuvering around the Afghan heroin crop, which NATO forces have refused to destroy. (The poppy is one of the few subsistence crops available to Afghan farmers, and destroying the harvest could alienate the population and drive them toward the Taliban.)

Russia has requested that the crop be destroyed, because heroin originating in Afghanistan is causing enormous problems in Russia.

6. This rejection has led Russia to charge that NATO is aiding the production of Afghan heroin. Is it possible that a Saudi/Safari Club/petroleum/Underground Reich milieu may be profiting from Afghan heroin, while using the drug as a weapon to subvert Russian influence in a new “Great Game?”

7. The shifting and maneuvering taking place on the Earth Island involves some significant political posturing by Turkey. In the recent, lethal incident in which Israeli forces interdicted a Turkish-based flotilla attempting to pierce the blockade of Gaza, one can readily discern Turkish diplomatic and political overtures to the Arab population of the Middle East and the world’s Muslim population in general.

Far from being moderates, the organization behind the flotilla has strong links to the Muslim Brotherhood and jihadist elements.

In 1997, the Turkish government itself raided offices of IHH and revealed the organization’s true nature.

8. Disclaimers to the contrary notwithstanding, the Turkish government and that country’s political elite are directly tied to the IHH.

The Turkish charity that led the flotilla involved in a deadly Israeli raid has extensive connections with Turkey’s political elite, and the group’s efforts to challenge Israel’s blockade of Gaza received support at the top levels of the governing party, Turkish diplomats and government officials said.

The charity, the Humanitarian Relief Foundation, often called I.H.H., has come under attack in Israel and the West for offering financial support to groups accused of terrorism. But in Turkey the group has helped Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan shore up support from conservative Muslims ahead of critical elections next year and improve Turkey’s standing and influence in the Arab world.

According to a senior Turkish official close to the government, who spoke on the condition of anonymity because of the political delicacy of the issue, as many as 10 Parliament members from Mr. Erdogan’s governing Justice and Development Party were considering boarding the Mavi Marmara, the ship where the deadly raid occurred, but were warned off at the last minute by senior Foreign Ministry officials concerned that their presence might escalate tensions too much.

When leaders of the charity returned home after nine Turks died in the Israeli raid, they were warmly embraced by top Turkish officials, said Huseyin Oruc, deputy director of the charity, who was aboard the flotilla.

“When we flew back to Turkey, I was afraid we would be in trouble for what happened, but the first thing we saw when the plane’s door opened in Istanbul was Bulent Arinc, the deputy prime minister, in tears,” he said in an interview. “We have good coordination with Mr. Erdogan,” he added. “But I am not sure he is happy with us now.”

The raid has caused a rupture between Turkey and Israel, and heightened alarm in the United States and Europe that Turkey, a large Muslim country and a major NATO member, is shifting allegiance toward the Arab world. Turkey has warned that its cooperative ties to Israel could be irreparably damaged unless the Israelis apologize and accept an international investigation, steps Israel has so far refused to take.

The charity’s mission, political analysts said, has advanced Mr. Erdogan’s aim of shifting Turkey’s focus to the Muslim east when its prospects for joining the European Union are dim.

The government “could have stopped the ship if it wanted to, but the mission to Gaza served both the I.H.H. and the government by making both heroes at home and in the Arab world,” said Ercan Citlioglu, a terrorism expert at Bahcesehir University in Istanbul.

Turkish officials said that the charity operated independently and that its leadership had refused to drop plans to break Israel’s naval blockade of Hamas-controlled Gaza, despite requests from the government. The officials said they had no legal authority to stop the work of a private charity.

Egemen Bagis, Turkey’s minister for European affairs, said in an interview that the charity and the Justice and Development Party, called the AK Party, had no substantive ties, even if people in politics often became involved in charitable groups. “The I.H.H. has nothing to do with the AK Party, and we have no hidden agenda,” Mr. Bagis said.

But critics say such statements belie the close connections between the party and the charity, as well as the extent to which Turkish officials were closely attuned to the details of the flotilla’s mission before its departure. . . .

“Sponsor of Flotilla Tied to Elite of Turkey” by Tyler Hicks; The New York Times; 7/15/2010.

9. Prior to the flotilla incident, the Erdogan government was doing poorly in pre-election polls.

The Justice and Development Party (AKP) won about 39% of the vote, according to unconfirmed results – down from the 47% general election landslide of 2007.

“This is a message from the people and we will take the necessary lessons,” said a sombre Mr Erdogan.

At least five people were reportedly killed in election-related violence.

The deaths came in the predominantly Kurdish east of the country, as supporters of rival candidates for a non-party position of village chief fought armed battles.

In Sunday’s elections, the governing AKP lost ground to both opposition and Kurdish rivals, who had focused on growing economic difficulties and corruption allegations.

“Turkish PM’s Party Slips in Polls”; BBC News; 3/30/2009.

10. As seen in FTR #408, Erdogan’s party is very close to the Muslim Brotherhood and the milieu of the Bank al-Taqwa.

Discussion

15 comments for “FTR #723 Doin’ the Earth Island Boogie”

  1. Hello Dave Emory,

    I am a great admirer of your work and I love both your show and your site.

    Thank you for mentioning, during the broadcast, the HAARP technology that might have been used for the production of droughts and fires in Russia recently. It seems pretty obvious that elements of the Third Reich have now gained use of this technology to put forward their agenda. We can mention, as well, recent floods in Pakistan following the Wikileaks story, the Katrina floods of New Orleans, etc, as possible utilization of HAARP recently.

    I agree with what you have written. I just would like to add maybe another angle. In a series of shows you mentioned a christian-right organization called “The Family”. To what extent the agenda of that group dovetails with the one of the Third Reich/Muslim Brotherhood/GOP/Republican branch of the CIA/Big Corporations/Oil Princes, etc? I mention this because I have the distinct impression that somebody is trying to force reality to take a form that would fit the world described in the Book of Revelations…like floods, famines, war, death, pestilence… In others terms, to what extent The Family and the Third Reich cartel have been working hand in hand in the last years to produce a series of environmental catastrophies,illnesses, disasters, incidents, to produce the impression in the mind of the people that the world is coming to an end?

    Before leaving, I would like to propose a path of reflection and research on that very topic. A famous author named Frank Herbert wrote a series of books several years ago called “Dune”. One has been made out in a film by Davind Lynch. In a nutshell, those books describe how a royal house succeeds in taking control of a desert planet and its resources (including a drug called the “spice melange”…)and putting a Messiah in place as its leader in the process. Many aspects of those books deserve closer examination because they relate to the events that are unfolding before our eyes.

    Thank you and keep on fighting!

    Posted by Claude | September 19, 2010, 6:02 pm
  2. […] the control of resources, oil, mines, lands, etc. That is why that part of the world is called the Earth Island, a stretch of land that begins at the Detroit of Gibraltar and goes way up to the confines of […]

    Posted by Afghanistan: Bzrezinski’s Grand Chessboard game and the continuation of the Anglo-Afghan War | lys-dor.com | April 10, 2011, 11:44 pm
  3. […] the control of resources, oil, mines, lands, etc. That is why that part of the world is called the Earth Island, a stretch of land that begins at the Detroit of Gibraltar and goes way up to the confines of […]

    Posted by Invisible History Blog » Blog Archive » Blogger Praises Gould and Fitzgerald | April 29, 2011, 1:25 pm
  4. A recent Rand corporation study on possible future conflicts requiring a robust US Army raised the following scenario as one of the possible reasons to maintain high military spending.

    If a future of mega-urban war wasn’t bleak enough, panelists also predicted that the end of the Iraq and Afghanistan wars would actually lead to an increase in terrorism. “Terrorists and militants engaged with forces in Afghanistan may turn to attacks on U.S. and European soil,” a PowerPoint slide warned. When Danger Room asked them to back up that point — since it implies the wars are failures — Patrick Taitano of the Army’s Materiel Command said he was merely predicting “increased operational planning to conduct attacks.” Feel safer?

    Increased terrorism isn’t the only land-based threat America has to fear. A “North Korea implosion” will force the Army to “plan for forcible entry (amphibious, airborne, etc.).” Similar state collapses in Pakistan and Saudi Arabia might compel similar invasions. So might the resurgence of old rivals, like the “drawing together of Germany and Russia because of natural gas,” said the Rand Corporation’s Brian Nichiporuk, “a realignment there, possibly pulling Germany away from NATO.” (Asked by Danger Room about such a profound historical reversal, Nichiporuk quickly backpedaled, “I’m not saying conclusively that Germany and Russia will form an alliance.”)

    Given the current major push by Putin for a “Eurasian union” and talk of Russia joining the EU and adopting the euro, such a union/alliance can’t be ruled out.

    Posted by Pterrafractyl | October 31, 2011, 8:37 am
  5. @Pterrafractyl: Interesting stuff here.

    Posted by Steven L. | October 31, 2011, 11:07 am
  6. @Steven L.:
    Also note the continuing ascendance within the Kremlin of neo-fascist mystic Alexander Dugin and his Eurasian Project…articles like this make me want to reread Coogan’s “Dreamer of the Day” (and then I get lazy and just re-listen to the Coogan interviews FTR320 and FTR598).

    Putin’s grand vision and echoes of ‘1984’
    Financial Times
    By Charles Clover in Moscow
    October 5, 2011 1:32 am

    The prospect of uniting with Kazakhstan and Belarus is unlikely to fill most Russians with a sense of grand imperial destiny. But for a small group of committed “Eurasianists”, the announcement by Vladimir Putin of a “Eurasian Union” between the three countries marks the epitome of their ambitions, the pay-off for a lifetime spent in the political wilderness.

    “We have waited for 25 years for these words to be uttered in public by our leadership,” the leader of the Eurasianist Movement, Alexander Dugin, said in Moscow on Tuesday. For two decades he has worked to make dictatorship hip. Bearded and deep voiced, he veers effortlessly in conversation from the heroism of Muammer Gaddafi to the US conspiracy to destroy Russia.

    In his hardline vision, the motherland is threatened by a western conspiracy known as “Atlanticism” to which it must create a bastion of “Eurasian” power

    Today, few, least of all Mr Dugin, try to hide the fact he has a close relationship to the Kremlin and has worked on many Kremlin-inspired political projects, such as the nationalist Rodina party and the Eurasian Youth Union.

    On Tuesday, he even took some credit for Mr Putin’s article “Eurasia: the future which is being born today” published in the Izvestia newspaper. “We did help in the preparation, but, unfortunately, they softened our formulas,” he told a small conference at the University of Moscow, before introducing the next speaker – Iran’s ambassador to Russia. Indeed, the event was timed for the day the Russian prime minister’s article came out.
    …..

    Posted by Pterrafractyl | October 31, 2011, 8:50 pm
  7. It begins:

    Ex-Soviet states take first step to ‘Eurasian Union’

    (AFP) – Nov 18, 2011

    MOSCOW — Three ex-Soviet states were Friday to agree the first steps towards creating a Eurasian economic union, a project backed by Russian Prime Minister Vladimir Putin to bind closer the former USSR.

    Russian President Dmitry Medvedev and his Kazakhstan and Belarus counterparts Nursultan Nazarbayev and Alexander Lukashenko were to sign a declaration on further economic integration at a summit in Moscow, the Kremlin said in a statement.

    “The declaration will set out the ultimate aim (of economic integration) as the creation of a Eurasian economic union,” it said.

    Putin first evoked the idea of creating a Eurasian Union in a newspaper article published shortly after the announcement that he would seek to return to the Kremlin as president in 2012 polls.

    Just a reminder, the article Putin wrote promoting the “Eurasian Union” is the very same article influence by mystic crypto-fascist Alexander Dugin (talked about in the above comment).

    The single economic space is due to come into force in 2012 alongside a Eurasian Economic Commission, a body that would apparently be run on lines similar to its Brussels-based EU equivalent.

    “The commission — the first such in post-Soviet history — will be neutral in relation the countries involved and will gradually take on national powers,” the Kremlin added.

    The Kremlin did not give a date for the creation of the Eurasian Union itself but the Vedomosti daily quoted sources as saying that 2015 would be given as the target date.

    The initial members would be Belarus, Kazakhstan and Russia but any ex-Soviet state would be welcome to join, it added.

    Putin in his article said the union would build on the experience of the European Union and would be a “historic breakthrough” for ex-Soviet states.

    Ah, Vassal State Technocracy, where would we be without you?

    Posted by Pterrafractyl | November 20, 2011, 8:22 pm
  8. Given all the ex-Soviet states that are now part of the EU, possible conflicts between the EU and the emerging “Eurasian Union” seem quite possible. Then again, so is an eventual merger of the two that has Germany and Russia as duel lynchpins in a much larger economic zone. In case anyone is interested in what the possible “crisis” could be that “force” an eventual EU/Eurasian union, here’s an oldie but a goodie:

    Nuclear war could erupt along Russia’s borders with Europe, warns Kremlin commander
    By Daily Mail Reporter
    Last updated at 12:13 PM on 18th November 2011

    Russia’s top military commander has warned of nuclear war on its borders with Europe.

    General Nikolai Makarov said Nato’s eastward expansion meant the risk of Russia being dragged into conflicts had ‘risen sharply’.

    Many countries which used to be part of the Warsaw Pact of eastern European nations have since joined Nato.

    The general said: ‘The possibility of local armed conflicts along nearly the whole border has increased dramatically.

    ‘In certain conditions, I do not rule out local and regional armed conflicts developing into a large-scale war, including using nuclear weapons.’

    At a meeting of a Russian parliamentary watchdog, he added: ‘Practically all the countries of the former Warsaw Pact have become Nato members.’

    Among those countries who have swapped the Warsaw Pact for Nato are Poland, Hungary, the Czech Republic, Latvia, Estonia and Lithuania.

    General Makarov, 62, was a former platoon commander for the Red Army in East Germany and has served in many posts in strategically sensitive areas for Moscow.

    In Soviet times, he served with Soviet forces in Siberia, and after the fall of the Red flag was chief of staff of a Russian forces in Tajikistan.

    A military high-flyer whose career was boosted by strongman leader Vladimir Putin, he was land and seashore commander of the Baltic Fleet, and subsequently first deputy commander, Moscow Military District.

    He has been Russian chief of defence staff since 2008, and also serves as a deputy defence minister.

    Don’t forget, part of the whole idea behind the formation of the EU was to prevent another continental war, so it isn’t that outlandish to imagine duel threats of violence and economic integration (same ends, very different means). But at least the next generation of Eastern Europeans will be left with one great freedom…the freedom to choose the type of societal fusion:

    1. Political/economic fusion (run by a bunch of bankster psychophants)

    or

    2. The other kind.

    Posted by Pterrafractyl | November 20, 2011, 8:47 pm
  9. Here’s a reminder of how water wars are going to be bubbling up throughout Asia in the near future and it’s only going to get worse from there:

    FEATURES/Biggest Questions Of 2012 | Dec 24, 2011 |
    Will Water Scarcity Increase Tensions Across Asia?
    by Sundeep Waslekar

    Governments across the underdeveloped regions of the world are already facing the threat of water wars. We believe 2012 will be the year the world starts looking for solutions to its aqua problems
    ater will be one of the defining issues of the next half century. It’s a critical issue and this realisation will start from 2012.

    There are a number of reasons why water will be so critical. Let’s start from Southeast Asia and go all the way to Africa. Vietnam, Cambodia, Thailand, Laos; then there’s China, Bangladesh, Nepal, India, Pakistan, Afghanistan, Iran, Iraq, Syria, Turkey; then we go south to Israel, Palestine, Egypt and all the way to Tanzania. It’s a mega arc of hydro insecurity.

    If water supply drops by 5 percent in 20-25 years in China and India, food production here will also drop, while demand would have gone up substantially. Already there are food crises. The world noticed that in 2008 when prices went up for the first time. Right now, India and China are not in the market in a big way. In another 25 years you have a possibility of these countries entering the food market as buyers. This will wreak huge havoc.

    This won’t take place 25 years from now; it’ll start in the next two years as people start noticing these trends. Speculation in commodities will increase substantially.

    Water is already emerging as a global issue in the security debate, not in the global economic or food debate. The initial response is short sighted.

    They are constantly engaged in negotiating allocation of respective shares, which actually leads to conflicts between upper and lower riparian countries. You have tensions between Turkey and Syria, Iraq; Israel-Palestine; Egypt-Ethiopia. There’s now tension between Vietnam, Thailand, Cambodia and Laos as well.

    Sweet, expectations of water shortages in a couple of decades is speculated to lead to speculators swooping in on that sector in a couple of years. That will no doubt turn out well.

    And here’s an interesting private water fun-fact: Oil and water do indeed mix…in Pickens’s portfolio:

    Looking for gold in water investments

    By Manuela Badawy

    Mon Dec 12, 2011 10:13am EST

    (Reuters) – Money manager Bill Brennan spends most of his waking hours thinking about something most Americans take for granted: water.

    It may be the most essential of all commodities because without it none of us would be alive. But as an investment, water has had neither the glitter of gold nor the allure of oil.

    It is a niche corner of the investment world with about $6 billion in assets. There are fewer than a dozen of pure-play water-investment funds globally, a drop in the bucket compared with other commodity-based funds.

    But the sector is one that some see as an opportunity to make money as fresh water becomes scarcer in parts of the globe due to population growth, farming and industry.

    But skeptics say water investing carries a good deal of risk and the market’s small size is an indication that many money managers are not sold on the growth potential. Others note pure-play water funds are often heavily invested in illiquid assets — like water rights — which can be hard to value or trade.

    PICKENS TRADE

    Maybe one of the best-known water investors is Texas billionaire T. Boone Pickens, more commonly known as an oil man. He is the largest individual water owner in America, with rights over the Ogallala Aquifer in the Texas panhandle, the third-largest underground aquifer in the world.

    It supplies 27 percent of all irrigation in the United States and 70 percent to 90 percent of the irrigation water in Kansas, Texas and Nebraska, three of the most important grain producers in the country, according to industry data.

    Another way to play water is to invest in desalination technology, which produces fresh water from sea water.

    Companies such as California-based Energy Recovery Inc, which through its high-efficiency devices has reduced the high cost of desalination, could benefit from clean water demand. The company has more than 80 percent of the global market share in energy-saving pressure exchangers for desalination, but just 8 percent of its business comes from the United States, its CEO Thomas Rooney told Reuters.

    Although the United States is the largest single water market, most of the companies in the water-funds derive their revenues from emerging markets, especially from Asia. China alone has 21 percent of the world’s population but only 7 percent of the renewable water resources.

    It looks like the speculators are already speculating. I love reading investment-speak articles about civilization-destroying environmental degradation trends. Why do I get the impression that if you’re a fund owns major oil, military, water and land rights in thirsty nations, climate change simply considered a possible investment yield force multiplier?

    Oh well, here’s an unusual water story that involves a very different type of climate change:

    Russian river water unexpected culprit behind Arctic freshening near US, Canada
    January 4, 2012

    Frigid freshwater flowing into the Arctic Ocean from three of Russia’s mighty rivers was diverted hundreds of miles to a completely different part of the ocean in response to a decades-long shift in atmospheric pressure associated with the phenomenon called the Arctic Oscillation, according to findings published in the Jan. 5 issue of Nature.

    The new findings show that a low pressure pattern created by the Arctic Oscillation from 2005 to 2008 drew Russian river water away from the Eurasian Basin, between Russia and Greenland, and into the Beaufort Sea, a part of the Canada Basin bordered by the United States and Canada. It was like adding 10 feet (3 meters) of freshwater over the central part of the Beaufort Sea.

    Knowing the pathways of freshwater in the upper ocean is important to understanding global climate because of freshwater’s role in protecting sea ice – it can help create a barrier between the ice and warmer ocean water below – and its role in global ocean circulation. Too much freshwater exiting the Arctic would inhibit the interplay of cold water from the poles and warm water from the tropics,” said Jamie Morison, an oceanographer with the University of Washington’s Applied Physics Laboratory and lead author of the Nature paper.

    Morison and his co-authors from the UW and NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory are the first to detect this freshwater pathway and its connection to the Arctic Oscillation. The work is based on water samples gathered in the field combined with satellite oceanography possible for the first time with data from NASA satellites known as ICESat and GRACE.

    Taken as a whole, the salinity of the Arctic Ocean is similar to the past, but the change in the freshwater pathway means the Eurasian Basin has gotten more saline while the Canada Basin has gotten fresher.

    “The freshening on the Canadian side of the Arctic over the last few years represents a redistribution of freshwater, there does not seem to be a net freshening of the ocean,” Kwok said.

    In the Eurasian Basin, the change means less freshwater enters the layer known as the cold halocline and could be contributing to declines in ice in that part of the Arctic, Morison said. The cold halocline normally sits like a barrier between ice and warm water that comes into the Arctic from the Atlantic Ocean. Without salt the icy cold freshwater is lighter, which is why it is able to float over the warm water.

    In the Beaufort Sea, the water is the freshest it’s been in 50 years of record keeping, he said. The new findings show that only a tiny fraction is from melting ice and the vast majority is Eurasian river water.

    The Beaufort Sea stores a significant amount of freshwater from a number of sources, especially when an atmospheric condition known as the Beaufort High causes winds to spin the water in a clockwise gyre. When the winds are weaker or spin in the opposite direction, freshwater is released back into the rest of the Arctic Ocean, and from there to the world’s oceans. Some scientists have said a strengthening of the Beaufort High is the primary cause of freshening, but the paper says salinity began to decline in the early 1990s, a time when the Beaufort High relaxed and the Arctic Oscillation increased.

    In coming years if the Arctic Oscillation stops perpetuating that low pressure, the freshwater pathway should switch back.

    Morison and the co-authors argue that, compared to prior years, the Arctic Oscillation has been in its current state for the last 20 years. For example, the changes detected in response to the Arctic Oscillation between 2005 and 2008 are very similar to freshening seen in the early 1990s, Morison said.

    So since the end of the Cold War, the Arctic Oscillation shifted, leading to massive two-decade long transfer of fresh water from the Eurasian Basin to North America. Now who’s stealing whose precious bodily fluids? Bwwahahahaha!

    Posted by Pterrafractyl | January 7, 2012, 10:36 pm
  10. It’s looking more and more like Russia’s protest movement could have serious sustainability. Maybe even “Russian Spring”-level sustainability. It’s a largely Facebook-driven, leaderless-ish, and urban youth/yuppie-ish driven mass protest movement that emerged out of a blatantly rigged election for Putin’s party and his announcement of a third presidental run, and now a number of prominent people are now publicly allying themselves with the protestors.

    Putin appears to be playing a “hide in the Kremlin and hope everything turns out” approach the election two months from now. Definitly starting to feel like springtime in Russia. And it’s not like Putin can say or do much to counter an anti-vote-rigging/corruption/one-party-rule movement…that’s what oligarch-run “managed democracies” are all about. What the protesters are asking for isn’t in Putin’s template (note that the template did not earn Putin his originality-when-designing-a-thuggocracy merit badge). And then there’s the rest of Putin’s putative Eurasian Union….(it went live on Jan 1st! We’ve got a the new EU! Let’s-insanity commence!).

    Posted by Pterrafractyl | January 14, 2012, 2:44 pm
  11. @Pterrafractyl: It may be good news, but my question is: will TPTB’s henchmen try to hijack that movement, too, as they did with the Arab Spring movements(although at least a few Egyptians have realized that they’ve been used, and are revolting against the MB. Hopefully, that’ll keep growing.)?

    Posted by Steven L. | January 16, 2012, 3:37 am
  12. @Steven: Scarily, it looks like nationalist infiltration/takeover of any Russian ‘Spring’ is one of the most immediate problems, and the threat comes from a surprising source. Not only has an anti-government far-right movement also been growing in recent years. But even Alexei Navalny, a charismatic 35 yr old former Yobloko politician that’s one of the de facto leaders in the largely leaderless movement, appears to have a scary affinity for the far-right nationalists. He was thrown out of the Yabloko party in 2007 for attending the Russky Marsh/Russian March, a far-right nationalist event where attendees are sighted making Nazi salutes (see pics). He’s also publicly championing various anti-immigrant causes, especially the “Stop Feeding the Caucases” movement, which calls for an end to public subsidy for the majority-muslim southern Caucases. While there’s plenty to be concerned about in Russia Southern Caucuses (it’s one part of the country where the Muslim Brotherhood could actually play a role in any “Russian Spring”), that particular movement appears to be advocating the kinds of punitive policies that will just encourage mindless anti-immigrant sentiments and solve nothing. He’s viewed as the potential great uniter of the nationalists and the middle class and it’s rather troubling:

    Russian Opposition Leader Alexei Navalny: Uniting Nationalists and the Urban, Educated Middle Class

    Posted on | december 31, 2011
    On December 5, the day after Russia’s Duma elections, the anti-corruption crusader and popular blogger, Alexei Navalny, told a raucous crowd, “I want to say to you: Thank you. Thank you for playing you part as a citizen. Thank you for telling these assholes, ‘We’re here!’ For telling the bearded [Electoral Commission head Vladimir] Churov and his superiors: ‘We exist!’ We have our voices. We exist! We exist! They hear that voice and they are afraid! They can chuckle on their zombie-boxes. They can call us “microbloggers” or ‘network hamsters!’ I am a network hamster, and I will slit the throats of these cattle!” Shortly after giving this speech, Navalny was arrested, and by the next morning, sentenced to 15 days in a petspriyomnik (special detention center) outside of Moscow. Navalny was released on December 20, and has been considered among many the de facto leader of the Russian opposition.

    Revolt of the Nationalists

    The other side, some would say the dark side to Alexei Navalny’s politics is that he’s a Russian nationalist. As Kevin Rothrock has argued in convincing detail, Navalny’s nationalism is no mere dalliance or opportunistic attempt to feed off Russians’ distaste for Central Asians and Caucasians. Rather, he has a long tact record of political involvement in nationalist politics. In 2007, he co-founded the nationalist group NAROD (The National Russian Liberation Movement). Their manifesto, an admixture of what Navalny calls “democratic nationalism,” includes calls for democratic control of the state along with volkish precepts like “ending the degradation of Russian (russkii) civilization” restoring the “organic unity of the Russian past, present and future” and “every Russian (russkii) must have the right to receive Russian citizenship and the possibility to return to the Motherland.” Yabloko expelled Navalny in 2007 for his participation in NAROD and other nationalist activities. At the end of his expulsion hearing, he yelled “Glory to Russia!” and stormed out. Among his other nationalist fits, he wrote off the neo-fascist Movement Against Illegal Immigration as harmless as “girl scouts”; declared that immigrants “will NEVER assimilate” and are a “bomb under our future”; called on Russians to arm themselves against “Muslim-looking criminals,” supported the nationalist inspired “Stop Feeding the Caucasus” campaign, and most recently joined the organizing committee of the yearly nationalist powwow, the Russian March. When Russian liberals flew into a tizzy over the last move, Navalny explained it thus: “I clearly supported this long-held idea of mine, if you don’t like those who will go on the Russian March, go there yourself and make it better. There they will talk about real problems and ‘liberal-schmiberal’ labels are nonsense.”

    Whatever one thinks of Navalny’s nationalism, the truth of the matter is that his beliefs coincide with the majority of Russians’ views on immigration and the North Caucasus. Nationalism and immigrant bashing has populist resonance in Russia, and until recently the Kremlin was willing to tap it to consolidate its own power. For many Russians, nationalist or not, Putin symbolizes the ideal Russian man: conservative, athletic, sober, religious, and patriotic. He returned Russia to international prominence after ten years of humiliation after the collapse of the Soviet Union. Even the extreme right love him for his recognition that the core Russian values are “none other than patriotism, love of one’s motherland, love of one’s own home, one’s people.” But Putin’s stature of a defender of the Slavic nation, like his approval in general, is shrinking among nationalists as an estimated four to eight million illegal immigrants enter Russia every year to do much of the labor to fill the power elites’ pockets with money. “There is more than just massive dissatisfaction with the state,” Valeriy Solovey, the nationalist academic and ideologue told Reuters. “It’s hatred. That hatred is directed at all organs of the state and it’s directed at the very top — I mean the prime minister and the president.”

    Russian nationalists might be able to garner at least the moral support of the public to their cause. True, most Russians scoff at the rhetoric of extreme nationalists, but their obsession with immigration does constitute a “real problem.” According to polls conducted by the Levada Center, the majority of Russians identify with the nationalist slogans “Russia for Russians” and “Stop Feeding the Caucasus.” When asked whether they supported the slogan, “Stop Feeding the Caucasus,” 62 percent answered that “definitely support” or “partially support.” To the question “How do you relate to the idea ‘Russia for Russians’?” a total of 54 percent answered with some support, while 32 percent called it “fascist.”

    Navalny recognizes the potential of uniting Russia’s middle classes and nationalists. In fact, it’s an alliance he’s been advocating since at least 2007. There is no doubt he’s made some inroads into both camps. A virtual cult has sprouted around him in liberal circles. One of his biggest boosters is the prominent liberal pundit Yulia Latynina, who recently labeled him the “only electable Russian.” And just this week his formal party, Yabloko, was getting pressure to nominate Navalny as their presidential candidate. To which, the party’s leader Sergei Mitrokhin angrily tweeted: “Navalny will not be nominated. 1) He didn’t express any desire to be; 2) He was expelled from Yabloko for nationalism. He has not given up this view;” And “Nationalism would be ruinous for the Russia. Yabloko cannot support nationalists even if they’re popular. We will not change out principles for popularity.” He then told “Navanly’s fans” to shut up about it.

    Navalny’s efforts to cajole the nationalists have been less successful. His membership to the Russian March organizing committee notwithstanding, his slogan “Party of Crooks and Thieves” made few inroads among the Russian Imperial flag bearing and Seig Heil-ing crowd. Nationalist like Konstantin Krylov, Vladimir Tor, Dmitrii Demushkin, Alexander Belov see Navalny as an ally, but not their leader.

    Plus, liberals and nationalists remain deeply divided within the protest camp. A few hundred nationalists joined the mass protest at Bolontaya, but many in the crowd shouted that they were provocateurs and organizers only allowed Krylov to address the crowd. Both groups are trying to take possession of the movement sparked by the December 4 elections. Protest organizer and human rights activist, Lev Ponomarev is arguing for the necessity to put the nationalists “in their place once and for all.” The nationalists are firing back that they will prevent the liberals from “privatizing” the movement.

    So yeah, one of the movements top leaders has a history of attending marches with neo-nazi salutes and it looks like he hasn’t stopped attending them. :

    Alexei Navalny, key engine behind Russian protests

    By LYNN BERRY, Associated Press – Dec 27, 2011

    MOSCOW (AP) — Alexei Navalny has done more than any other opposition leader to lay the groundwork for the protest movement now challenging Prime Minister Vladimir Putin’s 12-year grip on power. His reward came last weekend when he took the stage before tens of thousands of cheering demonstrators.

    Working the crowd like a firebrand preacher, Navalny had people responding to his calls with cries of “Yes” and “We are the Power!” His role now looks set only to grow.

    The 35-year-old corruption-fighting lawyer and popular blogger has inspired and mobilized many in Russia’s young Internet generation, who until recently had seemed reluctant to get up from their laptops.

    He reaches tens of thousands through his blog, consistently among the top three on Live Journal, and has more than 167,000 followers on Twitter.

    He has tapped into deep anger throughout society, particularly over the corruption that pervades public life and the generous subsidies sent to the restive mostly Muslim regions in southern Russia. Navalny’s description of Putin’s political party as the “party of crooks and thieves” and his call to “Stop feeding the Caucasus” have become catchphrases of the opposition.

    The Kremlin has woken up to the threat posed by the charismatic and ambitious Navalny, but efforts to silence him have only added to his stature.

    Navalny was arrested after leading a protest march in defiance of police the day after Dec. 4 parliamentary elections. The shameless falsifications that had helped Putin’s United Russia party retain its majority outraged many Russians, and more than 5,000 joined what turned into the largest anti-Putin demonstration in years. Navalny was jailed for 15 days, but the protests only grew.

    Navalny took part in last month’s Russian March in which thousands of nationalists marched through Moscow to call on ethnic Russians to “take back” their country, some raising their hands in a Nazi salute.

    Many Russians resent the influx of dark-skinned Muslims into Moscow and other cities. Many also resent the disproportionate amount of budget money sent to Chechnya and other Caucasus republics, seen as a Kremlin effort to buy loyalty after two separatist wars.

    Navalny defends his association with nationalists by saying their concerns are widespread and need to be addressed as part of any broad movement pushing for democratic change, but many in the liberal opposition fear that he is playing with fire.

    Some opposition leaders also seem alarmed by Navalny’s soaring popularity.

    “We are already seeing signs of a Navalny cult,” Vladimir Milov wrote in a column in the online Gazeta.ru. “I wouldn’t be surprised if grandmothers from the provinces start showing up here asking where they can find him so he can cure their illnesses.”

    Milov, who is 39, said some of the older liberal opposition leaders who have been involved in politics since the 1990s would try to prevent Navalny from taking over the protest movement.

    At the end of the day, it looks like humanity’s congenital Stockhole Syndrome almost wires us to choose the far-right when we’re emerging from a period of authoritarian ruled. Who knows why that is, but extreme conservatism and a history of abusive rulers and poverty seem to go hand in hand. We just have to hope the populace there can avoided another extended social experiment in authoritarian rule.

    Posted by Pterrafractyl | January 17, 2012, 6:18 pm
  13. Meet the Earth Island-lite: The “Grand Area”:

    GFP
    In the EU’s “Grand Area
    2012/07/26
    BERLIN
    (Own report) – A European think tank, with ties to Germany, is calling for the establishment of an EU controlled “Grand Area” stretching from the Arctic, through Central Asia, the Middle East to North Africa. With this “Grand Area,” the “Group on Grand Strategy” (GoGS) seeks to create a power base for a European Federal State, it considers necessary to establish. This “Grand Area” should also serve European interests in resources and deter foreign powers from meddling. This concept, which corresponds, in many ways to German interests, also includes the establishment within the “Grand Area” of a network of “European” military bases, which therefore would be outside any national control. The Bertelsmann Foundation, one of the most influential German think tanks, also has a representative on the GoGS Advisory Board. Within the Foundation, that political scientist’s work is centered on the theme, “Europe’s future.”

    Liberal Order
    The “Grand Area” plan was elaborated by James Rogers, one of the co-founders of the Group on Grand Strategy (GoGS). In his comprehensive paper, “A new Geography of European Power?” Rogers makes a plea for the EU to take control over such a “Grand Area.” European military and civilian forces should regularly intervene to arrest “disorders” and insure a “liberal order.” According to Rogers the “Grand Area” should “show the least likelihood of significant encroachment by powerful foreign actors” and should be defended “most cost-effectively through the expansion of the Common Security and Defence Policy.”[1] The “Grand Area” covers all of Europe including Iceland and Greenland, stretches to Central Asia and parts of South East Asia all the way to the Middle East and North Africa. For the most part, the map is oriented along current, internationally recognized, borders, however in the case of Russia, it dissects its national territory.

    Germany: “Terrestrial Power”
    In GoGS publications, Germany is explicitly characterized as a “terrestrial power,” that clings “tenaciously” to a “Bismarckian terrestrial strategy.”[4] This strategy, aimed at winning continental influence, poses, nevertheless, a danger to the “maritime powers” Great Britain and France, according to one of the reports. The strategist of the GoGS, Luis Simón, a former Volkswagen Foundation fellow, warns that a future “German-Russian axis” could develop. But “for the moment” Germany is clinging to the EU. However, Simón adds that the “British – American Power” in the Baltic – meaning the partially close collaboration between the Baltic countries and Poland with the USA and Great Britain – is preventing a more elaborate German-Russian rapprochement. According to the author, over the next few years, Great Britain will reinforce its influence in Eastern Europe, to make a rapprochement between Berlin and Moscow more difficult.[5] As a matter of fact, British troops have been permanently stationed in the Czech Republic since 2000, where they carried out the United Kingdom’s largest airborne maneuvers in 2010. James Rogers adds that a German renunciation of the “Atlantic Alliance” would renew the rivalry between Berlin and London, and “history has shown that nothing good can come of that.”[6]

    Carl Schmitt
    The term “Grand Area,” used by the GoGS, had once been popularized by the “Third Reich’s Crown Jurist” Carl Schmitt, in his 1939 book “Völkerrechtliche Großraumordnung und Interventionsverbot für raumfremde Mächte. Ein Beitrag zum Reichsbegriff im Völkerrecht.”[7] In this work Schmitt postulated that the “principle of non-interference by powers foreign to the realm, is a valid international legal principle,” which was supposed to secure sole access for Germany to all countries in Europe. To show the success of his Grand Area theory, Schmitt used the example of Rumania. As critics point out – Rumania was integrated into the German “Great Area,” at the “expense of its natural resources and economic substance.”[8] The Group on Grand Strategy is obviously also demanding that the countries within the “Great Area” surrender their wealth to the advantage of Germany and the EU.

    Posted by Pterrafractyl | August 8, 2012, 12:46 pm
  14. […] that struck Europe may well have been set by Al Qaeda or other jihadists ele­ments.  In FTR #723, we spec­u­lated about the pos­si­bil­ity that dev­as­tat­ing Russ­ian for­est fires […]

    Posted by Smokey the Bear Says: Only You Can Prevent–Forest Fire Jihad? | The Freedom Report | July 9, 2013, 3:30 pm
  15. Here’s something to keep in mind regarding the “Earth Island” concept and any future struggles to gain geopolitical domination over the world’s largest land mass: that giant land mass is scheduled to have some very destabilizing weather over the next century, with no shortage of floods or droughts:

    The Financial Times

    Asian countries are warned of climate catastrophe
    Swaths of continent face 50% more rain and summers 8C hotter this century, ADB says

    by: Michael Peel in Bangkok
    July 13, 2017

    Asian countries will be among the worst affected by rising temperatures, extreme weather patterns and floods caused by climate change, according to a report by the region’s main development bank.

    Damage ranging from falling crop yields to bleaching of coral reefs will affect millions of people and add billions of dollars to food import costs, according to the Asian Development Bank research published on Friday.

    Mean summertime temperatures in north-west China, Pakistan, Afghanistan and Tajikistan are projected to rise as much as 8C by 2100. Rainfall is forecast to climb by half in many land areas of the Asia-Pacific region, creating new flooding risks.

    The sobering take on the impact of climate change on the world’s most populous region is a collaboration between the bank and Germany’s Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research. It comes after leading international banks this week pledged to examine their exposure to risks related to climate change.

    “The Asia-Pacific region is particularly vulnerable to climate change,” said Preety Bhandari, director in the ADB’s sustainable development and climate change department. “Not only because of the intense impact felt across the region but also because of the large populations living in coastal areas or dependent on sectors likely to be badly affected.”

    The report uses existing data and new models to project decades ahead and attempt to estimate the human and financial impact of climate change on Asia. Hans Joachim Schellnhuber, director of the Potsdam Institute, said it would be a “major task” for the region even to adapt to a 1.5C temperature rise above pre-industrial levels by the end of this century — a central target of the Paris agreement on climate change.

    More than three-quarters of the world’s cities most exposed to a 1m rise in sea levels are in Asia, seven of them in the Philippines. The region also accounts for almost two-thirds of the 20 cities it is estimated will suffer the greatest increase in financial losses to flooding over the next decades.

    Five of those forecast to be most affected are in China, including the industrial centre of Guangzhou, while another four are in India, among them Mumbai, the commercial capital.

    Rice yields are forecast to plunge by half in some Southeast Asian countries by the end of the century in the absence of remedial action. The western Pacific’s remaining coral reefs would bleach and collapse in the same scenario, destroying fisheries and tourism.

    Rising temperatures risk killing tens of thousands more older people, while deadly or debilitating mosquito-borne diseases such as malaria and dengue fever are likely to flourish, the report says. These and other growing hardships could further drive migration of people along routes such as the Pacific Islands to Australia and Bangladesh to India.

    ———-

    “Asian countries are warned of climate catastrophe” by Michael Peel; The Financial Times; 07/13/2017

    “Mean summertime temperatures in north-west China, Pakistan, Afghanistan and Tajikistan are projected to rise as much as 8C by 2100. Rainfall is forecast to climb by half in many land areas of the Asia-Pacific region, creating new flooding risks.”

    Mean summertime temperatures are expected to spike in central Asian places like north west China, Pakistan, Afghanistan and Tajikistan while the rainfall could climb by as much as 50 percent along with Pacific, a region that contains a massive percentage of the globe’s population. It raises the question of which direction will the refugee flow generally go? From the coasts to the center, or vice versa? And while rising sea levels and flooding suggests an inevitable inward inward away from the coast, keep in mind that the areas that aren’t projected to get flooded are probably going to see droughts instead:

    Bloomberg News

    Climate Change May Bring Disasters and Deeper Poverty to Asia

    * Warmer temperatures could change region’s weather, agriculture
    * Hotter climates may pose existential threat to some nations

    July 13, 2017, 10:00 PM CDT

    Asia and the Pacific, home to two thirds of the world’s poor, are at the highest risk of suffering deeper poverty and disaster due to unabated climate change, reversing current development gains, according to the Asian Development Bank.

    The Asian landmass will see a temperature increase of 6 degrees Celsius (10.8 degrees Fahrenheit) by the end of the century under a business-as-usual scenario, ADB said in a statement on Friday. The comment is based on findings included in a report from the bank and Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research that analyses climate risks in Asia and the Pacific.

    Some countries in the region could experience significantly hotter climates, with temperature increases in Tajikistan, Afghanistan, Pakistan, and northwest China projected to hit 8 degrees Celsius, ADB said.

    Other findings in the report include:

    * Under a business-as-usual scenario, annual precipitation is expected to rise by as much as 50 percent over most land areas in the region, although nations such as Pakistan and Afghanistan may see a decline in rainfall by 20 to 50 percent
    * 19 of the 25 cities most exposed to a 1 meter sea-level rise are located in the region, 7 of which are in the Philippines alone. Indonesia, however, will be the country in the region most affected by coastal flooding
    * 13 of the top 20 cities with the largest growth of annual flood losses from 2005-2050 are in the region
    * Climate change will also make food production in the region harder and will raise production costs. In some countries of Southeast Asia, rice yields could tumble by up to 50 percent by 2100 if no adaption efforts are made
    * Marine ecosystems, particularly in the Western Pacific, will be in serious danger by 2100. Even with a 1.5 degree Celsius temperature increase, 89 percent of coral reefs are expected to suffer from serious bleaching, severely affecting reef-related fisheries and tourism in Southeast Asia
    * Heat-related deaths in the region among the elderly are expected to rise by about 52,000 cases by 2050 due to climate change, according to data from the World Health Organization. Deaths related to vector-borne diseases such as malaria and dengue may also increase
    * Climate change can exacerbate energy insecurity through continued reliance on unsustainable fossil fuels, reduced capacities of thermal power plants due to a scarcity of cooling water, and intermittent performance of hydropower plants as a result of uncertain water discharges, among other factors

    ———-

    “Climate Change May Bring Disasters and Deeper Poverty to Asia”; Bloomberg News; 07/13/2017

    “Under a business-as-usual scenario, annual precipitation is expected to rise by as much as 50 percent over most land areas in the region, although nations such as Pakistan and Afghanistan may see a decline in rainfall by 20 to 50 percent

    Pakistan and Afghanistan could see a precipitous drop in their precipitation levels. At least in some parts of those countries. Other parts will still get flooded.

    So any powerful groups around the world with plans for effectively gaining control of the “Earth Island” over the next century won’t have too much trouble implementing a “destabilize Asia” phase of their plans. That phase is already running on auto-pilot. It’s the post-destabilization phase that’s going to be particularly challenging, in part because the destabilization phase doesn’t appear to have an ‘off’ switch.

    Posted by Pterrafractyl | July 17, 2017, 3:16 pm

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