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“. . . Almost a Victory in the Third World War”

COMMENT: Sup­ple­ment­ing our pre­vi­ous dis­cus­sion of the cen­tral role of Ger­man banks in pre­cip­i­tat­ing the euro-zone cri­sis, we relate the obser­va­tions of an Ital­ian politico.

Hit­ting the nail on the head, Renato Brunetta has blamed the euro-zone sov­er­eign debt cri­sis on Germany. 

Of para­mount sig­nif­i­cance here is Mr. Brunetta’s com­ment that the Ger­man machi­na­tions were “almost a vic­tory in the third world war.”

Almost?!

What Brunetta is tak­ing stock of here is the fun­da­men­tal Ger­man adher­ence to the the­o­ret­i­cal doc­trine of Carl von Clause­witz, which we’ve high­lighted in our pre­vi­ous post. Ger­many is using its banks and bankers instead of armies, tanks and planes.

 It is vital to under­stand that the events over­tak­ing the world were delib­er­ate and pre­con­ceived. Ger­many is wag­ing World War III in the eco­nomic sphere, rather than the mil­i­tary one.

In addi­tion, the Euro­pean Com­mis­sion is con­cerned that Ger­man bank reg­u­la­tors are delib­er­ately obstruct­ing the free move­ment of capital.

“Ger­many Caused The Euro Cri­sis”; Ger­many Watch; 12/11/2012.

EXCERPT: Ger­many caused the euro-zone sov­er­eign debt cri­sis as a way to pre­vent the col­lapse of its own bank­ing sys­tem, a senior ally to for­mer prime min­is­ter Sil­vio Berlus­coni claims....

“Mr. Brunetta sought to link alle­ga­tions that Deutsche Bank AG (DB) hid poten­tial deriv­a­tive losses from reg­u­la­tors to the bank’s large-scale sale of sov­er­eign bonds issued by periph­eral euro-zone nations, includ­ing Italy.

The U.S. Secu­ri­ties and Exchange Com­mis­sion is inves­ti­gat­ing alle­ga­tions made by two for­mer traders. Deutsche Bank has denied the claims.

Mr. Brunetta said that Ger­man bund yields had been inch­ing up in early 2011, high­light­ing fears of the sol­vency of Germany’s banks. He claimed the banks, “prob­a­bly with the implicit sup­port of Berlin, decided to trans­fer the poten­tial cri­sis of their own pri­vate bank­ing sys­tem on to coun­tries con­sid­ered the weak­est in the euro area.”

“As yields rose in periph­eral coun­tries, they fell sharply in Ger­many, allow­ing Ms. Merkel to seek to “cre­ate a hege­mony over the euro zone” and turn the focus from bank­ing to pub­lic finances, Mr. Brunetta said, describ­ing the oper­a­tion as “almost a vic­tory in the third world war.”

“EU Con­cerned Ger­man Bank Rules Block Move­ment of Capital-Paper”; Reuters; 1/3/2013.

EXCERPT: The Euro­pean Com­mis­sion is con­cerned that Ger­man bank reg­u­la­tor BaFin may be inhibit­ing the free move­ment of cap­i­tal in Europe’s com­mon mar­ket, Ger­man daily Han­dels­blatt said.

The com­mis­sion and the Euro­pean Bank­ing Author­ity are scru­ti­n­is­ing BaFin’s pol­icy to demand that banks — includ­ing sub­sidiaries of for­eign lenders — keep suf­fi­cient liq­uid­ity for their Ger­man oper­a­tions, the paper said on Thursday.

It cited a spokesman for Inter­nal Mar­ket and Ser­vices Com­mis­sioner Michel Barnier. . .

Discussion

2 comments for ““. . . Almost a Victory in the Third World War””

  1. Awkard!

    Monti says Merkel doesn’t want left to win Italy elec­tion
    Feb­ru­ary 20, 2013|Reuters

    ROME (Reuters) — Ger­man Chan­cel­lor Angela Merkel does not want the centre-left Demo­c­ra­tic Party (PD) to win Italy’s national elec­tion, out­go­ing Ital­ian Prime Min­is­ter and cen­trist leader Mario Monti said on Wednesday.

    “Merkel fears the con­sol­i­da­tion of par­ties from the left, espe­cially in an elec­tion year for her, I don’t think she has any wish to see the PD arrive in gov­ern­ment,” Monti said in an inter­view with Ital­ian news agency Adnkronos.

    His remarks were con­firmed by his spokes­woman, who added that he was express­ing his opin­ion and was not claim­ing to have spo­ken to Merkel directly on the matter.

    A Ger­man gov­ern­ment spokesman said, “The chan­cel­lor doesn’t com­ment on the Ital­ian elec­tion cam­paign and has not done so in the past.”

    The com­ments could nev­er­the­less be embar­rass­ing for the Ger­man chan­cel­lor who has been at pains to stay out of the cam­paign for Italy’s vote this weekend.

    Monti was respond­ing to com­ments by centre-right leader Sil­vio Berlus­coni, who has repeat­edly attacked the Ger­man Chan­cel­lor and claimed Monti had already agreed to join forces with the PD after the elec­tion “with Merkel’s blessing”.

    ...

    Merkel has been keep­ing her lips sealed before the vote but in an unusual foray into an elec­tion cam­paign in a Euro­pean neigh­bor, her for­eign min­is­ter, Guido West­er­welle, recently dropped a thinly veiled hint about sen­ti­ment in her government.

    “We are of course not involved in the Ital­ian elec­tion ... But who­ever forms the new gov­ern­ment, we think it is impor­tant that the pro-European course and the nec­es­sary reforms will be con­tin­ued,” West­er­welle told the Sued­deutsche Zeitung.

    West­er­welle is a mem­ber of the pro-market Free Democ­rats (FDP), junior part­ner in Merkel’s centre-right coalition.

    ...

    Asked to com­ment on Monti’s lat­est remarks, Bersani answered bluntly: “I don’t know if it’s Monti’s prob­lem or Merkel’s.”

    In an inter­view on Wednes­day with local Ger­man daily Straub­inger Tag­blatt, Merkel refused to take sides in Italy’s election.

    “It’s up to the Ital­ians to choose their gov­ern­ment and I won’t get involved by giv­ing rec­om­men­da­tions or by spec­u­lat­ing,” she said.

    This is the kind of polit­i­cal awk­ward­ness that the euro­zone might have to start get­ting used to because there’s one coun­try that effec­tively runs the euro­zone right now and every­one knows it:

    Germany’s Merkel not involved in Ital­ian elec­tion: Monti

    ROME | Thu Feb 21, 2013 7:23am EST

    (Reuters) — Ital­ian Prime Min­is­ter Mario Monti rowed back on Thurs­day from com­ments sug­gest­ing that Ger­man Chan­cel­lor Angela Merkel had expressed oppo­si­tion to his polit­i­cal rivals on the center-left days before an elec­tion next week.

    Monti, lead­ing a cen­trist coali­tion in the elec­tion, was quoted a day ear­lier say­ing that he did not think Merkel had “any wish to see the PD in gov­ern­ment”, refer­ring to the Demo­c­ra­tic Party, the main center-left force which has been lead­ing in opin­ion polls before the vote.

    He made the state­ment in response to an asser­tion by his other main rival. Sil­vio Berlus­coni. who had said that Monti and PD leader Pier Luigi Bersani had already agreed to join forces “with Merkel’s blessing”.

    “I wanted to rebut what Berlus­coni said yes­ter­day and say that it was not only untrue but implau­si­ble,” Monti said in a video inter­view broad­cast on the web­site of the daily Cor­riere della Sera.

    In an increas­ingly bit­ter elec­tion cam­paign, Berlus­coni has sought to paint Monti as a Merkel sub­or­di­nate, fol­low­ing “German-centric” aus­ter­ity poli­cies ordered by Brus­sels and Berlin that he says have plunged Italy into recession.

    ...

    He also denied that if he were to seek an agree­ment with the left he would need the “bless­ing” of the con­ser­v­a­tive Ger­man chancellor.

    “It’s a bit para­dox­i­cal when you think of it because Merkel and Berlus­coni are part of the same polit­i­cal fam­ily,” he said.

    Posted by Pterrafractyl | February 21, 2013, 11:42 am
  2. So is there a desire in Berlin to see Berlus­coni elected? Because hav­ing Ger­man lead­ers openly tell vot­ers to not vote Berlus­coni when the elec­tions are just days away and Berlus­coni is polling a close sec­ond place seems like exactly the kind of move that might prop up sup­port for Berlus­coni:

    EU par­lia­ment chief tells Ital­ians not to vote for Berlusconi

    BERLIN | Thu Feb 21, 2013 4:30am EST

    (Reuters) — The Ger­man pres­i­dent of the Euro­pean Par­lia­ment, once com­pared to a Nazi con­cen­tra­tion camp guard by for­mer Ital­ian prime min­is­ter Sil­vio Berlus­coni, warned Ital­ians on Thurs­day not to back the scandal-ridden media tycoon at the bal­lot box.

    Mar­tin Schulz is the lat­est in a line of Ger­man politi­cians to express fears about a pos­si­ble Berlus­coni come­back largely due to wor­ries he will halt Rome’s reform drive that has helped to lift investor con­fi­dence in the euro zone.

    “Sil­vio Berlus­coni has already sent Italy into a tail­spin with irre­spon­si­ble behav­ior in gov­ern­ment and per­sonal escapades,” Schulz was quoted as say­ing in Ger­man daily Bild.

    Berlus­coni has been sen­tenced to prison for tax fraud and is on trial for hav­ing sex with an under-aged prostitute.

    In quotes not printed in the paper but sent in an advance copy of the report, Schulz went on to urge Ital­ians to vote for con­tin­ued reforms.

    “Much is at stake in the forth­com­ing elec­tions, includ­ing mak­ing sure that the con­fi­dence built up by (Prime Min­is­ter) Mario Monti is not lost. I am very con­fi­dent that Ital­ian vot­ers will make the right choice for their country.”

    ...

    Another pos­si­bil­ity is that Berlin doesn’t want to see Berlus­coni win, it wants to see Berlus­coni almost win. Because if Berlus­coni almost wins, the likely win­ner, Peir Luigi Bersani, will be forced to form a coali­tion with the troika-installed tech­no­crat Mario Monti. But if Bersani can gar­ner enough sup­port in these final days of the elec­tion no coali­tion with Monti will be required. Hmmm:

    Reuters
    Italy’s Bersani May Need Post-Vote Deal With Monti: Sce­nar­ios
    By Chiara Vasarri — Feb 19, 2013 2:05 AM CT

    “I’ll be back” has been Sil­vio Berlusconi’s fre­quent slo­gan since he first departed from the polit­i­cal field two decades ago. His first gov­ern­ment, in 1994, lasted a mere year. It ended in semi-farce when his main ally, the North­ern League, pulled out. Pros­e­cu­tors announced an inves­ti­ga­tion into alleged cor­rup­tion while he hosted a G8 meet­ing in Naples. But he was back in 2001 through 2006, when he lost by a whisker to the left; then back again in 2008, when a stum­bling left gov­ern­ment lost its majority.

    His res­ig­na­tion in 2011 was sup­posed – even by him – to be the final word. Instead, by the mid­dle of last year, halfway through the aus­tere term of the tech­no­crat Mario Monti, he sniffed the air of a return from the polit­i­cal grave (or, accord­ing to his many detrac­tors, recalled that being prime min­is­ter with the immu­nity of par­lia­ment was handy for one still fac­ing crim­i­nal charges). Thus he inserted him­self back into the lead­er­ship of the party he cre­ated, the Peo­ple of Free­dom. At 76, Berlus­coni was on the stump once more. With bravura, he has promised to pay peo­ple back – in cash — for the prop­erty taxes they have paid since his depar­ture, he won a shout­ing match with two left-wing jour­nal­ists on their own TV show and he grabbed every minute of broad­cast space that he could. One could admire his tenac­ity if he had not been such a dis­as­ter — eco­nom­i­cally, polit­i­cally and morally — for his country.

    Berlus­coni has a chance of win­ning this weekend’s elec­tions. Roberto D’Alimonte, one of Italy’s lead­ing polit­i­cal sci­en­tists, argues that the Peo­ple of Free­dom are a mere five points behind the left coalition’s 31 per­cent poll score. Berlusconi’s tally may be too low if some peo­ple are ashamed to tell poll­sters they will vote for him. He’s a mas­ter of the late surge (as in 2006, where he nar­rowly snatched vic­tory after trail­ing badly).

    Still, the left coali­tion is poised to win the elec­tion, as D’Alimonte con­cludes. Its leader, Pier Luigi Bersani, is a man of some decency, it seems, and no ide­o­log­i­cal left­ist – if a for­mer com­mu­nist. As min­is­ter of eco­nomic devel­op­ment in the last left­ist gov­ern­ment, he was the man in charge of mar­ket lib­er­al­iza­tion and com­pe­ti­tion, and he encour­aged a sig­nif­i­cant amount of both. His vic­tory, though, is likely to be par­tial. He will need at least one ally, and that ally is likely to be the Civic Choice Party, formed a few months ago by Monti.

    Monti, though he is seen as a sav­ior in gov­ern­ing cir­cles abroad, is much less pop­u­lar in the coun­try that has had to suf­fer his austerity. He made up his party hastily, with two one-time sup­port­ers of Berlus­coni – the Chris­t­ian Demo­c­rat Pier Fer­di­nando Casini and the for­mer leader of the National Alliance, Gian­franco Fini – nei­ther of whom had high pop­u­lar­ity rat­ings. Still, the 12 percent-15 per­cent Monti has been show­ing (polls are now banned until Sunday’s elec­tion) could trans­late into 30–40 seats. An alliance could give the left a major­ity. A Bersani-Monti coali­tion is now being touted in Euro­pean chanceries, trea­suries and edi­to­ri­als as the best out­come, given that a Monti vic­tory seems impos­si­ble. There is fer­vent hope that he would be given wide lat­i­tude and strong polit­i­cal sup­port for reforms that could reach much further.

    ...

    Monti said in a recent inter­view that his gov­ern­ment “had taken away the veil which cov­ered real­ity.” It had shown Ital­ians the grim truth about their coun­try that Berlus­coni had cov­ered with false opti­mism and reas­sur­ance. But most vot­ers can­not bear too much reality.

    If the most likely win­ner pre­vails, a strug­gle fun­da­men­tal to our age will con­tinue — one that pits the aspi­ra­tions of the left against the unveiled real­i­ties of glob­al­iza­tion. If these two forces come to gov­ern the euro zone’s third-largest econ­omy, the out­come of the strug­gle will be global in its impact.

    Posted by Pterrafractyl | February 21, 2013, 1:07 pm

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