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This broadcast was recorded in one, 60-minute segment.
Introduction: Public schools and public education are, and for many years have been, the focal point of right-wing activity. From dissatisfaction over mandated school desegregation to opposition to the judicial ban on prayer in public schools to the present-day draconian slashing of public education budges, the right has attacked the public education. At the same time, the right has promoted the use of public funds for parochial schools and home schooling as alternatives to public education.
The formative experience of public school attendance might well be viewed as fundamental to young peoples’ socialization process–learning to share, acquiring tolerance for those of different backgrounds and learning the basics of civic life in America.
Public schools have also come under attack–quite literally–from armed fascists.
This is the second program dealing with school shootings and the role fascist groups play in the development of such incidents. The broadcast begins with a brief summary and recap of key points of discussion from FTR #1002. They include:
- Patrick Purdy’s apparent links to Aryan Nations.
- Purdy’s anti-Asian xenophobia, deeming that Americans were being edged out in their own homeland.
- The Order’s attempts at developing mind control techniques.
- Purdy’s involvement with the Unification Church.
- The profound effect of school shootings on both parents and students of affected institutions. School shootings fundamentally undermine peoples’ sense of comfort and create an anxiety conducive to the implementation of totalitarianism.
- The provision of Oliver North’s martial law contingency plans to use paramilitary right-wingers as federal deputies.
Discussion proceeds to the Florida high school shooting. Mort Sahl’s observation decades ago that “A liberal’s idea of courage is eating at a restaurant that hasn’t been reviewed yet” is exemplified by journalists’ retraction of the story of Parkland, Florida shooter Nikolas Cruz being affiliated with the ROF because of what might be termed “reverse trolling.” A post on a chat group about the Cruz/ROF link was deemed to be false. Jordan Jereb told journalists that Cruz was a member of his group, but that he hadn’t seen him in a long time. He has been said to be “walking that back.” Just HOW does one “walk that back?” ” . . . . The ADL said ROF leader Jordan Jereb told them Cruz was associated with his group. Jereb, who is based in Tallahassee, said Cruz was brought into the group by another member and had participated in one or more ROF training exercises in the Tallahassee area, the ADL said. . . . Jereb told the ADL that ROF had not ordered Cruz to take any such action. He told ABC News he has not spoken to Cruz in ‘some time’ but said ‘he knew he would getting this call.’ . . . .” Jereb told the ADL that ROF had not ordered Cruz to take any such action. He told ABC News he has not spoken to Cruz in “some time” but said “he knew he would getting this call.”
Whether or not Nikolas Cruz was formally networking with the Republic of Florida or other neo-Nazi groups, he was indeed a neo-Nazi in spirit: It turns out that Cruz had swastikas etched onto his ammunition magazines used during the attack. This reminds us of the jottings Patrick Edward Purdy had on his weapons and clothing.
Cruz didn’t just suddenly adopt a neo-Nazi worldview. He’s been stewing in these juices for years, and clearly had additional mental health issues.
Several factors greatly exacerbate the school shooting phenomenon.
The Steam gaming app, a major distributor for very popular video games, has a neo-Nazi problem–neo-Nazis are using its chat room and voice-over-IP options to promote their ideology. Both the Daily Stormer and Andrew Auernheimer have Steam chat rooms, as does AtomWaffen.
On these forums, there are 173 different groups championing school shooters, lauding them as heroes and setting the stage for future incidents. ” . . . . A leading gaming app that is popular with adherents of the neo-Nazi wing of the alt-right movement has at least 173 groups dedicated to the glorification of school shootings, according to a report published last week by Reveal News. . . .”
In addition, Nazi groups are actively recruiting depressed people! ” . . . . For years, members of the alt-right have taken advantage of the internet’s most vulnerable, turning their fear and self-loathing into vitriolic extremism, and thanks to the movement’s recent galvanization, they’re only growing stronger. . . . According to Christian Picciolini, a former neo-nazi who co-founded the peace advocacy organization, Life After Hate, these sort of recruiting tactics aren’t just common, but systematically enforced. ‘[The recruiters] are actively looking for these kind of broken individuals who they can promise acceptance, who they can promise identity to,’ Picciolini said in an interview with Sam Seder. . . .”
Although not included in the audio portion of the program due to the limitations of time, we note that, in our opinion, the presence of lethal, military-style firearms are not, by themselves, the primary factor in the epidemic of school shootings and other mass casualty firearms attacks. A would-be school shooter can always purchase a pump-action, 12-gauge shotgun, saw it off and precipitate considerable mayhem.
Many of the school shootings have been performed by fascists of one stripe or another, manifesting the type of actions advocated by the likes of Michael Moyniahan, James Mason and their fellow travelers. Mason and his role model Charles Manson are now viewed favorably by a segment of the Nazi movement. The role of nihilist/fascist ideology in motivating some of the school shooters should be factored into the discussion.
The role of the media in conditioning young people to kill is a major focal point of the book On Killing by Lieutenant Colonel Dave Grossman, who taught psychology at West Point. From Amazon’s promotional text for Grossman’s book: “The good news is that most soldiers are loath to kill. But armies have developed sophisticated ways of overcoming this instinctive aversion. And contemporary civilian society, particularly the media, replicates the army’s conditioning techniques, and, according to Lt. Col. Dave Grossman’s thesis, is responsible for our rising rate of murder among the young. Upon its initial publication, ON KILLING was hailed as a landmark study of the techniques the military uses to overcome the powerful reluctance to kill, of how killing affects soldiers, and of the societal implications of escalating violence. Now, Grossman has updated this classic work to include information on 21st-century military conflicts, recent trends in crime, suicide bombings, school shootings, and more. The result is a work certain to be relevant and important for decades to come.”
Our high body-count movies and TV programs, as well as point-and-shoot video games, according to Grossman, replicate to a considerable degree the audio-visual desensitization techniques used by contemporary armies to help recruits overcame their inhibitions about killing. We suggest Grossman’s thesis as a factor in the school massacres.
Program Highlights Include:
- The paramilitary right-wing Oath Keepers deployment of heavily armed cadre outside of schools.
- Discussion of how the likes of Stewart Rhodes and his Oath Keepers are the type of paramilitary right-wingers who would be deputized in the event of an activation of martial law contingency plans.
- The online disparagement of Parkland high school students by the “Alt-Right.”
- The use of the C14 militias in Ukraine to enforce public order in Kiev (the capital) and 21 other cities. The organization takes its name from the 14 words of David Lane, a member of the Order. One of that group’s founders was highlighted at the beginning of FTR #1002, noting his quest to obtain sophisticated weaponry and to develop mind-control techniques.
1. The program begins with a brief summary and recap of key points of discussion from FTR #1002. They include:
- Patrick Purdy’s apparent links to Aryan Nations.
- Purdy’s anti-Asian xenophobia, deeming that Americans were being edged out in their own homeland.
- The Order’s attempts at developing mind control techniques.
- Purdy’s involvement with the Unification Church.
- The profound effect of school shootings on both parents and students of affected institutions. School shootings fundamentally undermine peoples’ sense of comfort and create an anxiety conducive to the implementation of totalitarianism.
- The provision of Oliver North’s martial law contingency plans to use paramilitary right-wingers as federal deputies.
2a. In the wake of the Florida high school shooting, an under-reported and subsequently retracted aspect of the killings concerns accused shooter Nikolas Cruz’s participation (including weapons training and political indoctrination) with the Republic of Florida. The ROF is ” . . . a white supremacist group . . . .” It describes itself: “. . . . as a ‘white civil rights organization fighting for white identitarian politics’ and seeks to create a ‘white ethnostate’ in Florida. . . .”
Of particular interest in analysis of the Florida shooting is the advocacy on the part of ROF leader Jordan Jereb for the “lone wolf/leaderless resistance” strategy: ” . . . . A training video the group posted online shows members practicing military maneuvers in camouflage clothing and saluting each other, along with music with the lyric: ‘They call me Nazi / and I’m proud of it.’ In the weeks before the attack, on Gab, a social media network sometimes used by white nationalists, Jereb had recently praised Norwegian mass killer Anders Breivik as a ‘hero.’ He also posted a diagrammed strategy for using the Republic of Florida militia to create ‘lone wolf activists.’ . . . .”
Several considerations to be weighed in connection with the incident:
- Whether by coincidence or design, this incident has fundamentally eclipsed discussion of the Trump administration’s brutal budgetary proposals, not unlike the fashion in which Stephen Paddock’s gun play in Las Vegas eclipsed discussion of the GOP tax proposals.
- In Miscellaneous Archive Show M55, we noted the Nazi and Unification Church links of one of the prototypical school shooters, Patrick Edward Purdy. Like Cruz, he had links to Nazi groups and–in the Moonies–a mind control cult with strong intelligence and Japanese fascist links.
- In FTR #‘s 967 and 995, we noted that the Nazi Atomwaffen Division, which also gives paramilitary instruction, makes ISIS-style videos advocating “lone wolf/leaderless resistance” attacks, was linked to a Florida National Guardsman who was planning to attack a nuclear power plant. Given that many of the Nazi/white supremacist groups have fluctuating memberships and often overlap each other as a result, it would not be surprising to find that Atomwaffen Division and ROF have some commonality.
- Mort Sahl’s observation decades ago that “A liberal’s idea of courage is eating at a restaurant that hasn’t been reviewed yet” is exemplified by journalists’ retraction of the story of Cruz being affiliated with the ROF because of what might be termed “reverse trolling.” A post on a chat group about the Cruz/ROF link was deemed to be false. Jordan Jereb told journalists that Cruz was a member of his group, but that he hadn’t seen him in a long time. He has been said to be “walking that back.” Just HOW does one “walk that back?” ” . . . . The ADL said ROF leader Jordan Jereb told them Cruz was associated with his group. Jereb, who is based in Tallahassee, said Cruz was brought into the group by another member and had participated in one or more ROF training exercises in the Tallahassee area, the ADL said. . . . Jereb told the ADL that ROF had not ordered Cruz to take any such action. He told ABC News he has not spoken to Cruz in ‘some time’ but said ‘he knew he would getting this call.’ . . . .” Jereb told the ADL that ROF had not ordered Cruz to take any such action. He told ABC News he has not spoken to Cruz in “some time” but said “he knew he would getting this call.”
The Anti-Defamation League, a civil rights watchdog, told ABC News they have information they believe to be credible linking Nikolas Cruz, the Florida school shooting suspect, to a white supremacist group called Republic of Florida. The ADL said ROF leader Jordan Jereb told them Cruz was associated with his group. Jereb, who is based in Tallahassee, said Cruz was brought into the group by another member and had participated in one or more ROF training exercises in the Tallahassee area, the ADL said. Law enforcement officials have not confirmed the link.
ROF has mostly young members in north and south Florida and describes itself as a “white civil rights organization fighting for white identitarian politics” and seeks to create a “white ethnostate” in Florida.
Three former schoolmates of Cruz told ABC News that Cruz was part of the group. They claimed he marched with the group frequently and was often seen with Jereb, who also confirmed to ABC News that Cruz was, at least at one point, part of that group.
Jereb told the ADL that ROF had not ordered Cruz to take any such action. He told ABC News he has not spoken to Cruz in “some time” but said “he knew he would getting this call.” He would not comment further but emphasized that his group was not a terrorist organization.
…
Family members, classmates and former friends described Cruz, a 19-year-old former student, as a troubled teen who was largely alone in the world when he allegedly stormed through the school carrying an AR-15 rifle and multiple magazines.
He was able to leave the school after the shooting by blending in with other students who were trying to escape, but he was apprehended shortly thereafter. He has been answering questions from investigators working on the case.
Cruz was adopted as an infant, but he had been living with the family of a classmate after the sudden death of his adoptive mother late last year. His adoptive father died in 2005.
In an interview with ABC News’ George Stephanopoulos, an attorney for the family that had taken Cruz in for the past few months said Cruz was “depressed” following his mother’s death but he had been going to therapy.
The family is still “shocked,” he said, that Cruz would allegedly engage in mass violence.
“They indicated they saw nothing like this coming,” Lewis said. “They never saw any anger, no bad feelings about the school.”
They were aware that Cruz was in possession of a military-style assault weapon, he said, which two law enforcement officials tell ABC News was legally purchased by Cruz within the past year from a federally licensed dealer. They insisted that it be locked in a safe.
“He brought it into the home and it was in a locked gun safe,” Lewis said. “That was the condition when he came into their home that the gun was locked away.”
Cruz’s former classmates, however, were less surprised.
A student who told ABC News that he participated in Junior ROTC with Cruz described him as a “psycho.” Cruz was a well-known weapons enthusiast, the student said, who once tried to sell knives to a classmate.
Another student told ABC News that before Cruz was expelled from the school he was barred from carrying a backpack on campus. The classmate said the rule was put in place after the school found bullet casings in his bag after a fight with another student.
One student said Cruz even once threatened to “shoot up” the school.
“About a year ago I saw him upset in the morning,” student Brent Black told ABC News. “And I was like, ‘yo what’s wrong with you?’ And he was like ‘umm, don’t know.’ And I was like ‘what’s up with you?’ He’s like ‘I swear to God I’ll shoot up this school.’ And then I was like ‘watch what you’re saying around me,’ and then I just left him after that. He came up to me later on the day and apologized for what he said.”
On Thursday, the FBI issued a statement saying that it was alerted in 2017 to a threat on YouTube by someone who said “I am going to be a school shooter.”
“In September 2017, the FBI received information about a comment made on a YouTube channel. The comment said, “I’m going to be a professional school shooter.” No other information was included in the comment which would indicate a particular time, location, or the true identity of the person who posted the comment. The FBI conducted database reviews and other checks, but was unable to further identify the person who posted the comment.”
According to Broward County Sheriff Scott Israel, investigators have already found some “disturbing” content on social media that could have provided warning signs.
“We have already begun to dissect his websites and things on social media that he was on, and some of the things that have come to mind are very, very disturbing,” Israel said.
The photos posted on an Instagram account law enforcement sources tell ABC News belongs to the suspected shooter shows a young man displaying an arsenal of weapons.
2b. More about the Republic of Florida:
The expelled student accused of killing 17 people at his former South Florida high school is “sad, mournful, remorseful” and “he’s just a broken human being,” one of his attorneys told reporters Thursday.
After a judge ordered Nikolas Cruz, 19, held without bond as he faces 17 counts of premeditated murder, defense attorney Melissa McNeil said that Cruz was “fully aware of what is going on,” but had a troubled background and little personal support in his life before the attack.
Cruz appeared via video, in an orange jumpsuit and with his head slightly bowed, for an initial Broward County court hearing Thursday.
Meanwhile, investigators were scouring Cruz’s social media posts for possible motives or warning signs of the attack. Several social media accounts bearing Cruz’s name revealed a young man fascinated by guns who appeared to signal his intentions to attack a school long before the event.
Nine months ago, a YouTube user with the handle “nikolas cruz” posted a comment on a Discovery UK documentary about the gunman in the 1966 University of Texas shooting that read, “I am going to what he did.”
Other past comments by YouTube users with Cruz’s name reportedly included one remark in September, saying: “Im going to be a professional school shooter.” At a news briefing in Florida, Robert Lasky, the FBI special agent in charge, confirmed that the FBI had investigated that comment. But he said the agency couldn’t identify the person in question.
In another post on Instagram, where he posted photos of himself in masks and with guns, Cruz wrote anti-Muslim slurs and apparently mocked the Islamic phrase “Allahu Akbar,” which means God is greatest.
Confusion also swirled after the leader of a white nationalist militia said that Cruz had trained with his armed group, a claim that drew wide attention but could not be immediately verified.
The leader of the Republic of Florida militia, Jordan Jereb, told researchers at the Anti-Defamation League that Cruz had been “brought up” into the group by one of its members, the ADL said in a blog post. ABC News also claimed to have spoken to three people who verified Cruz’s membership, but some white nationalists expressed concern that the news outlet may have been targeted by a coordinated hoax.
The Republic of Florida calls itself “a white civil rights organization fighting for white identitarian politics” on its website, adding that its “current short-term goals are to occupy urban areas to recruit suburban young whites” in pursuit of “the ultimate creation of a white ethnostate.”
A training video the group posted online shows members practicing military maneuvers in camouflage clothing and saluting each other, along with music with the lyric: “They call me Nazi / and I’m proud of it.”
In the weeks before the attack, on Gab, a social media network sometimes used by white nationalists, Jereb had recently praised Norwegian mass killer Anders Breivik as a “hero.” He also posted a diagrammed strategy for using the Republic of Florida militia to create “lone wolf activists.”
Jereb later told the Associated Press that he didn’t know Cruz personally and that the group had no knowledge of his plans for the violent attack. “He acted on his own behalf of what he just did, and he’s solely responsible for what he just did,” Jereb said.
2c. Here’s some additional evidence that, whether or not Nikolas Cruz was formally networking with the Republic of Florida or other neo-Nazi groups, he was indeed a neo-Nazi in spirit: It turns out that Cruz had swastikas etched onto his ammunition magazines used during the attack. This reminds us of the jottings Patrick Edward Purdy had on his weapons and clothing.
“Shooting suspect Nikolas Cruz had swastikas on ammunition magazines”; CBS News; 02/27/2018
Florida school shooting suspect Nikolas Cruz had swastikas ammunition magazines he brought into Marjory Stoneman Douglas High School on Feb. 14, a federal law enforcement source with direct knowledge of the investigation told CBS News on Tuesday. Cruz has been charged with 17 counts of premeditated murder.
Cruz had 180 rounds of ammunition left, a source confirmed to CBS News.
Sources told CBS News that Cruz broke a third-floor window, possibly to fire upon people from above. Sources say he tried to create a “sniper’s nest” by shooting out the window, firing 16 rounds into the glass, CBS News correspondent Manuel Bojorquez reports. But the hurricane-proof glass appeared to have stopped it from shattering, Bojorquez reports.
Investigators believe the suspect tried to reload, but after changing magazine clips, his gun may have jammed, Bojorquez adds. Cruz then allegedly put down his weapon and left the building, blending in with other students.
Police said Cruz told them he had “brought additional loaded magazines to the school campus and kept them hidden in a backpack until he got on campus to begin his assault.”
Cruz is accused of opening fire at the high school in Parkland, Florida, on Valentine’s Day, killing 17 people and wounding 15 others. On Feb. 15, investigators said Cruz told them that as students began to flee, he decided to discard his AR-15 rifle and a vest he was wearing so he could blend in with the crowd. Police recovered the rifle and the vest.
It’s still unclear why the suspect stopped shooting.
Since the massacre, disturbing details of Cruz’s past have come to light. While the motive remains unclear, a YouTube commentator with his name posted on a video: “I’m going to be a professional school shooter.”
Cruz was transferred to a school with programs for emotionally and disabled students when he was in eighth grade but wanted to be mainstreamed back into his home school, Broward County School Superintendent Robert Runcie said Tuesday.
The Florida Department of Children and Families investigated Cruz in 2016, and police records show deputies went to his home more than three dozen times. Starting in January 2016, Cruz was allowed to spend half his day at the alternative school and half at Stoneman Douglas to ease him into the less-structured environment.
In August 2016, he started back at Stoneman Douglas, but “the situation had deteriorated” by November, Runcie said. That’s when Cruz, who had turned 18 in September 2016, refused the mental health services offered by the school. Runcie said Cruz had the support of his mother.
He remained at the school until February 2017, when school officials finally decided to remove him after unspecified behavior issues. He was told his only option was an alternative school.
…
Jordan Jereb, the leader of white nationalist group Republic of Florida, had initially claimed Cruz was a member of his group but later walked back the claim and local law enforcement said there was no proof that Cruz and Jereb ever met.
2d. Cruz didn’t just suddenly adopt a neo-Nazi worldview. He’s been stewing in these juices for years, and clearly had additional mental health issues–the“Alt-Right” Nazi groups specifically target depressed people to take advantage of their disorders.
On Tuesday, we learned a new, bone-chilling fact about the Parkland, Florida high school gunman Nikolas Cruz that should’ve made national headlines but didn’t. That new development was that Cruz had etched swastikas on the ammunition magazines he carried on the day he committed his brutal massacre that took 17 lives.
When I first heard of this development, my jaw dropped for two reasons. First, does anyone actually believe if Cruz had etched the words “Allah Akbar” on his gun magazines we wouldn’t have heard about that for nearly two weeks after the attack? No way. I can assure you that information would’ve been made public, intentionally or by way of a leak. And then Donald Trump would almost certainly have pounced–without waiting for additional evidence–to label this an Islamic terror attack and try to use it to further his own political agenda.
But what also was shocking is that despite this new piece of evidence, together with Cruz’s known history of hate directed at people of color and Jews, we aren’t seeing a fuller discussion in the media about whether this shooting was inspired by Cruz’s apparent white supremacist ideology.
As CNN had reported within days of the February 14 attack, Cruz had in the past spewed vile comments in a private Instagram chatroom where he shared his hatred of “jews, ni**ers, immigrants.” Cruz also wrote about killing Mexicans and hating black people simply because of their skin color and he slammed Jews because in his twisted view they wanted to destroy the world.
And Cruz’s white supremacist views also made their way from the online world to the real world. One of Cruz’s classmates reportedly told a social worker that Cruz had drawn a swastika on his book back next to the words “I hate ni***rs.” He also shared with other students his “hating on” Islam and slamming all Muslims as “terrorists and bombers.” And Cruz was also seen wearing a Trump MAGA hat when he was enrolled in school well before the attack.
While initial reports that Cruz was actually a member of a white supremacist group proved to be unfounded, there’s no disputing Cruz’s documented history of spewing despicable views that line up with the white nationalist ideology. But still, given all that we’ve now learned, the question I have is: How much more evidence do we need before we discuss in earnest whether Cruz’s white supremacist views played a role in this attack?!
True, there’s no evidence that Cruz targeted any specific group of people during his rampage. But then again, ISIS-inspired terrorists who have committed acts of terror on U.S. soil, such as the man who intentionally drove a truck on a New York City pedestrian walkway in 2017 that killed eight, didn’t target any specific race or religion. He and others like him committed acts of terror in furtherance of their sick, perverted ideology—to spread terror.
And the swastikas on Cruz’s gun magazines take on a greater significance when you examine the shooting itself. Of the 17 people Cruz killed, at least five were Jewish. (Some reports note it could be six.) Even more disturbing is that Cruz had reportedly shot bullets into a Holocaust history class that killed two of those students. Did Cruz intentionally target that class since he had formerly been a student at the school? We don’t know but given Cruz’s history this is certainly a fair question. And since he’s that rare mass-shooter who’s still alive, I presume he’ll be asked.
In fact, the question of whether Cruz’s gun massacre was an anti-Semitic attack inspired by a white supremacist ideology was raised in an op-edin the liberal Israeli newspaper Ha’aretz even before we learned about the swastikas on Cruz’s gun magazines. There, the writer noted that Cruz had expressed views “that Jews were part of a conspiracy to unseat white people from power and destroy the world.”In response to that article, the writer was subjected to an avalanche of vile anti-Semitic barbs.
Given these newly revealed swastikas, it’s long overdue that we have that conversation about whether Cruz was more than a troubled youth.And to be clear, Cruz was troubled. He had been repeatedly disciplined at school for disturbing behavior and for a period of time was placed in a special school for kids with emotional and behavior issues. On social media, he even wrote about his dream of becoming a “professional school shooter.” But when he was evaluated in 2016 by a mental health professional, he was determined to be stable and not in need of being involuntarily committed to a mental health institution.
So why does it matter if we raise the question of whether Cruz’s attack was inspired by his apparent white supremacist ideology? For two reasons.
First and foremost, it may save lives. We have seen a spike in the time of Trump of white supremacist violence and activities. As the Anti-Defamation League recently documented, there were 34 extremist-related deaths on U.S. soil in 2017. A majority of those, 18, were caused by white supremacists, while nine were caused by Islamic extremists.
…
Secondly, we need to end the media’s hypocrisy on this issue. If Cruz had been Muslim, we know from recent history that the media would’ve labeled this a terrorist attack without the in-depth analysis into the terrorist’s mental health. But if the killer is white, the media and many in our nation prefer to believe the person is mentally ill and try to avoid labeling him a terrorist. Just look at the case of Dylann Roof, who literally stated he had executed nine African Americans because he wanted to start a “race war,” yet few in the media referred to him as a terrorist..
In time we may learn the exact reason why Cruz committed his rampage. Perhaps it was truly the act of a clinically insane individual? Or maybe it was inspired by his white supremacist ideology? But given the evidence we have about Cruz together with the recent spike in white supremacist attacks on U.S. soil, it’s time we discuss whether Cruz’s rampage was a white supremacist terrorist attack. That’s the only way we can counter this growing threat.
3. The Steam gaming app, a major distributor for very popular video games, has a neo-Nazi problem–neo-Nazis are using its chat room and voice-over-IP options to promote their ideology. Both the Daily Stormer and Andrew Auernheimer have Steam chat rooms, as does AtomWaffen.
There’s also an overlapping problem with Steam chat forums that glorify school shooters. 173 such groups glorifying school shootings according to one count.
Steam isn’t the only popular gaming app that this neo-Nazi problem. Discord, another very popular app for gamers, also appears to have a number of chat rooms run by neo-Nazis. The Germanic Reconquista group of German neo-Nazis who were training people how to game Youtube’s algorithms did that training using Discord. And, again, Steam and Discord are both quite popular.
The 173+ popular video game chat forums on Steam that glorify school shooters are definitely part of the school shooting problem.
A leading gaming app that is popular with adherents of the neo-Nazi wing of the alt-right movement has at least 173 groups dedicated to the glorification of school shootings, according to a report published last week by Reveal News. Separately, dozens of neo-Nazi groups have cultivated active communities on the app.
The report notes that these Steam groups—which typically have between 30 and 200 active members—glorify men like 22-year-old Elliot Rodger, who killed six people and injured over a dozen others in the vicinity of the campus of University of California, Santa Barbara, before committing suicide in 2014.
Rodger was a virulent misogynist and wanted to punish women for rejecting him. Other shooters, like Seung-Hui Cho, the Virginia Tech senior who killed 32 people in 2007, are also hailed in these Steam groups. The groups have names like “School Shooters Are Heroes” and “Shoot Up a School.” Some of them allude to “future” school shootings yet to take place and are filled with racist language.
…
The link between violence and the scattered culture of internet Nazism has received greater scrutiny in recent weeks, following a CBS News report that suspected Parkland, Florida, mass shooter Nikolas Cruz allegedly possessed gun magazines engraved with swastikas. Gaming apps like Steam have become increasingly popular within that community.
One example of neo-Nazis using Steam is Andrew “Weev” Auernheimer, who handles the technical side of the white supremacist troll website Daily Stormer, and several months ago appeared to threaten to “slaughter” Jewish children in retaliation for his website being taken offline. Auernheimer appears to have a group on the app, which discusses games in the context of whether they portray Adolf Hitler in a favorable light. The broader community of Daily Stormer also appears to have an active community on Steam called “Storm Sect” with roughly 200 members.
Other neo-Nazi groups on Steam have more overtly hateful and violent names like “Fag Lynch Squad,” which depicts shadowy figures hanging limply from nooses in its profile picture. AtomWaffen Division, a neo-Nazi group linked to a number of murders, had its community on Steam removed earlier this month, Reveal News reported.
Angela Nagle, a leftist writer, demonstrated links between the origins of the alt-right and gaming culture in her book Kill All Normies: Online Culture Wars From 4Chan And Tumblr To Trump And The Alt-Right. The veneration of school shooters and other killers is similarly linked.
It is not only on Steam where neo-Nazis have found a platform within the gaming world. Discord, another gaming app, was instrumental to young neo-Nazis in planning the Unite the Right event that took place in Charlottesville, Virginia, last August, which led to the death of counter-protester Heather Heyer. Discord has made efforts to remove violent and far-right content from its app following reports of the rally, but new groups continue to pop up on that platform.
Unicorn Riot, a volunteer media collective, published recordings and messages this week that appeared to reveal internal planning discussions from the young white supremacist group Patriot Front, which were initially hosted on Discord. Patriot Front splintered from Vanguard America, the group in which the man accused of killing Heyer allegedly marched during the protests in Charlottesville.
Discord told Newsweek in a statement that the company is still trying to purge groups like Patriot Front from its app.
“Discord has a Terms of Service and Community Guidelines that we ask all of our communities and users to adhere to. These specifically prohibit harassment, threatening messages, or calls to violence,” a spokesperson said, noting that the group recently removed several offending servers. “Though we do not read people’s private messages, we do investigate and take immediate appropriate action against any reported Terms of Service violation by a server or user.”
4a. Overlapping the use of gaming chat forums to recruit depressed people.
“The Alt-right is recruiting depressed people” by Paris Martineau; The Outline; 02/26/2018
A video on YouTube entitled “Advice For People With Depression” has over half a million views. The title is generic enough, and to the unsuspecting viewer, lecturer Jordan Peterson could even look legitimate or knowledgable — a quick Google search will reveal that he even spoke at Harvard once. But as the video wears on, Peterson argues that men are depressed and frustrated because they don’t have a higher calling like women (who, according to Peterson, are biologically required to have and take care of infants). This leaves weak men seeking “impulsive, low-class pleasure,” he argues. Upon first glance he certainly doesn’t seem like a darling of the alt-right, but he is.
Type “depression” or “depressed” into YouTube and it won’t be long until you stumble upon a suit-clad white supremacist giving a lecture on self-empowerment. They’re everywhere. For years, members of the alt-right have taken advantage of the internet’s most vulnerable, turning their fear and self-loathing into vitriolic extremism, and thanks to the movement’s recent galvanization, they’re only growing stronger.
“I still wonder, how could I have been so stupid?” writes Reddit user u/pdesperaux, in a post detailing how he was accidentally seduced by the alt-right. “I was part of a cult. I know cults and I know brainwashing, I have researched them extensively, you’d think I would have noticed, right? Wrong. These are the same tactics that Scientology and ISIS use and I fell for them like a chump.”
“NOBODY is talking about how the online depression community has been infiltrated by alt-right recruiters deliberately preying on the vulnerable,” writes Twitter user @MrHappyDieHappy in a thread on the issue. “There NEED to be public warnings about this. ‘Online pals’ have attempted to groom me multiple times when at my absolute lowest.”
“You know your life is useless and meaningless,” Peterson says in his “Advice” video, turning towards the viewer, “you’re full of self-contempt and nihilism.” He doesn’t follow all of this rousing self-hatred with an answer, but rather merely teases at one. “[You] have had enough of that,” he says to a classroom full of men. “Rights, rights, rights, rights…”
Peterson’s alt-light messaging quickly takes a darker turn. Finish that video and YouTube will queue up “Jordan Peterson – Don’t Be The Nice Guy” (1.3 million views), and “Jordan Peterson – The Tragic Story of the Man-Child” (over 853,000 views), both of which are practically right out of the redpill/incel handbook.
“The common railroad stages of ‘helpful’ linking to ‘motivational speakers’ goes ‘Jordan Peterson —> Stefan Molyneux —> Millennial Woes,” writes @MrHappyDieHappy. “The first is charismatic and not as harmful, but his persuasiveness leaves people open for the next two, who are frankly evil and dumb.” Molyneux, an anarcho-capitalist who promotes scientific racism and eugenics, has grown wildly popular amongst the alt-right as of late. His videos — which argue, among other things, that rape is a “moral right” — are often used to help transition vulnerable young men into the vitriolic and racist core of the alt-right.
Though it may seem like a huge ideological leap, it makes sense, in a way. For some disillusioned and hopelessly confused young men, the alt-right offers two things they feel a serious lack of in the throes of depression: acceptance and community. These primer videos and their associated “support” groups do a shockingly good job of acknowledging the validity of the depressed man’s existence — something men don’t often feel they experience — and capitalize on that good will by galvanizing their members into a plan of action (which generally involves fighting against some group or class of people designated as “the enemy”). These sort of movements allot the depressed person a form of agency which they may never have experienced before. And whether it’s grounded in reality or not, that’s an addicting feeling.
According to Christian Picciolini, a former neo-nazi who co-founded the peace advocacy organization, Life After Hate, these sort of recruiting tactics aren’t just common, but systematically enforced. “[The recruiters] are actively looking for these kind of broken individuals who they can promise acceptance, who they can promise identity to,” Picciolini said in an interview with Sam Seder. “Because in real life, perhaps these people are socially awkward — they’re not fitting in; they may be bullied — and they’re desperately looking for something. And the ideology and the dogma are not what drive people to this extremism, it’s in fact, I think, a broken search for that acceptance and that purpose and community.”
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Some of the most toxic unofficial alt-right communities online have operated on this principle. r/Incels (which is now banned, thankfully), began as a place for the “involuntarily celibate” to commiserate, but quickly became the place for extreme misogynists to gather and blame their problems on women and minorities. “Men going their own way,” (MGTOW) was initially a space for men to commune and protect their sovereignty as dudes “above all else,” it devolved into an infinitely racist and misogynistic hellhole. Similar fates have befallen r/Redpill, r/MensRights, and countless others. Commiseration begets community begets a vulnerable trend towards groupthink.
While it’s easy to isolate purely hateful content, the type that preys upon the disenfranchised and uses much more insidious methods to bring them into the fold is much more difficult to manage on expansive platforms like YouTube. Particularly because the message being sent isn’t one of obvious in-your-face hate speech, or something so obviously objectionable, but rather more of a slow burn. It’s not the sort of thing you can train algorithms to spot — or at least, not yet — making the issue of containment that much harder to address.
4b. Further muddying the investigative waters is the fact that the Florida high school students who protested the ready availability of assault weapons have been targeted by right-wing commentators and internet forums.
Less than a week after 17 people died in Parkland, Fla., right-wing provocateur Dinesh D’Souza began taunting some of the teenage survivors of the massacre. “Worst news since their parents told them to get summer jobs,” he tweeted on Feb. 20, commenting on a photo showing Parkland survivors crying as state legislators voted down a bill to ban military-style weapons.
D’Souza wrote another tweet, “Adults, 1, kids 0.” Combined, the two tweets have more than 25,000 likes and 8,000 retweets.
Now, five weeks after the Parkland school shooting, D’Souza’s tweets seem almost quaint. As Emma González, David Hogg and the other Parkland teens fighting for gun control have become viral liberal heroes, the teens are villains on the right-wing Internet and fair game for the mockery and attacks that this group usually reserves for its adult enemies.
That infamy reached a wider audience this past weekend around the time of their March for Our Lives protest, when a doctored image that showed González ripping up a copy of the U.S. Constitution (she actually ripped up a gun target) went mildly viral on the Trump-supporting parts of the Internet, defended as “satire” by those who shared it
Here’s a look back at how the Parkland student activists became such a target:
Day 1: Conspiracy theorists
The first to target the Parkland students were the conspiracy theorists. When a mass shooting like Parkland happens, conspiracy theorists begin to search for signs of a false flag — proof that the shooting was actually staged and/or carried out for political reasons — pretty much right away. They’re following what online trolling expert Whitney Phillips calls a “tragedy script”: The establishment is trying to take away your guns, they’ll use mass shootings to do that, and here are the tricks they use to manipulate the public. Anything irregular becomes conspiracy fodder.
An anonymous 8chan user told the fringe chat board to look for “crisis actors” just 47 minutes after the shooting happened. And if closed chat rooms and fringey boards such as 8chan, 4chan and some subreddits on Reddit are where conspiracy theorists coordinate, then Twitter is where those conspiracy theories — and the harassment that comes with them — are performed for the public. Within hours, anonymous Twitter users were in the mentions of students tweeting from their classrooms during the shooting, accusing them of being part of the conspiracy.
One Twitter thread, made just after midnight on the night of the attack, claimed to contain “Bombshell” information about Parkland. @Magapill (an account once approvingly retweeted by President Trump) shared a video interview with a student that has become the basis of a debunked Parkland conspiracy theory. The thread was retweeted more than 3,000 times.
All this happened before the Parkland students calling for gun control began their ascent to viral iconography. When they emerged, the campaign to discredit and debunk the Parkland students expanded. . . .
5a. The Oath Keepers, a right-wing paramilitary group, are advocating to function as armed sentinels at public schools.
After the school massacre in Parkland two weeks ago, Mark Cowan, a grizzled man in Fort Wayne, Indiana, began standing outside the town’s North Side High School. With a handgun. And an AR-15 in his car.
As a local TV station reported last Friday, Cowan is one of 100 heavily armed, ideologically extreme “Oath Keepers” who have committed to “standing guard” outside Indiana schools to stop events like the Stoneman Douglas shooting from happening. The Oath Keepers are a fringe right-wing paramilitary group made up of former veterans and law enforcement officers who believe in “defending the Constitution” against perceived threats, which basically just means “gun-control laws.”
This unfortunately might be a preview of what’s in store for our dystopian future: As the hate-tracking Southern Poverty Law Center (SPLC) noted yesterday, Oath Keeper founder Stewart Rhodes this week instructed group members to stand watch outside schools, and the group held a webinar last night encouraging members to “stand guard” outside random schools across the nation. The group’s Florida chapter is also encouraging local members to patrol outside schools around the Sunshine State.
“We will discuss what you can and must do to fix this problem effectively in your community and counter this bloodthirsty and calculated conspiracy to aid and abet mass murder,” the webinar’s announcement page reads. “The time to step up and answer the call is now. And the time to dig in our heels and take a firm ‘three percenter’ type stand against any further restriction on our right to keep and bear arms is now.”
The term “three percenter” refers to a discredited theory that only 3 percent of America’s population rose up to fight the British Army in the Revolutionary War. The “Three Percenters” is a separate militia closely aligned with Oath Keepers.
Though members repeatedly deny they support outright white nationalism and are instead just hard-core libertarians, the militias are often allied with white supremacists and tend to appear at the same rallies and events. SPLC notes the group operates on “a set of baseless conspiracy theories about the federal government working to destroy the liberties of Americans” and showed up with all-white, armed groups during protests in Ferguson, Missouri, “to protect white businesses against black protesters.”
Rhodes, the group’s founder, believes immigrants are intentionally crossing the U.S.-Mexico border as part of a “Communist subversive invasion” of the United States. He also believes Black Lives Matter and immigrant- rights groups are also part of a secret Marxist takeover of America. Oath Keepers were also heavily involved in Cliven Bundy’s 2017 armed insurrection against the federal government in the Nevada desert.
The groups also rose in popularity as a reaction to Barack Obama’s presidency. You’re free to guess why. In light of his political leanings, it appears Nikolas Cruz was far likelier to have been an Oath Keeper sympathizer than an antagonist.
The Oath Keepers and Three Percenters, for example, sent operatives to the Unite the Right neo-Nazi rally in Charlottesville, Virginia, last year. Because they’re made up of fringe ex-military types, they seem as likely to fight off a perceived armed threat as they are to get pissed off and shoot a kid because his Lil Uzi Vert T‑shirt resembled Mumia Abu-Jamal. The Oath Keepers have repeatedly propagated a claim that “all federal gun control is unlawful,” which is patently and provably false. Cowan, the so-called guard standing at North Side High in Fort Wayne, has misdemeanor battery convictions in his past, and school reps say they don’t think his presence makes anyone safer, especially because the campus already has an official armed guard.
“We understand he has a right to be out there, as he is not on our property,” a school district spokesperson told the Indiana TV station, “but we do not believe it adds to the safety of our students. At North Side, as at all of our schools, we have security procedures in place. In addition, at North Side, we have armed police officers in the building every day.”
It’s easy to see how the presence of a random, heavily armed conspiracy theorist could make a school-shooting situation worse. An Oath Keeper might sprint into a school after hearing gunshots and, say, riddle the wrong kid with rifle bullets. An arriving SWAT team would be forced to deploy resources to apprehend both a school shooter and an Oath Keeper, because both people would be inside the school armed with weapons and it would be impossible to tell who’s shooting whom or why.
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Naturally, the Oath Keepers also support Florida’s proposed plans to arm teachers and place armed guards in schools, which passed through committee last night and awaits a floor vote in both chambers of the state Legislature.
Such is the quality of political discourse in Florida in 2018: Rather than make it more difficult for people like Cruz to buy AR-15 rifles, the Sunshine State will instead train gym teachers with acute osteoarthritis how to mow down students with a Desert Eagle, while armed vets who fear a coming race war will stand outside with assault rifles. Feel safer?
5b. Given the high likelihood that schools and neighborhoods won’t want a heavily armed far-right individual hanging around their neighborhood schools, what does Stewart Rhodes suggest his group do if their armed presence isn’t wanted? Just ignore them and do it anyway because it’s legal:
Imagine if every school campus in the United States had its own volunteer security officer: a former police officer or military veteran equipped with an assault rifle.
That’s the dream of Oath Keepers founder Stewart Rhodes.
In the wake of the February 14 massacre at a Parkland, Florida high school, Rhodes is calling on members of his far-right anti-government militia group to serve as unpaid and unaccountable armed school guards — whether teachers and students like the idea or not.
One Indiana Oath Keeper has already deployed to a local school, even though the school district says there’s no need for him to be there.
Rhodes wants the military and police veterans who make up Oath Keepers’ membership to volunteer for unpaid, rotating shifts at schools of all levels, and colleges, throughout the country. He and two other representatives of the fringe militia community will hold a webinar Monday night where they plan to encourage Oath Keepers to station themselves at schools “to protect the children against mass murder, and to help train the teachers and staff.”
“I think it’s essential,” Rhodes told TPM in a Monday phone call. “It’s part of our responsibility to do what we can.”
“And what we can do is be outside of schools so that we’re closer if an attack happens, or when one happens,” Rhodes continued. “We’ll be there to be a fast response.”
Oath Keepers came to prominence as part of the surge of right-wing extremism that marked the early years of the Obama administration. At the group’s core are efforts to stoke fear around outlandish conspiracy theories — that the federal government will disarm all citizens, impose martial law, and round Americans up into detention camps, among other scenarios.
Rhodes, a Yale Law School graduate, has referred to Hillary Clinton as “Herr Hitlery,” and “the dominatrix-in-chief,” and has said John McCain should be tried for treason and then “hung by the neck until dead.”
The group’s push for vigilante school security officers comes in the midst of a fraught national debate over how to curb school shootings like the one in Parkland that left 14 students and 3 staffers dead. President Donald Trump, the NRA and some GOP lawmakers all have suggested arming teachers who have firearms training, as a way to deter would-be school shooters — an idea Rhodes said he supports. But since training teachers will take time, he argues, it makes sense to use Oath Keepers volunteers in the interim.
The National Association of School Resource Officers and many school shooting survivors, including those from Parkland, strenuously oppose plans to arm teachers. Teachers may not feel safe wielding arms; students could get ahold of the weapons or get caught in crossfire; law enforcement could mistake an armed teacher or other non-uniformed school staffer for an assailant. The prospect of something going wrong seems even higher with non-vetted, non-professional members of a conspiratorial militia group volunteering services that schools did not ask for.
Rhodes’ response? “Tough.”
“If they don’t like it, too bad,” Rhodes said. “We’re not there to make people feel warm and fuzzy; we’re there to stop murders.”
“What I tell our people is don’t ask for permission,” Rhodes continued. “Let ‘em know what you’re doing and be as friendly as you can. But this is the reality we’re in right now.”
“Most schools have this retarded no-guns policy,” Rhodes added, calling such measures, “‘Alice in Wonderland,’ upside-down thinking.”
To avoid confusion, members will be asked to wear a “long-range identifier” like a sash or orange vest, as well as a “close-range identifier” one that copycats cannot imitate, Rhodes said. Before showing up, they’ll be asked to provide police with copies of their drivers’ licenses, descriptions of their outfits and descriptions of their vehicles and license plates.
Mark Cowan, an Indiana-based member of the Oath Keepers and an Army veteran, has since Friday posted himself outside North Side High School in Fort Wayne, wearing an Oath Keepers baseball hat and carrying a handgun and an AR-15.
“If somebody comes to this school or another school where we’re at, that school shooter is going to know, we’re not going to play games,” Cowan told local station WPTA. “You come to kill our kids, you’re dead.”
In other interviews with local media, Cowan has said he is complying with state law by parking his car just off of school grounds, and that he plans to remain there until the school, which already has an armed resource officer, introduces additional safety measures.
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According to local news reports, Cowan was arrested last year in connection with a fight that involved his use of a deadly weapon, and pleaded guilty plea to a count of misdemeanor battery. He told WPTA that the incident involved his effort to protect two of his grandchildren, who were attacked by another man. The guilty plea does not prevent him from carrying a firearm under Indiana law.
TPM was not immediately able to reach Cowan. But Bryan Humes, a spokesperson for the Oath Keepers’ Indiana chapter, told TPM in a Monday phone call that Cowan is serving as “another set of eyes and ears” for North Side, which has some 1,800 students, and that other members of the group are interested in taking up similar posts.
“We’re just a little concerned that one officer, with the size of the building and the number of people, may not quite be adequate as far as being able to keep an eye on everything,” Humes said.
“He had a couple of students Friday come out from school during class and thank him for being out there,” Humes added. “He’s also had a couple of the local police and sheriff’s officers stop by and thank him for being out there.”
Captain Steve Stone of the Allen County Sheriff’s Department told TPM that Cowan notified him he would be stationed outside of North Side, and that he personally spread the message to the rest of the department. Stone declined to offer the department’s stance on the Oath Keepers’ presence, noting that Cowan is “not breaking the law.”
“I can’t speak on behalf of the department on the department’s view of having civilians like the Oath Keepers doing that, unfortunately,” Stone said, saying Sheriff David Gladieux was unavailable. “I can’t give you my personal opinion on whether it’s good or not.”
6a. For people who think the notion of paramilitary right-wingers being deputized as part of a martial law contingency plan, note what is happening in Ukraine.
Here’s another piece by Josh Cohen – a former USAID project officer for the former Soviet Union who does a decent job of calling out the neo-Nazi threat to Ukraine – on the growing ‘law enforcement’ role the neo-Nazi militias are assuming.
The Kiev city government recently signed an agreement giving C14 – the militia literally named after the white supremacist ’14 words’ slogan – the right to establish a “municipal guard” to patrol the streets there. ” . . . . But connections between law enforcement agencies and extremists give Ukraine’s Western allies ample reason for concern. C14 and Kiev’s city government recently signed an agreement allowing C14 to establish a “municipal guard” to patrol the streets; three such militia-run guard forces are already registered in Kiev, and at least 21 operate in other cities. . . .”
They’re also cracking down on political activists such as LGBT and anti-war proponents.
As the article also notes, while the far-right may not be winning at the ballot box, they have powerful political protection, because of the close relationship between Interior Minister Arsen Avakov and figures like Azov leader Andriy Biletsky and Sergei Korotkykh, an Azov veteran who is now a high-ranking police official.
Avakov’s Peoples’ Party is the main partner in the parliamentary coalition led by Poroshenko’s Bloc. Should Petro Poroshenko decided to challenge Avakov and, as a result, the growing role of these neo-Nazi militias, his governing coalition might collapse. And that’s all part of why Ukraine’s neo-Nazi problem isn’t just a problem of popular support for the neo-Nazi militias, although the level of popular support they enjoy is still disturbingly high.
“Commentary: Ukraine’s neo-Nazi problem” by Josh Cohen; Reuters; 03/19/2018
As Ukraine’s struggle against Russia and its proxies continues, Kiev must also contend with a growing problem behind the front lines: far-right vigilantes who are willing to use intimidation and even violence to advance their agendas, and who often do so with the tacit approval of law enforcement agencies.
A January 28 demonstration, in Kiev, by 600 members of the so-called “National Militia,” a newly-formed ultranationalist group that vows “to use force to establish order,” illustrates this threat. While the group’s Kiev launch was peaceful, National Militia members in balaclavas stormed a city council meeting in the central Ukrainian town of Cherkasy the following day, skirmishing with deputies and forcing them to pass a new budget.
Many of the National Militia’s members come from the Azov movement, one of the 30-odd privately-funded “volunteer battalions” that, in the early days of the war, helped the regular army to defend Ukrainian territory against Russia’s separatist proxies. Although Azov usesNazi-era symbolism and recruitsneo-Nazis intoits ranks, a recent article in Foreign Affairs downplayed any risks the group might pose, pointing out that, like other volunteer militias, Azov has been “reined in” through its integration into Ukraine’s armed forces. While it’s true that private militias no longer rule the battlefront, it’s the home front that Kiev needs to worry about now.
When Russian President Vladimir Putin’s seizure of Crimea four years ago first exposed the decrepit condition of Ukraine’s armed forces, right-wing militias such as Azov and Right Sector stepped into the breach, fendingoff the Russian-backed separatists while Ukraine’s regular military regrouped. Though, as a result, many Ukrainians continue to regard the militias with gratitude and admiration, the more extreme among these groups promote an intolerant and illiberal ideology that will endanger Ukraine in the long term. Since the Crimean crisis, the militias have been formally integrated into Ukraine’s armed forces, but some have resisted full integration: Azov, for example, runs its own children’s training camp, and the careers section instructs recruits who wish to transfer to Azov from a regular military unit.
According to Freedom House’s Ukraine project director Matthew Schaaf, “numerous organized radical right-wing groups exist in Ukraine, and while the volunteer battalions may have been officially integrated into state structures, some of them have since spun off political and non-profit structures to implement their vision.”Schaaf noted that “an increase in patriotic discourse supporting Ukraine in its conflict with Russia has coincided with an apparent increase in both public hate speech, sometimes by public officials and magnified by the media, as well as violence towards vulnerable groups such as the LGBT community,” an observation that is supported by a recent Council of Europe study.
In recent months, Ukraine has experienced a wave of unchecked vigilantism. Institute Respublica, a local pro-democracy NGO, reported that activists are frequently harassed by vigilantes when holding legal meetings or rallies related to politically-controversial positions, such as the promotion of LGBT rights or opposition to the war. Azov and other militias have attacked anti-fascist demonstrations, city council meetings, media outlets, art exhibitions, foreign students and Roma. Progressive activists describe a new climate of fear that they say has been intensifying ever since last year’s near-fatal stabbing of anti-war activist Stas Serhiyenko, which is believed to have been perpetrated by an extremist group named C14 (the name refers to a 14-word slogan popular among white supremacists). Brutal attacks this month on International Women’s Day marches in several Ukrainian cities prompted an unusually forceful statement from Amnesty International, which warned that “the Ukrainian state is rapidly losing its monopoly on violence.”
Ukraine is not the only country that must contend with a resurgent far right. But Kiev’s recent efforts to incorporate independent armed groups into its regular armed forces, as well as a continuing national sense of indebtedness to the militias for their defense of the homeland, make addressing the ultranationalist threat considerably more complicated than it is elsewhere. According to Schaaf and the Institute Respublica, Ukrainian extremists are rarely punished for acts of violence. In some cases — such as C14’s January attack on a remembrance gatheringfor two murdered journalists — police actually detain peaceful demonstrators instead.
To be clear, the Kremlin’s claims that Ukraine is a hornets’ nest of fascists are false: far-right parties performed poorly in Ukraine’s last parliamentary elections, and Ukrainians reactedwith alarm to the National Militia’s demonstration in Kiev. But connections between law enforcement agencies and extremists give Ukraine’s Western allies ample reason for concern. C14 and Kiev’s city government recently signed an agreement allowing C14 to establish a “municipal guard” to patrol the streets; three such militia-run guard forces are already registered in Kiev, and at least 21 operate in other cities.
In an ideal world, President Petro Poroshenko would purge the police and the interior ministry of far-right sympathizers, including Interior Minister Arsen Avakov, who has close ties to Azov leader Andriy Biletsky, as well as Sergei Korotkykh, an Azov veteranwho is now a high-ranking police official. But Poroshenko would risk major repercussions if he did so; Avakov is his chief political rival, and the ministry he runs controls the police, the National Guard and several former militias.
As one Ukrainian analyst notedin December, control of these forces make Avakov extremely powerful and Poroshenko’s presidency might not be strong enough to withstand the kind of direct confrontation with Avakov that an attempt to oust him or to strike at his power base could well produce. Poroshenko has endured frequent verbal threats, including calls for revolution, from ultranationalist groups, so he may believe that he needs Avakov to keep them in check.
Avakov’s Peoples’ Party status as the main partner in Ukraine’s parliamentary coalition increases Avakov’s leverage over Poroshenko’s Bloc. An attempt to fire Avakov could imperil Poroshenko’s slim legislative majority, and lead to early parliamentary elections. Given Poroshenko’s current unpopularity, this is a scenario he will likely try to avoid.
Despite his weak position, Poroshenko still has some options for reducing the threat from the far right. Though Avakov controls the Ukraine’s police and National Guard, Poroshenko still commands Ukraine’s security and intelligence services, the SBU, and could instruct the agency to cut its ties with C14 and other extremist groups. Poroshenko should also express public support for marginalized groups like the Roma and LGBT communities, and affirm his commitment to protecting their rights.
Western diplomats and human rights organizations must urge Ukraine’s government to uphold the rule of law and to stop allowing the far right to act with impunity. International donors can help by funding more initiatives like the United States Agency for International Development’s projects supporting training for Ukrainian lawyers and human rights defenders, and improving equitable access to the judicial system for marginalized communities. . . .
This article shows a recent sniper, Rex Whitman Harbour, who shot 3 people, followed the pattern of Nazi Leaderless resistance. Mr. Harbour admired Parkland Florida shooter, Nicholas Cruz. Harbour’s Facebook profile also shows that he liked numerous historical photos of German Nazis, including officers of the Panzerwaffe and Luftwaffe. He posted a comment on a photo of Nazi tank commander Kurt Knispel, who destroyed 168 Allied tanks, stating “Great work! Long live Germany!”.
The scariest part of this Nazi link got almost no press coverage. Is there an organization which is able to keep this out of the mainstream news?
https://www.splcenter.org/hatewatch/2018/05/07/georgia-sniper-appeared-fascinated-nazis?utm_campaign=180510%20eNews&utm_medium=email&utm_source=EOACLK
Georgia sniper appeared fascinated with Nazis
May 07, 2018
Bill Morlin and Nick R. Martin
A Georgia freeway sniper, who apparently idolized a Florida mass shooter, also appeared fascinated with German Nazis and their World War II military machine.
Rex Whitmire Harbour, 26, died of a self-inflicted gunshot wound after firing at seven vehicles, wounding three people, on Friday along a state highway in Gainesville, Georgia.
Hall County Sheriff Gerald Couch said investigators later searched Harbour’s home in Snellville, Georgia, and “discovered a manifesto” stating his admiration for Nikolas Cruz, accused of fatally shooting 17 people in February at Marjory Stoneman Douglas High School in Florida.
“We found handwritten documents written by Mr. Harbour and they were very disturbing,” the sheriff told reporters. “He indicated that he idolized the [Parkland] mass shooter,” calling him a hero who inspired Harbour and gave him “courage and confidence.”
“The remainder of the documents that I saw are very hate-filled in that regard,” Couch said. “It appeared that he was targeting all Americans. Why? That I don’t know.”
Authorities haven’t specifically mentioned Harbour’s Facebook page, which shows he liked multiple pages set up in honor of German Nazis and one titled “Lovers of the German military forces 1933–1945.” The other pages he liked included a range of musicians and celebrities as well as multiple pages dedicated to “American Sniper” Chris Kyle and his widow, Taya Kyle.
Harbour’s Facebook profile also shows that he liked numerous historical photos of German Nazis, including officers of the Panzerwaffe and Luftwaffe.
One of the photos Harbour liked on Facebook depicts Nazi leader Hermann Göring and his pet lion, while another is of Margarete “Gretl” Braun, Adolf Hitler’s sister-in-law and part of the Nazi inner circle.
Harbour also posted a public comment on a photo of Nazi tank commander Kurt Knispel, who was credited with destroying 168 Allied tanks, writing: “Great work! Long live Germany!”
After the highway shooting, investigators retrieved a trail camera showing Harbour taking a position in a wooden area adjoining the southbound side of the highway where the shootings occurred, the Atlanta Journal-Constitution reported.
At least 17 shell casings were recovered, authorities said.
As deputies responded to the scene, Harbour fled in a Buick that came to a stop in a roadway median where he shot himself. In the vehicle, investigators found three 9mm handguns, a 12-gauge shotgun and more than 3,400 rounds of ammunition.
HERE IS ANOTHER ARTICLE FROM the Associated Press ON THIS: It reveals not only that writings suggest he viewed Florida suspect Nikolas Cruz as a “hero” who gave him “courage and confidence,” according to the Hall Count, Georgia sheriff said. but also that “He had the weapons, the ammunition and obviously the will to inflict a lot of harm and a lot of hate.”
https://www.apnews.com/e0538bf801164cdba77eb3f5f9214fed/Sheriff:-Highway-sniper-%22idolized%22-school-shooting-suspect
May 5, 2018
Sheriff: Highway sniper idolized school shooting suspect
GAINESVILLE, Ga. (AP) — A sniper who killed himself after firing on cars and injuring people on a Georgia highway idolized the Parkland, Florida school shooting suspect, a sheriff said Saturday.
A sheriff says 26-year-old landscaper Rex Whitmire Harbour of Snellville, fired at least 17 times and hit at least seven vehicles traveling northbound on Georgia 365 outside Atlanta around noon on Friday. Two people were wounded and a third was hurt by broken glass. None of their injuries were life-threatening.
Hall County Sheriff Gerald Couch told a news conference that a deputy chased after a suspicious car pulling out of a wooded area adjacent the highway on Friday. He said the suspect shot himself in the head, and his car rolled to a stop. Harbour later died at Grady Memorial Hospital.
Couch said investigators found three 9mm handguns, a 12-gauge shotgun, a BB-gun, and more than 3,400 rounds of ammunition inside his vehicle. Then they searched Harbour’s home, where he lived with his parents, and found “hate-filled” handwritten documents.
WSB-TV Atlanta reported that the sheriff said Harbour’s mother told investigators her son was mild-mannered and quiet. But the writings suggest he viewed Florida suspect Nikolas Cruz as a “hero” who gave him “courage and confidence,” the sheriff said.
“What his motivation was other than just hate, we don’t know at this time,” Couch said. State investigators and the FBI turned up no criminal history. “He had the weapons, the ammunition and obviously the will to inflict a lot of harm and a lot of hate.”
This article hints at a common theme among the alt-right relating to these increasingly common mass shootings. The incidents start by having online propaganda target white men between about 14 and 30 who are underemployed and frustrated with their lives:
https://www.vice.com/en_ca/article/nekvg8/why-do-young-alt-right-white-men-keep-killing-people-online-radicalization
The Terrifying Trend of White Men Radicalized Online Becoming IRL Terrorists
It’s no accident that young white guys with a fondness for the darkest part of the Internet are descending into far-right violence.
David Neiwert
May 17 2018, 11:01am
vice.com
The incidents keep piling up, like the cresting wave of an incoming tide.
A young, self-described “sovereign citizen” is implicated in a mass shooting at a Waffle House in Tennessee that kills four nonwhite customers. An “involuntary celibate,” or incel, is arrested over a Toronto van attack that kills ten people. A young, apparent neo-Nazi involved in an online fascist group is arrested in Illinois with a large cache of weapons. Another young man in Georgia, who reportedly “idolized” the teenager who killed 17 people at a high school in Parkland, Florida, opens fire on cars on a Georgia freeway, injuring two people before shooting himself.
These incidents, all from within the past month or so, have variables, of course. Besides the settings, methods of violence, and kinds of weaponry used, distinct agendas seem to have undergirded them. But they all appear to generally fall under the far-right ideological umbrella.
They also have something important in common: They were all committed by young white men who had apparently been radicalized online.
That’s no accident. The surge of radical-right organizing by the mostly online alt right in recent years has, in fact, been consciously directed at precisely that demographic: white men between about 14 and 30, underemployed and frustrated with their lives. This radicalization, in and of itself, is not breaking news. What does seem novel to me, as a longtime observer of far-right organizing, is that the violence that always lurked under the surface of such rhetoric is now increasingly manifesting itself in extreme acts of lone-wolf aggression.
The details of some of the motivations involved in recent incidents have not been entirely settled. 29-year-old Travis Reinking, the man accused in the Waffle House case, claimed a background of at least marginal involvement in the far-right sovereign-citizens’ movement. But it’s not at all clear that ideology inspired him to act out murderously, even if the fact that the dead were all black or Hispanic raises the distinct likelihood of a racial motivation in that crime. Reinking awaits trial in Tennessee.
It’s also not clear what it means that Rex Whitmire Harbour, the 26-year-old accused of opening fire on passing cars on a Georgia freeway, venerated Parkland suspect Nikolas Cruz and left-behind a “hate-filled” message. Still, latching onto a notorious alleged mass shooter who reportedly had swastikas engraved on his ammo clips fits the general pattern here, as does Harbour’s apparent fascination with historical figures from Nazi Germany.
Meanwhile, because of social-media messages and other evidence, it’s fairly clear that accused Toronto van attacker Alek Minassian, 25, was enraged by his lack of romantic success with women. He posted sympathetically about incels like himself, and wrote warmly of Elliot Rodger, the 22-year-old who in May 2014 carried out a mass shooting in Isla Vista, California, that left seven dead (including himself) and more wounded after expressing similarly deranged ideas about sex. Then there’s 19-year-old Jakub Zak of Illinois, who stands accused of stockpiling weapons illegally as part of his fascist ideology—he was reportedly an active member of Patriot Front, an online hate group—and may have been involved in a number of other crimes as well.
Again, the behavioral pattern we’ve seen intensify in recent weeks is not a brand new one. The modern archetype may have been set back in 2015 by Dylann Roof, the then-21-year-old South Carolina white man who walked into a black church in Charleston and murdered nine congregants. The rootless Roof, officially unaffiliated with any hate or extremist groups but a participant in their online activity, seems to have been driven to seemingly random violence at least in part by his absorption in conspiracy and online forums and chat rooms dedicated to hateful ideologies.
Since then, at least 27 people were murdered and 52 more injured in attacks by mostly young men linked to the alt right and its online radicalization process before the incidents of the past month. They included a conspiracy theorist who allegedly stabbed his father to death at the height of an argument that appears to have been about Pizzagate, a Maryland student who allegedly stabbed a black man to death after he refused to move out of his way, and a Portland drifter accused of stabbing two commuters to death when they attempted to shut down his anti-Muslim tirade.
Some incidents, including the Parkland shooting itself, remain fuzzy. On social media, Cruz was seemingly obsessed with violence, guns, and race, once posting on Instagram that “I hate Jews, niggers and immigrants.” It remains unclear to what extent that hatred fueled the shooting rampage. Likewise, the motives and intentions of a young white man who accidentally blew himself up while making bombs at his Beaver Dam, Wisconsin, home, remain under official wraps for now.
Even so, the mechanism for this kind of radicalization is uniform: Disaffected young men are recruited by overt appeals to their egos and desire to appear heroic. The appeals often employ transgressive rhetoric, with everything from racist humor to threats of violence, making participants feel that they’re being edgy and dark. The main fodder for their evolving worldview, however, is conspiracy theories.
These theories all tell the same larger narrative: That the world is secretly run by a nefarious cabal of globalists (who just happen to be Jewish), and that they employ an endless catalog of dirty tricks and “false flags” to ensure the world doesn’t know about their manipulations, the whole point of which ultimately is the enslavement of mankind. Each day’s news events can thus be interpreted through the up-is-down prism this worldview imposes, ensuring that every national tragedy or mass shooting is soon enmeshed in a web of theories about its real purpose.
The precise far-right cause in question often seems less important than the broader resort to inflicting harm.
“Glorification of violence generally among the estranged is its own ideology,” said Brian Levin, director of the Center for the Study of Hate and Extremism at Cal State University in San Bernardino. “So, people with amorphous or offbeat philosophies often embrace violence as an ideology, not just a method. And they’re comfortable with dovetailing philosophies.”
This radicalization appears to be spreading like kudzu: A young Montreal alt-right activist was recently outed by student journalists as one of the leading propagandists in the online neo-Nazi forums Iron March, working to signal-boost racist groups like Atomwaffen Division. Along similar lines, ProPublica recently exposed the membership of some Atomwaffen activists among the ranks of active-duty American military.
The target demographic for online far-right radicalization could not be more clear. As Andrew Anglin, publisher and founder of the neo-Nazi site the Daily Stormer, put it this January, “My site is mainly designed to target children.” Likewise, at the annual white-nationalist American Renaissance conference in Tennessee last month, longtime supremacists bragged of their recruitment efforts among younger people: “American Renaissance attendees are now younger and more evenly divided among the sexes than in the past” one speaker noted, before gushing over the white-nationalist college campus group Identity Evropa.
When Americans have talked about online radicalization in the recent past, most of us tended to think of it in terms of radical Islamists from groups such as Islamic State, who have been known to leverage the technology to their advantage, particularly social media. But a study by terrorism expert J.M. Berger published way back in 2016 found that white nationalists were far outstripping their Islamist counterparts: “On Twitter, ISIS’s preferred social platform, American white nationalist movements have seen their followers grow by more than 600 percent since 2012. Today, they outperform ISIS in nearly every social metric, from follower counts to tweets per day.”
Heidi Beirich, director of the Intelligence Project at the Southern Poverty Law Center—the watchdog group with which I am affiliated—told me it “is definitely the case” that the violence SPLC has long warned against and carefully tracked is increasingly manifesting itself right now.
“Online radicalization seems to be speeding up, with young men, particularly white men, diving into extremist ideologies quicker and quicker,” she said, adding, “the result seems to be more violence, as these examples indicate. It is a serious problem and we don’t seem to have any real solutions for it. These cases also show that an era of violence brought on by the Internet is indeed upon us, with no end in sight.”
Yet the response to the string of acts has been strangely muted in the mainstream media, especially on cable news, where most discussions of the events have focused on issues around gun violence, or on the particulars of the noxious incel phenomenon. The online-radicalization thread that connects all these stories together is the gorilla that everyone tiptoes around in the room—and one America ignores at its own peril.
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With a mass shooting seemingly every week in America, here’s a pair of articles reminding us that violent far right extremist ideologies really should be seen as one of the key factors driving this phenomena. It’s sort of a ‘well, duh’ kind of point. But since there doesn’t appear to be much recognition that these mass shooters have almost always been found to have immersed themselves in one form or extremist far right ideology or another, it’s an important ‘well, duh’ point.
So here’s the first story reminding us on this: the release of ~1,200 pages of documents related to the Las Vegas shooting is giving us a better idea of what may have motivated Stephen Paddock. Surprise! Paddock appears to be a sovereign citizen who was super freaked out about government hurricane aid was a prelude to setting up FEMA camps and seizing guns and he talked about the need to ‘wake up’ the American people. And while we don’t have information explicitly saying that he did these shootings in order to carry out some sort of sovereign citizen goal, it’s hard to imagine such views didn’t play a role in his decision to gun down a crowd of people:
“But tantalizingly, people who encountered Paddock before his shooting say that he expressed conspiratorial, anti-government beliefs, which are characteristic of the far right.”
Yep, Paddock was ranting like an over caffeinated Alex Jones fan in the period leading up to the shooting. One woman claims to have witnessed him and companion discussing the 25th anniversary of the Ruby Ridge standoff and the Waco siege just days before the mass shooting. And while Waco and Ruby Ridge are pretty standard topics for right-wingers to rant about, she also reportedly heard him talk about how courtroom flags with golden fringes aren’t real flags. And when someone who obsess about Waco and Ruby Ridge also happens to obsess about the validity of flag designs, they’re probably a sovereign citizen:
And then there’s the testimony from a man who allegedly met Paddock just three weeks before the shooting. The man was selling schematics for a device that would turn semi-automatic weapons into fully automatic ones. Paddock wanted him to build the device, the man refused, and the sale never happened. But according to this man, Paddock was ranting about FEMA and how Hurricane Katrina was a “dry run for law enforcement and military to start kickin’ down doors and ... confiscating guns”. Ominously and ironically, Paddock reportedly told the man, “somebody has to wake up the American public and get them to arm themselves”:
So is it possible Paddock planned his attack as some sort of bizarre attempt to ‘wake up’ the American people? And yes, shooting up a crowd of people doesn’t seem like the best way to ‘wake Americans up’ and get them to arm themselves in anticipation of a government gun grab. But don’t forget that there are few things that help the far right recruit better in the US than fears of a big gun grab by the government. So one of the most diabolically effectively strategies the far right can employ is to encourage enough mass shootings that the public calls for banning guns grows to the point where your typical gun nut can be easily radicalized.
That’s just one of the ways far right violent ideologies can make mass shootings more likely: they’re the kinds of ideologies that are more than happy to encourage ‘lone wolf’ attacks as part of a general ‘strategy of tension’ framework. Use domestic terror to break down civic norms, create desperatation, and make a far right violent takeover more likely.
If turns out Paddack was indeed a sovereign citizen there’s still the question of whether or not he had outside help or encouragement. And even if he did plan and execute this attack on his own there’s the question of whether or not he was inspired by a particular figure or movement. Something put this mass shooting attack idea in his head and planting violent ideas in people’s heads is sort of a far right speciality.
Now let’s take a look at the signs of far right influence in another recent US mass shooting: the Santa Fe high school attack. The gunman, Dimitrios Pagourtzis, was a student at the school and it was his own art class that he shot up. It’s also been learned that his first victim was a girl who rebuffed his romances. So there’s certainly a very personal element in terms of the motive for the shooting. But as we should expect at this point, it turns out Pagourtzis’s social media accounts show signs of far right influence:
“Dimitrios Pagourtzis, the suspected gunman who opened fire at a Texas high school on Friday morning, apparently posted photos of neo-Nazi iconography online, according to social media accounts flagged by classmates and reviewed by The Daily Beast.”
It’s become part of the American post-shooting ritual: first there’s a scramble to discover the identity of the shooter. Then there’s a scramble to search their social media presence get clues about their politics. And while there is the rare left-winger involved with these kinds of attacks, like James Hodgkinson, it’s nearly always someone with a history of expressing very right-wing views on social media.
Sometimes they’re outright neo-Nazis, but not always. In this case we find Pagourtzis openly embracing President Trump, NRA spokesperson Dana Loesch, and Fox News which merely points towards very conservative views but not necessarily neo-Nazi views.
But then there’s his photo of a jacket he put up on Instagram in recent weeks. The jacket contained five pins and he lists in the caption of the photo what each pin represents:
Hammer and Sickle = Rebellion
Rising Sun = Kamikaze Tactics
Iron Cross = Bravery
Baphomet = Evil
Cthulhu = Power
The Iron Cross is an obvious possible neo-Nazi symbol. And while many of latched onto the Hammer and Sickle to suggest that he actually held left-wing views, that’s the kind of assessment that ignores virtually all of the other indications of political views we have about the guy. Is the guy with an Iron Cross and Hammer and Sickle, and who also happens to be a big Trump/NRA/Fox News fan, more likely to be right-wing or left-wing? Hmmm...:
And the chaotic nature of the pins Pagourtzis selected for that jacket potentially relates to the second big indication of possible far right influences: Pagourtzis Facebook page contained a number of T‑shirts that feature Vaporwave-style designs. And his Facebook page header image was the cover of a Vaporwave album by musician Perturbator.
So why is Vaporwave considered to be a possible sign of neo-Nazi influences? Because it’s a style of music that’s been embraced by the Alt Right, spawning other subgenres like “Fashwave” and “Trumpwave”. And the musician Pagourtzis happens to have as his Facebook header image, Perturbator, has specifically been embraced by sites like The Daily Stormer:
As we can see, while being a fan of Perturbator doesn’t necessarily mean you’re a follower of white supremacist media, it’s certainly a sign you might follow white supremacist media, especially if you’re exhibiting lots of other signs like Pagourtzis.
So it looks we can probably safely conclude that far right extremism likely played a role in two more of the recent US mass shootings. As will almost certainly be the case in future shootings. Duh.
Now that the man behind the recent wave of mail bombings, Cesar Sayoc, has been arrested and identified, we’re in the ‘who was he and why did he do this?’ phase of public analysis. And while much attention has understandably fallen on Sayoc’s insane pro-Trump white van — covered in window decals that look like a snapshot of right-wing, pro-Trump twitter postings — much less attention has been given to the fact that Sayoc appeared to be an ardent white supremacist and admirer of Adolf Hitler:
“Gureghian, a 59-year-old who grew up on Cape Cod, attended Barnstable High School, and lived in Watertown before she moved to Florida to care for her ailing mother six years ago, said Sayoc would spew “anti-gay, anti-black, anti-Jewish” rhetoric “everyday.””
Nazi-like rhetoric. Every single day. That’s how his former manager at New River Pizza & Fresh Kitchen in Fort Lauderdale described her experiences with him. He even told her, his manager, that she should be “put on an island with all the other gay people and burned” because she’s a lesbian:
She also reports that Sayoc at times had KKK stickers on his van and appeared to legitimately believe that anyone who didn’t fit his profile should be mass exterminated. So of course he would talk about his live of Hitler:
And note the period of time when Sayoc was working there: He quit in January of this year and worked there for more than a year. So it sounds like this covers 2017 and part of 2016:
So Sayoc as been a Hitler lover since at least some time in 2016 based on the testimony of his former boss. But as we’ll see in the following article, it sounds like he was already basically a Nazi by 2015. That’s according to his former college soccer team buddies who met him during a dinner that year honoring their old coach. When they met him, Sayoc was already ranting like a Nazi and already heavily pro-Trump:
“He went on racist, anti-gay tirades at the Fort Lauderdale pizza shop where he worked as a night-shift deliveryman in 2017, telling his manager, a lesbian, that she and other gay people along with Democrats should all be put onto an island and then “nuked.” At a reunion event in 2015 with his college soccer team, he browbeat former team members with racist, sexist conspiracy theories.”
So while Sayoc was clearly an neo-Nazi by 2016–2017, based on the testimony of his former pizza delivery manager, it sounds like he was already a radicalized racists and virulent Trump supporter by 2015 when he showed up at a dinner honoring his college soccer coach and harangued everyone with pro-Trump racist tirades. He also told them he was working on the Trump campaign. It would be interesting to know more about that claim:
It’s worth noting it appears that Sayoc was a big Trump fan before Trump even announced his presidential bid in June of 2015. As police records show, in May of 2015, Sayoc filed a police report about an alleged theft from his van. Of the 139 pieces of clothing he said were taken, 11 were Trump-brand clothing:
It’s also worth noting that a second manager, Teresa Palmer, at his pizza delivery job witnessed regular racist screeds from Sayoc too. And Sayoc’s paranoia included a belief that blacks and Hispanics are taking over the world. Keep in mind that this bombing campaign started after Trump and the GOP made ‘the caravan’ from Central America a central theme of their mid-term campaigning and continually promoted the conspiracy theory that George Soros and the Democrats were behind the caravan as part of a larger plot to bring in as many non-whites as possible into the US to vote illegally. In other words, Sayoc’s fears that ‘blacks and Hispanics are taking over the world’ was the meme du jour of Trump and the GOP when he carried out his bombing campaign:
So Sayoc appears to fit the profile of the mentally unhinged individual who is barely able to contain his Nazi-like worldview. A half Filipino white supremacist who claimed to be a member of the Seminole tribe (even though he had no ties to them). So it should come as no surprise that he was seen by his former lawyer — who represented him in 2002 after Sayoc made a bomb threat — as someone with serious emotional issues and an identity crisis. An identity crisis that morphed into a Nazi super-Trump fan identity:
Another important aspect of Sayoc’s life is that, as the following article describes, he social media profile took a radical turn after Trump announced his presidential candidacy. Before that it was mostly benign content like a cooking recipes. So while it appears that Sayoc was a Trump fan before Trump announced his candidacy (based on the Trump-brand clothing he reported stolen), it’s not actually clear that he was an outright neo-Nazi before Trump’s run. He certainly had emotional and anger issues before that, but we don’t know yet if he was already indoctrinated into neo-Nazi ideology before that or if this came after he got heavily involved in promoting Trump’s campaign.
As the following article also notes, Sayoc was bankrupt and living with his mother as of 2012. As we saw in the previous article, he lost his house in 2009. And he appeared to be living in his van for an extended period of time while living in Florida. So in addition to having some sort of identity issues that he filled with Nazi beliefs and a worship of Donald Trump, Sayoc also may have felt he had little to lose, which would have made him the perfect candidate for a terror campaign like this:
“Records show he was a registered Republican; friends said he once danced as a male stripper. He also had a lengthy criminal history — he was once accused of threatening to use a bomb against a customer service representative — and led a life filled with failure. Well into middle age, he was living with his mother with no furniture, according to 2012 bankruptcy records, and he appeared to have been living most recently out of his van.”
So Sayoc experienced foreclosure, bankruptcy, and homelessness in recent years. But his troubles started long before that. One person claims Sayoc had “a lot of money” at some point, but lost most of it. It’s unclear how much he had or how it was lost, but keep in mind in 2009 foreclosure so it’s possible he lost quite a bit as a result of the 2008 financial crisis. Of course, given his criminal record, it’s also possible he acquired “a lot of money” through criminal activity. Either way, he was already a deeply troubled individual years ago, as the 2002 bomb threat case — a bomb threat made about an electricity bill — makes clear:
So as of 2002, Sayoc was clearly a deeply troubled individual. Then thre’s a period of his life where we don’t have much information. Was this the period when Sayoc made “a lot of money” and then lost it? We don’t know. But by 2012, Sayoc filed for bankruptcy and in recent years was living in his van:
So Sayoc fits a now familiar profile of individuals who end up committing these kinds of seemingly ‘lone wolf’ act. A profile of a middle-aged man who has been hit with one blow after another — a bankruptcy, lost home, insecure employment — and becomes angry and radicalized, latches onto white supremacy, and finally lashes out violently. Although he doesn’t fit the profile in one key aspect. He was half Filipino, and appeared to have completely made up an identity as a member of the Seminole tribe in Florida:
And we still don’t know when exactly he adopt the ‘I love Hitler’ worldview. Was it pre-Trump or post-Trump? That remains unclear, but based on his social media content in 2015 it appears that had no real political interest. It’s only the more recent social media content where the right-wing political narratives started showing up:
Still, as we saw in the previous article, he was fully immersed in the far right conspiratorial worldview at some point in 2015 based on the testimonies of his soccer teammates. So if he wasn’t already radicalized before Trump started his campaign he must have gotten radicalized really fast.
So, all in all, we appear to have another domestic terror campaign from another white supremacist, albeit a somewhat atypical white supremacist. And while there’s no indication that he worked with someone else in this bombing campaign, we can’t ignore the fact that Sayoc was clearly enthusiastically immersing himself in the world of pro-Trump activism and that’s a world filled with organized white supremacists.
Recall what was saw above: Sayoc told his soccer teammates in 2015 that he was working on the Trump campaign. Was he doing this independently? Was his pro-Trump van his idea of working on the campaign? We don’t know, but we do know from all the pictures he posted of himself attending Trump events that he was mingling in that crowd. Sayoc even showed up on tv at a Trump rally in Melbourne, Florida, in 2017 holding up a big anti-CNN sign.
So Sayoc could have easily spent the last three years heavily networking with people from that ‘pro-Trump’ crowd. Might any of those people have been white supremacists? Was Sayoc, who appeared to be seeking out some sort of group to belong to, quietly recruited? Keep in mind that, as a half-Filipino white supremacist, Sayoc would have probably been seen as a pretty hot commodity from the white supremacist standpoint. Just imagine what a bunch of neo-Nazis would think if they came across someone like Sayoc, especially after they learn he’s highly impressionable and lives in a van. He would have been the perfect ‘lone wolf’ for use by organized white supremacists!.
And then there’s the fact that he didn’t have a house to construct those bombs. So where did he make them? Did he have help? Those questions remain completely unanswered at this point but it’s hard to see any reason to assume at this point that he was working alone.
It’s also worth recalling the parallels to Nicholas Cruz, the Florida-based teenager who shot up Parkland High School and who happened to be part Jewish and Hispanic and who also appeared to have serious identity issues. The bizarre situation where a bunch of neo-Nazi trolls ‘tricked’ the media into thinking Cruz was affiliated with the Florida-based neo-Nazi group, the Republic of Florida, only to have the ‘hoax’ rapidly discovered. And recall how that ‘hoax’ appeared to have been designed to be rapidly discovered and how it all appeared to be a kind of preemptive ‘hoax’ designed to discredit the theory that Cruz was indeed prompted to carry out his attack by the neo-Nazis he was networking with.
In all, the case of Nikolas Cruz had the look a staged ‘lone wolf’ attack with a planned disinformation campaign designed to throw the public off the trail of investigating Cruz’s ties to organized white supremacist terror groups. Might the case of Cesar Sayoc be similar? Might the same Florida-based neo-Nazi be involved? Those are all questions that have yet to be answered so let’s hope they’re at least being asked by investigators.
Beyond all the questions about what precisely motivated Sayoc to do what he did, there’s the overarching issue of the undeniable fact that that Sayoc’s attacks took place in the context of a hard right anti-immigrant turn by the GOP in the final weeks of this campaign focused on promoting conspiracy theories alleging Democrats and George Soros are financing the Central American migrants caravan for the purpose of ‘[insert white supremacy conspiracy theory here]’. Trump and the GOP has made a slightly toned down version of the classic neo-Nazi meme — that Democrats are trying to bring non-whites into the US as part of some sort of diabolical ‘globalist’ plot against white Americans — a central part of their mid-term sloganeering in these final weeks.
And before Sayoc was caught and identified, the GOP was aggressively promoting the idea that it was all a false flag hoax carried out by the left. Trump even promoted that meme in a treat less than an hour before Sayoc was apprehended, which is highly suspicious timing given the fact that he almost assuredly would have known about the arrest (and Sayoc’s obvious pro-Trump fanaticism) before the arrest was made. At 10:19 am EST Friday morning, shortly before the arrest, Trump tweeted out: “Republicans are doing so well in early voting, and at the polls, and now this “Bomb” stuff happens and the momentum greatly slows — news not talking politics. Very unfortunate, what is going on. Republicans, go out and vote!” It was the just latest tweet from a prominent conservative hinting at the idea that the “bomb stuff” was part of a plot against the GOP and designed to distract from ‘the caravan’:
“Nevertheless, without evidence, a number of ostensibly mainstream conservatives joined more overtly conspiracist outlets in either expressing skepticism that conservatives would damage their own cause, or making outright accusations that the left are orchestrating the bombing campaign in order to sabotage Republicans.”
Yep, before Sayoc was arrested and identified, the idea that the bombings were a left-wing false flag was the right-wing media’s rallying cry. Even Donald Trump, Jr. got in on it:
Michael Savage included the cited used theory that it was all designed to distract from ‘the caravan’, which tied in the bombing ‘false flag’ meme with the ‘George Soros and the Democrats are paying for the caravan’ meme that the right-wing had already been aggressively promoting:
And perhaps most importantly, that collective right-wing response was predictable: the mainstream right-wing media will now predictably treat any and all far right terror attack as a ‘false flag’ until it’s conclusively proven otherwise. We also can’t ignore the fact that Trump himself was blaming the media and ‘fake news’ for these attacks. And it’s hard to think of a media environment that could do more to encourage far right domestic terror attacks than a media that will treat those attacks on left-wing false flags and hoaxes and blame the victims.
And, of course, even after Sayoc was apprehended and identified, Trump doubled down on the rhetoric and the argument that this was actually all the media’s fault:
““Well I think I’ve been toned down, if you want to know the truth. I could really tone it up because, as you know, the media’s been extremely unfair to me and the Republican Party,” Trump said hours after the FBI arrested a suspect in connection to the mailed pipe bombs sent to prominent Democrats and CNN this week.”
So given that we’re dealing with bomb threat terror campaign by a man who appeared to have a serious identity disorder and in search of some sort of group to belong to, and given that the right-wing has fully embraced far right disinformation as a rallying cry, with worth recalling the insights into far right thought provided by the ‘Alt Right’ neo-Nazi writer Curtis Yarvin, a.k.a. Mencius Moldbug. As Moldbug once wrote, “To believe in nonsense is an unforgeable [sic] demonstration of loyalty. It serves as a political uniform. And if you have a uniform, you have an army.” In other words, publicly parroting disinformation is how members of the far right make their tribal allegiance known. It’s an act of group bonding that simultaneously bonds the group to the disinformation. It’s part of what makes the Big Lie durable:
“Before he emerged on the political scene, an obscure Silicon Valley computer programmer with ties to Trump backer and PayPal co-founder Peter Thiel was explaining his behavior. Curtis Yarvin, the self-proclaimed “neoreactionary” who blogs under the name “Mencius Moldbug,” attracted a following in 2008 when he published a wordy treatise asserting, among other things, that “nonsense is a more effective organizing tool than the truth.” When the organizer of a computer science conference canceled Yarvin’s appearance following an outcry over his blogging under his nom de web, Bannon took note: Breitbart News decried the act of censorship in an article about the programmer-blogger’s dismissal.”
That’s right, Yarvin/Moldbug also happens to be an associate of major Silicon Valley Trump-backer Peter Thiel. And he’s openly written about the power of disinformation as a kind of group loyalty pledge. By openly embracing nonsense, one can make their loyalty clear to the group putting out this nonsense. Disinformation as a uniform. And when you have enough people making that loyalty pledge you have an army. And army of nonsense that is, nonetheless, still an army:
So we find ourselves in a situation where the right-wing response to far right terror is predictably to label it a left-wing false flag or hoax. And that’s happening in the larger context of the mainstreaming of far right thought in general. So we have to ask: is there’s a conscious strategy at work here were far right attacks are capitalized upon by the far right using disinformation. In other words, is promotion of ‘false flag! Hoax!’ memes one of the goals of these kinds of terror attacks? A strategy that revolves around cycle of ‘violence + post-violence disinformation’ where the disinformation is literally intended as a divide and conquer tactic that forms its own informal army?
In other words, just as Sayoc appears to have been seeking some kind of white supremacist approval with his actions, are the right-wing disinformation campaigns also intentionally promoting disinformation because it’s know that conservatives want to stay in good standing with ‘the tribe’ and will passively adopt whatever disinformation is put out that ‘their side’ as part of some sort human instinct to show group loyalty? It’s a question we have to ask, especially as President Trump threatens to “tone up” his rhetoric. Because that’s not just a threat to make the Big Lie even bigger. It’s also a threat to make the army of people who now reflexively accept that Big Lie worldview as an act of tribal loyalty even more loyal. Even more loyal to Trump and the ever-growing Big Lie.
Here’s a series of articles that underscores why online video game platforms like Steam have become popular recruitment tools for neo-Nazis and other extremist movements:
First, recall that we’ve already seen reports about how Steam’s chat forums were being used by neo-Nazis like Andrew Auernheimer and Atomwaffen to recruit and one report about 173 different chat rooms where school shootings were being glorified and promoted. Also recall how a number of neo-Nazi groups openly promote ‘ethnostate gang rapes’ as part of their vision/sales pitch for a neo-Nazi future.
Recently, Steam found itself in a rather uncomfortable position caused by the company’s vague and lax policy regarding what constitutes inadmissible gaming content and a game developer who decided to make what might be considered the most morally objectionable game ever created. The game, ‘Rape Day’, has a target market of the ‘four per cent of the general population [who] are sociopaths’ and would enjoy playing a ‘menacing serial killer rapist during a zombie apocalypse’. That’s the description provided by the game’s sole developer, who goes by the name “Desk Plant”. The game is literally a ‘visual novel’ (sort of like a “choose you own adventure” video game) that puts the playing in control of a rapist sociopath during a zombie apocalypse. So it’s more of a direct celebration of ‘Incel’ culture than neo-Nazi culture, but given the frequent celebration of rape in neo-Nazi culture it’s fair to see this game as a celebration of both. And in a more general sense it’s a celebration of sociopathy, which is exactly how the designer portrays it.
Despite that content, ‘Rape Day’ managed to be advertised on Steam for weeks before its release. But it was put under a review process by Steam following a wave of complaints. Now, one would imagine that a game of this nature wouldn’t possibly pass Steam’s review process, but it turns out that Steam’s policy is to only bans games that are illegal or intentional ‘trolling’ and it was apparently unclear if Rape Day violated those rules. Yes, the question of whether or not Steam, one of the most popular gaming platforms on the planet, would allow a game made by a sociopath for other sociopaths so they could virtually indulge in sociopathic rampages was an open question that Steam recently had to answer:
“The developer of ‘Rape Day’ claims the game is aimed at the ‘four per cent of the general population [who] are sociopaths’ and would enjoy playing a ‘menacing serial killer rapist during a zombie apocalypse’.”
A game by a sociopath for sociopaths. And it was apparently on the verge of being approved for sale on the Steam platform without any meaningful review of the content. It was only the outcry of users that actually triggered a review and even at that point it was still unclear if the game violated Steam’s rules which only ban illegal content of “intentional trolling”:
So did Steam end up allowing ‘Rape Day’ to be sold on its platform? Fortunately no, Steam pulled the game, but only after thousands of people signed a Change.org petition calling for the game’s removal. But this decision didn’t appear to come with any sort of change or clarification of Steam’s policies. The company stated that “We simply have to wait and see what comes to us via Steam Direct. We then have to make a judgement call about any risk it puts to Valve, our developer partners, or our customers. After significant fact-finding and discussion, we think ‘Rape Day’ poses unknown costs and risks and therefore won’t be on Steam,” adding, “We respect developers’ desire to express themselves, and the purpose of Steam is to help developers find an audience, but this developer has chosen content matter and a way of representing it that makes it very difficult for us to help them do that.” So Steam’s official policy for this kind of content appears to be, ‘not this time, but we’ll see in the future!’:
“As Business Insider noted before the game was officially pulled, “‘Rape Day’ puts Steam in a compromising position; the game unapologetically glorifies rape, and has little to offer in terms of actual gameplay. Even if Steam isn’t promoting the game, it would profit from every sale. While Steam has been reluctant to restrict content on the grounds of free speech, there’s not much moral wiggle room left in this situation.””
Yep, there wasn’t much moral wiggle room left for Steam in this situation. Even if the company tries to claim “free speech!”, the ‘free speech’ in ‘Rape Day’ is also ‘speech’ that Steam would be profiting from since it takes a cut of the sales. But it appears to the growing backlash was the ultimate factor that determined Steam’s actions:
And as the article notes, Steam ran into a similar moral morass back in May of 2018 when the “Active Shooter” video game simulating a school shooting was about to be released until the backlash forced Steam to pull the game. And it was in response to the Active Shooter controversy that Steam attempted to clarify its policies with the declaration that “We’ve decided that the right approach is to allow everything onto the Steam Store, except for things that we decide are illegal, or straight up trolling”, along with the warning that the company will continue to handle this issue on a case-by-case basis. So the policy that almost got ‘Rape Day’ approved for Steam until the backlash is the same policy that Steam articulated in response to the ‘Active Shooter’ outcry:
And now, in response to pulling ‘Rape Day’, Steam essentially double-down on the policy they state in June: the company reiterated that it takes these things on a case-by-case basis, stating, “We simply have to wait and see what comes to us via Steam Direct. We then have to make a judgement call about any risk it puts to Valve, our developer partners, or our customers. After significant fact-finding and discussion, we think ‘Rape Day’ poses unknown costs and risks and therefore won’t be on Steam”:
And that’s why we probably should expect a lot more ‘games’ of this nature: the official Steam policy is basically, ‘as long as it’s not overtly illegal or overt trolling, we’ll see.’ And those appear to be the sole guidelines for developers. Make your grotesque game and we’ll see if it gets approved.
So it’s a pretty bad sign that Steam apparently doesn’t review the content of games unless there’s some sort of public outcry. And this is on top of Steam’s forums getting used to as neo-Nazi recruitment tools. But regarding the use of the chat forums, in fairness it’s important to note the scale of the challenge of moderating them. As the following article describes, Steam alone has about 130 million active players:
“But it’s a daunting technical challenge. The three biggest video game platforms — Microsoft, PlayStation and Steam — host 48 million, 70 million and 130 million monthly active players respectively, Boyd says. “That’s the populations of Spain, France and Russia. And then imagine that you’re monitoring all of their text chat ... all of their voice chat, in literally every language, dialect, and subdialect spoken in the world.””
So we have to acknowledge that extreme technical challenge facing Steam and all of the other popular gaming platforms: monitoring the chats of 130 million active users, taking place in literally every language, and detecting the kind of often subtle recruitment tactics of neo-Nazis and other extremists is basically impossible at this point. In the future you could imagine some sort of AI handling a lot of this monitoring, but for now, it’s basically up to self-moderation and users reporting abuses.
At the same time, we have to acknowledge that it’s a lot easier to review the content of games than it hundreds of millions of chats and the fact of the matter is that Steam almost allowed ‘Rape Day’ to go on sale and only appeared to even bother reviewing the content of the game following the user outcry. So, yes, Steam has some enormous technical challenges it faces if it’s going to do anything meaningful about its chat forums become extremist recruitment platforms. But Steam had far fewer technical challenges regarding the prevention of an Incel video game and still almost failed spectacularly. If there hadn’t been that public outcry it’s hard to see what otherwise would have stopped this game from going on sale. So there are clearly other issues, in addition to the technical challenges, fueling this situation on one of those issues appears to be Steam’s ‘anything goes (until there’s a public outcry)’ policy.
This next article talks about how a far right network called the Patriot Front is made up of non violent people typically unattached, but angry males in their mid-twenties that may have been from blue-collar backgrounds that are white collar tech-geeks and sympathize with right wing terrorism. It is currently believed to have around 300 members and growing. They spread far right propaganda a nation overrun by immigrants and a world controlled by Jews and other elites; they dream of a white ethno-state to restore America. They avoid talking about guns or violence online, but engage in a mix of vandalism and intimidation to foster anxiety. They may also wear masks in public and communicate secretly. Mussolini’s “The Doctrine of Fascism” is required reading for members. They register
The leader of the group Thomas Rousseau, 20, was in Charlottesville in 2017, marching in the “Unite the Right” rally as a member of Vanguard America. The Anti-Defamation League calls Vanguard America a neo-Nazi group formed in 2016 that, like Patriot Front after it, was chiefly engaged in spreading propaganda. Rousseau started Patriot Front as an alternative that would embrace more homegrown symbols — the flag, the bald eagle and patriotic language, espousing white supremacist patriotic hate that are used to intimidate their targets. Rousseau wrote ““The enemy cannot attack you if they do not know who you are,”
The Patriot front is a non-violent political propaganda network unlike RAM or Atom Waffent who are violent neo-Nazi type organizations. Kind of like Sinn Fein was (in that case for the IRA).
Patriot Front member, Joffre Cross, was arrested on gun charges in Houston. Cross is a regular participant on the Russian social media platform VK, whose terms of service about extremist content are not strictly enforced. His posts are rife with Nazi videos, Holocaust denial material and white supremacists beating protesters.
This network reminds me of a version ot the domestic patriot networks coopted by the Nazis during WWII that John Roy Carlson wrote about in his book “Under Cover”.
https://www.propublica.org/article/they-are-racist-some-of-them-have-guns-inside-the-white-supremacist-group-hiding-in-plain-sight
They Are Racist; Some of Them Have Guns. Inside the White Supremacist Group Hiding in Plain Sight.
Patriot Front is perhaps the most active white supremacist group in the nation. ProPublica explores its origins, secret communications, history of arrests and outsize aims for an all-white America.
by Carol Schaeffer and Fritz Zimmermann, special to ProPublica Nov. 8, 5 a.m. EST
In the hours after the slaughter in El Paso, Texas, on Aug. 3, a final toll emerged: 22 dead, most of them Latinos, some Mexican nationals. A portrait of the gunman accused of killing them soon took shape: a 21-year-old from a suburb of Dallas who had been radicalized as a white supremacist online and who saw immigrants as a threat to the future of white America.
While much of the country reacted with a weary sense of sorrow and outrage, word of the mass killing was processed differently by members of Patriot Front, one of the more prominent white supremacist groups in the U.S.
In secret chat forums, some Patriot Front members embraced the spirit of the anti-immigrant manifesto left behind by the accused gunman. Others floated false conspiracy theories: the CIA was behind the murders; the accused killer was actually Jewish. Still other members cautioned that the group had its own “loose cannons” to worry about. It would be a bad look if the next mass murderer was one of their own.
But there was little, if any, regret over the loss of life.
“It shouldn’t be hard to believe that the group facing the harshest oppression from our ruling elite are producing shooters,” one Patriot Front member wrote. “White men are being slowly destroyed in a way calculated to produce resentment and a sense of helplessness. Of course, some of them decide to lash out.”
Several Patriot Front members alerted others to the need to be careful, for the killings in El Paso would likely make the group a target of the FBI.
“Watch your backs out there,” one wrote.
Patriot Front was formed in the aftermath of the deadly “Unite the Right” rally in Charlottesville, Virginia, in 2017. While many on America’s far-right cheered the rally, its violence struck others as a public-relations debacle for the white nationalist brand that was sure to attract greater oversight by law enforcement.
Patriot Front aspired to help chart a new way forward: spread propaganda espousing its version of a nascent American fascism; quietly recruit new members worried about a nation overrun by immigrants and a world controlled by Jews; avoid talking about guns or violence online, but engage in a mix of vandalism and intimidation to foster anxiety; wear masks in public and communicate secretly.
“The organization is not about its members,” the group’s leader, Thomas Rousseau, once wrote to its members in the secret chats. “It is about its goals. Each person behind the mask is just another awoken member of the nation, who could be anyone who’s had enough.”
ProPublica spent several months examining the makeup and operations of Patriot Front, which records suggest numbers about 300 members.
While the group is careful not to talk about guns online, two members in the last year have been arrested with arsenals of illegally owned high-powered rifles and other weapons. While many of the group’s propaganda “actions” are legal exercises of free speech, its members have been arrested in Boston and Denver in recent months for acts of vandalism. In Boston, three members engaged in a nighttime propaganda effort last winter were arrested on suspicion of weapons possession and assaulting a police officer. What the group touts as political protests have felt to those targeted like acts of menace, as was the case in San Antonio, Texas, last year when Patriot Front members filmed themselves trashing an encampment of immigration activists.
One person whose establishment was targeted by Patriot Front in recent months spoke on the condition of anonymity, fearing the group’s return.
“Ordinarily would you call the police if somebody put a big sticker on your door? No,” the person said. “However, once you find out what this is all about, and who is involved, and what they are promoting? Then, yeah, now we are in hate speech space.”
To the Southern Poverty Law Center, Patriot Front is a white hate group and a genuine criminal threat. To some of the more avowedly violent neo-Nazi groups in the U.S., Patriot Front is a laughable collection of clowns and cowards, content to chat online and put up stickers while a race war awaits.
But for law enforcement, gauging how serious a threat Patriot Front might pose is difficult. Patriot Front shares qualities both with groups engaged in real domestic terrorism and with fringe political groups.
Asked about the group, the FBI issued a statement that reflected these complexities and the limitations they place on police agencies.
“When it comes to domestic terrorism, our investigations focus solely on the criminal activity of individuals — regardless of group membership — that appears to be intended to intimidate or coerce the civilian population or influence the policy of the government by intimidation or coercion. We would encourage you to keep in mind that membership in groups which espouse domestic extremist ideology is not illegal in and of itself — no matter how offensive their views might be to the majority of society.”
Rousseau, a Boy Scout and high school journalist before he founded Patriot Front, has much the same profile as the accused gunman in El Paso, Patrick Crusius: both grew up in middle-class suburbs of Dallas — Crusius in Allen, Rousseau 35 miles away in Grapevine; both were seen as unremarkable teenagers before being inculcated in their racist ideology online; both talk of a desire to reclaim America for “true” or “pure” patriots; both regard immigrants as a poisonous and present danger.
In the days after the rampage in El Paso, Rousseau told his members in the secret chats that such acts of wholesale violence were not for him. While fascist causes like Patriot Front’s could survive the blowback from such killings, he said, real success for the group would come from spreading its ideology and increasing its numbers. Of the alleged El Paso shooter, Rousseau wrote in a chat, “He’d have made more progress toward his goals by swallowing the first round in his magazine instead.”
In the months of chats obtained by ProPublica, Rousseau is by turns amateur philosopher and historian, as well as the group’s sole spokesman and its online policeman. He warns members that they will be kicked out if they don’t stay busy — pasting up flyers and conducting banner drops, joining street actions and posting regularly in the chat forums. He has put together a security guide to help Patriot Front members stay anonymous. He waxes admiringly about certain far-right groups in Europe, and he sees them as a model for how to become more serious political players in the years ahead. He has the secret chats routinely deleted, and he tells members to avoid ever writing or saying anything that might later be of interest to a prosecutor.
“It should be known,” he wrote to members recently, “that political dissidents are subject to unjust scrutiny.”
Pete Simi, a professor at Chapman University in California and an expert on white supremacists in the U.S., said Rousseau’s stewardship of Patriot Front is deeply familiar.
“It is very common for the leadership of these groups to disqualify violence, while doing things that are encouraging violence,” Simi said. “It is part of their strategy to avoid liability, while simultaneously promoting hate. When they say they are not violent, this is a lie. They are promoting violence by their goals.”
“Thomas’ Biggest Fear Is Someone Doing Something Crazy”
To gain an understanding of Patriot Front — its origins and ambitions, both the careful talk and the criminal behavior of its members — ProPublica examined hundreds of online postings, interviewed a person who infiltrated the group, obtained police records, reviewed its leader’s public statements online and in a variety of far-right podcasts, collected video material recorded both by the group and members of the public, and traveled to the homes of its founder and two of the members who had recently been arrested.
The person who infiltrated Patriot Front in recent years — posting in the group’s chats and accompanying it in its propaganda actions — sketched out a portrait of its members, which appear to be exclusively male:
They come from seven or eight regional “networks,” and the vast majority of them are recruited online; the typical member is around 25 years old and can be from blue-collar backgrounds or be working as “white-collar tech geeks”; many of them are gamers; few have wives or girlfriends; they can look like “the nerdy boys that sit next to you in high school,” but they clearly sympathize with “right-wing terrorism.”
The person who infiltrated Patriot Front said he applied for membership on the group’s website — the one with the mission statement written by Rousseau. American democracy was dead. The government had been taken over by Jews and other “elites.” Land claimed by descendants of the country’s original white settlers had been surrendered to immigrants of color. The dream was of a white ethnostate, in which all that was good and true and pioneering about the America of long ago could be restored.
The person who gained entrance to the group said Rousseau was one of three Patriot Front members who interviewed him on the telephone when he applied. He was asked to explain his political evolution, to say which political figures he hated and admired most, to state the circumstances in which the use of violence would be OK and to articulate the greatest threat to America. He was told Mussolini’s “The Doctrine of Fascism” would be required reading.
The chats reviewed by ProPublica show Rousseau spends lots of time online pressing members to take part in targeting streets, parks and colleges with the group’s propaganda. He and others delight in seeing their actions reflected in the SPLC’s nationwide map recording acts of hate and in the media. Last spring, the group tried to stage protests in front of the American Israel Public Affairs Committee’s offices in multiple cities, including New York.
“One minute of action is better than 10,000 books on ideology,” Rousseau told his members.
Rousseau, still a teen when he founded Patriot Front, makes clear in the secret chats reviewed by ProPublica that he is in charge, though he’s happy to go without a formal title.
“The title commander gives me bad flashbacks,” he wrote in a chat once. “If I absolutely had to have a title, it would probably be general director. But my name works just fine for now.”
The chats show some members regard Rousseau as a disciplined and effective spokesman for the group, and they appear to heed his repeated scoldings about preserving their anonymity.
“The enemy cannot attack you if they do not know who you are,” Rousseau wrote.
Using the pseudonym Samuel, a member from New York expanded on the idea in response.
“I would say the biggest accomplishment of masking up is obfuscating our total numbers,” he wrote. “We can make them feel as if there are thousands of us when it’s only a few hundred, and we could be anyone and no one. Next time they are at the CVS and see a white kid with a neat haircut, it could be us. Fear of the unknown is the greatest fear of all.”
Rousseau, when he isn’t criticizing members who violate the ban on talking about guns or violence, can often be found policing the group’s ideological thinking. Nazism, however popular among members, can’t now be the goal, Rousseau said.
“This is not Germany, this is not the 1930s,” he chastised. “Get a grip on the fact that we’re activists, not re-enactors trying to scratch some self-indulgent itch for a political fantasy.”
Rousseau conducts his online leadership from the home he shares with his divorced father in Grapevine, a largely white, solidly middle-class city between Dallas and Fort Worth. ProPublica went to see Rousseau there this summer, and we found the shades drawn in every window and a rusting boat filled with fallen leaves on the property.
Rousseau came to the door, but he closed it quickly and would not talk. The following day, the red sports car in the driveway had been reparked, making it hard to see the lone license plate on its rear end.
Interviews with people in and around Grapevine — those who went to school with Rousseau, those who participated in the Boy Scouts with him, a man who dated his mother — produced a unanimous sense of surprise that he’d started an organization committed to an all-white America.
He’d mixed easily with the diverse array of students at his high school, and while he was against gay marriage, he was regarded more as a nice, conservative boy than a threat. He wore his hair long, in braids or a bun, and was obsessed with working out and the state of his physique.
At the student newspaper, he wasn’t regarded as an impressive writer, but he won a national award for editorial cartooning. Classmates saw him as a lazy student and a bit of a loner, but he had a knack for argument and a stubborn streak about never being wrong. The school had its share of racial incidents, but he was never involved and wasn’t seen as condoning them.
When Donald Trump was elected president, some senior boys at the school made a show of chanting, “Build a wall.” Rousseau, for his part, was certainly an ardent Trump supporter — he wore a Make America Great Again hat and carried a Trump lunchbox. But his enthusiasm wasn’t seen as menacing.
“He seemed Republican, but he didn’t seem crazy, said one fellow student.
To someone who was with him in Boy Scouts, Rousseau seemed serious about the organization, and he was elected patrol leader. At the same time, Rousseau could be difficult with adults, developing what the person called an “authoritarian defiance.”
“I’m saddened,” the person said of Rousseau’s embrace of white supremacy.
Simi, the professor at Chapman University, said enough research exists on modern-day white supremacists to develop a profile: young men, isolated and angry in some way despite their relatively privileged upbringing in middle class or affluent circumstances, and vulnerable to invitations to join up with others with similar grievances.
In years past, Simi said, groups like Patriot Front used to recruit potential new members by waiting outside schools for the last children to leave, the loners wandering off long after the final bell. Now such groups don’t have to work so hard to find targets. They have the internet, Simi said.
“It is a central aspect of these groups to take the frustration and anger and combine it with the special feeling and insights of being part of a group,” he said.
Rousseau, then just 18, was in Charlottesville in 2017, marching in the “Unite the Right” rally as a member of Vanguard America. The Anti-Defamation League calls Vanguard America a neo-Nazi group formed in 2016 that, like Patriot Front after it, was chiefly engaged in spreading propaganda. James Fields, the white supremacist convicted of murdering a young protester at the Charlottesville event, was photographed there carrying a Vanguard America shield, though he was not a member of the group.
Vanguard America splintered after the debacle in Virginia. Some wanted to abandon efforts to disguise their Nazi leanings and simply be brazen in their public look and violent aims. Rousseau took a different tack, and he started Patriot Front as an ostensibly more strategic, savvy, careful alternative. It would embrace more homegrown symbols — the flag, the bald eagle and patriotic language. Such shifts might attract a wider membership.
“I did go to Charlottesville. Some bad activism there,” Rousseau wrote in one of the secret chats. “I’ve done my part to learn from my mistakes.”
While Rousseau publicly and in the chats reviewed by ProPublica disavows violence, some Patriot Front members have shown support for a white supremacist group that embraces it: the Rise Above Movement. Eight RAM members have been arrested on charges related to violence in Charlottesville and in California.
“Gotta love RAM,” a Tennessee member said in the chats. “I hope they see us as 100 percent allies.”
In the chat logs, a Patriot Front member from Texas provides a list of addresses for 11 people in prison or under house arrest, referring to them as “POWs.” The list includes four members of RAM, numerous men arrested for violence in Charlottesville including Fields, and an imprisoned white supremacist in California. The Texan urged Patriot Front members to write to the prisoners and provided links to send some prisoners money directly. He also listed a donation link for a fund tied to Augustus Sol Invictus, a lawyer known for defending white supremacists.
Later in the chats, a member from New York shared a link to a white supremacist online fundraiser, saying proceeds would be given to a legal fund for RAM. He then chimed in that nearly $2,000 had been donated. “When they crack down we double down and become stronger,” he said. “Hail Victory!”
Observers of white hate groups credit Rousseau as a talented in-fighter, and they portray his breakaway from Vanguard America as a shrewd coup.
According to the person who infiltrated Patriot Front, Rousseau worries greatly about his members making the worst strategic mistake: carrying out an act of terrible violence. It would end his group, he has said.
“Thomas’ biggest fear is someone doing something crazy,” said the person who infiltrated Patriot Front.
“We Are Regular People”
Jakub Zak was in bed in the Chicago suburb of Vernon Hills when police, accompanied by his father, shook him awake. The police had been told that Zak, 19, was a member of Patriot Front, and that he might have a stash of illegal guns.
“He appeared nervous and tried to cover a few items on his bed as he put on his blue jeans,” police records say.
The police, though, had a clear view of what couldn’t be hidden: a gun safe meant for rifles, as well as magazines of ammunition on the bedroom floor.
Zak asked his father to make the police leave. His father would not.
“I advised Jakub that we would like for him to be cooperative, and explained to him cooperation goes a long way,” one detective wrote in a formal report, dated April 2018. “I explained to him the decision is for him to make, and he should think what is best for him.”
Zak spoke with his father and then offered the code for the safe. If there were guns in the house, the police wrote, Zak’s father wanted them out.
The police found a loaded 9 mm pistol and then, in a second safe, four more guns, including three high-powered semiautomatic rifles. The police records show Zak’s only concern was whether he could get his case for carrying the guns back after their confiscation.
It is unclear when or how Zak joined Patriot Front. The initial tip sent to law enforcement identified him as a member, one who often posted in the secret chats under the pseudonym “Hussar.” Postings under that name — portions of which were first published by Unicorn Riot, a media organization — suggest Zak was a frequent participant in the group’s propaganda efforts in the streets.
Online, Zak posted a mix of Patriot Front slogans and images — “America: Revolution is tradition”; “Deport them all.” But there was also much more explicitly violent material: a young black man lying prone on the street and about to be stomped; a Glock pistol.
Zak, who had no prior criminal record, ultimately pleaded guilty to a misdemeanor gun possession charge and was sentenced to probation. Whether local police referred his case, and his affiliation with Patriot Front, to any other law enforcement agency is unclear.
But the basic facts of Zak’s case amount to one of the hard-to-identify, hard-to-quantify, hard-to-assess threats in the U.S. today: an enthusiastically racist young man exposed to a steady diet of like-minded white supremacists, who doesn’t find it terribly hard to get his hands on dangerous weapons. Crusius, the accused El Paso killer, had no prior record; he lived with his grandparents; his mother is reported to have anonymously called law enforcement, worried once her son had bought a gun, even if it was legal; the parents of a classmate of Crusius’ told a local news organization in Dallas that their son had been encouraged by Crusius to join him in a white supremacist group.
In a brief interview at their home in Vernon Hills, Zak’s parents would not let him be interviewed.
“There is nothing to talk about,” his mother said, claiming he was not a member of any white hate group. “He is going through rough times, and he is in a better place now. I don’t want to start anything. He is getting his life together and planning [for] the future.”
“We are regular people,” his father added.
Concerns about how effectively federal authorities have been in thwarting the threat of white supremacists extends back years, covering both Democratic and Republican administrations. In recent months, though, there has been a series of arrests suggesting that federal and local authorities are being more aggressive.
In a recent report, the Department of Homeland Security took care to restate the balance law enforcement has to strike.
“The Department must take care, while addressing the scourge of violence, to avoid stigmatizing populations, infringing on constitutional rights, or attempting to police what Americans should think,” the report said.
Last February, a Patriot Front member, Joffre Cross, was arrested on gun charges in Houston. At a probable cause hearing, authorities said they got on to Cross through phone records belonging to a white supremacist in Texas who was convicted on assault charges this year.
Cross, 33, fits what experts see as another familiar profile for potentially violent white supremacists: a former Army soldier whose association with white supremacists dates back to his active-duty days. Disaffected former soldiers are a prime recruiting target for white hate groups, prized for their gun and bomb training and their possible access to weapons. Cross, while on active duty, was convicted on drug charges and imprisoned for five years. As part of the investigation, the authorities developed information that he was eager to secure weapons for white supremacist groups.
Cross, who has pleaded not guilty, was charged with felony weapons possession after police found guns and body armor in his home.
“If you don’t know me,” Cross once posted on Instagram, “consider this your trigger warning.” Cross and his attorney did not respond to a request for comment.
Cross is a regular participant on the Russian social media platform VK, whose terms of service about extremist content are not strictly enforced. His posts are rife with Nazi videos, Holocaust denial material and white supremacists beating protesters.
One post reads: “Help more bees; plant more trees; save the seas; shoot refugees.”
In the Patriot Front chats, Cross continued to post even after his arrest.
“We have to build a foundation that can weather any storm, anything they throw at us,” he wrote last April. “We just have to keep pushing.”
“In the Aggregate They Are Disturbing”
It was the Sunday of Memorial Day weekend 2019 when 20 or so masked members of Patriot Front made their way onto a corner of the University of North Carolina in Chapel Hill. They set off flares and smoke devices, delivered a short speech using a megaphone and fled. The police report said it lasted all of three minutes.
Blakely Lord, a high school English teacher, managed to capture the incident on video. In brief, she called the episode “profoundly disturbing.”
“I chose to film because you feel helpless,” Lord said. “I’m a dumpy middle-aged English teacher. I’m not going to get out my sword and face them down.”
She added, “I do think it’s a narrative people need to be thinking about: these little incidents may seem unimportant, but in the aggregate they are disturbing.”
Such disturbances — masked flash mobs, defacing property, distributing propaganda — are the day-to-day work of Patriot Front. Screaming outside an anarchist book fair in Texas. Plastering stickers across multiple store fronts on a busy block in Denver. Parading with flares at night in a public park in Boston. Posting an “America First” sticker at a gay pride center in Vermont. All in the last year.
Members give one another tips about where to place posters and stickers legally, and they urge one another to wear gloves to avoid leaving fingerprints. But in practice, Patriot Front members frequently target storefronts or places of worship, which is vandalism. Additionally, many colleges and universities, another favorite target for postering, prohibit flyers from nonstudent groups. White supremacists see campuses as a strategic location for flyering: a place to recruit potential members while attracting press coverage to amplify their propaganda.
In Columbus, Georgia, three months ago, two Patriot Front members posted flyers on and around a local synagogue, Temple Israel. “Reclaim America,” read one. “Life, liberty and the pursuit of victory,” read another. And the address of Patriot Front’s website was printed at the bottom of the flyers. The temple’s leadership became aware of Patriot Front’s history and said it was clear the synagogue and its members were targeted because of their faith.
“To me, the sinister aspect is this particular group disguises themselves as patriots, Tiffany Broda, the temple’s president, told the Ledger-Enquirer last July. “Yet they are a hate group, a nationally recognized hate group. And though we don’t want to give them publicity, we think that it’s important to bring this out of the shadows.”
“Jews have been a part of Columbus almost since the founding of our city, which is almost 200 years ago,” Rabbi Beth Schwartz added. “We will remain vigilant as a congregation, vigilant as a Jewish community. We don’t hide our heads in fear.”
Patriot Front members make clear in their chats that such actions — almost always recorded by one of the masked members — have multiple aims: to frighten, to provide material for their own propaganda efforts on social media, and to recruit. The drive to recruit might help explain why college campuses are Patriot Front’s most common targets.
Late last month, Patriot Front launched what it claimed were coordinated actions to distribute flyers and stickers and posters at more than 100 campuses across the country. The group posted on Twitter what it said was evidence of success at 90 schools.
Michael Loadenthal, a visiting professor of sociology at Miami University in Ohio, said Patriot Front had recently been targeting the school.
“Fascists having a public presence is organizing; this is recruitment,” Loadenthal said, adding that the simple idea that “white supremacists are individually radicalized people in their basement at home is wrong.”
“They are a network,” he said. “No particular node is dangerous until they are.”
Simi, the professor in California, said Patriot Front had hit the campus of Chapman University three times in a single month recently. The school, he said, had set up a permanent conference dealing with the nation’s southern border, and Patriot Front had singled out posted materials related to the conference to be defaced or covered up.
“People on the campus get intimidated,” Simi said.
He said the school had to add security cameras and police protection.
“This is part of their strategy,” Simi said of Patriot Front. “These are things they want to happen.”
Thalia Beaty and Lucas Waldron contributed to this report.
It’s official. Civil War 2 started. At least that’s according to militia groups like the Oath Keepers who have already announced the start of a shooting war following the death of Aaron “Jay” Danielson, a far right counter-protestor in Portland who was shot by a man who claims on social media to be “100% Antifa!”. That’s the trigger for civil war: a far right protester gets shot by a self-declared Antifa member. It’s the kind of declaration that would be comical if the US didn’t have a president who was relying on running a Helter Skelter race war campaign as his core reelection strategy.
Now, as we’re going to see, the self-declared “100% Antifa!” member man who shot Danielson, Michael Forest Reinoehl, appears to be one of those figures who had no apparent political activity until just a few months ago when the George Floyd protests erupted in Portland. At least that’s what we can infer from his Instagram page, where there were no publicly available political posts at all until June 3rd of 2020:
* On May 30th there’s a post on Michael Reinoehl’s Instagram page where he drives past a Portland protest with a large object lit on fire in the street with the caption “Omg”.
* The next Instagram post is the first political public post in his entire timeline (publicly available as of 09/01/2020). The June 3 post is a photo of what appears to be a protester faceoff with Portland police at night with the caption: “It might be time to take A New Perspective on things. Things are bad right now and they can only get worse. But that is how a radical change comes about. Hopefully if we do it right the people will prevail and in turn Common Sense will save our planet.”
* The post where Reinoehl declares himself to be “100% ANTIFA” is from June 16, with the caption: “Every Revolution needs people that are willing and ready to fight. There are so many of us protesters that are just protesting without a clue of where that will lead. That’s just the beginning that’s where the fight starts. If that’s as far as you can take it thank you for your participation but please stand aside and support the ones that are willing to fight. I am 100% ANTIFA all the way! I am willing to fight for my brothers and sisters! Even if some of them are too ignorant to realize what antifa truly stands for. We do not want violence but we will not run from it either! If the police continue to pick on and beat up innocent citizens that are peacefully voicing their objections, it must be met with equal force! We are currently living through a crucial point in Humanities evolution. We truly have an opportunity right now to fix everything. But it will be a fight like no other! It will be a war and like all wars there will be casualties. I was in the army and I hated it. I did not feel like fighting for them would ever be a good cause. Today’s protesters and antifa are my brothers in arms. This is a Cause to fight for This truly is fighting for my country! I have children that need to live in a world run by Common Sense and human decency. And I will do anything to make sure that happens. Now is the time to change the course of humanity. If we fold now just because they show some Force we will be lost for another hundred years. And I don’t think the planet will let us live that long if we don’t straighten sh it up. Please be safe strong and United. I love you all??????
#Antifa #blaklivesmatter #fuc kthepolice”
So the guy who fired the shot that groups like the Oath Keepers are now declaring to be the shots that started Civil War 2.0 is a guy who declared himself to be “100% ANTIFA” around two weeks after he first starts getting political. There he was on Instagram predicting a war and casualties two weeks after his “New Perspective” of June 3. And given the extensive evidence of far right infiltration of these protests we have to ask: is this guy even a left-winger? Other than his his sudden Instagram epiphany that started on June 3 of this year there’s no indication at all that the guy had any left-leaning political inclinations at all, at least on his Instagram account. His Facebook page similarly has basically no publicly available political content.
But there’s another potentially very significant indication that Reinoehl only recently acquired a keep political interest: footage from earlier in the night Danielson was shot includes someone who looks like Reinoehl with a large tattoo on the right side of his neck. Earlier photos of Reinoehl show him with a large Black Power fist tattoo in that location on the right side of his neck. A tattoo he already had during a July 27 interview of Reinoehl with Bloomberg News. During this interview he brings up the topic of the far right sending people into the protests to start fights and disrupt the movement. So that raises the obvious question of when he actually got this tattoo, and if we look at his Facebook and Instagram photos there are no photos at all where he has a noticeable tattoo on the right side of his neck. Is the large Black Power Fist tattoo a very recent addition to Reinoehl’s neck? That seems like an easily answered question. And a pretty relevant question given that Reinoehl apparently started Civil War 2.0:
““The first shot has been fired brother,” said Stewart Rhodes, founder of the armed anti-government group Oath Keepers, in a tweet Sunday. “Civil war is here, right now. We’ll give Trump one last chance to declare this a Marxist insurrection & suppress it as his duty demands. If he fails to do HIS duty, we will do OURS.””
And now the Oath Keepers are issuing ultimatums to President Trump: declare the protests an insurrection and call in the military to suppress it or Stewart Rhodes and the Oath Keepers will do it themselves. And while predictions of civil war are nothing new for these groups, the declaration that a particular event has already started the civil war is new:
Ok, now here’s a couple of article decribing the suspect in the Portland shooting, Michael Forest Reinoehl, and how he has been posting on social media about the Black Lives Matter protests since late June. While the article doesn’t mention it, it’s important to keep in mind that virtually all of his post prior to June of this year were apolitical in nature. The article mentions Reinoehl was charged with resisting arrest at a July protest and was also charged with reckless driving after he was caught drag racing with his 17-year old son on June 8. Recall that he had his “New Perspectives” post on June 3 and his “I’m 100% ANTIFA” post on June 16. So he managed to fit in some father/son drag racing quality time in between that new perspective and his pledge to fight and due for Antifa. And as the article notes, it’s video images of the fatal shooting where a tall, thin white man in a hat and white tube socks runs from the scene. Other screenshots from the day show a similarly dressed man who appears to be Reinoehl with a large fist tattoo on his neck. So as we can see, there’s pretty strong visual evidence that Reinoehl was the shooter. What’s lacking at this point is any evidence that he had any interest in BLM or Antifa more than a few months:
“Reinoehl was raised in Sandy and has had recent addresses in Northeast Portland, Gresham and Clackamas. He described himself on social media and in a video interview with Bloomberg QuickTake News as a professional snowboarder and contractor who has former military experience but “hated” his time in the army.”
A professional snowboarder with military experience who is also a very active protester in the Portland area. That appears to be the profile of Michael Forest Reinoehl but it leaves open the question of how long he’s been an active protester and based on his social media content it looks like it started in June. Days after he was arrested for drag racing with his son is when he made his “100% ANTIFA” post:
And then there’s the mystery of fist tattoo on his neck used to identify him as the shooter. It’s a tattoo that doesn’t show up anyone on his Facebook or Instagram social media pages. How new is this tattoo?
And regarding some of the older Facebook posts discovered that are being examined to get a hint of the guy’s politics, note in between the post from November 23, 2015 showing a Trump face painted on the wall of restroom with a urinal in place of the mouth and another post the next day showing a poster of Malala Yousafzai, there’s a post from the far right Young Americans for Liberty Facebook page. And the Free Thought Project, from which he posted a lot of content, is basically a libertarian anarchist project. The point being that his politics remain ambiguous based solely on the scant available evidence from the guy’s social media postings:
So was Civil War 2.0 just started this week by the actions of a man who apparently just became “100% ANTIFA” a few months ago and had no apparent history of political activism before this? If we leave the decision up to groups like the Oath Keepers then, yes, that’s what just happened. Of course, if we leave the decision of when and where Civil War 2.0 starts to groups like the Oath Keepers we would collectively have to be gullible fools. And that’s really the answer to the question of whether or not the shooting of Aaron Danielson by Michael Reinoehl started Civil War 2.0: it depends on how gullible we all are, which means the answer is a solid ‘maybe’...
Following up on the story of the two heavily armed men from Colorado who were arrested in Port Panama City, Florida, a couple of days ago after randomly firing on cars and telling police that “it was time to go to war”, first note that a suspect was arrested in connection with the murder of a nurse in Nashville that the pair were suspected of carrying out so it’s unlikely they were involved with that murder.
We still have no information on the motive of the two men, Duane Lee Storey and Cody Sean Brelsford, for why they started firing seemingly randomly on cars north of Port Panama City other than the report that Storey told investigators that “it was time to go to war”. Although the fact that they did this during the week that figures like Steve Bannon were warning that patriots would need to be willing to die for a second Trump term suggests these are far right extremists upset over the election results.
But there’s another piece of information implicitly in this story: the location where they decided to make their initial standoff. It was reportedly at the intersection of State 20 and State 79 in Ebro, Florida, just north of Port Panama City. They parked right in the middle of that intersection and then fired on two approaching vehicles before heading south to Port Panama City where they were arrested. So why there? Why did they drive all the way from Colorado and decide to park in the middle of that intersection and just start opening fire on random vehicles. It’s an act that’s even more baffling if they weren’t involved with the murder of the nurse in Nashville because it’s even more random.
So it’s worth noting something about that region of Florida: that’s just outside the the home turf of the Republic of Florida (ROF) neo-Nazi group, which is based in Tallahassee. Erbo is less than a two hour drive West of Tallahassee. And as we saw with the case of Nikolas Cruz and the Parkland school shooting, strong evidence pointed in the direction of Cruz having been pushed to carrying out the shooting by the ROF leader Jordan Jereb. In addition, we also saw how Jereb had been posting strategies for using the ROF to create ‘lone wolf activists’.
We have two apparent ‘lone wolf activist’ driving all the way from Colorado to Erbo, Florida, just west of the ROF headquarters in Tallahassee. And it’s in Erbo that they decide to open fire on random cars and after they’re arrested they tell police that “now is the time to go to war”. Might there be an ROF connection to this case? Were these two heading to that region with the expectation of meeting up with a larger ROF group? Were they told by the ROF that the ‘war’ was starting at that date and location? In other words, did these two ‘lone wolves’ think they were acting in concert with a larger movement at that time?
Don’t forget that, should there ever be a “Day X” in America, it’s going to involve a large of far right individuals all independently going a massive murder spree simultaneously, so learning about the techniques that can be used to motivate individuals to descend on a location at a particular time and just start indiscriminately killing people is the kind of thing the far right would be extremely interested in refining. Has the ROF figured out how to radicalize people remotely and were these two part of some sort of neo-Nazi ‘lone wolf activation and coordination’ test? These are the kinds of questions we have to hope investigators are asking.
Along those lines, here’s a story about another apparent ‘lone wolf’ act. This time it was at the Spokane County Democratic headquarters in Washington State. A 45 year old man, Peter Yeager, walked into the build and announced he had a bomb. He then reportedly handed the individuals in the building copies of a manifesto and asked them to read it. The manifesto doesn’t appear to have been posted online anywhere. Yeager managed to start a small fire in the building but that’s it. He didn’t resist arrest and claims he wanted to burn the building down but didn’t want to harm anyone.
What did Yeager’s manifesto say? We only have snippets available, but interestingly, while Yeager claims to be a ‘lone wolf’ acting completely along, the manifesto uses the language “we” quite a bit with statements like “We will continue domestic operations.” The manifesto also states that while Yeager has “profound respect for the grassroots movements of both the Democratic and Republican parties,” that he and others would continue attacks against their “ruling elite as they exist in their current form.” It’s the kind of language that suggests Yeager might be a QAnon adherent. It’s the second incident in a week in the US where a ‘lone wolf’ domestic terror attack includes hints of a larger network at work:
““He said, ‘I want you to read this,” that volunteer, 78-year-old Shirley Grossman, told KHQ news. “I tried to read it and my mind was not working very well obviously. It said something about the Democratic and Republican Party and more stuff. He said, ‘do you understand what this says?’ And I said ‘No, I can’t get it.’ He took the paper back and said, ‘Is there anybody else there?’ ””
Handing your victim a hard copy of your manifesto. That’s surprisingly old school. But that’s apparently what happened. A manifesto where Yeager claimed to have no grievances against the grassroots members of the Democratic and Republican party but deep grievances against the ‘elites’ in those parties. So he is at least attempting to create a ‘non-partisan’ veneer to his act. A non-partisan lone wolf. And yet his manifesto includes repeated references to “we”, suggesting that even if he really is acting as a long wolf he’s acting in concert with a larger movement
“The suspected arsonist described himself as a “lone wolf,” Meidl said, although his manifesto promised, “We will continue domestic operations.””
A ‘lone wolf’ making promises that “we” will continue domestic operations. Was he just engaged in rhetorical self-aggrandizement? Was he acting alone but perhaps expressing the sentiments of a group he’s involved with? QAnon perhaps? We don’t know, but he promised the attacks would continue against the Democratic and Republican Party “ruling elite as they exist in their current form”:
Keep in mind that, for a large number of die-hard Trump supporters, the rage against the Republican Party ‘elites’ is particularly acute right now following the growing attacks by President Trump on Republican officials who don’t completely back his attempts to overturn the election results. In other words, anyone claiming to be enraged against Democratic and Republican ‘elites’ right now is someone repeating standard pro-Trump talking points.
But, for now, we don’t know what exactly drove Yeager to do this and whether or not he was acting as part of a larger group. Just as we don’t know if Storey and Brelsford are in contact with the ROF or some other group. But there’s no denying the reality that this is a period when ‘lone wolf’ attacks against society and civil war are increasingly mainstream ideas in the Right. And there’s also no denying the reality that President Trump’s 2020 loss and claims of a stolen election are the perfect spark to ignite a wave of ‘lone wolf’ attack for years to come. It’s part of what makes assessing this situation so tricky: while there’s plenty of evidence hinting at these ‘lone wolf’ attacks being part of broader movements, the current rhetorical climate in the US is so extreme on the Right that we don’t need to necessarily assume groups like ROF are secretly radicalizing people online. The mainstream conservative media and right-wing politicians are carrying out that radicalization right in public.
@Pterrafractyl–
It is worth keeping in mind that Nazi ideologues see anything that will disrupt the “system” and kill those who are doing work beneficial to it as worthwhile.
Some things–killing a nurse, shooting up a school–might not make cohesive ideological sense to an outsider, but might be seen as valuable by someone seeking to overthrow a “system” they see as ZOG–“Zionist Occupation Government.”
Gods of the Blood: The Pagan Revival and White Separatism by Mattias Gardell; Duke University Press [SC]; Copyright 2003 by Duke University Press; ISBN 0–8223-3071–7; pp. 200–201.
. . . . Endorsing Beam’s leaderless strategy, [David] Lane argued for tactical separation between an open propaganda arm and an underground paramilitary arm termed WOTAN (Will of the Aryan Nation). The function of the overt wing is to “counter system sponsored propaganda, to educate the Folk, to provide a man pool from which the covert or military arm can be [recruited] . . . and build a revolutionary mentality” (David Lane 1994a, 26). Since the open racial propagandist “will be under scrutiny,” Lane emphasized that the cadres involved need to “operate within the [legal] parameters” and keep “rigidly separated” from the military underground. The WOTAN paramilitary “must operate in small, autonomous cells, the smaller, the better, even one man alone,” and it was “incumbent” that no “system attention” was to be drawn “to the overt cadres” (ibid., 27). The aim of the military underground was, Lane hammered down, to “hasten the demise of the system before it totally destroys our gene pool” (26). Revolutionary activity meant utilizing “fire, bombs, guns, terror, disruption and destruction. Weak points in the infrastructure of an industrialized society are primary targets. Whatever and whoever perform valuable service for the system is [sic] targets, human or otherwise. Special attention and merciless terror are visited upon those White men who commit race treason.” (27). 11
Lane was aware of, but indifferent to, the possibility that his message might contribute to inspiring a lone wolf with a warrior complex to commit an act of blind terror along the lines of the Oklahoma City bombing, which counted fifteen children among the victims killed. “There are only those who are for our cause and those who are our enemies . . . the masses are selfish, greedy asses. They have always been and they always will be.” . . .
In that same vein, keep in mind the 3rd Reich veterans and second and third generation Nazis involved with the Al Taqwa milieu and 9/11. “The Turner Diaries” foreshadow very directly the events of 9/11.
FTR #456 details these connections:
Al Taqwa’s Youssef Nada helped key axis spy Haj Amin Al-Husseini–the Grand Mufti of Jerusalem–escape from Germany at the end of World War II.
“Islamism, Fascism and Terrorism (Part II)” by Marc Erikson; Asia Times; 11/5/2002; p. 2.
. . . . Another valued World War II Nazi collaborator was Youssef Nada, current board chairman of al-Taqwa (Nada Management), the Lugano, Switzerland, Liechtenstein, and Bahamas-based financial services outfit accused by the US Treasury Department of money laundering for and financing of Osama bin Laden’s al-Qaeda. As a young man, he had joined the armed branch of the secret apparatus’ (al-jihaz al-sirri) of the Muslim Brotherhood and then was recruited by German military intelligence. When Grand Mufti el-Husseini had to flee Germany in 1945 as the Nazi defeat loomed, Nada reportedly was instrumental in arranging the escape via Switzerland back to Egypt and eventually Palestine, where el-Husseini resurfaced in 1946. . . .
12. Next, the program reviews a speech made by William Pierce 1998, the program sets forth the National Alliance leader’s eerie foreshadowing of the events of 9/11. (Pierce is the author of The Turner Diaries and Serpent’s Walk.) Pierce spoke of Osama bin Laden attacking tall buildings, such as the World Trade Center, and the coming of bio-terrorism to the U.S. This is but one indication that the relationship between Islamists and neo-Nazis sought by Huber had become a reality—whether or not Huber was the one who cemented its genesis. Note that the National Alliance and the German NPD (with which Huber is affiliated) are very close.
“Neo-Nazis and 9/11” by Jack McCarthy; Counterpunch; 10/29/2001.
Upon perusing his speeches from 1998–99, I discovered that Pierce, who heads the so-called ‘National Alliance,’ did indeed utter some most interesting (pre‑9/11—if not prophetic—remarks about Osama bin Laden and bio-terrorism. The running theme in Pierce’s commentaries is—to paraphrase his hero Hitler—that Osama Bin Laden’s warning to America is ‘I Am Coming.’ And so is bio-terrorism.
In one chilling commentary Pierce, (after noting that Bin Laden and the rest of the lost generation of angry Moslem youth had it with their parents’ compromises and were hell bent on revenge against infidel America) issued this stark, prophetic warning in a 1998 radio address titled, ‘Stay Out of Tall Buildings.’ ‘New Yorkers who work in tall office buildings anything close to the size of the World Trade Center might consider wearing hard hats . . .’ Pierce warned. . . . [Italics are Mr. Emory’s].
13. Next, reviewing previous information, the broadcast highlights the similarity between the events of 9/11 and the concluding episode of The Turner Diaries—the blueprint for Timothy McVeigh and company, as well as the Nazi terror group The Order. That Nazi tract (authored by the above-mentioned William Pierce) concludes with a low-level suicide aerial attack against the Pentagon.
It is worth noting that The Turner Diaries features the climactic attack on the Pentagon as occurring on November 9th. That date had great significance for the Nazis. The German sailors’ rebellion that precipitated the advent of the Weimar Republic so hated by the Nazis began on 11/9. Attempting to roll back the Weimar revolution, the Nazis launched the ill-fated Beer Hall Putsch on that date, as well. Die Krystallnacht (the Night of Glass pogrom) of 1938 was launched on that date also. Interestingly, the Berlin Wall came down on November 9. A German (or other European) would write the date November 9 as—9/11!
The Turner Diaries; “Andrew Macdonald;” Barricade Books, Inc. [SC] 1996; Copyright 1978, 1980 William Pierce; ISBN 1–56980-086–3; p. 201.
. . . . I conferred privately with Major Williams of the Washington Field Command for more than an hour on the problem of attacking the Pentagon. The military’s other major command centers were either knocked out on September 8 or subsequently consolidated with the Pentagon, which the top brass apparently regards as impregnable. And it damned near is. We went over every possibility we could think of, and we came up with no really convincing plan—except, perhaps one. That is to make an air delivery of a bomb.
In the massive ring of defenses around the Pentagon there is a great deal of anti-aircraft firepower, but we decided that a small plane, flying just above the ground, might be able to get through the three-mile gauntlet with one of our 60-kiloton warheads. One factor in favor of such an attempt is that we have never before used aircraft in such a way, and we might hope to catch the anti-aircraft crews off their guard.
Although the military is guarding all civil airfields, it just happens that we have an old crop duster stashed in a barn only a few miles from here. My immediate assignment is to prepare a detailed plan for an aerial attack on the Pentagon by next Monday. We must make a final decision at the time and then act without further delay.
November 9, 1993. It’s still three hours until first light, and all systems are ‘go.’ I’ll use the time to write a few pages—my last diary entry. Then it’s a one-way trip to the Pentagon for me. The warhead is strapped into the front seat of the old Stearman and rigged to detonate either on impact or when I flip a switch in the back seat. Hopefully, I’ll be able to mange a low-level air burst directly over the center of the Pentagon. Failing that, I’ll at least try to fly as close as I can before I’m shot down.
Thus end Earl Turner’s diaries, as unpretentiously as they began. His final mission was successful, of course, as we all are reminded each year on November 9—our traditional Day of the Martyrs. . . .
14. A German paper on the neo-Nazi/Islamist connection discusses dialogue written by Pierce in The Turner Diaries. The protagonist of this book (expressing the views of William Pierce, the book’s author) rants about his desire to see the “100 floors of the skyscraper fall.” Recall that—as seen above—the book also has a scene eerily like the attack on the Pentagon and that Pierce himself foreshadowed the attacks in a 1998 radio broadcast.
“The Unholy Alliance Between the Swastika and the Crescent, Part I—Neo Nazis and Fundamentalist Islam” by Anton Maegerle; 12/12/2001; p. 2.
. . . . 47 years later the Hitler worshipper William Pierce (born 1933) tells in his right-wing terrorist novel “The Turner Diaries” of a right-wing extremist Kamikaze-ing an airplane into the Pentagon. In an apocalyptic scene Pierce rejoices over the destruction of the center of the world capital-contaminated, Jewish-dominated New York. The neo-Nazi, writing under the alias Andrew MacDonald, says he desires to see the ‘100 floors of the skyscraper’ fall. Pierce’s book [The Turner Diaries] is a utopian fantasy, promoted as a neo-nazi Bible world-wide, as the publication of the diaries of the US-American right-wing extremist Earl Turner found in the years 2091 during excavations of the ruins of Washington, 100 years after the national revolution of 1991–93. . . .
15. Next, the program reviews information supplementing the examination of neo-Nazi connections to the events of 9/11. Specifically, the program furthers some details connectioning the 1993 World Trade Center bombing, the Oklahoma City bombing, and 9/11. Andreas Strassmeir, the alleged mastermind of the OKC bombing and Timothy McVeigh’s alleged superior in the operational aspects of the attack is alleged in a 5/10/1995 FBI memorandum to have sought the purchase of a Boeing 747 from Lufthansa. The possibility that this may be an indication that neo-Nazis and Islamists were cooperatively plotting attacks like 9/11 in the mid-1990’s is not one to be too readily dismissed.
“Al Qaeda’s Neo-Nazi Connections” by William Grim; The Jewish Press.
. . . Extremists residing at Elohim City received military-style training from a number of sources. One of the trainers there was Andreas Carl Strassmeir of Germany, a neo-Nazi and the son of Guenter Strassmeir, a chief aide of disgraced former German chancellor Helmut Kohl. The elder Strassmeir is widely regarded as the architect of Kohl’s reunification plan that merged the former East Germany with the Federal Republic in 1991. And Guenter’s father was one of the original members of the Nazi Party in the early 1920s. Andreas Strassmeir is important to this story because he not only became a close friend and confidant of Timothy McVeigh, but also because he is regarded by many investigators as John Doe #2, the unknown person assisting McVeigh and Terry Nichols at the scene of the Oklahoma City bombing who was seen by a number of eyewitnesses. In addition to training various neo-Nazi and militia groups, Strassmeir was involved in a number of very curious activities. According to an FBI report dated May 10, 1995, ‘Additional documents reveal that at one time Strassmeir was attempting to purchase a 747 aircraft from Lufthansa; however, the reason for the purchase is not reflected in the documents.’ In 1995 it would not have been unreasonable for an FBI investigator to give Strassmeir’s aborted airliner purchase merely passing notice. In light of 9/11, however, it gives one pause and raises the real possibility that 9/11 type attacks were being planned as far back as 1995 by insiders in the neo-Nazi/Islamic terrorist network. . . .
Best,
Dave Emory
There’s a new piece in Wired about another corner of the internet that was warped into a far right radicalization tool targeting kids:
It turns out the wildly popular Roblox game — a game that allows large numbers of users to collectively create any Lego-like world they want — isn’t limited to creating light-hearted fun fantasy worlds. It can also be used to create digital fascist dystopias. Fascist enclaves where voluntary slavery is the norm and degeneracy laws against things like feminism and homosexuality are the enforced. That’s the story surrounding a Roblox player, known as Malcolm, who managed to cultivate a loyal following of players who helped him build multiple fascist kingdoms, the largest of which was a kind of Rome-based fascist hierarchy. Malcolm was known to frequently make Holocaust jokes and was, himself, apparently radicalized on the 4Chan message board. According to former high-ranking members, Malcolm would ask them to read SS manual and listen to a far right podcast about a school shooter. One former member, Chip, even started an Einsatzgruppen division, knowing it would please Malcolm. This digital Rome even had its own Senate and according to estimates around a third of the 200 people running the Senate were fascists in real life. Finally, while it sounds like this particular digital fascist kingdom fizzled out on its own around 5 years ago and Roblox is doing a better job of policing its content, the game is still being used as a radicalization platform. Plus, it also sounds like a lot of the more radicalized members of groups like the notorious /pol/ forum on 4Chan are former followers of Malcolm and continue to thank him for ‘red-pilling’ them years ago with a digital taste of fascism:
“At the time, in 2009, Roblox was just over two years old, but several million people—most of them kids and teens—were already playing it. The game isn’t really a game; it is a hub of interconnected virtual worlds, more like a sprawling mall video arcade than a stand-alone Street Fighter II machine. Roblox gives players a simple set of tools to create any environment they want, from Naruto’s anime village to a high school for mermaids to Somewhere, Wales. Players have built games about beekeeping, managing a theme park, flipping pizzas, shoveling snow, using a public bathroom, and flinging themselves down staircases. They have also built spaces to hang out and role-play different characters and scenarios—rushing a sorority, policing Washington, DC.”
Roblox isn’t really a game. It’s a hub of interconnected virtual worlds. Anything you can imagine. Including fascist dystopias. A platform for creating virtual cults of virtual personalities. Sometimes virtual fascist personalities. Anonymous people interacting with anonymous people in an act of virtual role-playing. You aren’t just talking. You’re acting out. It’s the perfect platform for radicalization. Especially when a large portion of the people running it are real life fascists:
In a testament to potency of internet in general as a radicalization tool, we find how Malcom was reportedly originally radicalized on 4Chan, the same forum his radicalized Roblox players ended up after the fall of Parthia. And on 4Chan’s /pol/ forum, we can find references to newer Roblox simulations of life under fascism. This is still happening:
Keep in mind that Roblox is still, at the end of the day, a very primitive simulation environment. It’s powerful, but still just Lego-like worlds. And that means these fascist simulations are still just like a vague abstraction of what a fascist world might be like. Future generations of simulation technology isn’t going to be limited. That’s part of the significance of this story. It’s not just the story about how Roblox was successfully turned into a fascism indoctrination platform. It’s also a warning about how seductive these simulation platforms are going to be when the simulation is more than just fascist Legos.
It’s had all the now-standard hallmarks of an “accelerationist” public slaughter. With one notable exception: the Nazi gunman has a Hispanic name. That’s the nagging detail that is already serving as a trolling excuse for figures like Marjorie Taylor Greene to declare that only “dumb white people” could believe that a non-white person would carry out that attack in the name of white supremacy. Never mind the attacker’s Nazi tattoos. Or the “Right Wing Death Squad” (RWDS) patch on his outfit. A man named Mauricio Garcia simply couldn’t be a white supremacist Nazi murderer in MTG’s mind. Or at least that’s the trollish response she’s decided to go with. Maybe she believes it, maybe not. That’s kind of beside the point for trolls. But given that MTG’s ‘no hispanic Nazis’ meme seems to have already permeated the right-wing narratives around this attack, here’s a set of articles that’s a reminder that two of the biggest white supremacist groups in contemporary America are lead by men with Hispanic names: Nick Fuentes of the pro-Trump America First movement and Enrique Tarrio of the Proud Boys.
Yes, two of America’s leading white nationalist leaders are Hispanic. It’s a reflection of the nebulous nature of ‘race’ and what defines ‘whiteness’. But also a reflection of the demographic changes in the modern US. There are simply A LOT of Hispanics who find white nationalist memes appealing, especially if adopting them acts as a kind of ‘whiteness’ ID card. In other words, while Hispanic neo-Nazis like Garcia might be atypical, we should expect them to be increasingly typical as white nationalism continues to be cement itself as the default conservative ideology in the US. Nazi Hispanics are real, whether non-Hispanic white nationalists like MTG like it or not:
“Garcia’s online activity also betrayed a fascination with white supremacy and mass shootings, which he described as sport. Photos he posted showed large Nazi tattoos on his arm and torso, including a swastika and the SS lightning bolt logo of Hitler’s paramilitary forces.”
The guy who shot up a mall in one of the most diverse suburbs of Dallas wasn’t hiding his Nazi sympathies. Imagine that! And if his tattoo weren’t clear enough, the “RWDW” patch was there to clarify:
It has all the classic hallmarks of an “accelerationist” Atomwaffen-style inspired attack on a minority community, much like Patrick Crusius’s 2019 attack on an El Paso mall. But there one twist that appears to have figures like Marjorie Taylor Greene already denouncing those who view this is a white supremacist attack as “dumb white people”: the shooter had a Hispanic name. So given all the apparent confusion elicited by someone simultaneously holding white supremacist views while being Hispanic, here’s a reminder that two of the leading far right figures in the US today associated with white nationalist movements are also Hispanic: Nick Fuentes and Enrique Tarrio:
“In reality, the idea that someone named Garcia might be sympathetic to white-supremacist views is unexpected but not inexplicable. The Post has previously explored the ways in which non-White Americans at times ally with extremists who would seem to be their natural enemies. But the point can be made succinctly by considering two things: “White” is not as hard and fast a racial category as many assume, and “white supremacy” is about power as much as it is about race.”
White supremacy isn’t exclusively for people with Anglo Saxon names. It’s a lot more fluid then that, hence figures like Nick Fuentes and Enrique Tarrio and the prominent leadership roles they’ve played:
And Fuentes and Tarrio aren’t simply leaders of their respective white nationalist groups. They are at this point part and parcel of the political ecosystem around the contemporary GOP, in both cases after playing leading roles in the lead up to the January 6 Capitol insurrection. As we ase, Nick Fuentes was literally invited to dine with Trump at Mar-a-Lago as part of his work on Kanye West’s 2024 presidential campaign. And as the following article describes, Proud Boys leader Enrique Tarrio has more or less infused his organization into the Florida GOP since Jan 6:
“Tarrio integrated the Proud Boys agenda with Christian nationalists that now occupy positions on school boards, county commissions, the state Legislature and arguably the Florida governor’s mansion, activists who have investigated the Proud Boys told The Key Biscayne Independent.”
The Proud Boys may not have succeeded in keeping Trump in the White House, but that clearly hasn’t stopped them from making further inroads into the GOP mainstream. A mainstreaming process that appears to have accelerated since Jan 6, with Tarrio being invited to speak to the Boca Raton Regional Republican Club. We even find the Council for National Policy (CNP)‘s Moms for Liberty working directly with the Proud Boys these days. Tarrio isn’t just a Cuban American leader of a white nationalist group. He’s the Cuban American leader of a mainstream white nationalist group with major political clout:
And what to we find as part of the Proud Boys chosen set of symbols? The same “RWDS” patch found on the body of Mauricio Garcia. You have to wonder if Tarrio was a direct inspiration at this point:
We’ll see what additional details investigators discover in terms of the shooter’s motives. But he wasn’t exactly hiding them. The guy was on a suicidal racist rampage. A rampage driven, in part, by a seething anger at non-whites but also driven by an apparent self-identity as an aggrieved white man. A self-identity that Garcia didn’t have to get validated by his fellow white nationalists before heading off to slaughter their shared perceived enemies.
What compelled Thomas Matthew Crooks — a gun loving registered Republican who by nearly all accounts held conservative views — to carry out that apparent assassination attempt against contemporary conservative icon Donald Trump? We still have no real idea, despite more details becoming available.
Overall, it’s looking like Crooks may have had a similar motive to that of many school shooters, where it’s less about the political statement of the attack and more about committing suicide in a spectacular and memorable manner. That’s at least what we might suspect after learning that Crooks actually revealed hints of his plans to a community of games on the Steam online gaming platform. While it doesn’t sound like Crooks was in any way specific about the nature of what he was planning, he shared that he was going to make his “premiere” on July 13, the day of the shooting. But other than that cryptic hint, Crooks didn’t really share any political sentiments on the platform, according to FBI officials who have examined Crooks’s phones (he had two phones, one of which was on him at the time of the shooting).
Beyond that, his search history on the phones include President Biden, the FBI director, Christopher Wray, Attorney General Merrick Garland, and a member of the British royal family. That’s more or less all we’ve learned from law enforcement about what they’ve been able to discern about Crooks’s motives. Keep in mind that he was probably using the Steam platform on a computer, not his phone, so while we’re learning about the searches he made on his phone, that’s really only one glimpse into his online activity and not necessarily the most revealing glimpse.
At a minimum, though, these details establish that Crooks had an online community of gamers that he was apparently close enough to that he felt the need to hint at his plans. Keep in mind that we were previously told that, while Crooks had an account on the Discord chat forum, he rarely used it. That doesn’t appear to be the case for his Steam account. And as we’ve seen, it’s the Steam chat forums where researchers once discovered 173 forums dedicate to the celebration of school shootings. So we have to ask: how thoroughly are investigators able to explore Crooks’s history of posts (or just views) on Steam’s forums? Because the more this looks like a school shooter ‘burn it all down, I want to die’ mentality drove this attack, the more interesting his activity on Steam should be for investigators.
We’re also hearing from another former classmate of Crooks who recounts how Crooks seemed to dislike both Republican and Democrats. At least that’s based on interactions this student had with Crooks in the seventh grade, which was presumably around 2016–2017 and not necessarily all that revealing about Crooks’s politics at the age of 20. But assuming he did have a general ‘both parties suck’ view, while also holding the general conservative leanings that have been described by other former classmates and indicated by his registrations as a Republican, it’s worth keeping in mind that conservatives with a ‘both parties suck’ mentality were more or less the core of the MAGA base. And especially Alt Right conservatives.
And that brings us to that very interesting article flagged by Robert Maldonado about some of the narratives that have been percolating in far right media in recent months. Specifically, the appearance on Alex Jones’s Info Wars just six months ago where Jones and a guest were openly pining for the assassination of Donald Trump because they were convinced it would lead to a massive right-wing campaign of retaliatory assassinations. How common has that message been in far right online media in recent months? It’s a question worth asking in part because it’s the kind of message that’s probably only going to be get amplified after the shooting. While we don’t have a clear sense of Crooks’s politics, he sure fits the profile for a potential Info Wars audience member. Was Crooks getting “if Trump is killed that’s the best thing ever for the MAGA movement” messages in the media he consumed? We’ll probably never know but it’s worth asking.
And the fact that Crooks fits the profile of a potential Alex Jones audience member brings us to another notable fact in this story: it turns out the Crooks household was one of the millions of households profiled by the Trump campaign in 2016 as part of a secret effort to build databases of voter profile for campaign microtargeting purposes. As we’ve seen, microtargeting has proven to be a wildly effectively method for shifting voter attitudes. While there’s still a debate over how effective Cambridge Analytica’s ‘psychographic profiling’ ultimately was, we’ve already seen the potential effectiveness of this approach when deployed. Recall how the Koch brothers created the massively detailed i360 database profiling nearly every voter in the US. Initially part of the Project REDMAP 2010 gerrymandering initiative, the i360 database helped Republicans predict voter preferences at effectively a household-level, which was invaluable for determine how to best redraw district lines to their advantage. But then the i360 database was retooled to microtargeting voters with messages personalized to their political profile, with incredible success in shifting voter attitudes in the races where it was deployed. And we can be confident those microtargeting efforts are going to be a lot more sophisticated and robust in 2024. Just as we can be confident that the microtargeted messages potentially sent out conservative voters is probably A LOT more extreme in 2024 than even in 2016. After all, while Trump’s 2016 platform was already adopting the ‘if Trump loses it was rigged’ approach, it wasn’t yet a ‘vengeance’ platform.
As we’re going to see, the Crooks household was determined to be an extremely gun-friendly based on the modeling used in this secret project. Crooks’s father in particular scored a 0.99 for the likelihood of returning a warranty card for a firearms purchase; 0.95 for the likelihood of pursuing hunting sports; and 0.94 for the likelihood of shopping at the hunting retailer. That’s on a scale of 0 — 1. In fact, out of the more than 19,000 people in Bethel Park captured in this model, Crooks’s father was among the top 20 highest scoring individuals for those three gun ownership metrics. In other words, the Crooks household has likely been microtargeted with the most extreme ‘gun rights’ messaging the Trump campaign ever deploys. What kind of messaging are the most zealous gun enthusiast targeted with by the Trump campaign and other conservative outlets? It’s one of the questions we have to ask in this story. Especially since Thomas Crooks presumably wasn’t microtargeted himself in 2016 but will have been in 2024. What kind of general political zeitgeist was Crooks — a young male politically alienated conservative gun nut — simmering in thanks to the contemporary media environment where micro-targeted messaging is more powerful than ever? Questions we’ll probably never really have answered, but, again, we have to ask. Because while Crooks may have been driven by the kind of suicidal impulse of a school shooter, that doesn’t mean he didn’t have a political motive too. These aren’t mutually exclusive motivations. Did he target Trump just to die famous? Or did he choose to die famously triggering a much larger political event?
Ok, first, here’s a New York Times report on that haunting “premiere” hint that appears to be the only hint of his plans that Crooks left on social media. A clue left to a community of gamers on the Steam platform which has a history of allowing pro-school shooter forums to fester and operate as mass shooter recruitment forums:
“And, at least once, his browsing history signaled concerns about his own mental state. He also seems to have previewed his attack on Steam, a gaming platform he frequented, telling fellow gamers he planned to make his “premiere” on July 13, the day of the shooting.”
Well, that’s at least the closest thing to a clue about motive that we’ve learned about so far: Crooks hinted at his July 13 “premier” with fellow games on the Steam gaming platform which we are told he frequented. That stands in contrast with the Discord chat forum, which we are told he rarely used. As we’ve seen, it’s the Steam chat forums where researchers once discovered 173 forums dedicate to the celebration of school shootings. And while Crooks thankfully didn’t end up going down the path of shooting up a school, the more we’re learning about his vague political motivations the more it seems like he could have been gripped by the kind of ‘let the world burn as I commit suicide’ mentality that seems to drive so many school shooters:
At the same time, we’re continuing to get conflicting recollections of Crooks’s time in school and the degree of bullying or ostracization he experienced. Another student recounts Crooks not being bullied but also holding a general disdain for both Republicans and Democrats. Keep in mind the overall picture we’re getting of Crooks’s politics seems to indicate an overall conservative disposition, including his eventual registering as a Republican. But also keep in mind that ‘both parties are awful, burn is all down’ really is the zeitgiest of the politics of Donald Trump and MAGA and the Alt Right in general. Or maybe he was very Libertarian leaning. Either way, the more we’re learning about Crooks’s vague but conservative political leanings, the more it seems like he could have succumbed to some sort of political nihilism:
And then we get the searches about the “major depressive disorder”. Now, we don’t know why he was looking up information on “major depressive disorder” and perhaps it was in relation to someone else and wasn’t a sign of some sort of self-diagnosis. But there’s no denying that this very likely intended to be a suicidal act which does strongly suggest he was wrestling with suicidal impulses:
And that combination of possible suicidal impulses combined with conservative leaning politics but an apparent general disdain for both parties brings us to the very interesting story about the narratives that were getting spouted out on Alex Jones’s Info Wars just six months ago, where Jones and a guest were openly pining for the assassination of Donald Trump because they were convinced it would lead to a massive right-wing campaign of retaliatory assassinations. Which raises a general question that’s only going to get more urgent the closer we get to the election: how prevalent is this narrative on right-wing social media about Trump’s assassination being a glorious event that would spark a massive far right backlash that would just overwhelm the ‘deep state’?:
“Raiklin: “Oh, it’s going to be the best cleansing and the fastest cleansing that we’ve ever seen in my lifetime. I guaran—, I access, with almost certainty, with the highest level of confidence, that if they assassinate Trump, it is so game over for them.””
Was Crooks an Alex Jones fan? We’re told he had basically no social media presence and yet he was clearly posting on Steam to a community of gamers. What kind of media was he consuming? We still have no records on that. But the guy seems to have had a community of peers he was wanted to share his plans with. What was the overall political orientation of that online community?
But as the following report reminds us, the information/media environment Crooks was marinading in wouldn’t just be limited to the media he was actively consuming. There’s also the reality that we live in an age were micro-targeted messaging is easier than ever. Targeting down to not just the household level but the individual level. And it turns out the Crooks household was targeted as part of a secret 2016 Trump microtargeting campaign that was building political profiles on millions of voters in swing states. The household was determined to be an extremely gun-friendly household, with Crooks’s father scoring a 0.99 for the likelihood of returning a warranty card for a firearms purchase; 0.95 for the likelihood of pursuing hunting sports; and 0.94 for the likelihood of shopping at the hunting retailer. That’s on a scale of 0–1. In fact, out of the more than 19,000 people in Bethel Park captured in this model, Crooks’s father was among the top 20 highest scoring individuals for those three gun ownership metrics.
As we’ve seen, microtargeting has proven to be a wildly effectively method for shifting voter attitudes. While there’s still a debate over how effective Cambridge Analytica’s ‘psychographic profiling’ ultimately was, we’ve already seen the potential effectiveness of this approach when deployed. Recall how the Koch brothers created the massively detailed i360 database profiling nearly every voter in the US. Initially part of the Project REDMAP 2010 gerrymandering initiative, the i360 database helped Republicans predict voter preferences at effectively a household-level, which was invaluable for determine how to best redraw district lines to their advantage. But then the i360 database was retooled to microtargeting voters with messages personalized to their political profile, with incredible success in shifting voter attitudes in the races where it was deployed.
So with the Trump campaign presumably getting much more robust microtargeting operations underway and Thomas Crooks now a viable voter, it’s worth asking what kind of targeted political messaging Crooks may have been receiving over the last year or so. Because we can be pretty confident Crooks had been identified as a young male gun loving registered Republican in a key battleground state. What kind of microtargeted messaging was he getting thanks to fitting that profile? And how many other young men fitting that same profile are there getting similar messaging? We’ll presumably never learn these kinds of details. But it’s still worth asking, if only to acknowledge that, if the overall zeitgeist of political nihilism that is so pervasive on the right played a role in Crooks’s actions, he’s far from the only gun obsesses politically nihilistic young male stewing in that zeitgeist:
“The programme can now reveal the information was compiled as part of a secretive project aiming to identify millions of gun owners in America who could be targeted with pro-gun rights messages in the lead-up to the 2016 election campaign.”
It’s not remotely surprising to learn the Crooks household was targeted as part of this 2016 operation. What would be surprising would be learning that they haven’t been similarly targeted this year too, with Thomas Crooks part of the targeting this time around. How high would Thomas Crooks score on these 0–1 gun ownership metrics? Presumably quite high, like his father. What kind of special messages are the most gun-happy voters getting this year? A year when the overall political zeitgeist on the right is even more extreme than in 2016 and effectively ‘Trump wins or the country burns’:
Keep in mind we didn’t learn about all the questionable microtargeting of 2016 until well after the election. And it would be bizarre at this point if microtargeted messages hinting at political violence if Trump doesn’t win aren’t being aggressively deployed. After all, the right-wing’s macro-messaging has been more violence tinged than at any point in living memory. When the macro-messaging is openly violent, what are the micro-targeted messages like for voters identified as the most receptive to that at kind of rhetoric? We can only assume it’s more extreme than ever. Extreme enough that the idea of killing Trump in the hopes of sparking a much larger political bloodbath might be the next ‘logical’ step for the wrong targeted audience. Especially if they happen to be an Alex Jones fan.
More information about the history Thomas Matthew Crooks is continuing to show up. And while the motive for the shooting remains elusive, we’re getting more clarity on the Crooks’s political ideology.
First, it appears the account on the popular Steam gaming forums investigators previously attributed to Crooks — where he seemed to cryptically hint at a July 13 “premier” - turned out to be a hoax account that only changed its account name and profile picture the day after the shooting.
At the same time, investigators have also revealed an account on the far right Gab social medium platform attributed to Crooks that has over 700 posts from 2019–2020. The posts were filled with antisemitic and anti-immigrant sentiments, along with an advocacy for political violence. This would have been when Crooks was 15–17 in high school. As we’ve seen, Crooks’s former high school classmates have recounted how Crooks expressed conservative views while he was in high school. But we haven’t heard about his expressing far right views. So it would appear he was a lot more extreme during those high school years than he let on to his peers.
Gab founder, Andrew Torba, is publicly disputing these reports. Not that Torba is denying that Crooks had that account filled with far right content. Instead, Torba is pointing to a second Gab account — created in 2019 with the handle “EpicMicrowave” — also attributed to Crooks that posted comments in 2021 in support of immigration and Joe Biden’s policies. As Torba insists in response to the reports on the newly discovered account expressing far right sentiments, “This is not consistent with Gab’s understanding of the shooter’s motives based on an Emergency Disclosure Request (“EDR”) we received from the FBI last week for the Gab account ‘EpicMicrowave’ which, based on the content of that EDR, the FBI appeared to think belonged to Thomas Crooks...The story is this: the account for which data was requested was, UNEQUIVOCALLY, pro-Biden and in particular pro-Biden’s immigration policy...To the best of Gab’s knowledge, as of 2021, Crooks was a pro-lockdown, pro-immigration, left-wing Joe Biden supporter.”
Now, what Andew Torba left out of that analysis is the fact that the ‘EpicMicrowave’ account had a total of 9 posts, starting on January 20, 2021, through February 4, 2021. Recall how January 20, 2021, was the date of Crooks’s $15 donation to the Democratic-leaning Act Blue political group, a detail that has been widely cited as evidence of Crooks’s apparent left-wing ideology. So on the same day Crooks made that $15 donation, he started posting pro-Biden posts on Gab, making a total of 9 posts over the next two weeks. And that was it. That’s the entirety of the evidence of Crooks’s alleged progressive leanings. 700 far right posts in 2019–2020 followed by 9 posts in early 2021 that seemed to indicate a change in sentiment. And let’s not forget that Crooks later registered as a Republican, after he made that $15 Act Blue donation.
It’s also worth noting that the Daily Mail has screen captures of 8 out of those 9 posts and one of them was a direct response to @PrisonPlanet, which would be the Gab account affiliated Alex Jones’s InfoWars. Keep in mind how Jones was openly hoping for someone to assassinate Trump back in January, suggesting “If they [assassinate Trump], option 2, behind Trump, is going to be so much better for us and so much worse for them.” So, at a minimum, we can be confident Crooks was aware of Alex Jones’s utterances.
Finally, regarding the one clue Crooks himself seemed to leave behind — his decision to wear a Demolition Ranch t‑shirt during the shooting — it’s important to keep in mind that, while many of these ‘GunTuber’ channels on YouTube avoid overtly getting into politics, they are also inherently political channels. The big focus on the Second Amendment has political implications. But as Dan Trombly, a researcher who studies political violence and right-wing politics in online spaces, observes, even though many GunTubers lean right, their individual ideologies are rarely coherent beyond a “general disdain” for liberal society and for mainstream gun culture typified by the National Rifle Association. As Trombly puts it, “There’s a desire to show that you’re going to get that kind of ‘a bit naughty’ with the symbols and the ideas you want to engage with without having to make a coherent political statement besides having a hard-line perspective on the Second Amendment.” In other words, these GunTuber channels want to hint at far right sentiments without overtly embracing them. Which sounds like the standard ‘Alt Right’ trolling-as-politics playbook.
We still don’t have a clear motive. And it’s still possible Crooks was primarily motivated by a desire to die in a high profile manner. A kind of high-profile-suicide crime of opportunity. Maybe it was that. But if the shooting did indeed have a political motive, it’s become pretty clear what kind of politics has been animating Crooks in recent years.
Ok, first, here’s a report retracting the previous reports about a Steam account attributed to Crooks. The account was a hoax:
“But the account that posted the message was determined to be a hoax after further investigation, two senior law enforcement officials said Monday.”
Welp. Ok, it wasn’t Crook’s account. Keep in mind this doesn’t mean Crooks wasn’t on these popular gaming forums like Discord or Steam. It just means investigators haven’t found one yet. After all, the fact that investigators were initially duped by this fake account serves as a reminder that people can obscure their identities fairly easily on these platforms.
And that brings us the latest set of updates on Crooks’s social media presence. It turns out he was a rather prolific poster on the far right Gab messaging platform from 2019–2020, when Crooks would have been roughly 15–17 years old. We’re told over 700 comments were posted by this account, reflecting not just antisemitic and anti-immigrant views but also an advocacy for political violence. Keep in mind the prior reports we’ve received about Crooks consistently expressing conservative political views while he was in high school. So based on this discovered Gab account, it would appear Crooks wasn’t simply ‘conservative’ during this period. He was a far right extremist:
“The activity of the account, which posted over 700 comments, Abbate said, “appear[s] to reflect antisemitic and anti-immigration themes, to espouse political violence, and [is] described as extreme in nature.””
700 comments over the course of a couple years is a pretty good sampling of someone’s thinking. That’s basically a post a day on average.
But as the FBI also revealed, this account wasn’t Crooks’s only Gab account. There was a second account that shared “differing points of view”. And that revelation about Crooks’s second Gab account is generating pushback against the idea that Crooks was actually a conservative. The kind of pushback we should expect at this point: Gab found Andrew Torba has been openly disputing the FBI’s findings. Torba isn’t disputing that Crooks was the person behind that far right account. Instead, Torba is disputing the notion that Crooks was conservative, pointing to that second Gab account where Crooks seemed to express pro-Biden and pro-immigration views. And since those posts from that second account were from 2021, Torba asserts “To the best of Gab’s knowledge, as of 2021, Crooks was a pro-lockdown, pro-immigration, left-wing Joe Biden supporter”:
“During the hearing, Abbate explained to Senators that the FBI discovered two different social media accounts that they believe may belong to Crooks. According to Abbate, one account shared “antisemitic” topics and thoughts, but a second account on the platform Gab, shared “differing points of view.””
We have an earlier Gab account dripping with far right posts in 2019–2020 but then a second account sharing seemingly pro-Biden views in 2021. How should we interpret this apparent contradiction? Well, according to Torba, we should probably assumed Crooks had adopted a pro-Biden left-wing ideology since 2021:
So how do we make sense of these two ideologically opposed Gab accounts? Well, for starters, we can not that there were 700 messages from the antisemitic account but just nine posts from the ‘pro-Biden’ account. And all nine posts from made between January 20, 2021 and February 4, 2021. Keep in mind that January 20, 2021, was both Biden’s inauguration day and also the day of Crooks’s $15 Act Blue donation that’s been cites so heavily as evidence of Crooks’s alleged left-wing motive. In other words, there were nine ‘pro-Biden’ posts over the course of two weeks following that $15 donation on Biden’s inauguration day. And that’s it. That’s the entirely of the ‘evidence’ of Crooks’s alleged left-wing ideology.
But there’s another very interesting detail about this ‘pro-Biden’ Gab account: it was first created in September 2019, the same year the far right comments on Crooks’s other Gab account started. So it appears Crooks created both his far right account — which was heavily used for two years — and his ‘pro-Biden’ account at roughly the same time. But for whatever reason, Crooks only decided to start posting with his ‘pro-Biden’ account on January 20, 2021, the same day of his $15 Act Blue donation, and only made 9 ‘left-wing’ posts over the course of two weeks.
Keep in mind that, if we assumed Crooks made exactly 700 posts with his old account, that would make for 709 total Gab posts by Crooks, with 98.7% of them posted under the far right account and just 1.3% under his ‘pro-Biden’ account. So while there’s an apparent contradiction in Crooks’s online activity, it’s a wildly unbalanced contraction tilted towards a far right motive:
“The account called ‘epicMicrowave’ was created in September 2019 and made nine posts on the site, most of which defended various policies championed by President Joe Biden.”
As we can see, Crooks apparently created his ‘left wing’ account in September of 2019 — the same year he was posting antisemitic and far right content almost daily under his other account — but then only made 9 posts in total starting from Jan 20, 2021, to February 4, 2021. Evidence for Crooks’s alleged left-wing ideology is limited to that two week period:
Also note that the Daily Mail has screen captures of 8 out of those 9 posts and one of them was a direct response to @PrisonPlanet, which would be the Gab account affiliated Alex Jones’s InfoWars. Keep in mind how Jones was openly hoping for someone to assassinate Trump back in January, suggesting “If they [assassinate Trump], option 2, behind Trump, is going to be so much better for us and so much worse for them.”
Also keep in mind that Crooks ultimately later registered as a Republican after this brief two week period of 9 left-leaning posts. Beyond that, the shirt he was wearing during the shooting was for “Demolition Ranch”, a popular YouTube channel dedicated to guns and explosives. And while the world of ‘GunTube’ channels tend to over overt politics in their content, that shouldn’t be used to assume the content of these channels is apolitical. Instead, as the following Bloomberg piece describes, while some of these channels might try to remain apolitical, they often just mask their right-wing politics with edgy humor. As Dan Trombly, a researcher who studies political violence and right-wing politics in online spaces, describes, while many ‘GunTubers’ lean right, their individual ideologies are rarely coherent beyond a “general disdain” for liberal society and for mainstream gun culture typified by the NRA. In fact, many online gun enthusiasts see the NRA as corrupt and more or less spent as a political force. And while the NRA is undoubtedly corrupt, it’s hard to read that description of the ideologies expressed on these channels as anything other than an overarching ‘burn it all down’ far right ideology, which is exactly the kind of ideology we might expect from someone who did what Crooks did:
“The shirt comes from a YouTube channel called Demolition Ranch, which over the past 13 years has published thousands of videos featuring an almost uncountable arsenal of firearms. Crooks didn’t leave many digital breadcrumbs, and his choice of the shirt, which retailed for about $30 from the channel’s online store, is one of a few clues about his interests or ideology.”
Crooks may not have left a manifesto. But that doesn’t mean he wasn’t leaving clues. Was his decision to wear a Demolition Ranch t‑shirt during the shooting a deliberate choice? Perhaps intended to be a shout out to a community he identified with? Or was it more just a reflection of who he was and what he typically wore on a day to day basis? Either way, Crooks was obviously a huge ‘GunTuber’ fan. And while ‘GunTube’ channels may not always be overtly political, they’re also implicitly very ‘pro-Second Amendment,’ and often express a “general disdain” for liberal society and mainstream gun culture. In other words, the GunTuber community isn’t exclusively far right. But far right individual would very much feel at home there:
Another indication of the extremism that can be found in the GunTuber culture is the fact that there does exist a network of explicitly non-bigoted and non-extremist GunTuber accounts. But it’s a relatively small network:
And then there’s GunTuber channels like the popular “Administrative Results”, a name that’s a reference to a South African mercenary group founded by apartheid-era South African death squad members. The channel sell ‘blood diamond’ t‑shirts:
Finally, note how YouTube imposed new restrictions on GunTuber videos back in June, weeks before the shooting. New age restrictions and a ban on videos of fully automatic firearm being fired. You have to wonder if Crooks’s decision to wear that Demolition Ranch t‑shirt was also, in part, a statement about those new restrictions:
But whether or not Crooks was getting inundated with cryptic far right messaging in the GunTuber channels he was watching, it’s still a mystery as to why he would have chosen to try to assassinate Donald Trump. The overwhelming evidence at this point is that the guy was extremely conservative.
Which, again, brings us back to the sentiments expressed back on January on Alex Jones’s show where Jones was openly hoping for someone to assassinate Trump because that would trigger a massive violence far right response. How widespread is this sentiment among the far right? Keep in mind that Trump is OLD. He only has so many years left. If it’s been determined that an assassination and martyring of Trump is in the best interest of the far right, well, we should only expect those attempts on his life to increase the older Trump gets.
Was Crooks a canary in the ‘let’s martyr Trump!’ coal mine? If so, also keep in mind that this assassination attempt happened at a point when Trump’s election was looking quite probable. Joe Biden was still the candidate. Now that Kamala Harris has reshuffled the race and Trump’s prospects are looking far less assured, you have to wonder how that “Let’s martyr Trump!” sentiment shifts should we approach election day with the expectation of a Trump loss. In other words, while the Trump campaign undoubtedly has some sort of “October Surprise” already in mind, Trump’s most die hard supporters might not have a surprise of their own.
I am not that interested in the motive of the shooter. He could obviously be a pond like L.H.O. except he actually took the shots. I dont think the secret service are complete bufoons, so what gives with the security plan, leaving that roof unguarded so close to DT? Incompetence or criminal? This seems reminiscent of the shooting of George Wallace. Should the FBI investigation be trusted? What it all means I do not know.
@GK–
The FBI is not incompetent at all, nor is the Secret Service.
THAT is exactly the point!
re the shooting of Wallace: https://spitfirelist.com/for-the-record/ftr-648-arthur-who/
I recommend checking out Pterrafractyl’s brilliant contributions and the detailed discussion of this on the Patreon site.
The updates keep coming, making less and less sense of the situation. That’s the enduring theme of the reports we’re continuing to get on the investigation into the Butler, Pennsylvania, assassination attempt on Donald Trump last month. The more we learn, the less sense the story the makes.
In the latest round of updates, new bodycam footage was released by local police. The footage includes the moment when a local officer climbed up onto the roof of the AGR factory, was spotted by Crooks, and quickly dropped back down. As we can see and hear in the video, the officer immediately spotted Crooks’s arsenal and rushed to his car to get a gun.
Bodycam footage also captures the angry responses by local law enforcement in the minutes after the shooting, with one officer livid with the Secret Service, insisting that he told the Secret Service days earlier that the AGR factor roof needed to be secured and that the Secret Service agreed to handle that.
Recall that we previously learned how the AGR building that building was being used as a staging area for the local police to perform overwatch on the crowd. But no one was on the roof. The top of that building had previously been identified as a “vulnerability” and we were told two local counter-sniper teams were supposed to cover the building. But local police countered that it was the Secret Secret service who was ultimately responsible. So now we’re learning that the Secret Service apparently told local police that the Secret Service was going to handle the coverage of that building’s roof. But no one was there and apparently there and no one knew about that security lapse until it was too late.
We also got more clarity on the moments right before the shooting, when the local policy officer climbed up to spot Crooks and his arsenal on the roof: previously, we had been told the officer climb up only to find himself face to face with Crooks, with Crooks swinging his rifle towards the officer. The officer jumped down and we’re then told Crooks swung the rifle back towards Trump and fired off the volley of shots before getting killed in a head shot by the Secret Service snipers. But now we’re learning that it was approximately 40 seconds between when the officer spotted Crooks and when the shots were fired. That’s as LONG 40 seconds, given the context. But also keep in mind that this is in keeping with video footage released showing the Secret Service snipers seemingly trained in on Crooks for 30–40 seconds before the shots were fired.
And that brings us to another update we’ve recently received: we’re told neither the secret service snipers nor Trump’s security detail were wasn’t aware Crooks was armed until the shots were fired. Yep. That’s the story we’re getting. Despite as 40 second lapse between when Crooks was directly spotted by a local officer with a rifle. Also keep in mind how only two of the members of Trump’s direct security team — the people who directly tackled Trump — were Secret Service agents. The rest were local police including at least six officer from Butler County tactical units. In addition, two local sniper teams were also there to supplement the two Secret Service sniper teams. So if Trump’s security detail wasn’t aware Crooks was armed, that suggests those local officers weren’t getting communications for fellow local officers.
So what explains this apparent lack of communication between local police and the Secret Service? Well, that brings us to one more incredible update: we’ve now learned about the “unique” structure of the security organization that day. It turns out there were two separate security command centers. One for local police and one for the Secret Service. Keep in mind there’s a third entity involved here: the state police. And it sounds like there was a single state police officer posted in the Secret Service command post and no Secret Service agents posted with the local police. As a result, we’re are told communications were disjointed among the different teams. That’s the arrange Secret Service Acting Director Ronald Rowe characterized as “unique”.
Now, couldn’t these separate command centers at least have open radio communication? Well, we are told that Secret Service counter snipers did not have radio communications with local law enforcement that day. Instead, the agents relied on text messaging. Local officers sent the Secret Service snipers two pictures of Crooks via text at 5:45 PM. At 5:53 PM, the leader for the Secret Service counter snipers texted their team that local law enforcement was “looking for a suspicious individual outside of the perimeter lurking around the AGR building.”
We had another remarkable example of the disjointed communications shared with us: We’re told a member of Trump’s protective detail contacted a counterpart within the Secret Service’s Pittsburgh field office to follow up on that earlier communication 5:53 PM and was on the phone when the first shots range out. So in order to follow up on that earlier notification about a suspicious person on a roof, a member of Trump’s security detail called someone at the Pittsburgh field office. That sounds like a very poorly organized command structure. “Unique” is one way to put it.
Oh, and it also turns out local police offered the Secret Service a drone, but the Secret Service turned it down. Just imagine how incredibly useful a drone would have been during that extended period of time we’re told security was search for Crooks. Or identifying that he was armed. Just another incredible security anomaly from that ‘unique’ day:
““I f**king told them they need to post the guys f**king over here,” the officer said. “I told them that, the f**king, the Secret Service, I told them that f**king Tuesday. I told them to post f**king guys over here.””
This was obviously a giant f#ck up. But it’s one kind of f%ck up if everyone neglected to secure a building that should obviously be secured. It’s another kind of f%ck up entirely if that building was in fact identified in advance as a building that needs to be secured and the Secret Service agreed to secure it but then, for mysterious reasons, neglected to do so:
And then we get this interesting update on the timing around the moments right before the shooting. Previously, we were told that Crooks fired shortly after swinging his rifle towards the police officer who climbed up to the roof. Crooks swung the rifle back towards the rally after the officer dropped back down and opened fire. But now we’re learning it was more like 40 seconds between when that officer dropped down and when Crooks opened fire. With the Secret Service sniper taking Crooks out immediately after firing those eight shots. Keep in mind that this timeline is in keep with video that’s already been revealed showing the sniper team seemingly trained on Crooks for roughly 30–40 seconds immediately before the shooting. Also note that this was a local, not state, officer who directly spotted Crooks. That’s going to be an important detail below when we examine the “unique” dual command post structure deployed that day:
Finally, note how, while we’re getting more clarity on the frequency of Crooks’s trips to the Clairton Sportsmen’s Club, we still have zero information on who he may have been fraternizing with. Did he happen to have an regular friends at the club? Or did he just show up alone and use the shooting range without any socializing?
So given that preposterous update, it’s worth looking at another round of preposterous updates we got last week. For starters, we learned that this was apparently the first time Secret Service counter snipers had been deployed to support a Trump rally this year. Which seems amazing. Why this rally and not any others? Were there sniper teams provided by state and local police entirely or where there no snipers at all? Keep in mind that it wasn’t just Secret Service snipers there that day. The top of the building where Crooks fired had previously been identified as a “vulnerability” and two local counter-sniper teams were supposed to cover the building. But local police countered that it was the Secret Secret service who was ultimately responsible. So it’s possible there have been sniper teams at prior Trump rallies this year that weren’t Secret Secret service sniper teams.
But then we also learned about another “unique” of how the rally’s security was organized: there was two separate command posts. One for the Secret Service and one for local police. We are told a single state police officer was posted at the Secret Service command post while no Secret Service officers were posted at the local police command post
. Beyond that, we are told that the Secret Service counter snipers had no radio communication with local law enforcement. Instead, they communicated via text.
And then we get to this detail that makes that 40 second lapse between when local police spotted Crooks on the roof with the gun and when he fired off that volley: we are told that neither the counter snipers nor Trump’s security detail were aware that the suspicious individual was armed until the shots were fired.
Again, don’t forget Crooks was shot in the head by a Secret Service counter-sniper immediately have firing those first eight shots, so it’s a little hard to imagine the Secret Service sniper had already. Also recall that video showing the sniper team seemingly trained in on Crooks for 30–40 seconds before the shooting. And yet, we are now told the sniper team didn’t know he was armed until Crooks opened fire.
Also recall how only two of the members of Trump’s direct security team — the people who directly tackled Trump — were Secret Service agents. The rest were local police including at least six officer from Butler County tactical units. In addition, two local sniper teams were also there to supplement the two Secret Service sniper teams. So when we’re told “Trump’s security detail” also wasn’t aware of the armed man on the roof, what about the six local officers? Were they not in communication with the rest of the local police?
But that’s the story we’re getting. A story that didn’t make sense from the beginning, and makes less and less sense the more we are told:
““It was the first time Secret Service counter snipers were deployed to support” a Trump event this year, Secret Service Acting Director Ronald Rowe confirmed to CBS News during a news conference Friday, held at the federal law enforcement agency’s Washington, D.C., headquarters. ”
Well that’s just extra odd. First time this year a Trump rally had snipers? How is that not a routine part of any large Trump rally at this point? It’s the kind of detail that raises the question as to what security lapses may have been transpiring at prior Trump rallies. It’s also just an incredible coincidence: the snipers were there in place right when they were needed, but only immediately after Crooks was inexplicably allowed to fire a volley off.
Also note the somewhat puzzling narrative we’re getting about when exactly the Secret Service knew Crooks was armed: we’re told neither the counter snipers nor Trump’s security detail were aware that Crooks was armed until the shots were fired. And yet the snipers were trained in on Crooks to the point where he was taken out in a single shot immediately after that opening volley. Roughly 40 seconds after police first spotted Crooks with the weapons on the roof, as we saw above. What difference might communications between the Secret Service and enforcement had made during those 40 seconds?
And when we learn that the local police and Secret Service did not have direct radio communications, that brings us to the other apparently unprecedented feature of this rally: there were two separate command posts. A “Secret Service security room” and a separate one for local law enforcement. With a lone State Police in the Secret Service command post and no Secret Service personnel in the local law enforcement command post. So the state police could directly communicate with the Secret Secret service through that one lone agent, but no such direct communication existing between the Secret Service and the local police? Is that the situation we’re looking at? A situation with two command posts that don’t have direct communication with each other outside of text messaging. Which seems impossibly absurd. But that’s what we are told. And, again, don’t forget that we learned there was a 40 second period between when a local police spotted Crooks with the rifle on the roof and when Crooks opened fire, which would have been plenty of time to communicate that fact to Secret Service had there been a radio communication between local police and Secret Service. Or even plenty of time to send a text. “Man on AGR roof with rifle! Neutralize” should take that long to send:
Finally, we get the detail about the turned-down drone. Just imagine how incredible useful such a drone would have been in this situation...a situation where the Secret Service inexplicably neglected to secure a rooftop it previously promised to secure. Another amazing ‘oops’:
It’s going to be grimly interesting to see what kind of updates we get next. Based on what we already know, pretty much everything that could go wrong went wrong. There doesn’t seem to be much more room for further failure. But that doesn’t mean we won’t learn about a new amazing inexplicable ‘failure’. Likely the kind of inexplicable failures that, if taken at face value, suggests everyone was at fault and therefore no one was at fault. Lessons will be learned and everyone will resolve to never allow such a cascade of inexplicable failures to happen again. Etc.
It’s hard to imagine the circumstances around the apparent assassination attempt against Donald Trump getting any more mysterious than they already are. But that doesn’t mean there isn’t plenty of room for more mystery. There’s an investigation, after all. Plenty of opportunity for investigative mysteries.
And that brings us to the following mysterious investigative update: it appears the FBI approved the cremation of Thomas Matthew Crooks’s body while the body was still under the authority of the county
without the knowledge of congressional investigators. In fact, it sounds like the cremation took place on July 23, 10 days after the shooting and the same day both the Homeland Security Committee and the Oversight Committee opened investigations. House Speaker Mike Johnson also announced he was forming a congressional investigative body that day.
This revelation was apparently discovered by Louisiana Republican Representative Clay Higgins, who was appointed to the congressional bipartisan task force investigating the event. Higgins, a former law enforcement officer, decided to make a trip to conduct a personal inspection of Crooks’s body on August 4–6. That was apparently when he learned about the cremation. According to Higgins, ‘nobody knew’ that the body had been returned to the family, including the county coroner who still had ‘legal authority over the body’ when the FBI made this decision. Higgins notes that there’s still pictures and the coroner’s report available but, understandably, remains perturbed by the undeclared cremation and goes on to accuse the FBI of ‘obstruction’.
It’s the latest anomaly for an event filled with the hallmarks of a far right provocation designed to trigger a larger wave of political violence. As we’ve seen, not only was Crooks apparently deeply enmeshed in far right ideologies himself but figures like Alex Jones had been openly pining for a Trump assassination for precisely the purpose of triggering mass retaliatory violence. So perhaps we shouldn’t be surprised to learn that Rep Higgins himself is a deeply far right member of congress with ties to groups like the Oath Keepers and the Three Percenters. Recall how Higgins declared back in January, “My thoughts are that the feds are staging a civil war, and Texas should stand their ground,” in response to the showdown then taking place between federal border patrol agents and Texas authorities. As the following article also mentions, Higgins suggested the January 6 Capitol insurrection was a federal false flag operation caused by operatives who were brought in by the FBI on ‘ghost buses.’ He’s that kind of representative.
So when we find Higgins leading the investigative charge into this genuine investigative anomaly, it’s the latest example of how the many mysteries around that shooting all played perfectly into far right narratives. With the one notable exception that the gunman was, himself, a far right nutjob, albeit one who donated to Joe Biden once:
“Higgins says ‘nobody knew’ that the body had been returned to the family, including the county coroner and local enforcement. He writes that the coroner still had ‘legal authority over the body’ when the FBI made this decision and accuses the agency of ‘obstruction’.”
Did the FBI make the decision to allow for the cremation of Crooks’s body without the knowledge of the county coroner and local enforcement? That’s the allegation Rep Higgins is making. And while Higgins made his ‘personal inspection’ trip on August 4–6, it appears the body was cremated on July 23, almost two weeks earlier and the same day both the Homeland Security Committee and the Oversight Committee had opened investigations into the assassination attempt:
And then we get to fact that Rep Higgins happens to be a fellow traveler of exactly the kind of far right insurrectionary forces that we would expect to be involved with a provocation designed to trigger political violence. Recall how Higgins declared back in January, “My thoughts are that the feds are staging a civil war, and Texas should stand their ground,” in response to the showdown then taking place between federal border patrol agents and Texas authorities. It’s the kind of rhetoric we should expect from a representative who dismissed January 6 as a fed provocation and fraternizes with militias like the Oath Keepers and Three Percenters:
What’s the next ‘mystery’ in store for this investigation? Time will tell, but it’s hard to imagine this is the last one. After all, there’s still the final mystery that’s always awaiting us at the end of an event like this: the mystery of how all of these unanswered glaring questions will remain unanswered and just kind of fall down the collective memory hole while far right narratives are allowed to fester unchallenged. Happens every time, mysteriously.
We got another update on the possible motives of Thomas Matthew Crooks and the Trump assassination attempt. It’s not so much an update on the available information on the investigation but more an update on how this story is being spun by Republicans and right-wing media. Spun in a manner that conveniently avoids any exploration of Crooks’s apparent far right ideology:
Republican Representative Mike Waltz, a member of the bipartisan congressional committee investigating the shooting, is going to press to share his concerns about an aspect of the investigation that apparently has continued to thwart investigators. That would be the presence of three encrypted messaging apps on Crooks’s phone. The three apps aren’t named but we’re told the platforms are based in Belgium, Germany, and New Zealand. Keep in mind the popular Telegram messaging app is based in Germany. It sounds like investigators have yet to gain access to the contents of the messages in any of those apps on Crooks’s phone.
Rep Waltz rightly questions how the FBI could conclude Crooks had no help without first gaining access to those apps. But then he goes on to push a narrative that we’ve seen promoted from almost the start: that Crooks may have been working for Iran.
So what does Rep Waltz present as possible evidence of an Iranian tie to the shooting? Well, there’s the fact that an Iranian assassination plot targeting Trump has reportedly been uncovered. So far there’s zero indication that Crooks had anything to do with that plot. It’s about as tenuous an evidentiary trail as one can concoct, but that’s the narrative Rep Waltz has been pushing. For over a month now. As we’re going to see, Waltz was suggesting a connection between Crooks and the Iranian plot during a July 18 Fox News appearance, during which he also mentioned these three encrypted overseas accounts. “The shooter had three encrypted accounts overseas at the same time we’re having an Iranian plot.” Waltz said at the time. And when ask about what he meant, Waltz added, “Well, we know that they were based in servers overseas.”
Waltz wasn’t the only one pushing the Iranian plot narrative at the time. Far right activist Laura Loomer and even Donald Trump started raising question about these overseas app accounts, with Loomer going on to somehow conflate them with “encrypted overseas bank accounts”. And here we are, a month later, with Rep Waltz repeating this narrative in a new round of media interviews. That’s the ‘update’, of sorts, that we recently got from Rep Waltz. An update that informs us that investigators still haven’t gained access to any of those three encrypted message apps and also informs us that the ‘Iran was behind it’ narrative is still being amplified at the same time all of the evidence pointing to a far right ideological motive continues to be ignored.
But there’s another aspect to this ‘Iranian plot’ narrative that really could be very relevant in terms of trying to understand how on earth so many incredible security lapses could have transpired that day: the Secret Service was warned in advance about this Iranian plot and had surged resources for the Trump rally in response to that perceived threat. That’s what we learned in a July 16 CNN report, just three days after the shooting and long before we learned the full extent of all the incredible lapses. So while the ‘Crooks was in league with Iran’ narrative Rep Waltz is still pushing may be highly questionable, the question of whether or not the Secret Service thought Crooks might be part of some sort of Iranian plot on that day is very much a question that should loom large in this investigation:
“The Florida congressman added: ‘You can’t tell us his motive, but you could tell us he operated alone? You can’t get into these encrypted overseas accounts, but you can tell us he acted alone? So, I don’t buy that yet.’ ”
Congressman Waltz starts off making a valid point: how can investigators conclude Crooks had no help when there’s multiple encrypted messaging accounts they haven’t yet been able to probe? That’s an especially relevant question given that it doesn’t sound like Crooks did much socializing in person, pointing to an online social life if any existed.
But then we get to the broader context of Rep Waltz’s complaints: The congressman appears to be raising the issue of the three overseas bank accounts to suggest Crooks was somehow involved with the Iranian assassination plot. Now, when it comes to the general question of ‘who was Crooks communication with?’, the fact that he had encrypted messaging apps using platforms based in Germany, Belgium, and New Zealand is certainly very important detail. But it’s a rather big stretch to view the presence of these encrypted message apps as somehow suggesting involvement in the Iranian plot. Sure, there’s the general coincidence of the timing. But that’s about it and it’s not a particularly notable coincidence given that this campaign season, with all the outdoor rallies, would obviously be the time someone might want to plot an assassination attempt:
So given Rep Waltz’s decision to speak to the press about his suspicions of an Iranian plot tie to the Pennsylvania shooting, here’s a Politifact report from August 2, three weeks earlier, describing how the media first reported on these three overseas encrypted message apps in the days following the shooting and this same narrative about an Iranian angle to the shooting has been pushed by Waltz and fellow right-wing figures like Laura Loomer for over a month now. So while the recent reports about Rep Waltz’s suspicions might treat this narrative like its part of a new set of revelations, this is same ‘Iran did it’ narrative Waltz and Loomer have been promoting from almost the beginning:
“PolitiFact’s reporting found that these remarks about the presence of “encryption” in Crooks’ activities reveal misconceptions about what encryption is and how commonly it factors in online applications and communications.”
As this report from three weeks ago points out, the narrative about a tie to the Iranian plot was already percolating among right-wing media personalities, even getting morphed into an ‘encrypted overseas bank account’ nonsense narrative from figures like Laura Loomer. And this was weeks after media outlets first reported on these three overseas encrypted messaging apps in the days following the shooting. So when we see Rep Waltz raising the revelation about those overseas encrypted messaging accounts an suggesting a tie to Iran, keep in mind that this is one of those right-wing narratives that’s been speciously pushed for over a month now. A narrative that conveniently ignores all the evidence pointing towards Crooks’s far right ideology:
But then there’s the other Iran-related revelation we got in the days following the shooting: The Secret Service was apparently made aware of this Iranian plot before the Pennsylvania rally and surged resources in response to that threat. It was a remarkable revelation given all the security lapses that we knew about at that time. But when we take into account the much larger totality of security lapses that we’ve since learned about — lapses that include the Secret Service snipers seemingly being trained in on Crooks for 30–40 seconds before he fires off that volley of shots — it makes the ‘Iranian plot’ angle all the more mysterious and potentially relevant for understanding how what transpired that day was allowed to happen:
“The existence of the intelligence threat from a hostile foreign intelligence agency — and the enhanced security for Trump — raises new questions about the security lapses at the Saturday rally in Butler, Pennsylvania, and how a 20-year-old man managed to access a nearby rooftop to fire shots that injured the former president.”
Yep, all of these absurd security ‘oopsies’ happened during a time of enhanced paranoia about an Iranian assassination plot. That’s what we learned in the days after the shooting...before we learned the full scope in the incredible security issues.
We know Crooks was flagged as a suspicious person hours before the shooting. What was the internal assessment about him at that time? Did the Secret Service suspect Crooks might be part of an Iranian plot? We still have no idea. And it’s unclear we’ll even know. But we can be confident Rep Waltz and his allies will still be pushing the ‘Crooks was an Iranian agent’ angle either way. That’s their story and they’re sticking to it.
Another day, another shocking update to the Trump assassination attempt investigation. This time, we got another update from Congressman Clay Higgins. Recall how Higgins, a Republican on the 13-member bipartisan task force with ties to groups like the Oath Keepers and Three Percenters, already came out with that stunning revelation that the FBI allowed the transfer of Crooks’s body to the family for cremation back in July 23, 10 days after the shooting and while the body was still under the jurisdiction of the local coroner. Well, Higgins now has a new dramatic update about how the shooting actually went down:
It turns out it wasn’t a Secret Service sniper who initially hit Crooks. The first shot at Crooks was fired by a local police SWAT member who hit Crooks’s rifle, disabling it. It was seconds later that the Secret Service sniper struck Crooks in the head. As the following article notes, newly released images of Crooks’ rifle seems to back up this accounting, showing the stock end with a large hole where a bullet struck near the Crooks’s shoulder.
Higgins goes on to explain how this local officer initially spotted Crooks through the foliage and left his post, running towards the AGR building. He ended up taking what Higgins described as a very difficult shot from the ground roughly 100 yards away. So it sounds like Crooks would have been in a position to fire off a lot more shots had this officer not left their post and ran towards that building.
It also raises the question of how much longer the Secret Service SWAT team would have waited to fired on Crooks had his gun not been disabled. As we’ve seen, footage shows the Secret Service SWAT team seemingly trained on Crooks for 30–40 seconds before opening fire. And as we’ve also learned, that 30–40 seconds appears to overlap with the period of time between when a local officer climbed up on the roof and briefly encountered Crooks. Recall how, initially, it sounded like Crooks swung his rifle at the officer, who dropped back down, before he swung it back and immediately opened fire. But then we learned that, actually, Crooks spent roughly 40 seconds before firing after swinging his rifle back towards the crowd. So while we don’t have the exact timeline on the moment this local SWAT member left their post and started running towards the AGR building, it sounds like it would have all transpired right around this initial 30–40 seconds before shots were fired. With the Secret Service SWAT team seemingly watching the entire time:
“While it was initially claimed that Crooks was shot in the head within seconds by a Secret Service sniper, Higgins’ report claimed it was actually a local SWAT operator who stopped the gunman’s hail of bullets.”
This story just keeps getting weirder and wilder. Now it’s no longer the amazing story of how Crooks was spotted by a local officer who climbed up on the roof and then allowed to spend the next 30–40 seconds taking aim before opening fire while a Secret Service SWAT team seemingly watches the entire time before opening fire on Crooks following that opening volley of shots. No, according to this update, Crooks was actually first fired on by a local officer, disabling Crooks’s gun before the Secret Service SWAT team finally took Crooks out. In fact, according to this account, the local officer apparently left his post after spotting Crooks and took a ‘very hard shot’ from the ground roughly 100 yards away. It was only seconds after this officer disabled Crooks’s rifle that the Secret Service SWAT team stuck Crooks in the head, according to this account:
How many more head spinning updates are we in store for before this investigation is over? Time will tell. But we can safely conclude by now that this is one of those investigations that is never really going to be over. It will come to an official conclusion, sure. But it’s hard to imagine any sort of widely believable conclusion emerging from any of these investigations. Another permanent American assassination mystery. Mission accomplished?
And the hits keep coming. Or close calls, as the case may be: Donald Trump apparently survived a second assassination attempt on Sunday at his Trump International Golf Resort in Florida. Secret Service spotted a muzzled rifle poking out from some bushes and engaged the gun who fled and was later apprehended. While the gunman never fired and was never in sight of Trump, we are told he we as close as 300 feet.
The overall incident wasn’t a lethal event like the Butler, Pennsylvania, shooting, it is turning out to have a number of parallels. For starters, both events center around ‘lone gunmen’ with confusing ideological/political motivations. As we’ve seen, Butler shooter Thomas Matthew Crooks appears to have been a life-long conservative with far right ideological leanings, but who also made a small donation to Joe Biden via the ActBlue donation portal in January of 2021 before later registering as a Republican. In this case, the gunman, 58 year old Ryan Routh, is all over the political map. In 2016 he voted for Donald Trump before apparently souring on him. In 2019 and 2020, Routh made a total of $140 in donations to ActBlue while also indicating support for Tulsi Gabbard. By 2024, he was apparently a boosting Trump’s primary challengers Vivek Ramaswamy and Nikki Haley. At the time of his arrest, reporters spotted a truck outside his residence in Hawaii with a Biden/Harris bumpersticker.
But Routh’s expressed politics isn’t limited to which candidates he supports. The guy has been outspoken on a number of issues, include Palestinian rights and COVID (he’s convinced COVID was a Chinese biological warfare attack). But the biggest issue by far is Ukraine. Not only is Routh a huge Ukraine booster but he actually joined Ukraine’s International Legion of foreign volunteers in 2022. Or at least that’s what he claimed, describing himself as a “volunteer co-ordinator”. As we’ll see, the International Legion has a somewhat different take, describing Routh as a chaos agent who had “never been part of, associated with, or linked with the legion ... in any capacity”. One Legion member described Routh as someone who would “sneak around” officials and was “doing more harm than good.”
But our information about what Routh was up to regarding Ukraine isn’t solely based on the reporting we’re getting after this incident. Because it turns out Routh was interview by the New York Times for a March 2023 piece on Ukraine’s foreign volunteers. And as we saw at the time, Routh was telling the NY Times that his big goal was to recruit to fight for Ukraine the Afghan soldiers who had fled the Taliban and were living in Iran or Pakistan. There were no indications in that report that Routh was just some chaos agent sneaking around the Ukraine leadership. At the same time though, as we’re going to see below, it also turns out that Routh self-published a book in February of 2023 where he griped about how “I have yet to see... the smallest amount of appreciation or respect,” for his efforts. So Routh does appear to have run into difficulties with his Afghan soldier recruitment scheme.
And yet, as we’re also going to see, it turns out Routh made a rather interesting claim to the New York Times reporters during his interview for that March 2023: Routh claimed he was in Washington DC to meet with the U.S. Commission on Security and Cooperation in Europe, known as the Helsinki Commission “for two hours” to help push for more support for Ukraine. That commission is run by members of Congress and staffed by congressional aides. So if Routh really was involved with some sort of Afghan-soldier recruitment scheme that wasn’t entirely in his head and really did have sort of US government support for the gambit, there’s presumably some congressional aides who could confirm this. Will we get such a confirmation?
Given the fixation on Ukraine, we can at least see a somewhat plausible motive for the targeting of Trump, unlike the case with Crooks where we still have no real explanation. And yet, as with the Crooks case, the event itself is just filled with security anomalies. Starting with the fact that Routh knew where to target Trump in the first place. Because this apparent assassination attempt took place at the Trump International Golf Resort in Florida and there was no public knowledge that Trump was going to be there that day. It was effectively a secret golf event for Trump. And yet somehow Routh knew to be there. As former FBI assistant director Chris Swecker warns, there’s just three scenarios that could explain how Routh was there: He guessed and got very lucky; he conducted surveillance on Trump and followed him to the golf course or he had inside information about Trump’s schedule. As we’re going to see, Routh’s cellphone data indicates he was ‘in the area’ for roughly 12 hours before the incident. That sure sounds like a plan for an ambush. The kind of plan that required foreknowledge about something that should have been secret to the public.
And then there’s the oddness around the getaway: we are told Routh dropped his rifle and fled to his car after being spotted, but a bystander saw the car and took down the license, allowing police to eventually arrest Routh and take him into custody without incident. And yet, as we’re going to see, we are also told two West Palm Beach officers spotted Routh getting away in his vehicle and followed him for 45 minutes. Routh was eventually arrested by Martin County officers. Why was Routh allowed such an extended getaway ride?
So once again we have a Trump assassination attempt by a gunman with weirdly ambiguous political motivations and an array of security anomalies that will likely never be satisfactorily answered. Except unlike Crooks, Routh may have have also had some sort of contact with members of Congress and who knows who else in Ukraine. Keep in mind another aspect of that apparently poor treatment and lack of respect he was receiving in Ukraine: it’s not like the International Legion is the only Ukrainian group that accepts foreign volunteers. Did Routh have any contact with Azov? Right Sector? These are the kinds of investigative angles that really should be pursued and most likely won’t be at all.
Also, keep in mind what is hopefully just an awful coincidence: the move Civil War had its streaming premier on Max (HBO’s streaming service) on Friday, September 13. So roughly 100 million Max subscribers had an opportunity to watch a movie about a contemporary Civil War — centered around a Trump-like figure that fractures the US — for two days before we had our second highly mysterious Trump assassination attempt. It’s a sign of the times, coincidence or not:
“He is not believed to have fired his own weapon during the incident, and is not believed to have had a clear line of sight to Trump at any point.”
No shots were fired by Routh and Trump was never in his sights. It wasn’t nearly the kind of apparently threat to Trump’s life posed by Thomas Matthew Crooks. But it was still obviously a very serious security lapse based on what we’re learning.
Remarkably, it sounds like Routh’s vehicle was followed by two Palm Beach County officers for 45 minutes after he fled the scene. Why exactly he was being followed for that long without getting pulled over? Even more amazing is that he was apparently driving a vehicle with number plates that belonged to a 2012 Ford which had been reported as stolen. Was Routh being followed by two officers for 45 minutes while driving a stolen vehicle?
Also note he his phone records appear to indicate Routh was in the “vicinity” for roughly 12 hours. How did he know Trump was going to be there for this unannounced golf trip? We still have no idea. No shortage of mysteries in this story:
Adding to the intrigue around the stolen car plates is the fact that, not only did he have a criminal record going back decades, but his neighbors apparently new he used to keep “loads of stolen property and stuff” at his home while the family would fire guns in the open. The guy wasn’t exactly an upstanding citizen:
And then we get to Routh’s perplexing politics: A 2016 Trump voter who, by 2020, had apparently soured on Trump and made a few small donations to Democrats via ActBlue, much like Crooks. We’re also told he was declaring support for former Republican presidential candidates Vivek Ramaswamy and Nikki Haley, and yet a truck outside his Hawaiian residence apparently had a Biden/Harris sticker:
But by far the most eyebrow-raising aspect of this story is the fact that Routh is just some completely random lunatic. He was a Ukraine ‘volunteer’ fighter who was even featured in a 2023 NY Times piece where he described a scheme to recruit former Afghan soldiers who had fled to Iran and Pakistan to fight for Ukraine. And yet, following his arrest, we are hearing the International Legion actively disassociated itself from anything to do with Routh, characterizing him as someone who would just “sneak around” official “doing more harm than good”. According to his self-published book he published in February of 2023, Routh claimed his efforts ended in failure or were shut down by the authorities. And yet that NY Times report where he discussed his plans for the Afghan solider scheme was published in late March of 2023. So was Routh engaged in a real effort to recruit Afghan soldiers for Ukraine? Or was he really just independently ‘doing more harm than good’ and merely annoying the Ukrainian forces? And then there’s the passage in his self-published book encouraging Iran to assassinate Trump. There’s no question the guy is operating as a kind of chaos agent. But was he a purely independent chaos agent?
But as we’re going to see in the following NY Times report, it’s not just that Routh claimed to be coordinating with Ukraine’s International Legion. When he was interviewed for that March 2023 New York Times piece, Routh claimed he was in Washington DC for a meeting with the U.S. Commission on Security and Cooperation in Europe, known as the Helsinki Commission “for two hours” to advocate for Ukraine. The Helsinki Commission is led by members of Congress and staffed by congressional aides. So was this true?:
“In the interview, Mr. Routh said he was in Washington to meet with the U.S. Commission on Security and Cooperation in Europe, known as the Helsinki Commission “for two hours” to help push for more support for Ukraine. The commission is led by members of Congress and staffed by congressional aides. It is influential on matters of democracy and security and has been vocal in supporting Ukraine.”
Was Routh really in SD to meeting with the Helsinki Commission when he was interviewed for that March 2023 NY Times piece? It seems like a critical detail in this story: was Routh a fabulist? Or someone actually working with Congress to generate more support for Ukraine? A critical, and potentially verifiable, detail:
Adding to the mystery is the fact that Routh really did seem to be suffering from some sort of delusion of grandeur in May of 2020 when he invited Kim John-un to Hawaii to resolve disputes between the US and North Korea. Either that or the invitation was joke. But at this point, it’s hard to rule it out as a joke:
Finally, as former FBI assistant director Chris Swecker puts it in the following Newsweek piece, the biggest question in this whole story is quite simply how did this seemingly random individual known Trump was going to be in that location when this wasn’t public knowledge. Did he have insider knowledge? Keep in mind that this incident took place at the Trump International Golf Course in Florida. So if, for example, a golf course employee saw Trump and somehow tipped off Routh, it would have been one of Trump’s own employees. But there’s no reason to assume a golf course employee would have necessarily been the leaker. And yet it seems like someone had to leak this info to Routh.
At the same time, don’t forget what we saw above: Routh’s cellphone records indicate he was ‘in the area’ for roughly 12 hours before the event. It suggests Routh knew Trump was going to be at the course well before he arrived there. So hopefully investigators are looking into when the decision was made for Trump to have his surprise round of golf at that course and who was privy to that knowledge. Because based on what we know so far, it’s sounds like the ‘lone nut’ Routh was operating with inside knowledge
:
“Chris Swecker told Newsweek that law enforcement will have to establish how Ryan Wesley Routh appeared to know the exact details of when Trump was playing golf at a Florida resort.”
How did an apparent deranged lunatic working entirely on his own seemingly carry out a plan that required detailed knowledge about something he wasn’t supposed to know about? Trump’s golf course trip wasn’t public knowledge. How did Routh know this? Did he just happen to be in the area when he got a tip from someone about Trump being in town for a round of golf? This is a good time to keep in mind that this took place at the Trump International Golf Course in Florida. In other words, if a golf course employee happened to be the person who informed Routh of Trump’s presence, it would have been one of Trump’s own employees. At the same time, recall what we saw above: Routh’s cellphone indicated it was ‘in the area’ for roughly 12 hours. Which raises the question: why was Routh in that area in the first place? If Routh had no valid reason to be there it’s only reasonable to conclude he was there for this ‘event’:
Finally, note the following detail: it was the Martin County Sheriff’s Office that actually apprehended Routh. And yet, as we saw above, two West Palm Beach police reportedly followed Routh for roughly 45 minutes after spotting his vehicle. Why wasn’t he apprehended sooner? It’s just one more mystery in this story:
And, of course, let’s not forget that any questions about whether or not insider knowledge facilitated this incident are the kinds of questions that loom heavily over the Crooks shooting. Or at least should be looming heavily. At this point it’s mostly just a fog of ‘WTF?!’ looming over both investigations.
I don’t think the Cold Warriors are going to let Trump get into office again. Or should I just say the Warriors due to their lack of coldness?
Details continue to trickle in on the apparent second assassination attempt against Donald Trump this year. We have more clarity on what happened, although not really any more clarity on why or how this incident took place.
As we saw, the gunman, Ryan Wesley Routh, reportedly spent roughly 12 hours in the area of the Trump International Golf Resort near Mar-a-Lago where he was eventually spotted by the Secret Service before fleeing, according to his cellphone’s data. We also learned how Routh served as an international volunteer for Ukraine, and even engaged in efforts to recruit Afghan soldiers who have fled the Taliban to fight for Ukraine. And yet, Ukraine’s International Legion has insisted that Routh was never a member of the unit and was seen as more of a chaos agent. At the same time, it remained very unclear how Routh knew Trump was going to be at the golf course that day since there was no public postings about it.
We’re now learning that Routh didn’t just spend those 12 hours in the area. He was camped out in the spot where he was eventually spotted for that entire 12 hour period, based on cellphone data. So it’s not the case Routh was just in the general area and close enough to opportunistically head to the golf course after learning about Trump’s presence. Routh planted himself in that spot just before 2AM and stayed there waiting for nearly twelve hours.
We’re also learning more about how Routh might have known Trump was going to be at that course that day. According to local residents, Trump is known to play golf at the course nearly every Sunday he’s not on the campaign trail. So it sounds like it’s possible Routh knew this fact and guessed correctly that Trump was going to be there that day. And yet, we’re also told that Trump had spent that Saturday evening at a campaign event in Utah. Adding to the mystery is the fact that we are also told by the Secret Service that Trump was “not even really supposed to go there”, resulting in a last minute scramble to put a security plan together. Did Routh see an empty campaign schedule for that Sunday and just correctly guess that Trump was going to be back at Mar-a-Lago that day? Either that, or he had a tip.
And then there’s the updates we’re getting about Routh’s time in Ukraine. First, it turns out Routh was actually interviewed in the western press a month before that 2023 New York Times interview where he shared his plans for recruiting Afghan soldiers who had fled the Taliban to fight for Ukraine. The February 2023 interview was for a short piece in the Financial Times about the enduring symbolism of a “Flags of the Fallen” memorial set up by Routh in 2022. As the article noted, the ‘flag garden’ started off as a few dozen flags — flags for Ukrainians killed in the war — to thousands, filling a segment of the lawn adjacent to Kyiv’s Independence Square.
The FT just posted an update to that story, revealing that Routh told the FT during that interview that, “They said ‘You’re 56, you’re old and you have no experience’...So why don’t you recruit and co-ordinate?” Routh also described how Kyiv authorities initially tore down a memorial he set up at the Maidan, which resulted in him setting up the flag garden. The FT piece also include comments from an unnamed individual who knew Routh in Kyiv and said Routh kept “a database” of Afghan soldiers, but that the International Legion viewed the plan as far fetched and dismissed the idea. It also sounds like Routh wasn’t just trying to recruit Afghan soldiers to fight in Ukraine. Taiwan and Haiti were also destinations he was exploring.
But perhaps the most consequential update on Routh’s time in Ukraine involves his contact with the Azov movement. It turns out there are at least two known instances where Routh attended pro-Azov rallies in Kyiv. The first was in April of 2022 and the second in May of 2022. In the case of the latter rally, Routh was actually videoed at the rally and shows up briefly in a video released by the “Save Azov” Twitter account. Azov has declared that it has no relations with Routh and suggested that attempts to tie the group to Routh are Russian propaganda.
Those are just some of the details about Routh’s time in Ukraine described in the following Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty report that also includes an account from Christian Lutz, a German who runs an aid organization and met Routh several times in 2022. A Lutz recounts, “once I was driving him around Kyiv when he had an idea of looking for a factory to build drones, a drone-manufacturing plant,...We were traveling with a soldier. Some low-rank soldier. I don’t remember the name. The soldier was helping him casually.” It’s just one more example of how, despite Routh being portrayed as a completely independent actor, Routh seemed to be at least networking with plenty of people during his Ukrainian adventures:
“He was seen by volunteers coming to Kyiv as a kind of mascot for Ukraine’s military, said Christian Lutz, a German man who runs an aid organization called Phoenix and met Routh several times in 2022.”
A mascot for Ukraine’s military. That’s how one observer described Routh’s activities in Ukraine, who went on to recount an experience of traveling around Kyiv with Routh and “some low-rank soldier” who was helping Routh casually. At a minimum, it establishes that Routh wasn’t operating entirely independently during his time in Kyiv:
There’s also this interesting detail: it sounds like Routh wasn’t just interested in recruit former Afghan soldiers to fight in Afghanistan. He was also looking to recruit for Taiwan or Haiti. As we saw, Routh is an advocate of the ‘COVID was Chinese biological warfare’ narrative. It sounds the war Ukraine isn’t the only conflict Routh was trying to influence:
And then we get to these very interesting appearances by Routh at two pro-Azov events in April and May of 2022. Interestingly, the video showing Routh at a May 2022 event (where he appears for about a second at roughly 1:50) appears to be a heavily edited video produced by the Twitter account “SAVE AZOV” which seems to exist to promote the message that the world must save the Azov Brigade. The Twitter account was created in March of 2022. So Routh attended a ‘Save Azov’ rally where he was filmed and whoever produced that film decided to include a brief clip of him:
Next, here’s a Financial Times report that includes some interesting information on Routh’s activities in Ukraine. The report is based, in part, on an interview Routh did for the FT in February of 2023 about a “Flags of the Fallen” garden Routh started in 2022 next to Kyiv’s Independence Square. During that interview, Routh told the FT that after the Ukrainian military rejected him for being too old and inexperienced, they suggested he instead help with recruitment efforts. We’re also told by an unnamed individual who knew Routh during his time in Kyiv that Routh had “a database” of Afghan soldiers but that his plan for them was viewed as far-fetched and dismissed by the International Legion:
“But on arrival in the Polish border town of Medyka, he turned up at the office of the Ukrainian international legion only to be rejected. “They said ‘You’re 56, you’re old and you have no experience’,” Routh, speaking from Hawaii, told the Financial Times in an interview last year. “So why don’t you recruit and co-ordinate?””
Routh was too old and inexperienced to fight, so why not recruit and co-ordinate? That’s the advice Routh was given by the International Legion. Or at least that’s what Routh claimed he was told during an interview with the Financial Times in February of 2023. Routh went on to share with the FT how Kyiv authorities ended up destroying a plywood memorial set up by Routh in the Maidan, resulting in Routh establishing a “Flags of the Fallen” memorial nearby that remains there today. In fact, that Feb 2023 interview of Routh was about the “Flags of the Fallen” memorial and the prominent place it has acquired next to Kyiv’s Independence Square:
Next, we get another interesting example of how Routh seemed to be engaged in some sort of real activism that went beyond being pure delusions of grandeur. According to an unnamed person who spoke with the FT and who knew Routh in Kyiv, it sounds like he had some sort of “database” of Afghan soldiers for his recruitment scheme. Where did Routh get this database? Was it a database or Afghan soldiers who had reached out to him? Or a database someone gave to him? We still have no idea:
Next, let’s take a quick look at that Feb 2013 FT piece about Routh’s “Flags of the Fallen” memorial garden. Because as that article made clear, Routh really had made a lasting impact on Ukraine’s war effort. That memorial garden started by Routh — after Kyiv authorities destroyed an earlier memorial, as we saw above — had grown from just a few dozen initially into thousands of flags covering part of the lawn next to Independence Square. Routh may have been delusional, but that doesn’t mean he wasn’t also leaving an impression. It’s a reminder that, when we hear virtually everyone associated with Routh’s efforts in Ukraine dismiss him as a delusion chaos agent, that doesn’t mean he wasn’t also engaged in some sort of real activism that involved real networking:
““It’s a pretty big yard, but the front bank is completely full,” Ryan Routh, an American volunteer who started the memorial last year, said. “There may be 10,000 at this point. ‘Flags of the fallen’ is what I’ve been calling it.””
Routh’s Flags of the Fallen memorial had grown so large in less than a year that it made the news. And don’t forget that it was a month later that the NY Times had that interview with Routh where he described his interest in recruiting Afghani soldiers. Last year, Routh’s Ukrainian activism was getting buttressed by the press. And now he’s just this lone lunatic no one ever took seriously.
Now, let’s take a look at some of what we’re learning about Routh’s time laying in wait at the golf course. As we’ve seen, Routh’s cellphone data indicates he spent the prior 12 hours in the area. And now we’re learning that Routh reportedly spent that entire 12 hours sitting in the bushes where he was eventually spotted. Routh wasn’t just ‘in the area’ and available for some sort of opportunistic last-minute ambush. As former FBI assistant director Chris Swecker suggested, Routh was either very lucky, or had Trump under surveillance, or had insider knowledge. Now, as local residents tell reporters, Trump was known for spending almost every Sunday playing golf at the course when he wasn’t out campaigning. And yet Trump was campaigning in Utah that Saturday evening, so if Routh somehow deduced that Trump was going to be there the next day he would have had to assume Trump was returning from an event in Utah the night before. At the same time, the Secret Service is telling us that Trump was “not even really supposed to go there” and that a security plan had to be put together at the last minute:
“He had been lurking there on the public side of a fence since 01:59 local time on Sunday morning, according to mobile phone records, cited by federal officials.”
Routh wasn’t just ‘in the area’ for 12 hours prior to getting spotted. He was apparently crouched in the bushes for 12 hours. Which sounds like something he would only have done if he was confident Trump was going to be playing golf there that day. How did Routh seem to know Trump was going to be there? As we saw, former FBI assistant director Chris Swecker suggested Routh may have had insider knowledge of Trump’s location. But according to local residents, Trump spends almost every Sunday he’s not campaigning playing golf at the course. If true, it’s possible Routh somehow deduced Trump was going to be there. And as one local resident pointed out, Trump’s motorcade could have been a signal that Trump was heading to the course. And yet, according to the Secret Service, Trump was “not even really supposed to go there”, resulting in a last minute scramble to secure the area. And with Routh spending 12 hours there, he obviously didn’t suddenly decide to show up after seeing Trump’s motorcade:
But while Trump was frequently at this gold course, as one local resident — who sounds like a Trump family friend — points out, it’s not like Trump is actually playing golf there every Sunday. In other words, Routh couldn’t realistically just assume Trump was going to be there. Somehow, Routh seemed to know this that Sunday was going to be one of those Sundays:
It’s pretty clear at this point that Routh was indulging in some sort of delusion of grandeur. But how delusion was it? Was this purely his delusion alone? Or has he had help? There isn’t a known network of associates that Routh was coordinating with, and yet by all accounts he was enthusiastically networking with his Ukraine-related activism, not just during his time in Ukraine but after he returned to the US. Lots of people knew Routh and interacted with him. Even helped him. And yet everyone now insists they have nothing to do with him and the guy was just a lone nut.
The more we’re learning, the more confusion abounds. In other words, it’s a normal political assassination story for the US.
The twisted tale of Ryan Routh’s alleged assassination attempt just had a few more twists added to the mix. Mysterious twists and one very gross one.
First, the gross twist: Routh’s son, Oran Routh, was just arrested for being in possession of hundreds of files of child pornography on two separate phones. The files were reportedly discovered as part of a search of Oran Routh’s residence in relation to the investigation of his father. Evidence for Oran’s guilt goes beyond possession of the files and includes encrypted chat messages for the seller of files requesting examples of the content he was purchasing.
Next, we get to a pretty wild update on what has been learned about Ryan Routh’s planning. First, it turns out the Nissan Xterra Routh was driving when he was arrested contained six phones. One of those phones had a Google search on how to travel from Palm Beach County, Florida, to Mexico. That’s all we know about the content of those six phones.
But those aren’t the only phones Routh possessed. We’re also learning that a man has contacted authorities about a box Routh dropped off at his house several months ago. The man claims he didn’t open the box until after Routh’s arrest. Keep in mind that if Routh dropped the box off at the man’s home, that suggests Routh and the man may have had a conversation too. Did this man receive some sort of instruction about not opening the box until after Routh was ‘in the news’?
We are told the box contained ammunition, a metal pipe, building materials, tools, several letters, and four additional phones. One of the documents was a handwritten list of dates in August, September, and October where Trump had appeared or was expected to go. This is a good time to recall how Trump’s round of golf that day wasn’t a publicly posted event, although it was possible for Routh to make an educated guess that he might be there that day based on the lack of other publicly posted events and Trump’s habit of playing golf there during his days off from campaigning.
We’re also learning that cell site records for two of the phones found in the vehicle show Routh traveled to West Palm Beach on August 14th and appeared near Trump International Golf Course and Mar-a-Lago multiple times from August 18th to September 15. So now it sounds like Routh may have been tracking Trump’s whereabouts for around a month before he was arrested, which raises the question as to whether or not this isn’t the first time he’s camped out on that golf course with a rifle.
And then there’s the content of one of the letters. We are told the handwritten letter was addressed, “Dear World”, and contained an explicit admission of guilt. Interestingly, it was written under the assumption that the assassination attempt failed, stating, “This was an assassination attempt on Donald Trump but I failed you. I tried my best and gave it all the gumption I could muster.” Keep in mind that the Butler, Pennsylvania, shooting was roughly two months before Routh was arrested. So if Routh sent this package ‘several months ago’, it appears he sent it before the Butler shooting.
So, several months ago, Routh wrote a letter admitting he was trying to assassinate Trump but lamenting how he failed, and then dropped off this letter to an unnamed man, along with a number of other letters and four phones. But the man claims he didn’t open the package until after Routh’s arrest and that’s all we know about him. That’s the other bizarre investigative twist in this story. The kind of twist that strongly suggests Routh had a network of individuals he trusted enough to share with them his assassination months in advance.
Ok, first, here’s a report on Oran Routh’s child pornography arrest. Which only happened thanks to the search of his residence as part of the investigation of his father:
“Investigators say they discovered “hundreds” of files with child pornography during a search of Oran Routh’s residence in Guilford County, North Carolina, on Saturday conducted “in connection with an investigation unrelated to child exploitation.””
Well, that’s a gross twist to this story. Oran Routh is presumably going to be very cooperative with investigators at this point.
But that wasn’t the only twist we got in recent days. There’s also the package Ryan Routh apparently dropped off at the house of an unnamed man several months ago. The box contained a document with a handwritten list of dates in August, September and October and venues where Trump had appeared or was expected to go. And then there’s the handwritten letter seemingly admitting to the assassination attempt but lamenting its failure.
Again, this was allegedly mailed to this acquaintance several months ago, although we don’t have the exact date. But the shooting in Butler, Pennsylvania was a little over two months ago so it sounds like this box with the ‘I did it’ letter was sent even before the Butler shooting:
“Law enforcement revealed in the filing that it received information on Sept. 18, three days after the apparent assassination attempt, from a man who said Routh dropped off a box at his house several months earlier. After learning of the Sept. 15 incident, the man said he opened the box, which contained ammunition, a metal pipe, building materials, tools, four phones and several letters, according to prosecutors.”
That’s quite a package to receive from someone. But apparently the man never opened the box until Routh showed up as the latest Trump assassination suspect several months later, at which point the man discovered the letter admitting to the assassination plot and contacted authorities:
Finally, note how cell tower records indicate Routh had traveled to the area around Mar-a-Lago multiple times between August 18 and September 15. Does this explain how Routh seemingly knew Trump was going to be there for a non-publicly advertised event?
Was Routh effectively stalking the area for the prior month, waiting for an opportunity? More details on that cell phone location data would probably give us an answer.
But at a minimum, we can now confidently conclude that Routh didn’t entirely act alone. He shared some sort of plans with someone. We know nothing about this mystery man other than the fact that he probably lives in the US if Routh personally dropped off the package at his home. And we can reasonably assume Routh trusted the man deeply and likely had some sort of shared ideology. Was this man possibly one of Routh’s contacts from his time in Ukraine? We have no idea at this point. But hopefully we’ll get some clarity with the next wild twist of an update to this increasingly nonsensical story.
We got another round of updates on the ongoing investigation into the Butler, Pennsylvania, Donald Trump assassination attempt. More updates that raise more troubling questions:
First, the The Senate Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs Committee (HSGAC) issued a new report about the technological difficulties thwarting the security response that day. In particular difficulties with communication. As we’ve seen, not only were there two separate command centers — one for local police and one for the Secret Service — but they were only in communication via text messaging. As a result, the Secret Service’s counter snipers didn’t even have radio communications with local law enforcement. Instead, they relied on text messaging, with Butler County tactical teams sending the snipers two pictures of Crooks via text at 5:45 pm, 26 minutes before shots were fired. But we’re also told they didn’t know at that point that Crooks had a gun and didn’t know this until the shots were fired.
And now, on top of not have direct radio communication set up between the Secret Service and the local police command centers, we’re told Secret Service agents also experienced technical difficulties with their radios. As a result, even though the Secret Service was notified via text about Crooks 26 minutes before the shooting, the Secret Service Lead Advance Agent, Site Agent, and Site Counterpart told the Senate committee that this information was not relayed to them, and they did not know of the suspicious person on the roof. Instead, we are told the Secret Service counter sniper was unable to pick up a local radio because he was too busy fixing his own radio, and the Special Agent In Charge had no radio after giving his to the Lead Advance Agent whose radio was not working.
At the same time, while the radio channels used by the local police were recorded, the Secret Services radio transmission weren’t recorded for some unexplained reason. More evidence falls down the ‘whoops!’ black hole.
And that wasn’t the only update we got. The House’s investigative task force also held a hearing where we got more clarity on the handling of Thomas Matthew Crooks’s body and the moments around the actual shooting. First, recall all the questions around the release of Crooks’s body for cremation by the FBI just 10 days after the shooting, despite the body being under the jurisdiction of the county coroner. Well, as we’re going to see, the medical examiner who carried out the examination of Crooks’s body states that the body was indeed released under the directive of the county coroner.
Interestingly, that medical examiner, Dr. Ariel Goldschmidt, doesn’t work for the Butler County coroner. Instead, he’s a medical examiner for neighboring Allegheny County. Keep in mind that, according to Representative Clay Higgins’s report, it was Butler County that had jurisdiction over the body. As we’re going to see, Butler County Coroner William F. Young III conducted an initial examination of Crooks’s body while the body was still on the roof, arriving after midnight that Sunday for an initial examination and then returning after 6 am a further examination. At that point, Young released the body to the Allegheny County Medical Examiner to complete the autopsy.
Goldschmidt also asserts that Crooks was struck by just one bullet, seemingly contradicting the sworn testimony of the local officer who was sure he struck Crooks. As we’ve seen, that local officer was confident they at least struck Crooks’s rifle, possibly injuring Crooks in the process and preventing it from firing further. But it appears the FBI has examined Crooks’s rifle and found no evidence it was struck.
Another notable admission by Goldschmidt includes the fact that the FBI x‑rayed and handled the body before his examination. It’s unclear at this point if the FBI handling took place before Butler County Coroner Young was able to examine the body on the roof. So Allegheny County medical examiner conducted the autopsy, but not before the FBI x‑rayed and handled the body. And according to this examiner, the body was released for cremation by the Butler county coroner, not the FBI. And it was struck just once, contradicting the sworn testimony by the local officer who is sure he hit either Crooks or the rifle. Those are just some of the remarkable updates we’ve received in recent days. The kind of updates that suggest there’s a lot more to be learned about this story but also the kind of updates that suggest that we’re never really going to get a coherent explanation. Instead, it’s going to be a series of seemingly inexplicable mistakes and contradictory testimonies.
Ok, first, here’s a look at the update from the Senate about the breakdown in communications. A multi-level breakdown in communications, for a lack of direct lines of communication to multiple malfunctioning Secret Service radios:
“Per the report the: “USSS personnel were notified of a suspicious person with a range finder around the AGR building approximately 27 minutes before the shooting.” However, USSS Lead Advance Agent, Site Agent, and Site Counterpart told the committee that this information was not relayed to them, and they did not know of the suspicious person on the roof.”
It was one communication issue after another. As we previously saw, the Secret Service’s counter snipers did not have radio communications with local law enforcement. Instead, they relied on text messaging, with Butler County tactical teams sending the snipers two pictures of Crooks via text at 5:45 pm, 26 minutes before shots were fired. But we’re also told they didn’t know at that point that Crooks had a gun and didn’t know this until the shots were fired. And now, on top of not have direct radio communication set up between the Secret Service and the local police
command centers, we’re told Secret Service agents also experienced technical difficulties with their radios. At the same time, while the radio channels used by the local police were recorded, the Secret Services radio transmission weren’t recorded for some unexplained reason. It will presumably eventually be blamed on technical difficulties:
Also recall how we were previously told the Secret Secret was offered a drone but turned it down for unknown reasons. Now it sounds like the drone operator was experiencing technical difficulties too. A lot of technical difficulties that day:
And then there’s this interesting detail: the Secret Service counter snipers saw the local officer rush towards the AGR building. And yet Trump’s protective detail still wasn’t notified, presumably with to all the technical difficulties as the explanation:
But the questions swirling around this investigation aren’t limited to questions about the communication snafus. There’s the questions around why Crooks’s body was released for cremation by the FBI just 10 days after the shooting. Well, as we’re going to see, the medical examiner who carried out the examination of Crooks’s body, Dr. Ariel Goldschmidt, states that the body was indeed released under the directive of the county coroner.
Interestingly, Goldschmidt is the medical examiner for neighboring Allegheny County. As we’re going to see, Butler County Coroner William F. Young III conducted an initial examination of Crooks’s body while the body was still on the roof of the building the following morning at 6 am. At that point, Young released the body to the Allegheny County Medical Examiner to complete the autopsy.
Goldschmidt also asserts that Crooks was struck by just one bullet, seemingly contradicting the sworn testimony of the local officer who was sure he struck Crooks. It also appears the FBI has examined Crooks’s rifle and found no evidence it was struck.
Another notable admission by Goldschmidt includes the fact that the FBI x‑rayed and handled the body before his examination. It’s unclear at this point if the FBI handling took place before Butler County Coroner Young was able to examine the body on the roof. So Allegheny County medical examiner conducted the autopsy, but not before the FBI x‑rayed and handled the body. And according to this examiner, the body was released for cremation by the Butler county coroner. Those are some of the claims made during the latest congressional hearing on the shooting. The kind of claims that raise more questions than they answer:
“In addition, the long-awaited results of a series of tests conducted during Crooks’ autopsy are finally being released.”
The long-awaited autopsy results have finally been released. Long-awaited, in part, due to the revelation that Crooks’s body had been cremated after the FBI gave permission to release the body to the family, despite the body still be under the county coroner’s jurisdiction. And yet, as we can see, questions are still swirling around what exactly happened in the final moments around the shooting. Did the local officer who rushed towards Crooks actually hit Crooks or his rifle like the officer testified? We can no longer investigate the body to answer that question:
And that brings us to the testimony of the actual medical examiner who conducted the autopsy, Dr. Ariel Goldschmidt of of Allegheny County. According to Goldschmidt, the release of Crooks’s body was done at the directive of the county coroner. It’s unclear if Goldschmidt is referring to the Allegheny County coroner or the Butler County coroner. Goldschmidt goes on to reveal that, prior to his review of the body, it was x‑rayed and handled by the FBI:
And then there’s Goldschmidt’s disputing the idea that Crooks had been hit by any additional shots, including the shot by local officer who fired first on Crooks and who seemed to be pretty confident they hit Crooks or his rifle:
And as we’ll see in the following report, it isn’t just Dr. Goldschmidt who is asserting that Crooks was only hit by a single shot. The FBI also states that not only was Crooks not hit by the local officer’s shot but Crooks’s rifle wasn’t hit either. Instead, the FBI’s laboratory division test-fired Crooks’ rifle and found it remained fully operational. At the same time, the local officer testified, “When I say goes down, it wasn’t like he was ducking to get out of the way. I mean, I know I hit him.” Keep in mind Crooks’s rifle should still be available for further examination, so hopefully we can eventually get some sort of clarity on that front. But the questions about whether or not Crooks was hit by that local officer’s shot are, at this point, doomed to speculation thanks to the quiet cremation of Crooks’s body:
““He observed the shooter, he shouldered his rifle, he acquired his target, and he fired one round at the shooter, which caused the shooter to recoil and briefly fall out of sight,” Mr. Lenz said.”
The local officer who fired on Crooks is reportedly “very confident” that either Crooks or his rifle was hit. But according to the FBI, there is no evidence the rifle was hit at all and it remained fully functional. Which raises the question: is that rifle still available for investigation?
And then we get this rather interesting exchange between Goldschmidt and Higgins, with Higgins asking if it was possible that both the shot fired from the local officer and the Secret Service sniper went through the same wound, effectively leaving one bullet wound. It’s undoubtedly a low probability event. But keep in mind another scenario that could possible fit the available data: the local sniper’s shot being the only shot that hit. It’s the kind of question that should be relatively easy to answer assuming there’s at least one bullet that hit Crooks that been retrieved:
Finally, here’s a report from the Butler Eagle from July 17, days after the shooting, that clarifies why it is that the Allegheny County medical example was the one conducting the autopsy: Butler County coroner William F. Young III conducted his initial examination of the body on the roof of the building shortly after midnight that Sunday, later returning at 6 am, and then released the body to the Allegheny County Medical Examiner to complete the autopsy:
It sounds like Young first examined the body a little after midnight, and then returned after 6 am for another examination before handing the body over to the Allegheny County Medical Examiner. Which, again, raises the question: when did the FBI handle and x‑ray the body? Was that before Young’s initial midnight examination? We don’t know, but based on this timeline the body was sitting there for around six hours before Young initially arrived.
As we can see, plenty of new information was revealed from these House and Senate investigations. New information that, in some cases, seems to contradict the information previously revealed. And, in other cases, new information that amplifies the general question of how a security f*ck up on this scale, with this many different sub‑f*ck ups, could have ever been allowed to happen in the first place without it being intentional.
Again? REALLY?! It’s getting more than a little absurd at this point, but it appears there was another Donald Trump assassination attempt over the weekend. By another individual with a long history of conservative politics.
Third time’s a charm? Well, no, it doesn’t appear Trump was ever in any real danger. Beyond that, it remains very unclear at this point if the man arrested for multiple firearms at his rally posed any danger to Trump at all. After all, the alleged putative gunman, Vem Miller, is a right-wing media personality and HUGE Trump fan.
Oh, but it gets so much weirder. Not only is Miller the co-founder of a right-wing media outlet, America Happening News, but it turns out he interview a very interesting guest less than two weeks before his arrest: Ivan Raiklin, the same individual interview by Alex Jones earlier this year where they discussed how wonderful it would be if Donald Trump was assassinated because of all the retributional violence it would trigger. Not only did Trump assassination scenarios come up during Miller’s interview of Raiklin but Raiklin even referred back to his interview with Jones when describing the ‘response scenarios’ he had in mind in the event of a successful assassination.
So what exactly happened in this incident? Well, it starts off with an October 12 rally at a ranch just outside Coachella, California, a location that had many raising their eyebrows at the time. After all, California isn’t exactly a state one would expect Trump to be holding a rally in this close to Election Day in what is effectively a tied race.
According to police, Miller attempted to gain access to the inner perimeter of the rally in a Black SUV by claiming he was a VIP member of the press. It was at that point that security noticed the disheveled state of his car’s interior and what appeared to be fake homemade license plates. In addition, Miller has multiple passports and drivers licenses under different names. Along with a shotgun, a loaded handgun and a high-capacity magazine. It had all the hallmarks of a vehicle being driven by a sovereign citizen. Interestingly, it sounds like he was actually allowed through the outer perimeter of the rally with his vehicle. It was only at the inner perimeter that suspicions were aroused.
Miller has since been released on a $5000 bail and is awaiting a court hearing. Keep in mind that the second alleged wannabe assassin, Ryan Routh, has been kept in custody without bail. So the fact that Miller already been released on bail would seem to indicate that he isn’t seen as a real threat to Trump. And yet, Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco told reporters “If you’re asking me right now, I probably did have deputies that prevented the third assassination attempt.”
So what’s going on with this story? Well, as we’re going to see, there’s another big twist: it turns out Sheriff Bianco is not just a huge Trump supporter like Miller. He’s a rising political star with California conservative with a growing number of state Republicans calling on him to challenge Gavin Newson in 2026 for California’s governorship.
Part of what appears to have made Sheriff Bianco a rising conservative star was his willingness to refuse to enforce COVID vaccine mandates while describing himself as the “last line of defense” against a tyrannical government. Beyond that, it turns out Bianco’s name showed up on a leaked list of Oath Keepers members. Yes, the sheriff who was in charge of the area where this third alleged assassination attempt took place just happens to have been a member of the Oath Keepers while the alleged assassination was himself a right-wing media personality.
Bianco asserts that he’s no longer a member of the group and can’t seem to recall why he joined in the first place. But he does claim to have found old emails that confirm he joined the Oath Keepers ‘sometime around February 2014’. Keep in mind the relevance of that timing: the Bundy Ranch standoff started in early April of 2014. And let’s not forget which group played a key role in fomenting both of the Bundy standoffs: The Oath Keepers. So while Sheriff Bianco claims to have a difficult time recalling why exactly he wanted to join the Oath Keepers in 2014, it’s not exactly a huge mystery.
And that all brings us to another weird twist in this story: according to Mindy Robinson, one of Miller’s coworkers at his America Happens Network, Miller’s claims of being a VIP press member were true and she and Miller are routinely invited to Trump rallies as members of the press. Robinson goes on to suggest that Miller is a target of some sort of ‘Deep State’ plot as retribution for a documentary he recently produced exposing the Deep State’s role in the Bundy Ranch standoff. Yep.
So, to review, we had a Trump rally held at a strangely chosen location in California that seemed to serve no real strategic purpose. And at this rally, a right-wing media personality was arrested for claiming to be a VIP member of the press while possessing multiple firearms and the kind of fake ids associated with sovereign citizens. And yet, this man is a kind of fringe media figure who interviewed Ivan Raiklin less than two weeks before this incident. Beyond that, his business partner claims they’ve both been routinely invited to these events as members of the media. But on that day, he was arrested, leading to claims that it was all retribution by the Deep State over Miller’s Bundy Ranch documentary. And to top it all off, the sheriff who suggested to the press that Miller really was planning on an assassination is, himself, a former member of the Oath Keepers and a conservative rising star. Yes, that all happened, with the overall net effect of generating a national news story about a third Trump assassination attempt:
“In addition to the firearms, deputies found multiple passports with multiples names in Miller’s possession inside Miller’s vehicle as well as multiple drivers licenses with different names, according to Bianco. He said the vehicle was not registered and the license plate appeared to be homemade, resembling those often used by members of anti-government “sovereign citizens” groups.”
If Vem Miller isn’t a sovereign citizen he’s apparently planning to dress up as one for Halloween. Guns, fake passports and homemade drivers licenses more or less scream “I’m a sovereign citizen!” to the world. That’s description of the third apparently would-be Trump assassin this year. Miller apparently tried to drive his vehicle, filled with guns, into the perimeter of the Coachella rally by claiming VIP press corp access, arriving shortly before 5 PM, when Trump was initially scheduled to speak:
And while it remains unclear why exactly Miller was trying to gain access to the rally with all those weapons and Miller has already been released on bail, Riverside Sheriff Chad Bianco was ready to speculate that his deputies just thwarted a third assassination attempt:
Are we looking at another assassination attempt by another self-described conservative? Yes, according to Sheriff Bianco. And yet, as we’re going to see, all indications are that Miller is not only a huge Trump supporter but he apparently really is kind of a member of the press. In fact, Miller co-founded a right-wing media outlet, America Happens Network, and according to one of his partners at the network, Miller would typically get invited to these kinds of Trump rallies as a member of the press.
Oh, and guess who Miller recently interviewed on his America Happening Network less than two weeks before his arrest: Ivan Raiklin, the self-describe “secretary of retribution” for Donald Trump. The same person who had that now infamous interview with Alex Jones earlier this year where they discussed how wonderful it would be if Donald Trump was assassinated because of all the retributional violence it would trigger. And guess what Miller and Raiklin talked about during that interview less than two weeks before this incident...:
“The man arrested with guns outside Donald Trump’s rally in Coachella, Calif. on Oct. 12 had spoken about assassination attempts against the former president less than two weeks earlier with a retired Army lieutenant colonel who calls himself Trump’s “secretary of retribution.””
Oh look at that: it turns our Vem miller is a close associate of Trump’s self-described “secretary of retribution” Ivan Raiklin. The very same Ivan Raiklin who appeared on Alex Jones’s show earlier this year where Jones and Raiklin discussed how wonderful it would be if Trump was assassinated because of the right-wing revenge killings that would follow. In fact, it turns out Miller interviewed Raiklin on Miller’s own America Happens Network media outlet where they also discussed the consequences of a Trump assassination and Raiklin’s ‘response plan’. Less than two weeks before Miller’s arrest. What a remarkable coincidence:
If fact, Raiklin even brought up his interview with Jones earlier this year during his interview with Miller. This is clearly a frequent topic of conversation in this corner of the media landscape:
And then we get this additional detail about Miller’s arrest that relates Miller’s work as a far right media personality: it appears his fake VIP press credentials allowed him to make it through the outer perimeter of the rally. He was only stopped at the inner perimeter checkpoint. At the same time, one of Miller’s partners at his America Happens Network, Mindy Robinson, insists she and Miller are usually invited as media to Trump rallies. Also note how Robinson points to Miller’s ‘exposure of the Deep State’ regarding the 2014 Bundy Ranch standoff, suggesting this was all some sort of Deep State revenge plot:
So is Sheriff Bianco working for the ‘Deep State’? Well, as we’re going to see, if so, he’s a very deep cover agent. Because by all appearances Bianco and Miller are more or less on the same ideological page. But beyond that, Bianco happens to be a rising star in California conservative politics thanks, in part, to stances he taken that are more or less in line with the kind of anti-federal government politics that has long animated groups like the sovereign citizens and Oath Keepers. Groups that played key roles in both the Bundy Standoffs. In fact, growing numbers of California conservatives are pressing Bianco to make a 2026 gubernatorial run. A run he’s seriously considering.
But there’s one complication in Bianco’s past that is bound to play a role in any gubernatorial runs for Bianco: leaked Oath Keepers membership lists reveal Bianco was a member:
“A coalition of sheriffs across California, the Republican Party of Riverside County and a number of current and former lawmakers have called on Bianco to run for governor.”
Sheriff Bianco isn’t just the sheriff. He’s a rising political star, with a growing number of California Republicans pressing him to make a gubernatorial run in 2026. Presumably under a strong ‘MAGA’ banner:
And as we can see, Bianco’s conservative credentials not only includes an endorsement of Ron DeSantis’s Trumpian border policy proposals and refusing to enforce COVID vaccine mandates, but also includes having his name show up on a leaked Oath Keepers membership list back in 2021. It’s not hard to see why Bianco is a rising conservative star:
And as we’re going to see in the following October 2021 piece, while Bianco claims he doesn’t currently an Oath Keepers member and that he doesn’t remember why exactly he joined the group in the first place, Bianco still has very positive feelings about the group and is bothered by all the insinuation that the Oath Keepers are somehow extremist. Oh, and guess when Bianco joined the Oath Keepers: he claims he found emails that indicate he joined ‘sometime around February 2014’, but he can’t remember why exactly he learned about the group or joined. The Bundy Ranch standoff — where the Oath Keepers played a prominent role — started in early April of that year. It’s another remarkable coincidence in this story:
““Except for a few fringe people, that’s not really what they stand for,” he said in an interview with LAist Monday. “They certainly don’t promote violence and government overthrow. They stand for protecting the Constitution.””
Sheriff Bianco answers regarding his actually membership status with the Oath Keepers may be ambiguous, but he’s pretty unambiguous about how he views the group. The Oath Keepers are just proud patriots determined to protect the US Constitution, according to Bianco. And while he claims not to know about any other Oath Keeper members in his department, it’s pretty clear from these comments that he wouldn’t really care if he discovered them:
And note how Bianco doesn’t seem to remember why exactly he joined the Oath Keepers, but he apparently can determine when he joined: “around February 2014”. It’s a very interesting date range for someone to suddenly join the group. After all, it was early April of 2014 when the Bundy Ranch standoff began. A standoff that included a major Oath Keepers presence. It’s not hard to reasonably speculate as to what piqued Bianco’s interest in the group that year:
Finally, note the remarkably ‘sovereign citizen’-friendly language Bianco has a history of using, describing himself as the “last line of defense” against “tyrannical government overreach”. It’s ‘constitutional sheriff’ rhetoric. The kind of rhetoric that has long fueled the sovereign citizen movement:
So was this the final ‘assassination attempt’ in an increasingly bizarre string of ‘assassination attempts’ for 2024? Time will tell. There’s still a few weeks left. Plenty of time for things to get much more bizarre, especially with Trump seemingly mentally melting down in real time. ‘Tis the season of extreme campaign tactics.