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This broadcast was recorded in one, 60-minute segment.
Introduction: In FTR #718 (recorded on Independence Day weekend of 2010), we noted that the new social medium–Facebook-might very well be the opposite of the liberating, empowering entity many believed it to be.
On the contrary, we said–it received financial backing from the CIA, permits unprecedented gathering and databasing of users’ personal information, and might very well be a “panopticon”–a type of prison in which the interned can never see his or her jailers, but their keepers can see the interned at all times.
In particular, we noted the prominent position of major Facebook investor Peter Thiel in “Mondo Zuckerberg.” Of German (and probable I.G. Farben) origins, we opined that Thiel was Underground Reich. Opposed to democracy because he feels it is inimical to wealth creation and doesn’t believe women should be allowed to vote, Thiel has now emerged as one of the most prominent of Donald Trump’s supporters, transition team creators and influential policy wonks.
Whereas we explored the “virtual panopticon” concept of Facebook with a question mark in 2010, we now feel affirmatively on the issue.
A very important story from New York magazine sets forth Facebook’s role in the just-concluded election.
” . . . . Facebook’s size, reach, wealth, and power make it effectively the only one that matters. And, boy, does it matter. At the risk of being hyperbolic, I think there are few events over the last decade more significant than the social network’s wholesale acquisition of the traditional functions of news media (not to mention the political-party apparatus). Trump’s ascendancy is far from the first material consequence of Facebook’s conquering invasion of our social, cultural, and political lives, but it’s still a bracing reminder of the extent to which the social network is able to upend existing structure and transform society — and often not for the better. . . .
” . . . . Facebook’s enormous audience, and the mechanisms of distribution on which the site relies — i.e., the emotionally charged activity of sharing, and the show-me-more-like-this feedback loop of the news feed algorithm — makes it the only site to support a genuinely lucrative market in which shady publishers arbitrage traffic by enticing people off of Facebook and onto ad-festooned websites, using stories that are alternately made up, incorrect, exaggerated beyond all relationship to truth, or all three. . . .
” . . . . And at the heart of the problem, anyway, is not the motivations of the hoaxers but the structure of social media itself. Tens of millions of people, invigorated by insurgent outsider candidates and anger at perceived political enemies, were served up or shared emotionally charged news stories about the candidates, because Facebook’s sorting algorithm understood from experience that they were seeking such stories. Many of those stories were lies, or ‘parodies,’ but their appearance and placement in a news feed were no different from those of any publisher with a commitment to, you know, not lying. As those people and their followers clicked on, shared, or otherwise engaged with those stories — which they did, because Trump drives engagement extremely bigly — they were served up even more of them. The engagement-driving feedback loop reached the heights of Facebook itself, which shared fake news to its front page on more than one occasion after firing the small team of editorial employees tasked with passing news judgment. . . .
” . . . . Something like 170 million people in North America use Facebook every day, a number that’s not only several orders of magnitude larger than even the most optimistic circulation reckonings of major news outlets but also about one-and-a-half times as many people as voted on Tuesday. Forty-four percent of all adults in the United States say they get news from Facebook . . . ”
Symptomatic of Facebook’s filter of what its users see concerns the social medium’s recent non-coverage of the women’s march:
” . . . . We don’t usually post on Pando at the weekend, but this is too topical and too shameful to wait until Monday. As you certainly know, today is the day of the Women’s March on Washington in protest of Donald Trump. The main event is in DC, where something close to 500,000 protesters of all genders and ages have packed the streets — but there are also major protests in Chicago, New York and around the world. Including Antarctica.
You certainly know this because the protest march is the top story on every major news outlet, and because updates and photos from the event are flooding your Twitter and Facebook feeds.
And yet, here’s what Facebook’s trending news feed looked like at the height of the march…
[see image of Carr’s news feed]
And here’s its trending politics feed…
[see image of trending politics fee]
Notice anything missing?
Like, say, a half million women.
In case you think I’m seeing something different from the rest of the world, be assured I’m not….”
Facebook has changed its algorithm, no longer factoring in “likes” and other personal preferences in determining its news feed.
This, however, does not bode as well as Facebook would like us to believe. Facebook has promoted, among others, Campbell Brown, to an important position in structuring its news feed: ” . . . . Brown has longstanding ties not just to the traditional news media, but also to conservative politics, although she describes herself as a political independent. She is a close personal friend of Betsy DeVos, the Republican megadonor who is Donald Trump’s nominee for Education Secretary, and is married to Dan Senor, a former top advisor to Mitt Romney who also served as spokesperson for the Coalition Provisional Authority in the wake of the 2003 invasion of Iraq. . . .
. . . . And alongside her mainstream media experience, Brown is familiar with the world of non-traditional news outlets springing up online. In 2014, she founded a nonprofit news site, The 74, which bills itself as nonpartisan but which critics have said functions as advocacy journalism, tilted in favor of charter schools and against teachers’ unions. The site was launched with money from donors including the foundation run by DeVos, Trump’s proposed Education Secretary. When the nomination was announced, Brown said she would recuse herself from The 74’s coverage of DeVos. . .”
Brown is joined by Tucker Bounds, a former John McCain adviser and spokesman for the McCain/Palin campaign.
Exemplifying the terrifying possibilities of the virtual panopticon, we examine the nexus of Cambridge Analytica, its principal investors, Robert and Rebekah Mercer and Steve Bannon, a key member of the firm’s board of directors and a political guru to Rebekah. ” . . . . For several years, a data firm eventually hired by the Trump campaign, Cambridge Analytica, has been using Facebook as a tool to build psychological profiles that represent some 230 million adult Americans. A spinoff of a British consulting company and sometime-defense contractor known for its counterterrorism ‘psy ops’ work in Afghanistan, the firm does so by seeding the social network with personality quizzes. Respondents — by now hundreds of thousands of us, mostly female and mostly young but enough male and older for the firm to make inferences about others with similar behaviors and demographics — get a free look at their Ocean scores. Cambridge Analytica also gets a look at their scores and, thanks to Facebook, gains access to their profiles and real names.
“Cambridge Analytica worked on the ‘Leave’ side of the Brexit campaign. In the United States it takes only Republicans as clients: Senator Ted Cruz in the primaries, Mr. Trump in the general election. Cambridge is reportedly backed by Robert Mercer, a hedge fund billionaire and a major Republican donor; a key board member is Stephen K. Bannon, the head of Breitbart News who became Mr. Trump’s campaign chairman and is set to be his chief strategist in the White House. . .
” . . . . Their [the Mercers] data firm, Cambridge Analytica, was hired by the Cruz campaign. They switched to support Trump shortly after he clinched the nomination, and he eventually hired Cambridge Analytica, as well. Their top political guru is Steve Bannon, the former Breitbart News chairman and White House chief strategist. They’re close, too, with Trump’s campaign manager Kellyanne Conway, who also has a senior role in the White House. They never speak to the press and hardly ever even release a public statement. Like Trump himself, they’ve flouted the standard playbook for how things are done in politics. . . .”
Bannon’s influence on Rebekah Mercer is particularly strong: ” . . . Another of the Republican operatives described Bannon as the ‘Obi-Wan Kenobi’ to Rebekah Mercer, and a third was even more pointed: ‘Svengali.’ Bannon is ‘really, really, really influential’ with Mercer, said the former Breitbart employee. The Mercers, the former employee said, made their wishes known through Bannon, who would sometimes cite the company’s financial backers as a reason for Breitbart not to do a story. Bannon didn’t respond to a request for comment about this. . . .”
In turn, the influence of Steve Bannon within the Facebook virtual panopticon is even more sinister considering Bannon’s political outlook: ” . . . . But, said the source, who requested anonymity to speak candidly about Bannon, ‘There are some things he’s only going to share with people who he’s tight with and who he trusts.’
Bannon’s readings tend to have one thing in common: the view that technocrats have put Western civilization on a downward trajectory and that only a shock to the system can reverse its decline. And they tend to have a dark, apocalyptic tone that at times echoes Bannon’s own public remarks over the years—a sense that humanity is at a hinge point in history. . . .”
One of the influences on Bannon is Curtis Yarvin, aka Mencius Moldbug, who has actually opened a backchannel advisory connection to the White House: ” . . . . Before he emerged on the political scene, an obscure Silicon Valley computer programmer with ties to Trump backer and PayPal co-founder Peter Thiel was explaining his behavior. Curtis Yarvin, the self-proclaimed ‘neoreactionary’ who blogs under the name ‘Mencius Moldbug,’ attracted a following in 2008 when he published a wordy treatise asserting, among other things, that ‘nonsense is a more effective organizing tool than the truth.’ When the organizer of a computer science conference canceled Yarvin’s appearance following an outcry over his blogging under his nom de web, Bannon took note: Breitbart News decried the act of censorship in an article about the programmer-blogger’s dismissal.
Moldbug’s dense, discursive musings on history—‘What’s so bad about the Nazis?’ he asks in one 2008 post that condemns the Holocaust but questions the moral superiority of the Allies—include a belief in the utility of spreading misinformation that now looks like a template for Trump’s approach to truth. ‘To believe in nonsense is an unforgeable [sic] demonstration of loyalty. It serves as a political uniform. And if you have a uniform, you have an army,’ he writes in a May 2008 post.‘It’s been a while since I posted anything really controversial and offensive here,’ he begins in a July 25, 2007, post explaining why he associates democracy with ‘war, tyranny, destruction and poverty.’
Moldbug, who does not do interviews and could not be reached for this story, has reportedly opened up a line to the White House, communicating with Bannon and his aides through an intermediary, according to a source. Yarvin said he has never spoken with Bannon. . . .”
After discussing Facebook’s new AI technology being employed to search users’ photos, the program concludes with the shift of Silicon Valley money to the GOP.
Program Highlights Include:
- Review of Steve Bannon’s role on the NSC.
- Review of the martial law contingency plans drawn up by Oliver North during the Reagan administration, involving the deputizing of paramilitary right-wingers.
- Review of Erik Prince’s relationship to the Trump administration and Betsy De Vos, Trump’s education secretary.
1. A very important story from New York magazine sets forth Facebook’s role in the just-concluded election.
” . . . . Facebook’s size, reach, wealth, and power make it effectively the only one that matters. And, boy, does it matter. At the risk of being hyperbolic, I think there are few events over the last decade more significant than the social network’s wholesale acquisition of the traditional functions of news media (not to mention the political-party apparatus). Trump’s ascendancy is far from the first material consequence of Facebook’s conquering invasion of our social, cultural, and political lives, but it’s still a bracing reminder of the extent to which the social network is able to upend existing structure and transform society — and often not for the better. . . .
” . . . . Facebook’s enormous audience, and the mechanisms of distribution on which the site relies — i.e., the emotionally charged activity of sharing, and the show-me-more-like-this feedback loop of the news feed algorithm — makes it the only site to support a genuinely lucrative market in which shady publishers arbitrage traffic by enticing people off of Facebook and onto ad-festooned websites, using stories that are alternately made up, incorrect, exaggerated beyond all relationship to truth, or all three. . . .
” . . . . And at the heart of the problem, anyway, is not the motivations of the hoaxers but the structure of social media itself. Tens of millions of people, invigorated by insurgent outsider candidates and anger at perceived political enemies, were served up or shared emotionally charged news stories about the candidates, because Facebook’s sorting algorithm understood from experience that they were seeking such stories. Many of those stories were lies, or ‘parodies,’ but their appearance and placement in a news feed were no different from those of any publisher with a commitment to, you know, not lying. As those people and their followers clicked on, shared, or otherwise engaged with those stories — which they did, because Trump drives engagement extremely bigly — they were served up even more of them. The engagement-driving feedback loop reached the heights of Facebook itself, which shared fake news to its front page on more than one occasion after firing the small team of editorial employees tasked with passing news judgment. . . .
” . . . . Something like 170 million people in North America use Facebook every day, a number that’s not only several orders of magnitude larger than even the most optimistic circulation reckonings of major news outlets but also about one-and-a-half times as many people as voted on Tuesday. Forty-four percent of all adults in the United States say they get news from Facebook . . . ”
“Donald Trump Won Because of Facebook” by Max Read; New York Magazine; 11/09/2016.
A close and — to pundits, journalists, and Democrats — unexpected victory like Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump’s is always overdetermined, and no one particular thing pushed Trump over the edge on Tuesday night. His chosen party’s lately increasing openness to explicit white nationalism, the still-recent global-scale failure of the liberal economic consensus, the apparently deep-seated misogyny and racism of the American electorate, Hillary Clinton’s multiple shortcomings as a candidate, or even the last-minute intervention of FBI director James Comey might each have been, on its own, sufficient to hand the election to a man who is, by any reckoning, a dangerous and unpredictable bigot.
Still, it can be clarifying to identify the conditions that allowed access to the highest levels of the political syste a man so far outside what was, until recently, the political mainstream that not a single former presidential candidate from his own party would endorse him. In this case, the condition was: Facebook.
To some extent I’m using “Facebook” here as a stand-in for the half-dozen large and influential message boards and social-media platforms where Americans now congregate to discuss politics, but Facebook’s size, reach, wealth, and power make it effectively the only one that matters. And, boy, does it matter. At the risk of being hyperbolic, I think there are few events over the last decade more significant than the social network’s wholesale acquisition of the traditional functions of news media (not to mention the political-party apparatus). Trump’s ascendancy is far from the first material consequence of Facebook’s conquering invasion of our social, cultural, and political lives, but it’s still a bracing reminder of the extent to which the social network is able to upend existing structure and transform society — and often not for the better.
The most obvious way in which Facebook enabled a Trump victory has been its inability (or refusal) to address the problem of hoax or fake news. Fake news is not a problem unique to Facebook, but Facebook’s enormous audience, and the mechanisms of distribution on which the site relies — i.e., the emotionally charged activity of sharing, and the show-me-more-like-this feedback loop of the news feed algorithm — makes it the only site to support a genuinely lucrative market in which shady publishers arbitrage traffic by enticing people off of Facebook and onto ad-festooned websites, using stories that are alternately made up, incorrect, exaggerated beyond all relationship to truth, or all three. (To really hammer home the cyberdystopia aspect of this: A significant number of the sites are run by Macedonian teenagers looking to make some scratch.)
All throughout the election, these fake stories, sometimes papered over with flimsy “parody site” disclosures somewhere in small type, circulated throughout Facebook: The Pope endorses Trump. Hillary Clinton bought $137 million in illegal arms. The Clintons bought a $200 million house in the Maldives. Many got hundreds of thousands, if not millions, of shares, likes, and comments; enough people clicked through to the posts to generate significant profits for their creators. The valiant efforts of Snopes and other debunking organizations were insufficient; Facebook’s labyrinthine sharing and privacy settings mean that fact-checks get lost in the shuffle. Often, no one would even need to click on and read the story for the headline itself to become a widely distributed talking point, repeated elsewhere online, or, sometimes, in real life. (Here’s an in-the-wild sighting of a man telling a woman that Clinton and her longtime aide Huma Abedin are lovers, based on “material that appeared to have been printed off the internet.”)
Profit motive, on the part of Macedonians or Americans, was not the only reason to share fake news, of course — there was an obvious ideological motivation to lie to or mislead potential voters — but the fake-news industry’s commitment to “engagement” above any particular political program has given it a terrifyingly nihilistic sheen that old-fashioned propagandists never displayed. (Say what you will about ratfuc king, dude, at least it’s an ethos.) And at the heart of the problem, anyway, is not the motivations of the hoaxers but the structure of social media itself. Tens of millions of people, invigorated by insurgent outsider candidates and anger at perceived political enemies, were served up or shared emotionally charged news stories about the candidates, because Facebook’s sorting algorithm understood from experience that they were seeking such stories. Many of those stories were lies, or “parodies,” but their appearance and placement in a news feed were no different from those of any publisher with a commitment to, you know, not lying. As those people and their followers clicked on, shared, or otherwise engaged with those stories — which they did, because Trump drives engagement extremely bigly — they were served up even more of them. The engagement-driving feedback loop reached the heights of Facebook itself, which shared fake news to its front page on more than one occasion after firing the small team of editorial employees tasked with passing news judgment. Flush with Trump’s uniquely passionate supporter base, Facebook’s vast, personalized sewer system has become clogged with toxic fatbergs.
And it is, truly, vast: Something like 170 million people in North America use Facebook every day, a number that’s not only several orders of magnitude larger than even the most optimistic circulation reckonings of major news outlets but also about one-and-a-half times as many people as voted on Tuesday. Forty-four percent of all adults in the United States say they get news from Facebook, and access to to an audience of that size would seem to demand some kind of civic responsibility — an obligation to ensure that a group of people more sizable than the American electorate is not being misled. But whether through a failure of resources, of ideology, or of imagination, Facebook has seemed both uninterested in and incapable of even acknowledging that it has become the most efficient distributor of misinformation in human history.
…
Facebook connected those supporters to each other and to the candidate, gave them platforms far beyond what even the largest Establishment media organizations might have imagined, and allowed them to effectively self-organize outside the party structure. Who needs a GOTV database when you have millions of voters worked into a frenzy by nine months of sharing impassioned lies on Facebook, encouraging each other to participate?
Even better, Facebook allowed Trump to directly combat the hugely negative media coverage directed at him, simply by giving his campaign and its supporters another host of channels to distribute counterprogramming. This, precisely, is why more good journalism would have been unlikely to change anyone’s mind: The Post and the Times no longer have a monopoly on information about a candidate. Endless reports of corruption, venality, misogyny, and incompetence merely settle in a Facebook feed next to a hundred other articles from pro-Trump sources (if they settle into a Trump supporter’s feed at all) disputing or ignoring the deeply reported claims, or, as is often the case, just making up new and different stories.
2. Paul Carr over at Pando had a rather troubling observation during the anti-Trump Woman’s March about Facebook’s coverage of the Million Woman March in its news feed. Specifically, his observation that he was unable to observe any news on Facebook about the historic march at all:
We don’t usually post on Pando at the weekend, but this is too topical and too shameful to wait until Monday.
As you certainly know, today is the day of the Women’s March on Washington in protest of Donald Trump. The main event is in DC, where something close to 500,000 protesters of all genders and ages have packed the streets — but there are also major protests in Chicago, New York and around the world. Including Antarctica.
You certainly know this because the protest march is the top story on every major news outlet, and because updates and photos from the event are flooding your Twitter and Facebook feeds.
And yet, here’s what Facebook’s trending news feed looked like at the height of the march…
[see image of Carr’s news feed]
And here’s its trending politics feed…
[see image of trending politics fee]
Notice anything missing?Like, say, a half million women.
In case you think I’m seeing something different from the rest of the world, be assured I’m not….…
@paulbradleycarr wow. just looked. very poor. i have one mention (for chicago march) under politics— Rachel Clarke (@rachelclarke) January 21, 2017
@rachelclarke@paulbradleycarr I don’t see any in top trends OR politics… and I’m in Chicago so I thought it might show up— Aesha (@heyitsaesh) January 21, 2017
…Facebook’s trending news feed really has obliterated the entire Women’s March in favor of stories about pastry chefs and professional wrestlers.
I’ve written plenty (most recently this) about Facebook’s increasing coziness with Donald Trump, and there’s plenty more to be written about the growing unhappiness inside the company with the right-ward direction that senior management are taking in an attempt to please (/avoid conflict with) the incoming administration. Stay tuned.
For now, I’ve contacted Facebook to ask if the trending news feed is yet another example of that attempt, or if there’s some mystery glitch that has caused the voices of hundreds of thousands of women to be silenced in favor of stories that, by Facebook’s own numbers, only a thousand or so people are talking about. I’ll update this post if I hear back.
Update: A Facebook spokesperson responded to me on Tuesday afternoon, insisting that “some number” of the following terms “began trending on Saturday.”
#whyimarch
#WomensMarch
Women’s March on Boston
Women’s March on Los Angeles
Women’s March on Chicago
Sundance Women’s March
He was unable to provide supporting evidence for which of the terms trended when, and who might have seen them. “Trending is algorithmically driven based on conversations on the platform,” he explained.
I also asked whether it was accurate that Facebook is staffing up its policy team with right-wingers or others sympathetic to Donald Trump. The spokesperson declined to comment on the record.
Update II:
Facebook announces it is “updating how topics are identified as trending on Facebook”
3. So was Facebook intentionally suppressing the Women’s March or is this is a case of an algorithmic hiccup that, for whatever reason, concluded that Paul Carr wouldn’t care about such things. Well, according to the article below, the number of people unable to find any trace of the Women’s March in their trending news feed wasn’t limited to Carr. But it also wasn’t limited to suppressing the Women’s March in trending news feeds either since others reported that they were seeing the Women’s March in their news feed but no mention of Trump’s inauguration. So while it’s unclear what cause the numerous reports of major stories not reaching some users’ news feeds but not other feed, it’s pretty clear that relying on Facebook for your news is probably bad news (which shouldn’t be news to anyone):
Some people are questioning why the Women’s March was absent from Facebook’s Trending news section on Jan. 21. Other users say they failed to see the Inauguration on the list the day prior.
Journalists and onlookers are seeking answers as to why Saturday’s Women’s March—fueled by some 3 million participants in dozens of cities and towns worldwide—failed to appear on Facebook’s Trending topics list for some users during the height of the event.
According to Facebook, Trending news items are determined algorithmically based on engagement, timelines, location and Page like data. Those topics appear on the right-rail of the Facebook home screen and link to popular articles and posts that are relevant to each item. These articles generally line up with the top news stories of the day, as determined and reported on by more traditional news outlets.
But something puzzling happened on Jan. 21. Despite the Women’s March capturing mainstream and local media attention and spurring a flood of photos and commentary from those who marched, some users noted that the event was nowhere to be found within Facebook’s Trending topics list. For Pando reporter Paul Bradley Carr, it didn’t even appear within the Political sub-section of Trending topics.
Other onlookers seem to have verified Carr’s finding; however, some people did see limited coverage (within the Political sub-section, for example). So far, Facebook has declined to comment, which has left room for rampant speculation as to whether this was a mere technological glitch or something more deliberate. Note: By Sunday evening Jan. 22, the march had made its way to my News Feed.
What’s also interesting is that many people reported not seeing the Inauguration as a Trending topic the day before. Scrolling through public commentary and screenshots shared on Twitter, the situation gets even murkier. Some users saw the Women’s March trending but not the Inauguration. Others saw the opposite. The thing about a personalized “front page” is that absent a large pool of data, it’s tough to know what really went on behind the scenes.
So, why is what appears in Trending so important? As was oft-discussed during and after the last Election cycle, Americans are increasingly relying on social media as their leading source of news. A Pew study from 2015 found that 40 percent of U.S. Facebook users primarily view it as a destination for news-gathering. Among users age 34 and younger, 60 percent say social platforms like Facebook and Twitter are “the most or an important way” to get news.
…
For critics of Trending and its influence on the political landscape, there are two issues at play. The first involves the alleged interference of human editors in what has been positioned as an algorithmic curation by Facebook. The second debate is more philosophical in nature, as it questions the so-called “bubbles” that an algorithmic editor naturally creates.
In fairness, right now there is limited data available to prove that the Women’s March was absent in a universal capacity. That said, anecdotally, it appears that many people who should have seen the march did not. Drawing some assumptions, it would have made sense that a tech reporter living in a major metropolitan area would be exposed to news of the march—perhaps even in an over-indexed capacity—given that it’s likely he or she would have known people participating.
Other journalists noted that it seemed strange for Twitter to be showing the march on its own curated news list, but not Facebook.
I think Twitter deserves the win for the coverage around Women’s March today. Facebook? Hmm…suspect w/no mention in trending topics.— Ken Yeung (@thekenyeung) January 22, 2017
In May 2016, Vox published an article which claimed that “Facebook has more influence over Americans than any media company in history.” Whether curated content, such as what appears in Trending, has been skewed by users’ personal data or directionally manipulated by human editors, the net effect is significant: “So many people spend so much time on Facebook that even a small shift in the platform’s approach could have a big impact on what people read online,” says Vox’s Timothy B. Lee.
4. Now that Facebook announced that it’s totally changing its news feed algorithm so that everyone in the same region will see the same trending news it’s also a bit of a moot mystery going forward. Sure, it’s not an entirely moot mystery since it would still be nice to know if Facebook was somehow using its algorithm as an excuse to suppress very negative news for Trump. But at least it sounds like there will be new and different reasons for Facebook’s crappy news feeds going forward:
An article in an online publication accusing Facebook of suppressing the Women’s March in its trending topics caused a little tempest on social media over the weekend. Facebook says it did not intentionally block any story and is revealing a new way its trending-topics algorithm will now operate.
Paul Bradley Carr, writing for online outlet Pando, on Saturday posted what he said were screen shots of his Facebook pages at the height of the worldwide marches, which brought more than a million people into the streets around the globe to protest the agenda of the Trump administration.
Despite images and stories from the marches filling many people’s personal Facebook feeds and the day’s media coverage, Carr’s screenshots showed no signs of the march in Trending Topics — a feature supposed to reflect popular discussed topics.
And Carr says he discovered he was not the only one who didn’t see the Women’s March reflected on Trending Topics, accusing Facebook of trying to cozy up to the Trump administration. A very unscientific poll by this reporter found that among people in my Facebook and Twitter network most did see the Women’s March or something related trending on their page. However, a few did not.
According to Facebook, the Trending Topics — seen to the right of the main news feed on desktop and in search on mobile — are “based on a number of factors including engagement, timeliness, Pages you’ve liked and your location.” (Facebook pays NPR and other leading news organizations to produce live video streams.)
Facebook representatives told NPR that the reason why some people did not see the march as trending had to do with the algorithm behind the feature. Although it took into account major news events and what’s popular on the site, it also accounted for the preferences of each person. It’s possible that Carr’s algorithmic profile indicated he wouldn’t be interested in the Women’s March.
In addition, some people may have seen trending topics they didn’t realize were about the Women’s March. For example, Ashley Judd and Madonna were trending — both women gave speeches at the main march in Washington, D.C.
And, Facebook says, none of this will happen in the future.
As of Wednesday, the company has once again changed its trending algorithms. Personal preferences are now out of the equation. “Facebook will no longer be personalized based on someone’s interests,” Facebook says in a press release. “Everyone in the same region will see the same topics.” For now, a region is considered a country, so everyone in the U.S. should see the same topics.
The latest algorithm changes are part of Facebook’s ongoing effort to curtail the spread of fake news. Some fabricated stories show up in Trending Topics, despite often originating on sites with no history of visitors and getting no coverage from legitimate news media. It’s a lucrative business, explored by NPR in November, when we tracked down one notorious fake-news creator.
The new algorithm would make hoax articles less likely to trend because it will look at “the number of publishers that are posting articles on Facebook about the same topic,” accounting for coverage by multiple news outlets, Facebook says.
…
5. No more personalized reality bubbles for Facebook users. Now it’s regional reality bubbles. That’s progress! Maybe. It’s unclear. Especially since the new head of Facebook’s news division is a right-winger with close ties to Trump’s new education secretary:
Campbell Brown, a former TV news anchor and education reform activist, has personal and professional links to Betsy DeVos, Trump’s nominee for Education Secretary.
Facebook has chosen Campbell Brown, a former television news anchor who worked most recently as an education reform activist, as its head of news partnerships, tasked with rebuilding relationships with news outlets in the wake of a wave of fake news stories that dominated the site during the presidential election.
Brown has longstanding ties not just to the traditional news media, but also to conservative politics, although she describes herself as a political independent. She is a close personal friend of Betsy DeVos, the Republican megadonor who is Donald Trump’s nominee for Education Secretary, and is married to Dan Senor, a former top advisor to Mitt Romney who also served as spokesperson for the Coalition Provisional Authority in the wake of the 2003 invasion of Iraq.
But she, and Senor, were central to the losing battle against Donald Trump inside the Republican Party. Last June, in a closed-door interview with Paul Ryan, she grilled the House Speaker on his decision to back Trump, asking him how he would justify his decision to a small child. She had earlier blamed the news media for aiding Trump’s rise. “He is not a politician. He is not a leader. He is a supreme narcissist,” wrote in December, 2015, criticizing TV networks for their saturation coverage of the then-candidate. “You can deprive him of the one thing that keeps him going—airtime.”
At Facebook, she will work to navigate the social network’s sometimes fraught role as a central player in the news industry. She won’t, however, be making editorial or content-related decisions, such as deciding what stories get play on Facebook, the company said.
“Right now we are watching a massive transformation take place in the news business – both in the way people consume news and in the way reporters disseminate news,” Brown wrote in a Facebook post Friday. “Facebook is a major part of this transformation.”
…
In the wake of the election, Facebook has weathered criticism over its inability to stem a tide of fake political news stories. It has also scrambled to mend ties with conservative publications after reports claimed its trending news team suppressed stories from conservative news outlets.
In her post-media career as an education activist, Brown founded an advocacy group, the Partnership for Educational Justice, whose donors she chose to keep secret, that frequently battles with teachers’ unions. And she has worked in favor of charter school expansion, a pet project of Facebook CEO Mark Zuckerberg.
And alongside her mainstream media experience, Brown is familiar with the world of non-traditional news outlets springing up online. In 2014, she founded a nonprofit news site, The 74, which bills itself as nonpartisan but which critics have said functions as advocacy journalism, tilted in favor of charter schools and against teachers’ unions.
The site was launched with money from donors including the foundation run by DeVos, Trump’s proposed Education Secretary. When the nomination was announced, Brown said she would recuse herself from The 74’s coverage of DeVos.
Earlier this year, The 74 published an undercover sting video made by conservative activist James O’Keefe, who posed undercover as a teacher and filmed union representatives advising him on how to handle a hypothetical assault of a child.
6. The guy just hired as the new Facebook Communications Director who will be focused on product communications, specifically on the news feed, is Tucker Bounds.
“Axios AM” by Mike Allen; Axios ; 1/16/2017.
Good Monday morning! Martin Luther King Jr. Day is a perfect time to reflect on historic days for our country, as we head into Inauguration Week. It’s three days and a wake-up till President Trump.
…
Scoop … Facebook adds a well-known operative: Tucker Bounds — co-founder of Sidewire, the online conversation platform — is stepping away from his operational role and returning to Facebook, where he was director of corporate communications from 2011 to 2014. Tucker, who’ll keep his seat on the Sidewise board, starts Jan. 30 as Communications Director, focused on product communications, specifically on News Feed. . . .
7. Fun fact: those Facebook personality tests that allegedly let you learn things about what make you tick allows whoever set up that test learn what makes you tick too. Since it’s done through Facebook, they can identify your test results with your real identity. It’s a rather obvious fun fact.
Here’s a less obvious fun fact: if the Facebook personality test in question happens to report your “Ocean score” (Openness, Conscientiousness, Extraversion, Agreeableness and Neuroticism), that means the test your taking was created by Cambridge Analytica, a company with one of Donald Trump’s billionaire sugar-daddies, Robert Mercer, as a major investor. And it’s Cambridge Analytica that gets to learn all those fun facts about your psychological profile too. And Steve Bannon sat on its board:
“The Secret Agenda of a Facebook Quiz” by McKenzie Funk; The New York Times; 1/19/2017.
Do you panic easily? Do you often feel blue? Do you have a sharp tongue? Do you get chores done right away? Do you believe in the importance of art?
If ever you’ve answered questions like these on one of the free personality quizzes floating around Facebook, you’ll have learned what’s known as your Ocean score: How you rate according to the big five psychological traits of Openness, Conscientiousness, Extraversion, Agreeableness and Neuroticism. You may also be responsible the next time America is shocked by an election upset.
For several years, a data firm eventually hired by the Trump campaign, Cambridge Analytica, has been using Facebook as a tool to build psychological profiles that represent some 230 million adult Americans. A spinoff of a British consulting company and sometime-defense contractor known for its counterterrorism “psy ops” work in Afghanistan, the firm does so by seeding the social network with personality quizzes. Respondents — by now hundreds of thousands of us, mostly female and mostly young but enough male and older for the firm to make inferences about others with similar behaviors and demographics — get a free look at their Ocean scores. Cambridge Analytica also gets a look at their scores and, thanks to Facebook, gains access to their profiles and real names.
Cambridge Analytica worked on the “Leave” side of the Brexit campaign. In the United States it takes only Republicans as clients: Senator Ted Cruz in the primaries, Mr. Trump in the general election. Cambridge is reportedly backed by Robert Mercer, a hedge fund billionaire and a major Republican donor; a key board member is Stephen K. Bannon, the head of Breitbart News who became Mr. Trump’s campaign chairman and is set to be his chief strategist in the White House.
In the age of Facebook, it has become far easier for campaigners or marketers to combine our online personas with our offline selves, a process that was once controversial but is now so commonplace that there’s a term for it, “onboarding.” Cambridge Analytica says it has as many as 3,000 to 5,000 data points on each of us, be it voting histories or full-spectrum demographics — age, income, debt, hobbies, criminal histories, purchase histories, religious leanings, health concerns, gun ownership, car ownership, homeownership — from consumer-data giants.
No data point is very informative on its own, but profiling voters, says Cambridge Analytica, is like baking a cake. “It’s the sum of the ingredients,” its chief executive officer, Alexander Nix, told NBC News. Because the United States lacks European-style restrictions on second- or thirdhand use of our data, and because our freedom-of-information laws give data brokers broad access to the intimate records kept by local and state governments, our lives are open books even without social media or personality quizzes.
Ever since the advertising executive Lester Wunderman coined the term “direct marketing” in 1961, the ability to target specific consumers with ads — rather than blanketing the airwaves with mass appeals and hoping the right people will hear them — has been the marketer’s holy grail. What’s new is the efficiency with which individually tailored digital ads can be tested and matched to our personalities. Facebook is the microtargeter’s ultimate weapon.
The explosive growth of Facebook’s ad business has been overshadowed by its increasing role in how we get our news, real or fake. In July, the social network posted record earnings: quarterly sales were up 59 percent from the previous year, and profits almost tripled to $2.06 billion. While active users of Facebook — now 1.71 billion monthly active users — were up 15 percent, the real story was how much each individual user was worth. The company makes $3.82 a year from each global user, up from $2.76 a year ago, and an average of $14.34 per user in the United States, up from $9.30 a year ago. Much of this growth comes from the fact that advertisers not only have an enormous audience in Facebook but an audience they can slice into the tranches they hope to reach.
One recent advertising product on Facebook is the so-called “dark post”: A newsfeed message seen by no one aside from the users being targeted. With the help of Cambridge Analytica, Mr. Trump’s digital team used dark posts to serve different ads to different potential voters, aiming to push the exact right buttons for the exact right people at the exact right times.
Imagine the full capability of this kind of “psychographic” advertising. In future Republican campaigns, a pro-gun voter whose Ocean score ranks him high on neuroticism could see storm clouds and a threat: The Democrat wants to take his guns away. A separate pro-gun voter deemed agreeable and introverted might see an ad emphasizing tradition and community values, a father and son hunting together.
In this election, dark posts were used to try to suppress the African-American vote. According to Bloomberg, the Trump campaign sent ads reminding certain selected black voters of Hillary Clinton’s infamous “super predator” line. It targeted Miami’s Little Haiti neighborhood with messages about the Clinton Foundation’s troubles in Haiti after the 2010 earthquake. Federal Election Commission rules are unclear when it comes to Facebook posts, but even if they do apply and the facts are skewed and the dog whistles loud, the already weakening power of social opprobrium is gone when no one else sees the ad you see — and no one else sees “I’m Donald Trump, and I approved this message.”
While Hillary Clinton spent more than $140 million on television spots, old-media experts scoffed at Trump’s lack of old-media ad buys. Instead, his campaign pumped its money into digital, especially Facebook. One day in August, it flooded the social network with 100,000 ad variations, so-called A/B testing on a biblical scale, surely more ads than could easily be vetted by human eyes for compliance with Facebook’s “community standards.”
…
On Monday, after a similar announcement from Google, Facebook said it would no longer allow fake-news websites to show ads, on their own sites, from Facebook’s ad network — a half-step that neither blocks what appears on your newsfeed nor affects how advertisers can microtarget users on the social network.
There are surely more changes to come. Mr. Zuckerberg is young, still skeptical that his radiant transparency machine could be anything but a force for good, rightly wary of policing what the world’s diverse citizens say and share on his network, so far mostly dismissive of Facebook’s role in the election. If Mr. Zuckerberg takes seriously his oft-stated commitments to diversity and openness, he must grapple honestly with the fact that Facebook is no longer just a social network. It’s an advertising medium that’s now dangerously easy to weaponize.
A Trump administration is unlikely to enforce transparency about who is targeted by dark posts and other hidden political ads — or to ensure that politicians take meaningful ownership of what the ads say. But Facebook can.
…
8. So what do we know about Robert Mercer, the man who first backed Ted Cruz in the 2016 race and then quickly switched to Trump? Well, there reportedly isn’t very much known about his politics…except that he’s a libertarian who backed Donald Trump after backing Ted Cruz. Which is pretty much all we need to know to know that he’s up to no good:
The Mercers are enjoying more influence than ever with their candidate in the White House—but no one seems to know how they intend to use it.
She owns a cookie store. He loves model trains. They both hate the Clintons. And beyond that, not much is clear about the motivations of the Mercer father-daughter duo of Republican megadonors who have become two of the most powerful people in the country over the last 18 months.
Hedge-fund billionaire Robert Mercer and his daughter Rebekah were among the earliest and strongest backers of Donald Trump while other elite donors still disdained him. It turned out to be a good investment. But now, with their favored candidate freshly installed as president of the United States, it remains unclear what they believe, or what they hope their investment will yield.
The Mercers have been a quiet but constant presence in the background of Republican politics since the beginning of the 2016 cycle. They started the campaign as backers of Ted Cruz, pouring millions into one of the main super PACs supporting his candidacy. Their data firm, Cambridge Analytica, was hired by the Cruz campaign. They switched to support Trump shortly after he clinched the nomination, and he eventually hired Cambridge Analytica, as well. Their top political guru is Steve Bannon, the former Breitbart News chairman and White House chief strategist. They’re close, too, with Trump’s campaign manager Kellyanne Conway, who also has a senior role in the White House. They never speak to the press and hardly ever even release a public statement. Like Trump himself, they’ve flouted the standard playbook for how things are done in politics.
Clues to their policy preferences can be found in their family foundation’s pattern of giving. For example, they have given more than once to groups questioning climate-change science. But their donations have flown to groups all over the conservative political map, ranging from libertarian organizations to movement conservative groups to the Koch brothers’ Freedom Partners Action Fund to Breitbart. That scattershot approach suggests the family has some ideological flexibility.
No one seems to know what motivates the Mercers or what policies they want to see enacted, even people who have worked closely with them or for projects funded by them. While they’ve poured money into conservative causes, they’ve also invested in projects explicitly aimed at overturning the modern conservative movement, like Breitbart News, in which they reportedly invested $10 million, and Trump himself. And the mystery of their ideological motivations is made all the more striking by their success in helping Trump reach the White House. A recent Wall Street Journal story on the Mercers concluded: “It isn’t clear what specific policies or positions, if any, the Mercers are seeking for their support of Mr. Trump.”
“All I can take away is that they just want to be power players,” said a former Breitbart News staffer, who spoke on condition of anonymity because of a non-disclosure agreement. “I don’t know what their principles are. I don’t know how you switch from Ted Cruz to Donald Trump so quickly.”
“Most of these people I think I understand,” said a Republican operative who has been engaged on several Mercer-led efforts. (Like most people quoted in this story, the operative declined to be identified for fear of legal or professional consequences for speaking publicly about the Mercers.) “I don’t understand the Mercers.”
Rebekah Mercer “talks business. She talks data, she talks trends, she talks messaging,” said another Republican operative who has worked with the Mercers. “I have never really been in her presence where she’s talked policy.”
Asked to describe what’s motivating them, Bannon himself was vague.
“Really incredible folks,” Bannon said in an email. “Never ask for anything. Very middle class values as they came to their great wealth late in life.”
* * *
Robert Mercer got his start at IBM, working there for over 20 years. He went to Renaissance Technologies in 1993. It’s there that Mercer, already well into middle age, became wealthy. Renaissance, based in East Setauket, Long Island, includes three hedge funds managing over $25 billion in assets, as well as the mysterious Medallion Fund, an employees-only fund that has made its investors unimaginably rich. Mercer’s co-CEO is Jim Simons, a major donor to Democrats; one Republican operative with connections to the Mercers who spoke on condition of anonymity joked that the pair were trying to “hedge the political system.”
Rebekah, known as Bekah, is one of Bob and Diana Mercer’s three daughters. Along with her sisters Heather Sue and Jennifer (“Jenji”), she owns Ruby et Violette, a cookie store in New York (the cookies are now sold exclusively online). Rebekah, 43, is married to a French Morgan Stanley executive, Sylvain Mirochnikoff, with whom she has four children. Mercer did not respond to requests for comment for this story.
Bob Mercer, 70, is an enigmatic figure who has a reputation for rarely speaking publicly. Nearly everyone spoken to for this story used some variation of the word “brilliant” to describe him. There’s a touch of eccentricity, too; “I know a couple things you can bond with Bob Mercer over is he hates the Federal Reserve and loves model trains,” said one Republican operative who has worked on Mercer-backed initiatives. (Mercer once sued a model train manufacturer, alleging that he was overcharged for a model train set installed in Owl’s Nest, his expansive Long Island estate).
Whatever her actual beliefs, there’s one thing upon which people who have worked with Rebekah Mercer agree: She has a keen understanding of politics and likes to be involved in the day-to-day running of projects she’s involved in. Many donors like to play strategist, much to the annoyance of the actual strategists in their employ. But Mercer appears to be more successful at it than most.
“Almost all donors want to pretend they’re Karl Rove. They all want to play political mastermind,” said one of the Republican operatives who has worked on Mercer-funded projects. But “I would say that Rebekah is as smart at politics as you could be without ever having been at the grunt level.”
“Her political instincts were always on the money,” said Hogan Gidley, a former Mike Huckabee aide who served as spokesman for the Make America Number One PAC which became the Mercers’ pro-Trump vehicle during the general election. “We would be talking about how a certain ad should look or changes we should make to an ad, and she would just offer an idea that would just elicit instantaneous agreement. It wasn’t because they were largely funding the PAC, it was because she was right.”
Gidley said Mercer was on every conference call related to the super PAC’s operations. Even so, he didn’t get a clear sense of Mercer or her father’s ideology.
“They’re libertarians who understand that they might have to make compromises with social conservatives,” said one person in the non-profit world who is a recipient of multiple Mercer grants. “They’re just as at home at the Cato Institute as they would be at the Heritage Foundation on general issues.”
The Mercers, the non-profit activist said, appeared to have two goals this election cycle: “They’ve been fighting the Clintons forever, and they wanted to back the winning horse.”
That first goal has been clear for some time. The Mercers have for years had their hands in the cottage industry of anti-Clinton activity in and around the conservative movement. According to tax records from the Mercer Family Foundation, they gave nearly $3.6 million to Citizens United between 2012 and 2014, which sued for access to Clinton Foundation-related emails last year and whose president David Bossie also got a senior job on the Trump campaign. They’ve also invested in the Government Accountability Institute, which publishes the conservative author Peter Schweizer. Schweizer’s book Clinton Cash was an influential source of talking points for Trump allies during this election cycle, providing fodder for one of Trump’s early salvos against Clinton in a speech in June and regularly populating the pages of Breitbart. Bannon co-founded GAI with Schweizer; Rebekah Mercer has sat on the board.
The Mercers’ activities during the election cycle are among the clearest public evidence of how their beliefs, whatever they might be, translate into action.
At first, the Mercers went in for Cruz. They backed Keep the Promise 1, one of the main super PACs supporting Cruz, to the tune of $11 million. Like other campaigns with which the Mercers have been involved, including Trump’s, the Cruz campaign engaged the Mercers’s data firm Cambridge Analytica. Cruz campaign officials clashed with Cambridge over the particulars of the contract and lodged complaints about the product itself, according to multiple sources familiar with what happened; in one instance, the Cruz campaign was paying for a database system, RIPON, that had not been built yet, leading to a contentious argument. They also caught wind of work Cambridge had done for the Ben Carson campaign; working on more than one primary campaign is a no-no for vendors. Elsewhere in Mercer-world, there were other signs of trouble when it came to Cruz. In January, before the primaries had even begun, Breitbart News began attacking Cruz, insinuating that he was ineligible to be president because of his Canadian birth (a line also in heavy use by Trump at the time). Meanwhile, the Mercers were still publicly behind Cruz.
“Cambridge Analytica’s data science team had an excellent relationship with the Cruz campaign: we were part of the campaign starting from day one and all the way through the primaries and caucuses until the final day, and we continue to work with many of the principals from the campaign,” a spokesman for Cambridge Analytica said. On the work they had done for the Carson campaign, the spokesman said “Cambridge Analytica is large enough to work on more than one campaign at any given time, and we take FEC firewall regulations very seriously. We would not work with multiple clients if we did not have the scale to provide devoted resources to ensure full compliance with firewalling procedures.” And on RIPON, the Cambridge Analytica spokesman said “Ripon was being used by many senatorial and gubernatorial candidates in the 2014 mid-terms. Some bespoke modifications were requested by the Cruz campaign and we were of course happy to make those for them.”
The Breitbart stories were troubling to Cruz staff, who had seen Breitbart as an ally and who didn’t think they had any reason to doubt the Mercers’ loyalty.
What Cruz’s staff may not have taken into account was the behind-the-scenes influence of Steve Bannon.
“I don’t think [the Mercers are] as nationalistic as Steve,” said a Republican operative who has worked for the Mercers. “Steve is an unapologetic nationalist. I don’t think the Mercers are as much.” But “they share a real disdain for elitism. That’s what sort of binds them together.”
Another of the Republican operatives described Bannon as the “Obi-Wan Kenobi” to Rebekah Mercer, and a third was even more pointed: “Svengali.” Bannon is “really, really, really influential” with Mercer, said the former Breitbart employee. The Mercers, the former employee said, made their wishes known through Bannon, who would sometimes cite the company’s financial backers as a reason for Breitbart not to do a story. Bannon didn’t respond to a request for comment about this.
That highlights a third apparent goal, which became clearer over the course of the campaign: dismantling the establishment. . . .
9. Guess which major world leader is reportedly taking the advice of Curtis Yarvin, a.k.a. Mencius Moldbug, the pro-monarchy, pro-eugenics founder of the contemporary “Dark Enlightenment”?
“What Steve Bannon Wants You to Read” by Eliana Johnson and Eli Stokols; Politico; 2/07/2017.
President Trump’s strategic adviser is elevating a once-obscure network of political thinkers.
The first weeks of the Trump presidency have brought as much focus on the White House’s chief strategist, Steve Bannon, as on the new president himself. But if Bannon has been the driving force behind the frenzy of activity in the White House, less attention has been paid to the network of political philosophers who have shaped his thinking and who now enjoy a direct line to the White House.
They are not mainstream thinkers, but their writings help to explain the commotion that has defined the Trump administration’s early days. They include a Lebanese-American author known for his theories about hard-to-predict events; an obscure Silicon Valley computer scientist whose online political tracts herald a “Dark Enlightenment”; and a former Wall Street executive who urged Donald Trump’s election in anonymous manifestos by likening the trajectory of the country to that of a hijacked airplane—and who now works for the National Security Council.
Bannon, described by one associate as “the most well-read person in Washington,” is known for recommending books to colleagues and friends, according to multiple people who have worked alongside him. He is a voracious reader who devours works of history and political theory “in like an hour,” said a former associate whom Bannon urged to read Sun Tzu’s The Art of War. “He’s like the Rain Man of nationalism.”
But, said the source, who requested anonymity to speak candidly about Bannon, “There are some things he’s only going to share with people who he’s tight with and who he trusts.”
Bannon’s readings tend to have one thing in common: the view that technocrats have put Western civilization on a downward trajectory and that only a shock to the system can reverse its decline. And they tend to have a dark, apocalyptic tone that at times echoes Bannon’s own public remarks over the years—a sense that humanity is at a hinge point in history. His ascendant presence in the West Wing is giving once-obscure intellectuals unexpected influence over the highest echelons of government.
Bannon’s 2015 documentary, “Generation Zero,” drew heavily on one of his favorite books, “The Fourth Turning” by William Strauss and Neil Howe. The book explains a theory of history unfolding in 80- to 100-year cycles, or “turnings,” the fourth and final stage of which is marked by periods of cataclysmic change in which the old order is destroyed and replaced—a current period that, in Bannon’s view, was sparked by the 2008 financial crisis and has now been manifested in part by the rise of Trump.
“The West is in trouble. I don’t think there’s any doubt about that, and Trump’s election was a sign of health,” said a White House aide who was not authorized to speak publicly. “It was a revolt against managerialism, a revolt against expert rule, a revolt against the administrative state. It opens the door to possibilities.”
All of these impulses are evident in the White House, as the new administration—led by Bannon and a cadre of like-minded aides—has set about administering a sort of ideological shock therapy in its first two weeks. A flurry of executive orders slashing regulation and restricting the influx of refugees bear the ideological markings of obscure intellectuals in both form and content. The circumvention of the bureaucracy is a hallmark of these thinkers, as is the necessity of restricting immigration.
Their thinking has a clear nationalist strain, and Bannon has considered hiring a staffer responsible for monitoring nationalist movements around the world, according to two sources familiar with the situation. French presidential candidate Marine Le Pen’s visit to Trump Tower in mid-January was his handiwork. Le Pen has devoted her political career to softening the image and broadening the appeal of the nationalist movement in France by marginalizing its most extremist members. Her views are typically nationalist: She is hostile to the European Union and free trade and opposes granting foreigners from outside the EU the right to vote in local elections. Bannon’s former employer, Breitbart News, has covered Le Pen obsessively, casting her as the French Trump.
***
Many political onlookers described Trump’s election as a “black swan” event: unexpected but enormously consequential. The term was popularized by Nassim Taleb, the best-selling author whose 2014 book Antifragile—which has been read and circulated by Bannon and his aides—reads like a user’s guide to the Trump insurgency.
It’s a broadside against big government, which Taleb faults for suppressing the randomness, volatility and stress that keep institutions and people healthy. “As with neurotically overprotective parents, those who are trying to help us are hurting us the most,” he writes. Taleb also offers a withering critique of global elites, whom he describes as a corrupt class of risk-averse insiders immune to the consequences of their actions: “We are witnessing the rise of a new class of inverse heroes, that is, bureaucrats, bankers, Davos-attending members of the I.A.N.D (International Association of Name Droppers), and academics with too much power and no real downside and/or accountability. They game the system while citizens pay the price.”
It might as well have been the mission statement of the Trump campaign. Asked in a phone interview this week whether he’s had meetings with Bannon or his associates, Taleb said he could not comment. “Anything about private meetings would need to come from them,” he said, though he noted cryptically he’s had “coffee with friends.” He has been supportive of Trump but does not define himself as a supporter per se, though he said he would “be on the first train” to Washington were he invited to the White House.
“They look like the incarnation of ‘antifragile’ people,” Taleb said of the new administration. “The definition of ‘antifragile’ is having more upside than downside. For example, Obama had little upside because everyone thought he was brilliant and would solve the world’s problems, so when he didn’t it was disappointing. Trump has little downside because he’s already been so heavily criticized. He’s heavily vaccinated because of his checkered history. People have to understand: Trump did not run to be archbishop of Canterbury.”
Trump’s first two weeks in office have produced a dizzying blur of activity. But the president has also needlessly sparked controversy, arguing, for example, that his inauguration crowd was the biggest ever and that millions of people voted illegally in last November’s election, leaving even seasoned political observers befuddled.
Before he emerged on the political scene, an obscure Silicon Valley computer programmer with ties to Trump backer and PayPal co-founder Peter Thiel was explaining his behavior. Curtis Yarvin, the self-proclaimed “neoreactionary” who blogs under the name “Mencius Moldbug,” attracted a following in 2008 when he published a wordy treatise asserting, among other things, that “nonsense is a more effective organizing tool than the truth.” When the organizer of a computer science conference canceled Yarvin’s appearance following an outcry over his blogging under his nom de web, Bannon took note: Breitbart News decried the act of censorship in an article about the programmer-blogger’s dismissal.
Moldbug’s dense, discursive musings on history—“What’s so bad about the Nazis?” he asks in one 2008 post that condemns the Holocaust but questions the moral superiority of the Allies—include a belief in the utility of spreading misinformation that now looks like a template for Trump’s approach to truth. “To believe in nonsense is an unforgeable [sic] demonstration of loyalty. It serves as a political uniform. And if you have a uniform, you have an army,” he writes in a May 2008 post.
In one January 2008 post, titled “How I stopped believing in democracy,” he decries the “Georgetownist worldview” of elites like the late diplomat George Kennan. Moldbug’s writings, coming amid the failure of the U.S. state-building project in Iraq, are hard to parse clearly and are open to multiple interpretations, but the author seems aware that his views are provocative. “It’s been a while since I posted anything really controversial and offensive here,” he begins in a July 25, 2007, post explaining why he associates democracy with “war, tyranny, destruction and poverty.”
Moldbug, who does not do interviews and could not be reached for this story, has reportedly opened up a line to the White House, communicating with Bannon and his aides through an intermediary, according to a source. Yarvin said he has never spoken with Bannon. . . . .
***
If Taleb and Yarvin laid some of the theoretical groundwork for Trumpism, the most muscular and controversial case for electing him president—and the most unrelenting attack on Trump’s conservative critics—came from Michael Anton, a onetime conservative intellectual writing under the pseudonym Publius Decius Mus.
Thanks to an entree from Thiel, Anton now sits on the National Security Council staff. Initial reports indicated he would serve as a spokesman, but Anton is set to take on a policy role, according to a source with knowledge of the situation. A former speechwriter for Rudy Giuliani and George W. Bush’s National Security Council, Anton most recently worked as a managing director for BlackRock, the Wall Street investment firm.
…
10. Facebook has been developing new artificial intelligence (AI) technology to classify pictures on your Facebook page:
For the past few months, Facebook has secretly been rolling out a new feature to U.S. users: the ability to search photos by what’s depicted in them, rather than by captions or tags.
The idea itself isn’t new: Google Photos had this feature built in when it launched in 2015. But on Facebook, the update solves a longstanding organization problem. It means finally being able to find that picture of your friend’s dog from 2013, or the selfie your mom posted from Mount Rushmore in 2009… without 20 minutes of scrolling.
To make photos searchable, Facebook analyzes every single image uploaded to the site, generating rough descriptions of each one. This data is publicly available—there’s even a Chrome extension that will show you what Facebook’s artificial intelligence thinks is in each picture—and the descriptions can also be read out loud for Facebook users who are vision-impaired.
For now, the image descriptions are vague, but expect them to get a lot more precise. Today’s announcement specified the AI can identify the color and type of clothes a person is wearing, as well as famous locations and landmarks, objects, animals and scenes (garden, beach, etc.) Facebook’s head of AI research, Yann LeCun, told reporters the same functionality would eventually come for videos, too.
Facebook has in the past championed plans to make all of its visual content searchable—especially Facebook Live. At the company’s 2016 developer conference, head of applied machine learning Joaquin Quiñonero Candela said one day AI would watch every Live video happening around the world. If users wanted to watch someone snowboarding in real time, they would just type “snowboarding” into Facebook’s search bar. On-demand viewing would take on a whole new meaning.
There are privacy considerations, however. Being able to search photos for specific clothing or religious place of worship, for example, could make it easy to target Facebook users based on religious belief. Photo search also extends Facebook’s knowledge of users beyond what they like and share, to what they actually do in real life. That could allow for far more specific targeting for advertisers. As with everything on Facebook, features have their cost—your data.
11. Here’s something worth noting while sifting through the 2016 election aftermath: Silicon Valley’s long rightward shift became official in 2016. At least if you look at the corporate PACs of tech giants like Microsoft, Google, Facebook, and Amazon. Sure, the employees tended to still favor donating to Democrats, although not as much as before (and not at all at Microsoft). But when it came to the corporate PACs Silicon Valley was seeing red.
A new Oxfam study found that the just eight individuals – including tech titans Bill Gates, Jeff Bezos, Mark Zuckerberg, and Larry Ellison – own as much wealth as the poorest half of the global population. So, you know, wealth inequality probably isn’t a super big priority for their super PACs.
“Silicon Valley Takes a Right Turn” by Thomas B. Edsall; The New York Times; 1/12/2017.
In 2016, the corporate PACs associated with Microsoft, Facebook, Google and Amazon broke ranks with the traditional allegiance of the broad tech sector to the Democratic Party. All four donated more money to Republican Congressional candidates than they did to their Democratic opponents.
As these technology firms have become corporate behemoths, their concerns over government regulatory policy have intensified — on issues including privacy, taxation, automation and antitrust. These are questions on which they appear to view Republicans as stronger allies than Democrats.
In 2016, the PACs of these four firms gave a total of $3.6 million to House and Senate candidates. Of that, $2.1 million went to Republicans, and $1.5 million went to Democrats. These PACs did not contribute to presidential candidates.
The PACs stand apart from donations by employees in the technology and internet sectors. According to OpenSecrets, these employees gave $42.4 million to Democrats and $24.2 million to Republicans.
In the presidential race, tech employees (as opposed to corporate PACs) overwhelmingly favored Hillary Clinton over Donald Trump. Workers for internet firms, for example, gave her $6.3 million, and gave $59,622 to Trump. Employees of electronic manufacturing firms donated $12.6 million to Clinton and $534,228 to Trump.
Most tech executives and employees remain supportive of Democrats, especially on social and cultural issues. The Republican tilt of the PACs at Microsoft, Amazon, Google and Facebook suggests, however, that as these companies’ domains grow larger, their bottom-line interests are becoming increasingly aligned with the policies of the Republican Party.
In terms of political contributions, Microsoft has led the rightward charge. In 2008, the Microsoft PAC decisively favored Democrats, 60–40, according to data compiled by the indispensable Center for Responsive Politics. By 2012, Republican candidates and committees had taken the lead, 54–46; and by 2016, the Microsoft PAC had become decisively Republican, 65–35.
In 2016, the Microsoft PAC gave $478,818 to Republican House candidates and $272,000 to Democratic House candidates. It gave $164,000 to Republican Senate candidates, and $75,000 to Democratic Senate candidates.
Microsoft employees’ contributions followed a comparable pattern. In 2008 and 2012, Microsoft workers were solidly pro-Democratic, with 71 percent and 65 percent of their contributions going to party members. By 2016, the company’s work force had shifted gears. Democrats got 47 percent of their donations.
This was not small change. In 2016 Microsoft employees gave a total of $6.47 million.
A similar pattern is visible at Facebook.
The firm first became a noticeable player in the world of campaign finance in 2012 when employees and the company PAC together made contributions of $910,000. That year, Facebook employees backed Democrats over Republicans 64–35, while the company’s PAC tilted Republican, 53–46.
By 2016, when total Facebook contributions reached $3.8 million, the Democratic advantage in employee donations shrank to 51–47, while the PAC continued to favor Republicans, 56–44.
While the employees of the three other most valuable tech companies, Alphabet (Google), Amazon and Apple, remained Democratic in their giving in 2016, at the corporate level of Alphabet and Amazon — that is, at the level of their PACs — they have not.
Google’s PAC gave 56 percent of its 2016 contributions to Republicans and 44 percent to Democrats. The Amazon PAC followed a similar path, favoring Republicans over Democrats 52–48. (Apple does not have a PAC.)
Tech giants can no longer be described as insurgents challenging corporate America.
“By just about every measure worth collecting,” Farhad Manjoo of The Times wrote in January 2016:
American consumer technology companies are getting larger, more entrenched in their own sectors, more powerful in new sectors and better insulated against surprising competition from upstarts.
These firms are now among the biggest of big business. In a 2016 USA Today ranking of the most valuable companies worldwide, the top four were Alphabet, $554.8 billion; Apple, $529.3 billion; Microsoft, $425.4 billion; and Facebook, $333.6 billion. Those firms decisively beat out Berkshire Hathaway, Exxon Mobil, Johnson & Johnson and General Electric.
In addition to tech companies’ concern about government policy on taxation, regulation and antitrust, there are other sources of conflict between tech firms and the Democratic Party. Gregory Ferenstein, a blogger who covers the tech industry, conducted a survey of 116 tech company founders for Fast Company in 2015. Using data from a poll conducted by the firm SurveyMonkey, Ferenstein compared the views of tech founders with those of Democrats, in some cases, and the views of the general public, in others.
Among Ferenstein’s findings: a minority, 29 percent, of tech company founders described labor unions as “good,” compared to 73 percent of Democrats. Asked “is meritocracy naturally unequal?” tech founders overwhelmingly agreed.
Ferenstein went on:
One hundred percent of the smaller sample of founders to whom I presented this question said they believe that a truly meritocratic economy would be “mostly” or “somewhat” unequal. This is a key distinction: Opportunity is about maximizing people’s potential, which founders tend to believe is highly unequal. Founders may value citizen contributions to society, but they don’t think all citizens have the potential to contribute equally. When asked what percent of national income the top 10% would hold in such a scenario, a majority (67%) of founders believed that the richest individuals would control 50% or more of total income, while only 31% of the public believes such an outcome would occur in a meritocratic society.
One of the most interesting questions posed by Ferenstein speaks to middle and working class anxieties over global competition:
In international trade policy, some people believe the U.S. government should create laws that favor American business with policies that protect it from global competition, such as fees on imported goods or making it costly to hire cheaper labor in other countries (“outsourcing”). Others believe it would be better if there were less regulations and businesses were free to trade and compete without each country favoring their own industries. Which of these statements come closest to your belief?
There was a large difference between tech company officials, 73 percent of whom chose free trade and less regulation, while only 20 percent of Democrats supported those choices.
Ferenstein also found that tech founders are substantially more liberal on immigration policy than Democrats generally. 64 percent would increase total immigration levels, compared to 39 percent of Democrats. Tech executives are strong supporters of increasing the number of highly trained immigrants through the HB1 visa program.
Joel Kotkin, a fellow in urban studies at Chapman University who writes about demographic, social and economic trends, sees these differences as the source of deep conflict within the Democratic Party.
In a provocative August, 2015, column in the Orange County Register, Kotkin wrote:
The disruptive force is largely Silicon Valley, a natural oligarchy that now funds a party teetering toward populism and even socialism. The fundamental contradictions, as Karl Marx would have noted, lie in the collision of interests between a group that has come to epitomize self-consciously progressive mega-wealth and a mass base which is increasingly concerned about downward mobility.
The tech elite, Kotkin writes, “far from deserting the Democratic Party, more likely will aim take to take it over.” Until very recently, the
conflict between populists and tech oligarchs has been muted, in large part due to common views on social issues like gay marriage and, to some extent, environmental protection. But as the social issues fade, having been “won” by progressives, the focus necessarily moves to economics, where the gap between these two factions is greatest.
Kotkin sees future partisan machination in cynical terms:
One can expect the oligarchs to seek out a modus vivendi with the populists. They could exchange a regime of higher taxes and regulation for ever-expanding crony capitalist opportunities and political protection. As the hegemons of today, Facebook and Google, not to mention Apple and Amazon, have an intense interest in protecting themselves, for example, from antitrust legislation. History is pretty clear: Heroic entrepreneurs of one decade often turn into the insider capitalists of the next.
In 2016, Donald Trump has produced an upheaval within the Republican Party that shifted attention away from the less explosive turmoil in Democratic ranks. . . .
Oh what a surprise: Cambridge Analytica’s parent company, SCL, is trying to worm its way into the US’s privatized intelligence industry:
“As part of its outreach to U.S. officials, SCL is touting more than 20 years of experience in shaping voter perceptions and advising militaries and governments around the world on how to conduct effective psychological operations. In materials obtained by The Washington Post, the company suggests it could help the Pentagon and other government agencies with “counter radicalization” programs. At the State Department, SCL is offering to assess the impact of foreign propaganda campaigns, while the company says it could provide intelligence agencies with predictions and insight on emerging threats, among other services.”
If Cambridge Analytica’s creepy secret psychological profiling and data collecting on hundreds of millions of Americans for the 2016 election didn’t seem creepy and psyop-ish enough, now it’s going to get to use those services for actual formal psyops. Oh goodie. And without any conflicts of interest *snicker*:
Yep, no conflicts of interest there.
You also have to wonder what Peter Thiel thinks of all this. After all, being the US government’s private CIA is sort of his thing. But he’s probably ok with sharing the privatized intelligence spoils with Cambridge Analytica. After all, there’s no doubt going to be an abundance of government contracts to go around. Like contracts to identify individuals for mass round ups and deportations. If there’s a contract for stuff like that, Palantir is probably getting it:
“Palantir did not respond to requests for comment and has sought to distance itself from Trump’s agenda, denying that it would build a Muslim registry. Regardless, Palantir already provided the “seeing stone” that Trump’s administration needs to become the most sophisticated dictatorship in history, in which Chairman Thiel is set to play a mostly shrouded role. Morisy of MuckRock, concluded, “I hope our institutions live up to their obligations to protect the interest of taxpayers and citizens. There was already a problem of the revolving door, now everybody’s on the same side of the door, involved in the private sector and government at the same time.” As a sign of the times, Thiel is considering a run for governor of California.”
While Cambridge Analytica might be the hot new thing on the private intelligence block, it’s not going be easy to replace Palantir. Especially after it uses Thiel’s connections to privatize even more intelligence community services and provide Trump with the tools it needs to effectively destroy targeted populations:
Yep, there’s plenty of work to go around. And, of course, despite Thiel’s growing role as one of Trump’s close advisors, there’s not going to be any conflicts of interest:
See, no problems. So, yeah, Peter Thiel probably isn’t complaining about the rise of his Cambridge Analytica. They might be competitors in one sense, but they’re partners in a much deeper sense.
The Guardian has a long and critical piece on Robert Mercer and the Mercer clan’s role in the rise of Brietbart as the dominant ‘outsider’ conservative media outlet and how deeply intertwined that endeavor is with the Mercers’ other big investments. Specifically in the firms Cambridge Analytica and its parent company SCL, where Cambridge Analytica specializes in using AI and Big Data psychometric analysis on the data they collect on hundreds of millions of Americans to model individual behavior and then SCL develops strategies to use that information and manipulate search engine results to change public opinions (the Trump campaign was apparently very big into AI and Big Data during the campaign). As the article describes, not only does it looks like Cambridge Analytica/SCL are using their propaganda techniques to shape the US public opinion in a far-right direction, but it looks like one of the ways its going about achieving this shift in attitudes is by using its propaganda machine to the meme that all news outlets that to the left of Brietbart are “fake news” and can’t be trusted. Only far-right media can be trusted. That’s the meme getting pushed by this far-right Brietbart-investor’s meme-machine companies Cambridge Analytica/SCL.
So, yes, the secretive far-right billionaire who runs multiple firms that specialize in mass psychometric profiling using data collected from Facebook and other social media and who is, of course, close friends with Steve Bannon, is using AI and Big Data to develop mass propaganda campaigns to turn the public against everything that isn’t like Brietbart by convincing the public that all non-Brietbartian media outlets are in a conspiracy to lie to the public, and especially lie about Trump:
“You can take an existing trending topic, such as fake news, and then weaponise it. You can turn it against the very media that uncovered it. Viewed in a certain light, fake news is a suicide bomb at the heart of our information system. Strapped to the live body of us – the mainstream media.”
The right-wing media-verse, which is by far the biggest creator and consumer of what is actually ‘fake news’, is on the verge of using modern propaganda techniques to help Donald Trump label all non-far-right media as ‘fake news’. Yeah, that’s scary.
And note how the Mercers aren’t just pyscho-analyzing everyone and running a mass-psychological profiling/shaping empire. They’re also funding long-term investigative journalism via the Government Accountability Institute, which pays researchers to trawl the Dark-Web for facts that that won’t show up on Google so the rest of the Mercer propaganda machine can proceed to blast those facts, true or not, across venues like Youtube:
So, that’s all going to be something to keep in mind as Trump’s war on ‘fake news’ unfolds: he’s got a crazy far-right billionaire backing him who has a business empire specializing in full-spectrum personalized influence peddling, literally covert personalized psychological influence peddling where the target is everywhere. And this same billionaire has his own media empire that specializes in pushing highly questionable news and that media empire is intended to replace the current media landscape after they’ve finished convincing everywhere that almost all news is ‘fake news’ unless its super-right-wing news.
Also note how Trump himself appears to be using the AI/psychological profiling techniques and services offered by Cambridge Analytica/SCL: Trump is using them to find his keywords of choice for the topic at hand:
So, yes, while Steve Bannon is clearly Trump’s brain, Robert Mercer — the secretive far-right mass propaganda billionaire who doesn’t like to speak to the public — is apparently Trump’s mouth. As we can see, Frankstein’s monster has a really scary brother, and he’s the president. You have to wonder about the the psychometrics of the kind of nation that elected Dr. Frankenstein’s monster president but you can be sure they are off the charts in at least a few ways and not in a good way. And in some ways just as the doctor ordered.
Hi all,
I just came across this video. It’s about the power of data collection and starts with a family’s continuous video recording of their son’s language acquisition over about 3 years. It’s actually very sweet.
But then...
About 11 minutes into the video, the ‘big data’ concepts and visualizations explained in the first part are expanded into the larger world of social media and television content and you begin to see something extremely unnerving — I think it could rightly be called the face of Big Brother. Connections are made and massive data trends of millions of links are assembled into a coherent, and in my opinion, frighteningly explicit depiction of our current fascist technocracy and it’s propaganda mechanisms. It’s right there in the data. And it’s a Muthafugga!
Of course, the presenter is totally infatuated with the technology; ‘Gee whiz, aren’t we clever?’
The only thing going through my mind was the Cambridge/Mercer/Bannon/Underground Reich nexus playing this thing like a 21at century Wurlizter while the masses dance to their tune.
Here is the link...
http://www.ted.com/talks/deb_roy_the_birth_of_a_word
It helps if you watch the whole thing to understand how the data is extracted and correlated.
God help us all.
Jane Mayer has a massive new piece in The New Yorker on the rise of Robert Mercer and the Mercer clan as major financiers and power-brokers in the contemporary far-right. And while there’s an abundance of fascinating tidbits and threads running through in the article, perhaps one of the most interesting threads is the role former Democratic pollster Pat Caddell has played in the rise of Trump. And part of what makes Caddell’s role so interesting is how incredibly cynical it is when you factor in everything we learn about the Mercers throughout the rest of the piece: Pat Caddell’s polls leading into the 2016 election were all pointing towards a deep disenchantment with establishment politicians in either major party and a strong desire to see an “outsider” come to Washington and get government working for the people. And when Caddell, who was working closely with Steve Bannon at this point, looked at all the GOP candidates in the 2016 race, Donald Trump was of course the candidate that most closely fit that “Mr. Smith goes to Washington” model. Mercer then got behind Trump and the rest is history.
Envisioning Trump as the “Mr. Smith” candidate was clearly a cynical tactic given that Trump is setting out to destroy the safety net and create a government run almost exclusively by and more the super-wealthy, as is becoming more and more clear with each day of his presidency But part of what made is so extra cynical is the political views of Robert Mercer himself. As the article notes, Mercer appears to be an Objectivist who believes that the only value people have is derived from the money they make. Not surprisingly, Mercer also has contempt for the social safety net and feels that the government is harming the strong through taxes in order to help the weak and that this situation is the opposite of how it should be. In other words, the guy behind the “Mr. Smith, out for the little guy” Trump campaign actively hates the little guy and wants government to stop helping him so much because the little guy has no actual value:
“Magerman told the Wall Street Journal that Mercer’s political opinions “show contempt for the social safety net that he doesn’t need, but many Americans do.” He also said that Mercer wants the U.S. government to be “shrunk down to the size of a pinhead.” Several former colleagues of Mercer’s said that his views are akin to Objectivism, the philosophy of Ayn Rand. Magerman told me, “Bob believes that human beings have no inherent value other than how much money they make. A cat has value, he’s said, because it provides pleasure to humans. But if someone is on welfare they have negative value. If he earns a thousand times more than a schoolteacher, then he’s a thousand times more valuable.” Magerman added, “He thinks society is upside down—that government helps the weak people get strong, and makes the strong people weak by taking their money away, through taxes.” He said that this mind-set was typical of “instant billionaires” in finance, who “have no stake in society,” unlike the industrialists of the past, who “built real things.””
As we can see, the main billionaires behind Bannon and Trump are basically sociopaths. Really, really rich sociopaths. And they’re bankrolling the media/psyop empire that managed to sell Donald Trump as a champion of the little guy:
And after pulling off their “Mr. Trump/Smith goes to Washington” scam, the Mercer clan is one of the most powerful families on the planet and free to push their pro-“starve the weak”, pro-climate change, pro-“you’re on your own” Objectivist philosophy from inside the Oval Office. It’s all pretty cynical. Cynically suicidal, collectively speaking. Although since the Mercers are paying Art Robinson to develop longevity-technology and they’ve invested in the largest private machine gun cache in the US, they’re presumably assuming they won’t be caught up the nightmare they’re trying to unleash. Which is, again, pretty cynical.
Now that the #TrumpRussia investigation has started to focus on the use of social media platforms like Facebook and Twitter as part of some sort of alleged Kremiln-directed pro-Trump misinformation campaign we’re getting a flood of stories breathlessly covering what is purported to a massive, full-spectrum Kremlin operation that involved everything from micro-targeting voters with inflammatory ads in key swing-states to actually trying to hire real life US activists and arrange for live events. And yet, as is the case with so much of the #TrumpRussia investigation, when you look past the headlines and consensus narratives and examine the actual details that are reported a very different picture emerges.
For example, there have been a number of reports about the recent revelation that ~3000 Facebook ads purchased through the Internet Research Agency, the notorious St. Petersburg-based ‘troll farm for hire’ that’s been reported on for years. About $100,000 was reportedly spent on these ads. If that seems like a lot of money, keep in mind that the Trump campaign alone reportedly spent $90 million on digital advertising and over half of that went to Facebook. So by US presidential campaign standards $100,000 is a miniscule amount.
That said, a big part of the interest in those ads has been the possibility that they were micro-targeting individuals in a sophisticated manner that effectively gave the $100,000 ad campaign more bang for the buck. And by “ad”, in this case we are talking about a specific purchase on Facebook to show a particular ad to a selected audience based on that audience’s interests. And as we saw with the recent reports about Facebook offering advertising categories that include “Jew haters” and Nazi parties, it’s shockingly easy to micro-target people on Facebook. For just about any category. So it’s not inconceivable that great deal of of these $100,000 in ad purchases were employing some sort of micro-targeting because that’s basically what Facebook is: a social media platform that collects information on its users for the purpose of micro-targeting.
So how many people did these 3,000 Facebook ads purchased for $100,000 actually reach? According to Facebook, half the ads cost $3 each, with 99% costing less than $1,000. And in total about 10,000,000 people in the US saw the ads. And yes, 10,000,000 people is quite a few people. But don’t forget, if these 10,000,000 people saw one of more of these 3,000 ‘Kremlin’ ads, they almost assuredly saw A LOT more ads from the myriad of other entities that simultaneously advertising on Facebook.
In other words, given how low-impact a $100,000 advertising campaign would be in the context of a US presidential election it’s kind of hard to imagine that this $100,000 was actually spent for the purpose of making a meaningful impact on the election unless those ads were all targeting roughly the same group of people during the entire ad campaign. $100,000 spent on Facebook ads exclusively targeting potential swing-voters in Michigan and Wisconsin, for instance, would have been a potentially impactful advertising campaign. But based on the following article it doesn’t look like that was remotely how this ad campaign was done. Especially since over half of those ads “impressions” (instances when the ads were shown) took place after the 2016 election:
“For 50% of the ads, less than $3 was spent; for 99% of the ads, less than $1,000 was spent.”
As we can see, targeted advertising on Facebook is cheap enough that just about anyone can afford it:
And as we also saw, whoever was purchasing these ads that Facebook is attributing to the Internet Research Agency bought most of those ads after the election was over:
So what was the actual content of these 3,000 Facebook ads? Well, as the following article notes, these ads largely focusing on controversial and polarizing topics topics across the political spectrum — anti-Muslim ads for some voters, pro-Black Lives Matter ads for others — and ran in key swing-states that flipped to Trump (Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsyvania). The article frames this as clear evidence of some sort of Kremlin attempt to divide and conquer the United States and notes how investigators are looking into whether or not the Trump team was passing information to the Kremlin about which voters to target.
But as the article also notes, a large number of these ads were run in areas that weren’t heavily contested at all and only about a quarter of the ads were geographically targeted (i.e. trying to influence voters in a particular state). And of that 25 percent that were geographically targeted, most ran in 2015.
And when were the targeted ads for key states like Wisconsin and Michigan run relative to the election in November? Well, we don’t know at this point since Facebook hasn’t released that information.
At this point, all we know about those 3,000 Facebook ads is that most of the 25 percent of the ads that were geographically targeted ran in 2015, and most of the ads overall ran after the election. So if the Kremlin really was running a sophisticated targeted advertising campaign intended to flip the election for Trump it must have been an extremely sophisticated campaign because it looks like a completely random mess of a campaign to the naked eye and running an ad campaign that looks like a random mess, but is actually sophisticated, is obviously very sophisticated. Of course, it might also have just been a random mess:
“Members from both parties said that there was a clear sophistication in the Russian ad campaign, and they said they were only just beginning to learn the full extent of the social media efforts.”
Members of both parties said “there was a clear sophistication in the Russian ad campaign.” And that “sophistication” demonstrated by the fact that ad campaign was using divisive issues “aimed at breaking through the clutter of campaign ads online”, according to two of the sources for the article. It’s the kind of observation that raises the question as to whether or not these sources have ever seen ads on the internet:
And when it comes to key swing states like Wisconsin and Michigan we don’t get to know when those geographically targeted ads actually ran. Was it in 2015? Early 2016? Right before the November election? We don’t get to know. But we’re assured that this was all part of a super sophisticated ad campaign that could have only been executed by people with advanced knowledge of the US electorate:
It’s going to be really interesting to eventually learn all the various locations these geographically targeted ads. Because guess what: if you geographically target lots of different locations, odds are you’re going to include some politically significant locations. That’s just basic probability.
Now, the fact that so many of these ads only cost $3 does suggest that these cheap ads might have been micro-targeted ads. Or maybe not. Facebook’s ad system has different options for getting billed. Options include getting charged only when someone clicks on your ad (cost-per-click), or getting charged when Facebook shows your ad 1000 times (cost-per-mile). Other options include cost-per-like (getting charged when people “like” your page) or cost-per-action (where someone clicks on the ad, goes to your page, and does something). But the price you pay for each of these options still varies quite a bit based on other factors because Facebook’s prices work on a bidding system and the target audience you select will determine who you’re competing with in that bidding. The more competition there is to advertise for your selected audience the more its going to cost. And if you choose to target particular locations (like a city), that’s potentially going to costs relatively more too vs no location targeting if a lot or other advertisers are targeting that location too.
So we really need to know a lot about more about the particulars of these Russian troll farm ads (what audiences were targeted, where, and when) to get a sense of whether or not those these ad buys represented a sophisticated attempt to subtly tip the election by targeting key demographic in key states or if these ad buys were simply small-scale test run experiments done in order to see what resonated with audiences. Lot’s a small ad buys might represent sophisticated micro-targeting but it might just be standard Facebook ad campaign methodology of trying out lots of little ads in order to refine an ad campaign. It’s a big reason why it’s absurd to presume micro-targeting on Facebook is a sign of sophistication without more information. Facebook is designed to facilitate cheap, micro-targeted ads that any doofus to set up, enabling lots of small tests of different ads to see what works.
And if we do ever get to see the details on these ad purchases and it turns out that there’s no particular strategic methodology apparent in the data that would point to the other obvious scenario we haven’t considered yet: that this entire operation run out of the Internet Research Agency was primarily a for-profit clickbait operation run on behalf of someone who wanted to make a bunch of advertising money by getting traffic to their Facebook pages by using polarizing ads. A diabolical scheme otherwise known as the basic internet business model.
It’s also possible that some of the ads really were part of a relatively small and ineffective Kremlin influence campaign, and some were just for-profit clickbait. At this point we have no where near enough information to make that call.
But what we do know is that the Internet Research Agency has corporate clients. It’s not simply a troll-farm run by a Putin-connected oligarch. It’s also a for-profit troll-for-hire operation. How do we know this? Well, while the bulk of the reporting on the Internet Research over the years has focused on their ostensible work for the Kremlin, Adrien Chen, a reporter to who wrote about the Internet Research Agency back in 2015, recently tweeted this about the business:
Yep, the Internet Research Agency has commercial clients. Private clients who want to hire its services for whatever reason. Perhaps to influence people or perhaps to just drive traffic to their sites to make money which, again, is the basic internet business model. At this point we don’t have enough information to determine who actually hired the Internet Research Agency to run these ads and whether or not it was simply a for-profit operation or something else.
So when we hear about how this Russian troll farm was pushing these controversial and polarizing topics using edgy ads that ‘break through the clutter’ and grab people’s attention, don’t forget that using ads on controversial and polarizing topics is a great way to make money on the internet and this isn’t a secret:
“The pages described and the ads leading to them are typical click-bait, not part of a political influence op.”
Yeah, it’s hard to ignore the fact that this entire Russian Facebook operation sure looks a lot like a clickbait campaign. Although we’d have to know more about whether or not there was a for-profit angle to the ads and fake Facebook pages set up by this troll farm. Were they directing people to sites filled with ads? It’s a pretty important question at this point and we don’t have an answer for it yet but the fact that a majority of these ads were purchased after the election certainly raises questions about the whole ‘Kremlin influence campaign’ narrative:
So can well just dismiss all of these polarizing ads as a clickbait campaign that included puppies and rainbows too and was just interested in profits and nothing else? Well, we still clearly need more information.
And we got more information, at least regarding the Internet Research Agency’s operation targeting African Americans on hot-button issues. Because it turns out that there were a number of real-life outreach efforts to black activists in the US that appear to involve the people from the Internet Research Agency creating fake black activist groups and reach out to, and financing, Americans black activist. This was discovered as part of a recent investigative report from RBC, a Russian news outlet, that included interviews with the actual employees of the Internet Research Agency carrying out these campaigns in the US.
According to the RBC report, starting in 2015 the Internet Research Agency basically started an experimental campaign to see if they could use social media test a hypothesis: can you remotely organize measures in American cities. “Simply a test of possibilities, an experiment,” as one employee put it. And it worked. They actually arranged for meet up events in places in the US where there were publicly available cameras that you could watch on the internet so they could see if people actually showed up. And they did.
So how much was spent on these real-world influence campaign? $5,000 per month during the period RBC covered and $80,000 in total, which included in some cases paying these local organizers — who didn’t realize they were in contact with an Internet Research Agency front — for flights, printing costs, and technical equipment.
This report is widely being interpreted as a validation that the Kremlin intent on fomenting civic unrest in the US via Facebook. And who knows, perhaps it really was just that. It would be rather shocking if governments around the world aren’t doing experiments like that. But, of course, there’s the other obvious possibility that’s rarely considered: if you’re a troll farm, and you’re business is internet influence campaign, you’re going to want to eventually run an experiment on doing exactly what they did. Because why not? From a purely business perspective it’s an amazingly useful service for a troll farm to offer.
And as was the case with the Facebook ads, we still have no idea a whether or not these real-world-influence services are done at the behest of the Kremlin or some other commercial client. For instance, could the GOP quietly hire the Internet Research Agency to foment protests in the African American community? These are pretty critical questions to get answers to and at this point we don’t have remotely enough information to know:
“RBC found that the troll farm was carrying out dry runs for political protests in the U.S. as early as 2015. That spring, the organization used publicly accessible webcams in Times Square to see if people would follow instructions on Facebook to show up at a designated place and time for a free hot dog. They did, and didn’t even get a promised hot dog for their trouble.”
A dry run experiment for remotely triggering political protests in the US. That, according to this RBC report, is what this particular campaign was all about. And African Americans were clearly a primary target in this experiment.
And like the 3,000 Facebook ads, this experiment continued after the election:
“The report also found that from January-May 2017, the troll farm contacted martial arts instructors through a puppet group called BlackFist. In places as disparate as New York City, Los Angeles, Lansing, Michigan and Tampa, Florida, BlackFist offered to pay the instructors to provide free self-defense course for “anyone who wanted them.” Those instructors told RBC that they had indeed received sponsorship for free classes, although it was abruptly withdrawn.”
So in the first months of the Trump presidency the Internet Research Agency (now named the Federal News Agency) used a front group called “BlackFist” to pay martial arts instructors to offer free self-defense courses. And this the same troll farm that was targeting African Americans with all sorts polarizing (and often anti-Hillary) ads starting in 2015. Ok, yeah, it certainly appears that the Internet Research Agency really was conducting an big experiment on seeing how it can use social media to influence Americans.
But, again, this is what troll farms do and this is also what governments do! Does that mean it’s OK if the Kremlin really was conducting influence operations over Facebook and front groups? As with many things governments routinely do, no, it’s not OK. It’s creepy. And perhaps it even signals an intent to do this on a far greater scale in the future. It would almost be surprising of that wasn’t the case, just as it would be surprising if governments around the world aren’t doing exactly the same thing. Facebook and the other major social media platforms are designed to allow anyone to anonymously influence its billions of users. Of course a Russian troll farm is going to be doing this stuff. How many other governments have front groups interfacing with US activist groups? We don’t know because we don’t look. Don’t forget, if the current #TrumpRussia fixation never happened we almost certainly would have never heard about this.
So it’s going to be interesting to see what more we can learn about these Russian troll farm operations, especially since they appear to be ongoing and presumably getting better at it. But as opposed to being some sort of diabolical new Kremlin plot to destroy America, it looks like we’re looking at the same old diabolical plot to get better at influencing the public that foreign and domestic groups and governments have been practicing forever. Should we be aware of this growing Russian troll farm capability? Absolutely. But it would have been foolish in the extreme to assume they weren’t already taking place, just as it would be foolish in the extreme to assume that there aren’t all sorts of other governments and private entities around the globe doing exactly the same thing.
And that’s perhaps the biggest revelation of this entire affair: the Internet Research Agency apparently waited until 2015 to experiment with using Facebook to fool Americans into doing their bidding. 2015! The scandal here is how long they waited to do this and it’s more of a corporate negligence scandal than anything else.
And when you consider how much of the internet at this point is essentially trolling, how much of that trolling is non-Russian in origin (yes, American troll farms exist too), and how much cheaper Russian trolls must be than American trolls (cost of labor is going to be one of the primary costs), it’s going to be particularly interesting to see whether or not we end up seeing troll farm outsourcing taking place in coming years. Remember those reports about Fox News effectively running its own troll farm? And how about the studies showing the Tea Party emerged from a decade of astro-turfing working by Big Tobacco and the Koch brothers? Well, how many of those operations could be effectively, and cheaply, outsourced to places like Russia? We’ll find out! Via lots and lots of future trolling.
Who knows, perhaps that could be part of Trump’s 2020 bid: stopping the outflow of American trolling jobs. Make American Trolling Great Again.
Imagine that: Facebook’s year-old fact-checking operation — where Facebook users ‘alert’ Facebook to possibly fake news and then ABC News, AP, FactCheck.org, Politifact and Snopes help Facebook determine if it’s really fake news — just added its first openly partisan news organization to the fact-checking operation. It’s unfortunately more of a ‘news’ organization. The Weekly Standard is joining the Facebook fact-checking team:
“The Weekly Standard, a conservative opinion magazine, said it is joining a fact-checking initiative that Facebook launched last year aimed at debunking fake news on the site with the help of outside journalists. The Weekly Standard will be the first right-leaning news organization and explicitly partisan group to do fact-checks for Facebook, prompting backlash from progressive organizations, who have argued that the magazine has a history of publishing questionable content.”
So Facebook decides to add its first explicitly partisan group to it’s new fact-check team and it’s is a right-wing opinion outlet set up by Rupert Murdoch and Bill Kristol in 1995:
And note that while the Weekly Standard isn’t quite Brietbart and is largely in the #NeverTrump column of the GOP, it’s still #ClassicGOP, which is why the Weekly Standard’s addition to the Facebook fact-checking team is #ClassGOPBadNews:
“Recently, the Weekly Standard has also repeatedly attacked the fact-checkers who are already working with Facebook.”
Given that the Weekly Standard was recently taking issue with the fact-checker team it’s joining, it raises the question: is Facebook planning on having different fact-checking for self-identified conservatives?
It’s hard to answer because it’s not at all clear how the fact-checking power is shared? Do they all review the same content or divide the labor? Perhaps the Weekly Standard be tasked with specifically fact-checking conservative content? Or maybe specifically left-wing content? We’ll see! Or, rather, not see. What can be plainly seen is that alt-fact-checking is coming to Facebook in one form or another.
Chamath Palihapitiya, Facebook’s former vice president for user growth before leaving the company, recently shared some thought about Facebook. They were mostly negative thoughts. Very negative thoughts:
“Palihapitiya’s criticisms were aimed not only at Facebook, but the wider online ecosystem. “The short-term, dopamine-driven feedback loops we’ve created are destroying how society works,” he said, referring to online interactions driven by “hearts, likes, thumbs-up.” “No civil discourse, no cooperation; misinformation, mistruth. And it’s not an American problem — this is not about Russians ads. This is a global problem.””
As this former Facebook executive sees it, Facebook is a global problem. A global problem in the form of a social networking platform used globally and used to disrupt civil discourse and spread misinformation in a whole new way. And the power to do this is potentially accessible to anyone. And the more resources an individual or group has, the greater their ability to weaponize something like Facebook presumably:
And this former Facebook executive is just the latest former Facebook executive to issue this kind of warning:
“A former product manager at the company, Antonio Garcia-Martinez, has said Facebook lies about its ability to influence individuals based on the data it collects on them, and wrote a book, Chaos Monkeys, about his work at the firm.”
Yep, according to another former Facebook executive, Facebook has been lying to the world about its own ability to influence individuals based on the data it collects on them. It’s a reminder that, as scary as it is to think about powerful, nefarious forces weaponizing Facebook for their own ends, the scariest potential that exists is likely Facebook itself weaponizing Facebook for nefarious ends simply because Facebook is going to have much, much more information on Facebook users available to itself than a third-party user.
Given that enormous potential for abusing the power of Facebook and the even more enormous potential for Facebook itself to carry out abusive, manipulative practices, it raises an intriguing question about the 2016 US presidential campaign that’s never really been asked or answered related to Facebook, micro-targeting, and the Trump campaign:
We’ve had a number of reports about Facebook working closely with the Trump campaign throughout the election and capacity of the Trump campaign to “micro-target” individuals with customized messages (recall the “psychometric profiles” Cambridge Analytica reportedly built on hundreds of millions of Americans). But also recall the recent stories about how Facebook allowed people to target ads to categories of Facebook users that include “Jew haters” and Nazi party members and how the journalists reporting on this had to keep adding to categories of extremists because Facebook required a minimum number of target users for an ad to be purchased. In other words, it doesn’t appear that Facebook’s ad system actually allows real micro-targeting (down to targeting an individual user).
This raises the question: did Facebook actually allow the Trump campaign to micro-target Facebook users? It’s a pretty open question that doesn’t appear to have been asked or answered. And yet when you read the following interview of Brad Parscale, the digital director for Trump’s campaign, we learn that Facebook embedded its own employees into the Trump campaign in order to help the campaign fully harness what Facebook. We also hear Parscale bragging about how the campaign would learn about what types of ads “you” are most to click on. And that sure sounds like the micro-targeting at the individual level:
“Facebook’s advertising technology helped President Obama in 2012, but today Facebook offers something far more precise and sophisticated. While the president recently tweeted that “Facebook was always anti-Trump,” Parscale relied heavily on the company, particularly on its cutting-edge targeting tools.”
As we just saw, Facebook’s “cutting-edge targeting tools” played a key role in the Trump campaign’s success. So on some level it’s no surprise to learn that Facebook employees were actually embedded in the Trump campaign to teach the campaign how to fully exploit what Facebook had to offer. On the other hand, that’s still kind of shocking:
“Brad Parscale: Google employees, and Twitter employees.”
So apparently employee embeds is service Facebook offers. Presumably to all sorts of campaigns. And Google and Twitter offered the same service.
And that again raises the question of just what kind of other special services was Facebook, Google, and Twitter offering to groups that are spending so much money they get their own embed employees. Specifically, were there any types of special micro-targeting services? Because it sure sounds a lot like the Trump campaign was targeting individual voters with customized messages:
So is that process described above an example of individual-level micro-targeting, or is it describing a process where each individual is effectively thrown into a group of people who share a very similar profile? It’s not clear from the interview.
But note how Parscale dismisses the value of the psychological profiles developed by Cambridge Analytica. Profiles were collected on individual Facebook users. And yet Parscale strongly dismisses them as useless in the middle of an interview focused on micro-targeting. It’s rather conspicuous:
“But Parscale insists he never used psychographics. He said it doesn’t work.”
The Cambridge Analytica psychological profiles generated by Facebook users were were never used by the Trump campaign’s unprecedented micro-targeting on Facebook. That seems rather questionable.
So was Parscale just outright and blatantly lying when he made that claim? Well, it’s worth noting that he did make one pretty massive blatant verifiable lie during that interview: When asked if the campaign ever micro-targeted by race, Parscale completely denied it:
“While he tried to persuade Democrats to vote for Mr. Trump – the campaign was accused, in a Businessweek article, of trying to suppress the vote of “idealistic white liberals, young women and African Americans,” a charge he denies.”
Bwah!! Yeah, they did not target by race at all. Also, Cambridge Analytica’s massive database wasn’t really used because Parscale didn’t find it useful. Those were his answers and they weren’t said sarcastically. So it’s probably worth pointing out the Businessweek article where Parscale was “accused” of trying to suppress the vote of “idealistic white liberals, young women and African Americans,” didn’t actually include any accusations. Parscale was bragging about how they were targeting these groups with negative ads, including Facebook ads. The article also talks about they used Cambridge Analytica to categorize voters:
“To compensate for this, Trump’s campaign has devised another strategy, which, not surprisingly, is negative. Instead of expanding the electorate, Bannon and his team are trying to shrink it. “We have three major voter suppression operations under way,” says a senior official. They’re aimed at three groups Clinton needs to win overwhelmingly: idealistic white liberals, young women, and African Americans. Trump’s invocation at the debate of Clinton’s WikiLeaks e‑mails and support for the Trans-Pacific Partnership was designed to turn off Sanders supporters. The parade of women who say they were sexually assaulted by Bill Clinton and harassed or threatened by Hillary is meant to undermine her appeal to young women. And her 1996 suggestion that some African American males are “super predators” is the basis of a below-the-radar effort to discourage infrequent black voters from showing up at the polls—particularly in Florida.”
That was the word from the Trump campaign just two weeks before the election: they were targeting African Americans with negative ads. And this included “dark post” on Facebook:
Now, it’s not exactly shocking that the Trump campaign did this. But it’s still noteworthy given Parscale’s claims a year later that there was no race-based targeting of ads at all. Noteworthy in the sense that it conclusively establishes that Parscale was more than happy to blatantly lie during that CBS interview couple months ago.
So what other blatant lies was he telling during that interview? A lie about using Cambridge Analytica’s data, perhaps?
Again, this was the article about the Trump campaign’s mechanics just two weeks before the election and the campaign was clearly very open about its operations.
Interestingly, it isn’t just Parscale who downplays the importance of Cambridge Analytica and its psychometric profiles. Cambridge Analytica itself also downplayed this after the election. As the following article notes, Matt Oczkowski, Cambridge Analytica’s chief data scientist, told a panel hosted by Google five weeks after the election, “I don’t want to break your heart; we actually didn’t do any psychographics with the Trump campaign.” And he claimed this was because Cambridge Analytica was brought onto the Trump campaign that summer, and therefore “we had five months to scale extremely fast, and doing sexy psychographics profiles requires a much longer run time.” It’s a rather strange claim since the firm already had these profiles on hundreds of millions of Americans and was using them during the primaries to help Ted Cruz. But that’s what the company claimed...that its key service wasn’t actually used. The same article notes that it was Cambridge Analytica algorithms that identified a large number of “persuadable” voters in Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin in the final weeks of the campaign, leading to the strategic decision to focus on these voters.
And the article also makes an important point regarding direct targeting of individual voters on Facebook: it turns out Facebook has a tool called “Custom Audiences from Customer Lists” that allowed the Trump campaign to match Trump supporters with their actual Facebook profiles. And since the campaign had information on a lot more than just Trump supporters, this presumably means the Trump campaign was able to connect Facebook profiles with its vast database on almost all Americans. And once these “Customer Lists” were uploaded into Facebook’s system, the Trump team was able to slice and dice them according to all sorts of parameters like race, ethnicity, gender, location, and other identities and affinities.
So instead of choosing the target audience based on the categories Facebook places people in (like “People who like puppies”, or “People who hate Jews”), it sounds like the Trump campaign had the option of generating target audiences that based on specific lists of people. In other words, yes, the Trump campaign was able to directly target specific voters by name with specific messages. At least, it sure sounds like that was how it worked:
“In the early phase of the primaries, Parscale launched Trump’s digital operation by buying $2 million in Facebook ads—his entire budget at the time. He then uploaded all known Trump supporters into the Facebook advertising platform and, using a Facebook tool called Custom Audiences from Customer Lists, matched actual supporters with their virtual doppelgangers and then, using another Facebook tool, parsed them by race, ethnicity, gender, location, and other identities and affinities. From there he used Facebook’s Lookalike Audiences tool to find people with interests and qualities similar to those of his original cohort and developed ads based on those characteristics, which he tested using Facebook’s Brand Lift surveys. He was just getting started. Eventually, Parscale’s shop was reportedly spending $70 million a month on digital advertising, most of it on Facebook. (Facebook and other online venues also netted Trump at least $250 million in donations.)”
Behold the “Custom Audiences from Customer Lists” too! A tool that allows people to upload lists of things like email addresses to Facebook and then Facebook and advertise directly to them. Or upload the lists, slice and dice them into sub-lists, and then advertise to thos sub-list. That appears to be a key ‘secret ingredient’ in the ‘secret-sauce’ Facebook is offering political campaigns. And offering to anyone else with money to spend.
And while that may not allow for a customized ad to be sent to individual Facebook users, it’s probably close enough to be effectively customized for every individual since few people are likely to require a uniquely crafted message to persuade them. In other words, breaking people up into smaller and smaller groups, with messages customized for each group, could be as microtargeted as a campaign needs to get to be effectively individually targeting people. Especially when the campaign is running 40,000–50,000 variants of its ads each day:
“While it may not have created individual messages for every voter, the Trump campaign used Facebook’s vast reach, relatively low cost, and rapid turnaround to test tens of thousands and sometimes hundreds of thousands of different campaign ads.”
Tens of thousands of ads getting tested every day on the known list of voters made available through the “Custom Audiences from Customer Lists” feature. It’s like shotgun micro-targeting set on full-auto.
And yet, oddly, we are told that none of the money spent on these ads were created using the psychological profils from Cambridge Analytica.
Even more odd is how Cambridge Analytica appeared to be downplaying its own role too, claiming it just didn’t have enough time to adequately profile people after joining the Trump team (despite having already collected them before joining the campaign):
So everyone involved with Cambridge Analytica is now downplaying its role. Even Cambridge Analytica. Isn’t that rather suspicious? Especially after reading that it was apparently Cambridge Analytica’s algorithms that identified all those voters in Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin:
So Cambridge Analytica’s algorithms are used to build the “Battleground Optimizer Path to Victory” model, which ran a bunch of simulations that identified 13.5 million persuadable voters in 16 battleground states, and determined the Rust Belt states were the campaign’s best shot at victory. The campaign invests in those states and wins. And yet we are being told by both Brad Parscale and Cambridge Analytica that the firm’s data just wasn’t actually all that useful. Again, isn’t that kind of suspicious?
Also note that Facebook technically doesn’t tell you who (which Facebook profile) clicked on your ads. The company says they don’t do this out of concerns about user privacy. But keep in mind that web tracking technology is such that an individual’s web activity to be effectively tracked across the web. It’s the same technology (like Facebook’s “pixel”) that enables the creepy phenomena of, for example, browsing a product web on some random website and then seeing ads for that same product suddenly show up on all sorts of other websites.
More importantly, in terms of the ability to use Facebook to target individual boters, keep in mind that if the Trump campaign (or Clinton campaign or anyone) uploads a “Customer List” to target a particular group of voters and then uses Facebook’s internal parameters to create subsets of those users — based on interests, geographic location, etc — there’s no reason the campaign couldn’t do the same subsetting of that known list of users with the vast database of knowledge they’ve collected from third-party resources like Cambridge Analytica or the RNC’s massive database on users. For example, imagine the following scenario:
1. The minimum number of people Facebook would allow the Trump campaign to target a particular ad at is 10,000 people.
2. Trump campaign creates a “Customer List” with the email addresses of 9,900 left-leaning voters and 100 GOP voters and then throw a bunch of pro-Trump ads at that group.
3. Keep in mind that the Trump campaign would know the real ids of these 10,000 people, but wouldn’t know which of those 10,000 people clicked on their ads. But, odds are whoever clicks on the ad will be one of those 100 GOP voters. And thanks to the things like track pixels, the Trump campaign would now potentially be able to link unique tracking pixels to each of the people who clicked on the ad and track their web behavior going forward.
4. Next, the Trump campaign takes those same 100 voters, finds something that divides them (some are really interested guns, others are really interested in religious stuff), and then creates a NEW “Customer List” with that same 100 GOP voters and another 9,900 left-leaning voters and pushes ads intended to appeal to GOP voters that either cover guns or religion. If someone clicks on that add, thanks to tracking pixels the Trump campaign could see if any of these people were the same people who clicked on the previous ad from step 2.
5. Repeat this process of repeatedly pushing different ads designed to target people with different interests at the same audiences people and seeing which ones different Facebook profiles click on. Then, using web tracking techonology, compare interests of these anonymized Facebook profiles with the known interests of the real people you’re uploading to these “Customer Lists” that you already have from the massive voter databases.
6. Eventually, the Trump campaign will be able to make very educated guesses about which real voters in their voter databases correspond to which anonymous Facebook profile’s unique tracking cookies/pixels. More imporantly, the campaign will have learned what makes these unique voters ‘tick’. What type of persuasion techniqes are required to prompt a response from each voter. THAT’s micro-targeting on effetively an individual scale.
Is that what the Trump campaign was actually doing? Again, it’s unclear, but it sure sounds like that’s what they were doing.
So, to summarize, it looks like Facebook has built a platform that will allow just about anyone to cheaply and effectively micro-target individuals by enabling advertisers to effectively learn what makes their audience ‘tick’. After all, look at the strategy the Trump team successfully employed: say anything and everything and see what people respond to:
That’s what Facebook enabled. A weaponization of the ‘say anything to win’ strategy. And it’s a strategy that can only be successfully employed if you use the tools available to gain insights into your target audience’s psychology. What they click on. What they respond to, etc. And one of the best ways to do that is to be very divisive, deceptive, and generally inflammatory.
And, yes, on some level this is just classical marketing. But on another level, it’s classical marketing on steroids: Big Data applied to massively detailed profiles on virtually everybody...profiles that grow more and more detailed as these marketing techniques are applied. Don’t forget, the general strategy here is to take a bunch of information known about people, and use that information to gain even more information about them. The Big Data on “Us” gets bigger the more it’s used.
And don’t forget what Chamath Palihapitiya, the former Facebook executive, warned above: this isn’t just a Trump campaign problem. Or even exclusively a Facebook problem. This is a global problem with the internet and social media. It’s just a much, much bigger global problem thanks to Facebook, which is another reason why it would be nice to learn what those “embeds” were doing in the Trump campaign.
Here’s an interesting followup article on the topic of Google, Facebook, and Twitter embedding their employees with the Trump campaign: a recently published study examined the role of these social media ’embeds’. And while the study doesn’t go into the details of the services these embeds offered, it does make the point that the services offered went far beyond just helping use the technology, and approached something much closer to that of a political consultant:
“While the companies call it standard practice to work hand-in-hand with high-spending advertisers like political campaigns, the new research details how the staffers assigned to the 2016 candidates frequently acted more like political operatives, doing things like suggesting methods to target difficult-to-reach voters online, helping to tee up responses to likely lines of attack during debates, and scanning candidate calendars to recommend ad pushes around upcoming speeches”
Tech giant ’embed’ political operatives. That’s quite a service:
And those services included things like coordinating dark posts on Facebook that would appear only to selected users, analyzing the performances of their tweet-based fundraising pushes and recommending what moves the campaigns should make next, or Google recommending geographically targeted advertisements while the campaign was on the move. Which, again, is one helluva service for the social media giants of our age to be offering candidates:
You almost have to wonder if the political consulting industry is excited about these ’embeds’ or fearing they’re going to lose their jobs to them? Although if they do lose their jobs they can presumably go work for one of these tech giants as embed since these embeds were themselves former political operatives:
So it’s pretty clear why the poltiical parties would love this ‘service’, although it sounds like the Republicans were the only ones to really take them up on the ’embed’ offer. But it’s very unclear why the public at large like this. After all, if there’s one thing offer political consultant ’embed’s
Heads, Facebook, Google, and Twitter win, because helped the candidate win. Tails, Facebook, Google, and Twitter win, because they backed the other candidate win. And not just donated to both parties. Helped both parties win by working intimately with their campaign. It’s a reminder that offering ’embeds’ to virtually all big-spending campaigns is a great way to get your tech giant company permanently embedded in the halls of power. More so.
Here’s a story about Cambridge Analytica and political hacks that should come as no surprise at this point given the reports of Cambridge Analytica’s outreach to Wikileaks during the 2016 campaign to help organized and index what they assumed were Hillary Clinton’s hacked emails. But it’s still quite notable in that it appears to demonstrate that Cambridge Analytica isn’t just willing to accept hacked materials. It was willing to hire teams to obtain it:
It turns out Cambridge Analytica received a set of hacked political documents a year earlier. But it had nothing to do with the US race. The company was hired by a Nigerian billionaire to help with the reelection of Nigeria’s then-president, Goodluck Johnson. And according to multiple former employees, the company was fully willing to accept hacked documents of Johnson’s rival, opposition leader Muhammadu Buhari.
Specifically, there was what was known as the “Israeli team” of cybersecurity contractors who provided hacked documents to Cambridge Analytica. According to Cambridge Analytica staff working on the campaign Johnson campaign, in early 2015 they met these Israeli cybersecurity contractors in Cambridge Analytica’s offices in London. Employees say they were told the meeting was arranged by a senior director at the firm. The Israelis brought a laptop and handed employees a USB stick containing what they believed were hacked personal emails. Cambridge Analytica CEP Alexander Nix and other senior directors told staff to search for incriminating material that could be used to damage opposition candidates, including Buhari.
In addition, the Guardian was shown an email from Nix from January 26, 2015, that refers to the “Israeli team”. “Although it is outside of our remit, I have asked for an update on what the Israeli team has been working on and what they will be delivering between now and the election,” Nix wrote. So it’s not like some Israeli hackers showed up out of the blue to offer this hacked data because that email sure sounds like they hired these hackers for the expressed purpose of hacking Johnson’s opponents.
Beyond that, this same “Israeli team” also somehow obtained private information of the St Kitts and Nevis politician Timothy Harris in 2015. Harris was an opposition leader at the time and is now prime minister.
So we have two separate politicians in two countries getting hacked by contractors who appear to have been hired by Cambridge Analytica: surprise, surprise:
“Multiple sources have described how senior directors of Cambridge Analytica – including its chief executive, Alexander Nix – gave staff instructions to handle material provided by computer hackers in election campaigns in Nigeria and St Kitts and Nevis.”
Yep, Alexander Nix, the CEO of Cambridge Analytica and not some lower level manager, is the guy who instructed employees to handle these hacked documents to search for content on opposition figures.
There was two distinct episodes 2015, both of which reportedly alarmed employees because these employees were being asked to handle what they assumed were stolen documents. In early 2015, these employees met Israeli cybersecurity contractors in Cambridge Analytica’s offices in London, where they were given a USB stick of what they believed were hacked personal emails. And Nix then asked the employees to look through the documents:
And then there was a second episode in early 2015 where the same Israeli team somehow obtained private information on Timothy Harris, an opposition leader of St Kitts and Nevis:
And based on a January 26, 2015, email from Nix, it sure sounds like the “Israeli team” was hired by Cambridge Analytica to “deliver” something before the Nigerian election:
So there was have it: we already knew Cambridge Analytica was willing to work with hacked emails. The outreach to Wikileaks made that clear. But now we have pretty compelling evidence that Cambridge Analytica was willing to hire hackers to do the hacking in the first place. Cambridge Analytica was clearly trying to be a ‘full service’ elections operation, and those services appear to include ordering the hacks too. Or at least ordering people to track down and obtain material that had been hacked by others and was available for sale.
And both of those possibilities are worth keeping in mind regarding the story of Republican financier/opposition researcher Peter Smith and how he and figures like Kellyanne Conway, Sam Clovis, Michael Flynn and Steve Bannon (a Cambridge Analytica officer) set up a separate LLC in Delaware for the purpose of hunting down Hillary’s hacked emails over the dark web (which led to calls for them to contact Andrew “weev” Anuernheimer). Were they trying to contact and hunt down hackers Cambridge Analytica previously hired or just searching for emails they assumed were already hacked by some third party and available for sale? Who knows, but based on the totality of information we have about this Cambridge Analytica and how it operates it’s hard to imagine that the company would have any a problem at all with either situation if the opportunity arose. Sure, some of the employees tasked with sifting through the hacked documents would have had a problem with that, but not the people actually running the company, as we just saw.
Here’s of those “look how quirky Robert Mercer is” kinds of stories that is both interesting and also quit alarming. Because this particular instance of Mercer’s quirkiness is directly tied to an apparent gun obsession the guy has. A gun obsession that includes possessing a massive bunker of arms and owning a firearms manufacturing company:
So it turns out Robert Mercer has an unexpected hobby. He was a reserve police officer for the town of Lake Arthur, New Mexico from 2011 until last September. And he was lavishing the Lake Arthur And it’s not because of a love of policing. Obviously. Mercer was clearly doing it to exploit a loophole in federal law that said off-duty police officers could carried concealed weapons anywhere in the US. He even started a non-profit, the Law Enforcement Education Organization, that is dedicated to educating people about the fact that off-duty police get concealed carry rights. That’s how desperately Robert Mercer is to carry a gun.
But that’s where the quirkiness ends and the scariness begins. Because Mercer’s gun fetish isn’t limited to getting the right to concealed carry a pistol or something like that. No, it turns out Mercer literally bought a massive private gun collection. And also appears to own a gun manufacturing company. And these don’t appear to be purchases based on the profit potential of these investments. He just wants guns. Lots and lots of guns
“The Mercers don’t talk to the press, and Robert Mercer wouldn’t tell me why he started volunteering for the Lake Arthur police. When I went there to see for myself, I found that it was unlike any police department I’d come across. Norwood and three part-timers are buttressed by 84 reserve officers, most of whom live hundreds or even thousands of miles away. There are Lake Arthur reservists in San Diego and Virginia Beach. Several are among the most elite soldiers on Earth—former U.S. Navy SEALs. Many are high-dollar bodyguards or firearms instructors, and almost all of them are serious gun enthusiasts. On that count, Mercer fits right in. He once built a personal pistol range in his basement. Through a company he co-owns, Centre Firearms Co., he has a vast collection of machine guns and other weapons of war, as well as a factory in South Carolina that makes assault-style rifles.”
As we can see, Robert Mercer really, really, really wants guns. All the time. In 2011, he joins the Lake Arthur reserve police program, and then a year later several of his associates, including his son-in-law George Wells, set up a a non-profit for the expressed purpose of teaching people about the right of off-duty police officers to carry concealed weapons. That’s how much this guy want the right to have a concealed gun on hand:
That said, he appears to have ended his sham reserve police officer relationship with the Lake Arthur program last Fall. Although given all the negative attention he’s received over the last couple of years it’s not surprising that he would have decided to end his obviously scammy relationship with this program:
And during this same 2011–2017 period that Mercer was playing cop he was also acquiring a massive private gun collection via his Centre Firearms company. Centre Firearms was a longtime Manhattan dealer that specialized in outfitting movies and TV shows, and after Mercer acquired it he decided to expand beyond prop guns. So they proceeded to buy the company of Nevada arms deal Daniel Shea, who owns a world-class collection of machine guns. And a Stinger antiaircraft missile launcher (let’s hope he doesn’t own any missiles too):
Alas, Mercer and Shea had a falling out. Shea left the company, and Centre Firearms got to keep most of Shea’s armory. Much of that armory was moved to a warehouse in Queens, NY:
Then, in 2016, Centre Firearms acquired PTR Industries, the maker of a civilian version of a Cold War-era German battle rifle called the G3. In January, PTR rolled out a civilian version of the German submachine gun known as the MP5 with a 30-round magazine and an optional threaded barrel for attaching a silencer.
“Mercer didn’t get into the gun business to get rich.”
And that’s perhaps the most disturbing part of this story: it’s NOT about the money. It’s about Robert Mercer’s apparent desire to possess a personal military-grade arsenal. And the fact that he’s a powerful fascist who clearly wants to see a far right takeover of society and is clearly willing to make major investments to make that happen. That’s what’s so extra disturbing about this story.
Check out the announcement Facebook made one day before Mark Zuckerberg is set to testify before the US congress over the ever-growing list of Facebook scandals: Facebook is starting a new academic initiative to “provide independent, credible research about the role of social media in elections, as well as democracy more generally.”
Sounds largely helpful, right? Well, it probably would be largely helpful if Facebook had actually found a high quality group of academics to study the topic. This this is Facebook we’re talking about, so instead their “academic initiative” is going to run by seven large philanthropic foundations. Including the Charles Koch Foundation, the John and Laura Arnold Foundation (also very conservative), and two foundations created by Pierre Omidyar. That’s who is going to be carrying out Facebook’s “academic initiative” to study the impact of social media:
“Facebook and other tech companies do not want to be regulated. They do not want the government to oversee the way they sell and profit from users’ data. I can see no better way for them to pretend they are doing something about how their users’ privacy was violated than to hand off all the data to a cabal of nonprofits which are intended to give the appearance of a non-partisan blend of interests.”
And that’s the key point to keep in mind with Facebook’s new “academic initiative”: Facebook does not want to be regulated. And that desire to avoid any hint at suggesting Facebook should be regulated is inevitably s going to permeate the decisions Facebook makes when it does things like set up “academic initiatives” to study the public impact of social media. And that’s why this shockingly laughable list of philanthropic foundations with conservative and hyper-libertarian leanings is only shocking in how transparently rigged it is. It’s not shocking that Facebook would like to prefer to have groups like the Charles Koch Foundation or two separate Omidyar foundations carry out this research because its obvious that such organizations will be highly inclined to arrive at findings that don’t point towards a need for greater government regulation:
And don’t forget that the Koch brothers have been engaged in a drive to corrupt academic research for years, notably at Florida State University where they tried to use their philanthropic donations through the Charles Koch Foundation as an excuse to get hard-right economics professors appointed to the school. More recently, professors and students in Arizona have had to warn the public of a Koch-led influence campaign at the University of Arizona and local high schools to inject far right content into the education system via a new “Freedom Center” financed by the Kochs and a host of other hard right donors. Meddling in academic research is long-running Koch hobby.
And that’s just the Kochs. Pierre Omidyar is so dedicated to libertarian/free-market paradigms that he’s trying to turn education for the poorest people on the planet into a for-profit initiative. At this point we should basically expect Facebook’s “academic initiative” to come back with the finding that social media is overly regulated and not profitable enough.
Ok, hopefully the research that emerges from this initiative won’t be that obviously biases. But to get a sense of what we can expect, here’s a recent piece from last October n the dangers of social media written by the Pierre Omidyar himself. The piece summarizes the findings of a Omidyar Network research team that looked into exactly the kind of topic Facebook is asking its new “academic initiative” to look into: the impact of social media on democracy.
Unlike a 2014 piece published by Omidyar — where he calls social media one of the most important and liberating inventions ever created — this 2017 piece does actually have a set of complaints about the impact of social media on democracy. They were exactly the same complaints we’ve heard numerous times elsewhere since the 2016 election (fake news, polarization, etc). And what did the Omidyar Network researchers conclude about what to do about this? Well, he concluded that it was a bigger problem than any one government or entity could deal with alone, and that the social media giants themselves should be leading the way on making the required changes. In other words, better self-regulation by the industry. That was the Omidyar Network’s big recommendation (surprise!):
“The Omidyar Group works to address, in part, how to support and protect our democratic values. Recently, a team from two of our organizations, Democracy Fund and Omidyar Network, assembled to investigate the relationship between social media and democracy. The initial findings are detailed in a paper that identifies six key areas where social media has become a direct threat to our democratic ideals”
As we can see, the Omidyar Network has already been thinking about this topic and has already made its thoughts on the matter available. And Facebook no doubt read those thoughts before they selected not one, but two Omidyar-backed philanthropic organizations to join their new “academic initiative”.
And as we can also see, it’s no surprise that Facebook would choose the Omidyar-backed organizations because the grand policy approach the Omidyar Network team arrived at with “the development and enforcement clear industry safeguards”. In other words, industry self-regulation. In other, other words, music to Facebook’s ear:
And that’s just what the Omidyar Network came up. Now imagine the conclusions the Charles Koch or Arnold foundation teams are going to come up with.
It’s all a reminder that, while the topic of the impact of social media on democracy is an important topic that needs to be studied and addressed, there’s a larger parallel topic that also needs to be addressed: the impact of extremely wealthy and powerful far right ideologues on society’s understanding of itself in general. Facebook’s team of “academics” probably isn’t the best entity to tackle that issue.
Well, this was basically inevitable: Facebook just announced they are submitted themselves to set of audits.
One set of audits actually seems quite reasonable and intended to address civil rights concerns over the potentially abuses of Facebook’s ad targeting tools. Like employers or landlords excluding minorities from seeing ads or the discovery of target categories like “Jew haters”. Not a bad set of topics for Facebook to conduct an audit over.
And then there’s the other audit. The ‘is Facebook discriminating against conservatives?’ audit. This is the consequence of the endless claims of victimization by right-wing groups that started in 2016 after some conservative Facebook employees claimed that the company was routinely pulling articles from right-wing news sources from its “trending news” section, with stories from outlets like Breitbart, Washington Examiner, and Newsmax not making it onto trending news. This complaint, of course, ignores the fact that outlets like Breitbart and Newsmax are notorious for pushing deceptive articles. The real ‘fake news’. But Facebook relented and subsequently changed its trending news policies, making it algorithmically generated instead of curated, thus ensuring that Facebook became the premier outlet for promoting right-wing misinformation during the 2016 US election.
And, of course, these claims of an anti-conservative bias ignore the reality that Facebook worked closely with Trump campaign in order to maximize the effectiveness of their microtargeting. And also ignores that much of the Trump campaign’s microtargeting was done using the data gathered on Facebook users by Cambridge Analytica and that data was collected because Facebook gave Cambridge Analytica preferential treatment and allowed them to scrape Facebook profiles after most app developers lost that privilege.
And let’s not forget about the recent story about Facebook selected two Republicans to head up its DC lobbying efforts.
So how is Facebook planning on addressing its alleged anti-conservative bias? By having the Heritage Foundation and former GOP Senator Jon Kyl conduct the audit and tell Facebook what to do to fix this perceived bias. And this will no doubt result on calls for Facebook to ensure that notorious disinformation sites like Breitbart and InfoWars are free to promote as much disinformation as possible. In other words, we have Facebook conducting one audit to ensure its tools aren’t used to promote hate and bigotry and another audit to ensure that the forces of hate and bigotry don’t feel like they’re being censored:
“To address allegations of bias, Facebook is bringing in two outside advisors — one to conduct a legal audit of its impact on underrepresented communities and communities of color, and another to advise the company on potential bias against conservative voices”
The Alt Right doesn’t get enough respect. That’s more or less what the conservative audit is going to conclude, although they won’t put it quite that way. And it’s going to be Jon Kyl and the Heritage Foundation leading the way on this festival of faux-grievances:
And to get a sense of where they’re heading with this, note that “Diamond and Silk”, the two right-wing sister accusing Facebook of limiting the reach of their videos, recently tweeted out that radio stations who decided to stop playing Kanye West songs after West’s embrace of Trump and bizarre comments on slavery are violating West’s Frist Amendment rights:
Now, if the government pulled Kanye West’s songs from the radio, that would indeed be a violation of his First Amendment rights. Not when a radio station does it. But that appears to be the general sentiment right that’s driving this.
So what should we expect Facebook to do when it receives its set of recommendations for its right-wing auditors? Well, as the following article reminds us, we should probably expect Facebook to take it very, very seriously:
“Facebook is skirting the fundamental question before it, which is just how it should deal with the fact that it has become the easiest place to widely share misinformation on the internet. Real work on that subject would require expertise—and input from across the political spectrum. But real work isn’t what Zuckerberg is interested in.”
That’s the meta-problem Facebook is trying to deal with: how to address the fact that it has become the easiest place to widely share misinformation on the internet.
And the solution Facebook is clearly embracing is to buy into the right-wing argument that mainstream news is fundamentally biased against conservatives and and come up with gimmicks that effectively validates the misinformation and redefines it as just ‘another opinion’:
“As LaFrance writes, this is an argument that’s hostile to the idea of professional journalism: Zuckerberg is close to saying that The New York Times and your InfoWars-linking uncle are roughly analogous.”
So now Facebook users themselves will collectively rank and determine which news sites are ‘trustworthy’, thus ensuring the Alt Right online troll army — skilled at gaming online algorithms — will have even more influence online:
And this is all the predictable consequence of the conservative outrage machine acting like Facebook’s alleged censorship of its trending news was an act of ideological bias as opposed to simply pulling right-wing misinformation out of its news feed:
But, of course, it’s also a result of unified GOP control of the US federal government:
So get ready for Facebook to pretty much do whatever the Jon Kyl and the Heritage Foundation asks of it. And when Facebook does everything asked of it, get ready for the right-wing to ask for some more. After all, this isn’t about real grievances and biases. It’s about grievance theater and that’s the kind of show never ends.
Now that President Trump just pulled the US out of the Iran nuclear deal, the story of “Black Cube” — an Israeli private intelligence firm reportedly hired by the Trump team to dig up discrediting information on two form Obama staffers involved with boosting support for the deal and their families — has suddenly become much more topical. It was already topical due to the fact that Black Cube is the same private intelligence firm hired by Harvey Weinstein to gather information on the women who accused him of sexual harassment. But learning that the Trump team hired Black Cube to investigate Benjamin J. Rhodes, a top national security aide to President Barack Obama, and Colin Kahl, the national security adviser to Vice President Biden, and their families after Obama left office and learning this just days before Trump suddenly announces the US pull out of the Iran nuclear treaty makes this a much more topical story. Topical in a ‘getting a peak at how the people who are going to blow up the world operate’ kind of way:
“Now, just as President Trump appears likely to announce his decision to withdraw from the deal, evidence has surfaced that the agreement’s opponents engaged in a sophisticated effort to dig up dirt on Mr. Rhodes and his family that continued well after the Obama administration left office.”
Yep, there was something about Ben Rhodes and Colin Kahl and their involvement in the Iran deal that was of such interest to the opponents of the deal that the Trump team apparently paid Black Cube to investigate them and their families and this monitoring continued well after Obama left office. It was apparently a ‘kill the messenger’ strategy based on discrediting Rhodes and Kahl:
So why, of all the people involved in the Iran deal, did they focus their ‘kill the messenger’ strategy on Rhodes and Kahl? That’s unclear at this point, but the fact that Trump supporters in the media, like the far right Sebastian Gorka, have been repeatedly attacking both of those men on social media and conservative outlets gives us a big hint: the right-wing media had already decided to make Rhodes and Kahl into boogeymen who will therefore need to be demonized in order to propel whatever narratives people like Gorka choose to promote:
Although the Trump team is denying they have anything to do at all with Black Cube at this point. And people involved are suggesting that this was actually being done at the behest of a commercial client with an interest in opposing the nuclear deal:
So it sounds like there’s probably a corporate proxy that was used for this operation. And it’s very possible it’s not the Trump team who hired Black Cube but instead some other GOP-connected figure. Sheldon Adelson, perhaps? Whether or not it was a corporation who did the actual hiring of Black Cube, according to Guardian journalist Julian Borger, their sources are telling them that the ultimate client was indeed the Trump team.
And then there’s the fact that this is the same firm hired by Harvey Weinstein to gather dirt of Weinstein’s accusers over the years:
Given the problems Trump has had with accusations of sexual harassment and secret payoffs of mistresses, you have to wonder if the Black Cube has been doing similar services for Trump over the years.
So we learn about this story of the Trump team hiring Black Cube to discredit Obama administration figures, the same firm used by Weinstein, and then a few days later Trump pulls out of the Iran deal. Again, it’s a disturbingly topical story that just gets more and more disturbingly topical.
But that’s not all in terms of Black Cube’s topicalness. Because guess which other highly scandalous entity allegedly hired Black Cube to do some dirty work for shady ends: Cambridge Analytica! Of course.
Remember those stories about Cambridge Analytica hiring an “Israeli team” to hack the documents (or at least obtain hacked documents) of its clients opponents in places like Nigeria and St Kitts? Well, it sure sounds like Cambridge Analytica’s “Israeli team” was actually Black Cube:
“Wylie claimed that Cambridge Analytica hired Black Cube to hack Nigerian president Muhammadu Buhari.”
So that’s the claim Cambridge Analytica whistleblower Christopher Wylie made last month: it was Black Cube who hacked its Nigerian client’s opponent to get his medical records and private emails or at least worked with the people who did the actual hacking:
So what’s the range of services offered by Black Cube? Well, given that it was led by a former director of the Mossad, Meri Dagan, those services are probably something like ‘anything a spy service might be capable of doing’, although its ostensibly focused on helping companies resolve legal disputes by finding evidence to strengthen their cases in court:
And, of course, Black Cube totally denies ever working for Cambridge Analytica or its parent company SCL and pledges to sue everyone making these claims:
And yet, despite those denials, it’s hard to ignore that Black Cube’s own website used to list Nigeria on its list of countries in which the firm has clients:
We’ll see if Black Cube ends up suing Christopher Wylie for libel like they pledged to do, but this story is from a month ago and so far we haven’t seen any reports of lawsuits flying out of Black Cube.
All in all, it sure looks like the Trump team hired the same private intelligence firm for its ‘kill the messenger’ Iran deal dirty tricks operation that Cambridge Analytica used to use for its political hacking operations. It’s the kind of revelation that raises the question of whether or not Cambridge Analytica was going to be part of this anti-Iran deal operation too. Because while Cambridge Analytica may have technically shuttered itself at this point (only to be reborn as “Emerdata”), don’t forget that the Iran deal surveillance apparently began before the end of Obama’s term, a time when the Trump team could have hired Cambridge Analytica without too much public scrutiny. And the pattern for Cambridge Analytica appeared to be that Black Cube gathers the dirty information and then Cambridge Analytica expertly exploits it for public consumption. Now we learn that Black Cube was gathering dirt on two form Obama staffers and their families for the purpose of discrediting them, implying a planned phased of public consumption for the dirt they gather.
So we have to ask, was Cambridge Analytica in on this anti-Iran deal dirty tricks operation too at some point? Perhaps part of a ‘kill the messenger via psychological warfare services’ planned campaign? Either way, this story is another reminder that even if Cambridge Analytica completely goes away, the demand for its kind of services isn’t going anywhere thanks to an abundance of people who will do anything for power.
Here’s a story users of WhatsApp — the encrypted communications app purchased by Facebook — should probably keep in mind if they’re assuming that Facebook isn’t going to find a way to learn about the contents of your WhatsApp conversions: the CEO of WhatsApp, Jan Koum, recently announced he’s planning on leaving Facebook. And it’s a particularly notable executive departure because Koum was the onoy founder of a company acquired by Facebook to end up serving on its board and only two other Facebook executives, Mark Zuckerberg and Chief Operating Officer Sheryl Sandberg, are members of the board. So this is a remarkably high level departure.
Koum’s WhatsApp co-founder, Brian Acton, left Facebook in November.
So what’s triggered Koum’s and Acton’s decision to resign and, as Koum put it, focus on other pursuits, “such as collecting rare air-cooled Porsches, working on my cars and playing ultimate frisbee”? Well, that where the inherent conflict between Facebook’s business model and Koum’s and Acton’s promise to WhatsApp users comes in: WhatsApp promised to be an encrypted communications app that guaranteed user privacy, including privacy from WhatsApp itself. Facebook, a company with a business model predicated on serving up personally targeted ads, paid $19 billion for WhatsApp. And when Facebook purchased WhatsApp it promised Koum that it would adhere to his vision of respecting user privacy and keep WhatsApp an independent service that doesn’t get fused with the rest of Facebook.
How is Facebook planning on monetizing that $19 billion investment in a product it promised to not merge with Facebook’s personalized ads model? By violating Koum’s and Acton’s vision, of course. Within 18 months of purchasing WhatsApp, Facebook was already finding way to merge it into the rest of Facebook’s targeted business model. Koum and Acton were ok with sharing some data with Facebook to measure who was using WhatsApp, but they opposed incorporating WhatApp data int the centralized user profiles that Facebook creates on all of us and shares across its various products and uses for targeted ads. In the end, Koun and Acton agreed to let Facebook recommend that users’ WhatsApps contacts become their Facebook friends too and also allow Facebook to collect more data on those relationships.
In addition, advertisers are now allowed to use Facebook’s “custom lists” feature — where advertisers give Facebook a list of email address of people they want to target and Facebook matches those email addresses and phone numbers to Facebook accounts and serves of the ads — on WhatsApp users too. There are no ads on WhatsApp at this point, but the phone numbers of WhatsApp users (which are now connected to their Facebook accounts) can now be used in Facebook’s Custom Lists ad targeting tool. In other words, WhatsApp is now used to associated phone numbers with Facebook accounts in case Facebook didn’t already have that information.
There’s also a new WhatsApp tool that allows business to send messages to target lists of people (which is basically an ad delivery system). In other words, while it’s unclear how much of the content of people’s actual WhatsApp messages are being merged into Facebook centralized ad targeting system, it’s pretty clear that all of the other kinds of information WhatsApp collects on its user (like your phone number and WhatsApp contacts) is now fused with the rest of Facebook data-collection monolith.
And regarding data-mining the actual content of WhatsApp messages, Facebook appears to be interesting in weakening WhatsApp’s encryption. This is ostensibly to enable some features for businesses but its also pretty obviously a path to all Facebook to start harvesting the content of user’s messages.
So the full incorporation of WhatsApp data into the rest of Facebook is well underway and just a matter of time. And that all is why Acton left Facebook last year and Koum recently decided to focus on collecting rare air-cooled Porsches, work on cars and play ultimate frisbee:
“The billionaire chief executive of WhatsApp, Jan Koum, is planning to leave the company after clashing with its parent, Facebook, over the popular messaging service’s strategy and Facebook’s attempts to use its personal data and weaken its encryption, according to people familiar with internal discussions.”
Well, now we at least know the rationale behind Facebook’s decision to pay $19 billion for a company with an anti-Facebook business model: business models can be quietly changed after you own a company. That was the rationale for Facebook’s purchase of a company guided by an anti-Facebook philosophy:
As a result of this inversion of WhatsApp’s corporate philosophy we saw Brian Acton leave Facebook in November and the endorse the #DeleteFacebook campaign in the wake of the Cambridge Analytica:
And none of this shoudl be a surprise, because this was an obvious corporate mismatch from the very beginning:
All it took was just 18 months after the purchase of WhatsApp and the promise to keep WhatsApp independent evaporated. Facebook got access to phone numbers and began the process of unifying its profiles on WhatsApp users with the rest of its Facebook profile information. Now Facebook advertisers can use the phone numbers from WhatsApp that have been merged with the unified Facebook profile system in the Custom List ad targeting:
And then there’s Facebook’s plans for weakening WhatsApp’s encryption, the one thing current preventing Facebook from data-mining all of the content of your WhatsApp messages:
“Facebook executives wanted to make it easier for businesses to use its tools, and WhatsApp executives believed that doing so would require some weakening of its encryption.”
LOL, yeah, they’re just going to weaken the encryption purely enable some business features. Sure.
So that’s all something WhatsApp users should keep in mind regarding the privacy of their WhatsApp communications: they probably won’t have any privacy soon much like the rest of the Facebook tools they use.
It’s a reminder that the prevailing profit-maximization model of business isn’t actually compatible with things this consumer privacy. Sure, businesses could base their business models on users paying for privacy, like WhatsApp originally did charging users and annual fee. But even under that model there’s still going to be the temptation to find ways to surreptitiously violate privacy for greater profits. It’s an inherent aspect of our profit-maximizing system.
And don’t forget that any spying made available to Facebook is also quite possibly going to made available to Peter Thiel’s Palantir given Thiel’s position at Facebook.
Of course, it’s important to keep in mind that even if Facebook made none of these changes it’s not like WhatsApps ever truly offered the kind of super-secure privacy people liked to believe they were getting. Why? Because the end-to-end encryption feature still didn’t protect against spyware on your phone. Recall how Gamma, the maker of the FinFisher hacking software sold to governments around the world, had code to hack WhatsApp using spyware on your phone. The story about the CIA’s released hacking tools also being able to get around WhatsApp’s encryption. Similarly, Germany recently made it legal to plant spyware on smartphones for the purpose of getting around the end-to-end encryption of WhatsApp. And then there’s the reports of Michael Flynn working with a company, NSO, that sold spyware to governments looking to plant spyware on smartphones in order to get around message services like WhatsApp. When spyware is ubiquitous end-to-end encryption is no guarantee of privacy.
And keep in mind that the encryption technology Facebook decided to implement for WhatsApp is the Open Whispers system developed by the Broadcasting Board of Governors. So, you know, Facebook might not be the only entity out there interested in weakening WhatsApp’s encryption.
But beyond the concerns of spyware and and corporate/state-based attacks on WhatsApp’s encryption technology, we can’t ignore the fact that if WhatsApp really did deliver on what it promised, truly unbreakable encryption that can only be bypassed by the owner of a smartphone, that would also pose its own set of public hazards. Strong encryption technologies really are potent tools for abuse, not just by rogue government agencies, organized crime, and terrorist groups, but also abuse by the public in general. For instance, WhatsApp has proven to be a potent tool for spreading misinformation campaigns that the public can’t stop or counter, as was the case in Brazil when WhatsApp, which is wildly popular there, was used to disseminate realistic looking ‘news’ reports encouraging people NOT to get vaccinated. There’s also the stories about high school kids in Germany using WhatsApp to promote Nazi propaganda. And then there’s the Facebook whistleblower, Chamath Palihapitiya, who warned that social media is tearing society apart and who noted how hoax messages over WhatsApp about kidnappings led to the lynching of seven innocent people. There really is a social cost to impregnable privacy and it’s a potentially devastating cost under the worst case scenarios.
And, of course, there are going to be endless reports of thinking like law enforcement running into a digital wall when it comes to legal and totally valid wiretap orders for WhatsApp users. It’s an example of the meta-problem with encryption technology in general: there’s no clean right/wrong path forward and humans are horrible at navigating these kinds of morally ambiguous situations.
So that’s all something WhatsApp users should keep in mind: Just as there is a real ‘privacy vs security’ dynamic at work here, there’s also a ‘privacy vs profits’ dynamic. And while the ‘privacy vs security’ debate remains one of those issues that humanity is barely even acknowledging or grappling with at this point and doesn’t really have a clear answer — other than striving for a very high quality government that can appropriately regulate companies like Facebook and the surveillance state — the ‘privacy vs profit’ debate has already been quietly resolved. Profits won.
Well, that’s one helluva twist to emerge on the one year anniversary of the opening of the Mueller investigation: It turns out there’s a new Trump Tower meeting from the summer of 2016 involving representatives of foreign governments offering the Trump campaign help in the election.
But it’s not the Russian government making the offer this time. It was the Saudi Arabia and the UAE expressing an “eagerness” to help Trump win the election. That’s what was expressed during this newly discovered August 3rd, 2018, meeting in Trump Tower.
Yep. These would, of course, be same countries that appear to be behind the “back channel” negotiations in the Seychelles, where Erik Prince (as the Trump representative), George Nader (as the Saudi/UAE representative), and Kirill Dmitriev (as the Kremlin representative) met at a bar in the Seychelles to discuss a proposal from the Trump team and its Middle Eastern partners to Russia. A proposal that appeared to have as one of its major goals shifting Russia away from its alliance with Iran and the Assad government, and paving the way for regime change operations against Iran and letting the Assad government fall and be replaced by the Saudi/UAE-backed jihadist. And guess who was at this new August 3, 2016 Trump Tower meeting: Erik Prince and George Nader. It’s the same crew.
Saudi Arabia and the UAE are also the same countries at the heart of the proposed nuclear power “Marshall plan” for the Middle East getting pushed by Michael Flynn where countries like Jordan, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE would all get nuclear power plants (but not Iran or the Assad government). Enticing Russia to pull away from Iran and Syria with such a lucrative offer (paired with a presumed drop in oil prices) was also one of the goals of this nuclear Marshall plan.
So Saudi Arabia and the UAE were already significant players in this whole story. And now we learn about an August 3rd, 2016 Trump Tower meeting along with Erik Prince and George Nader.
And here’s where the whole Cambridge Analytica story factors into all of this: one of the other attendees of the newly discovered meeting was Joel Zamel, the owner of two Israeli companies that appears to appears to offer many of the same services offered by SCL/Cambridge Analytica, Psy Group and Wikistrat.
As we’re going to see in the second article below, Wikistrat claims to offer crowdsourced analysis — analysis on geopolitical problems using a network of analysts — and has been working with the UAE to predict threats related to the war in Yemen.
And Zamen’s Psy Group private intelligence appears to be like a mix between Cambridge Analytica and Black Cube. First, recall how Black Cube was an Israeli private intelligence firm allegedly offering services like obtaining hacked documents and Cambridge contracted with them to do exactly that in 2015 for a Nigerian client. Also recall how the Trump aides hired Black Cube to dig up dirt on two Obama administration officials (and their families) who were involved with promoting the Iran nuclear deal for the purpose of discrediting them and discrediting the Iran deal by proxy. Also recall how Cambridge Analytica’s former CEO, Alexander Nix, bragged to an undercover reporter posing as a prospective client that Cambridge Analytica offered sexual honey-pot services against the political opponents of their clients. And that’s in addition to Cambridge Analytica’s social media manipulation and personalized psychological targeting services. Well, it turns out Zamel’s Psy Group offers services like psychological warfare and social media manipulation for the purpose of changing public opinion. And services like setting up sexual honey-traps for the purpose of political blackmail and character assassination, just like Cambridge Analytica offered. And services like navigating the Dark Web. Psy Group is in fact seen as a direct competitor for Black Cube.
Don’t forget the other area where the Dark Web figures into this: there were multiple teams of right-wing forces scouring the Dark Web looking for someone offering Hillary Clinton’s hacked emails. That was the picture that emerged from the story of GOP financier/opposition researcher Peter Smith who assembled a team that involved Steven Bannon and Michael Flynn to search the Dark Web for Hillary’s emails. When they consulted Charles C. Johnson, who had the same goal and referred them to Andrew Auernhiemer, Johnson indicated he knew of multiple Alt Right teams of people searching the Dark Web for hacked Hillary emails (and presumably any hacked Democratic emails). In addition, there was the 2015 Dark Web search team assembled by Barbara Ledeen, wife of arch-neocon Michael Ledeen who co-authored a book with Michael Flynn about geopolitics, and included Newt Gingrich and Judicial Watch. So the kinds of Dark Web services offered by Black Cube and Psy Group are probably in pretty high demand.
And Zamel already had a plan for the Trump campaign ready to go at the August Trump Tower meeting. Trump Jr. acknowledged the plan was pitched but claims he turned it down. But as the first article below notes, one source claims Trump Jr. responded approvingly to the plan at the meeting and soon after George Nader was embraced as a close ally and frequently met with Jared Kushner and Michael Flynn. And after Trump was elected, Nader reportedly paid Zamel up to $2 million, although much of that $2 million is apparently being attributed to some sort of elaborate presentation Zamel gave to the Trump campaign about the importance of social media (that’s an expensive sales pitch).
As the first article also notes, Kushner, Flynn and Steve Bannon apparently consulted closely with George Nader in the final weeks of the campaign. Might that have been to coordinate with Zamen’s group? Don’t forget that Steve Bannon is a co-founder and executive officer of Cambridge Analytica. So if Nader was acting as an intermediary with Zamen’s Psy Group those meetings could have been the means of channeling the quiet coordination between the Trump campaign and Psy Group through Cambridge Analytica.
Another thing to keep in mind regarding the possibility that Cambridge Analytica was coordinating with Psy Group is the fact that Cambridge Analytica was hired by the UAE to run a social media campaign against Qatar. Cambridge Analytica then went bankrupt but appears to have been reborn as an UAE-finance “Emerdata” (which sounds like “Emerati-data”).
As the following article notes, Nader was also in discussions with Erik Prince, the former head of Blackwater, about a plan to get the Saudis to pay $2 billion to set up a private army to combat Iranian proxy forces in Yemen. And after the inauguration, Nader was reportedly promoting a plan to the US, Saudis, and UAE to economically destabilize Iran and promote regime-change. Nader’s plan would cost about $300 million. It’s unclear if it was truly his own plan or he was promoting it on behalf of a client, although the client scenario seems the likeliest. Nader also tried to persuade Jared Kushner to endorse the economic sabotage plan to Crown Prince Mohammed in person on a trip to Riyadh. It’s a sign Kushner and the Trump team probably backed the plan and Nader was probably acting on behalf of the UAE.
And as the following article notes, the Saudis and UAE openly disliked the policies of the Obama administration and Hillary Clinton’s term as Secretary of State. They didn’t like the Iran nuclear deal and wanted a deeper US involvement in Syria. That appears to be a big part of the motive for going as far as they appear to have gone in choosing sides in a US election.
So we are now learning that the Saudis and UAE were not just “eager” to help Trump win but eager for that help to come in the form of a private intelligence operation that’s like a mix between Cambridge Analytica and Black Cube. And we also learn that Donald Trump Jr. was excited about the offer George Nader became a close ally with the Trump team shortly after this August Trump Tower meeting. The sure sounds like collusion!
And in relation to the DNC hack, it’s worth recalling that some of the hacking code used by Hacking Team — the Italian cybersecurity firm that sold legal hacking tools to countries like the Saudis and UAE until it got hacked itself and had all its hacking tools leaked online — included code that looked like X‑Agent, one of the pieces of malware said to be exclusively Russian hackers. It’s also worth recalling that the Saudi government tried to purchase a majority stake in Hacking Team in 2013. And when Hacking Team was facing bankruptcy after its 2015 hack it was a mysterious Saudi investor who infused the company with cash in early 2016.
And don’t forget that Joseph Mifsud, the mysterious Maltese professor with Kremlin ties who first approached George Papadopoulos in March of 2016 talking about the Russians having thousands of Hillary’s emails, was also employed by the Saudis and appeared to act as a representative for Saudi interests in Russia.
The following article also includes another key fact in all this in terms of the timeline of events in the DNC hack of March 2016: George Nader began approaching the Trump team about offering Emirati help to the Trump team soon after it looked like Trump had the GOP nomination locked up in early 2016. And Trump was already looking like the likely winner of the primary by the beginning of March of 2016, the same month of the ‘Fancy Bear’ hack conspicuously filled with ‘I’m a Russian Hacker’ clues. and, really, he was looking like the likely winner before March. So this August 2016 Trump Tower meeting was probably a continuation of conversations that began months earlier, which would explain why Zamel’s team apparently had a plan for a social media influence campaign for the Trump team ready to go and it’s entirely possible this Saudi/UAE collusion with the Trump team quietly started well before the ‘Fancy Bear’ hack.
It’s a reminder that the Saudis and UAE could very well be the true culprits Fancy Bear hack that was filled with ‘I’m a Russian hacker!’ clues. They had the hacking means and the motive. And not just a motive to help Trump win. They had a motive to hack the DNC and leave ‘Russian fingerprints’ all over the hack if they were planning on implementing a ‘carrot and stick’ strategy to get Russia to change its policies towards Iran and Syria. Hack Hillary to help get Trump elected and then use the subsequent outrage at Russian and additional sanctions to help incentivize Russia’s acceptance of a big alliance shift deal. Might that have been part of how this all played out?
Who knows, but it’s pretty remarkable that, at the one year mark into this #TrumpRussia investigation, we now have the most compelling evidence yet of the Trump campaign colluding with a foreign government. It’s not just one but two foreign governments. And they are both governments with major problems with both the foreign policy of the Democrats and the foreign policy of Russia. And as the following article notes, the Mueller team is apparently looking into whether or not the government of Qatar was also making overtures to the Trump campaign. So we don’t just have Russia’s rivals, Saudi Arabia and the UAE, involved with this but their regional rival Qatar was potentially colluding with the Trump team too. In other words, #TrumpRussia is quickly becoming #TrumpRussiaAndRussianRivals:
“Erik Prince, the private security contractor and the former head of Blackwater, arranged the meeting, which took place on Aug. 3, 2016. The emissary, George Nader, told Donald Trump Jr. that the princes who led Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates were eager to help his father win election as president. The social media specialist, Joel Zamel, extolled his company’s ability to give an edge to a political campaign; by that time, the firm had already drawn up a multimillion-dollar proposal for a social media manipulation effort to help elect Mr. Trump.”
Erik Prince arranges the meeting where George Nader expresses how eager the prince who led Saudi Arabia and the UAE were to help Trump win. That sounds pretty collusion‑y.
Joel Zamel is there with a multimillion-dollar pitch for a social media manipulation effort. And while we don’t know precisely what become of that pitch, George Nader ends up getting embraced as a close ally shortly after the meeting and Nader ends up paying Zamel up to $2 million after Trump was elected. Although that payment is being spun as merely covering the cost of an elaborate presentation demonstrating the importance of social media to the Trump campaign (it’s not the best cover story):
So what kinds of services did Zamel offer? How about a covert multimillion-dollar online manipulation campaign that involved using thousands of fake social media accounts. In other words, exactly what the Trump team ended up doing. And while it’s generally assumed it was Cambridge Analytica who led this social media manipulation effort, it sounds like we can add Psy Group to the list of entities involved in this:
And while it’s unclear what work Psy Group ended up doing for the Trump campaign, it’s pretty clear that George Nader because an important figure in the campaign up through those crucial final weeks:
Keep in mind that some of the sleaziest stuff the Trump team did, like promoting the #PizzaGate conspiracy theory, happened in the final weeks of the campaign. So, given that PsyGroup was potentially acting as a secret social media manipulation entity it seems reasonable to assume that the sleaziest stuff would have been outsourced to them.
Also note who else was at this August 3 meeting representing the Trump team: Stephen Miller:
So why were the Saudis and UAE so “eager” to help Trump win. Because they hated Obama’s and Hillary’s policies in the region. And this has been open loathing for years. It’s not a secret:
And while Donald Trump Jr. admits to having the meeting but denies showing any interest in the proposal, two people familiar with the meetings indicate that Trump campaign officials — not just Trump Jr. — appeared to have no problem cooperating with foreigners. It was literally a culture of collusion on the campaign:
And that willingness to cooperate with foreign interests is part of why it’s entirely plausible they were colluding with Qatar too:
But note this critical detail in terms of the timeline: George Nader’s inquiries into how his Saudi and UAE clients could help the Trump campaign didn’t start in August. They started “When Mr. Trump locked up the Republican presidential nomination in early 2016”:
And don’t forget that it was looking like Trump locked it up by early March, before the ‘Fancy Bear’ DNC hack.
And note the language that was apparently used at this August 3rd meeting: Erik Prince opens the meeting telling Don Jr., “we are working hard for your father.” And while the “we” that statement is interpreted as meaning Eric Prince and his deVos family members, you have to wonder if the “we” was actually intended to mean Prince and Nader and his Saudi/UAE clients given the fact that Nader was apparently working on assisting Trump starting in early 2016 after Trump appeared to have locked up the nomination:
Not surprisingly, both Nader and Zamel have ties to Russia too. Nader traveled to Moscow twice during the 2016 campaign, which should probably be expected given that the Saudis and UAE were apparently pushing these various schemes to pressure Russia into changing its alliance with Iran and Syria and Nader is one of their go-to representative. And Zamel once worked for Oleg Deripaska which makes sense because his firm offer exactly the kinds of services an oligarch is going to want to purchase:
But, of course, the biggest reasons to not read too much into Nader’s and Zamel’s ties with Moscow is the fact that they have much, much stronger ties to entities like the UAE with policy objectives that are the exact opposite of Moscow’s. Like the plan Nader was promoting after Trump’s inauguration to use private contractors set to carry out economic sabotage against Iran or a plan to get the Saudis to pay $2 billion to Erik Prince to set up a private army to fight in Yemen. Those probably aren’t the kinds of objectives Moscow would back:
So that’s what we know so far about this new notorious Trump Tower meeting. We know a sales pitch was made, we know Trump Jr. responded positively, we know George Nader quickly became a close ally of the campaign, and we know Nader paid Zamel a large sum after the election. But we still don’t know what services, if any, services Zamel’s companies actually provided. And as the following article make clear, part of the reason there’s so much ambiguity about the services Zamel’s companies provided is because they provide such a wide variety of services, including Dark Web searches (presumably for hacked materials) and setting up “honey pots”:
“Little is known publicly about the work of the Psy Group. According to a person familiar with the firm’s operations, it did mainly private intelligence gathering work. One of its main rivals was Black Cube—another Israeli firm which has achieved notoriety after it used by Harvey Weinstein to counter probes into his alleged sexual abuse.”
A rival of Black Cube. It’s a rather disturbing reputation for a company. But that’s Psy Group’s reputation, and it appears to be a well earned one based on their marketing materials. Marketing materials that apparently included Dark Web scans and setting up “honey traps”:
And then there’s Wikistrat, a company that provides geopolitical analysis and appears to effectively be a defense contractor for UAE in the Saudi/UAE war in Yemen:
And note the particular language used by Zamel’s lawyer: that his client’s companies “harvest publicly available information for lawful use”:
Part of what makes that “harvest publicly available information” language so interesting is that the term “harvest” has been often used to describe the kind of mass data collection Cambridge Analytica engaged in with its psychological profiling app that ‘harvested’ massive amounts of Facebook data from those app 270,000 users and their ~87 million friends. So to hear Zamel’s attorney use the “harvesting” terminology raises the question: was Psy Group also engaged in mass social media data harvesting like Cambridge Analytica was doing?
Keep in mind that the services offered by Wikistrat also sound like the kind of services that would involve the the “harvesting” of massive amounts of public information. So perhaps Zamen’s lawyers were referring to that kind of “harvesting”. But given the nature of work of Psy Group engaged in, and the fact that a mass social media campaign was literally part of the pitched proposal, it seems extremely possible that Psy Group was effectively engaged in the kind of mass Facebook harvesting that Cambridge Analytica was doing.
All in all, we appear to be looking at a whole new chapter to the #TrumpRussia campaign. And yet much of this isn’t new at all. There have been signs of Saudi/UAE involvement for quite some time as the story of the Seychelles meeting began to unfold. But open offers from the Saudi and UAE governments of helping the Trump team win and offers of social media manipulation campaigns is indeed quite new.
So everything we are seeing strongly suggests the Trump team was actively colluding with the Saudis and UAE during the 2016 campaign. For the purpose of pressuring Russia to change its alliances and laying the groundwork for great US involvement in Syria and a possible war with Iran. Will this elicit the same level of outrage the idea of Russian collusion triggered? We’ll see. But, again, it’s one helluva twist for the one year anniversary of the Mueller probe.
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/facebook-glitch-changed-millions-of-privacy-settings-to-public/
Facebook glitch changed millions of privacy settings to “public”
Jun 7, 2018 7:41 PM EDT
Trending
By Kate Gibson / MoneyWatch
As many as 14 million Facebook (FB) users had their posts shared with a broader audience than they intended.
The social-media giant says a software glitch for 10 days last month switched privacy settings to “public” for millions even if they had wanted only friends to see their posts.
“We have fixed this issue and starting today we are letting everyone affected know and asking them to review any posts they made during that time,” Erin Egan, Facebook’s chief privacy officer, said in an emailed statement. “We’d like to apologize for this mistake.”
The disclosure is the most recent in a long-running bout of privacy blunders by Facebook, still reeling from March revelations that political consultancy Cambridge Analytica had accessed information on some 87 million Facebook users without their knowledge.
More recently, Facebook is facing scrutiny from lawmakers for its deals with Chinese companies.
Facebook faces controversy over data sharing with Chinese companies
© 2018 CBS Interactive Inc.. All Rights Reserved.
Sent from my iPhone
BuzzFeed has a recent update to a report they put out shortly before the 2016 US election about the Macedonian troll farms discovered to be pumping out volumes of fake news targeting US conservatives. Surprise! It turns out the main troll farm covered in that report wasn’t actually just run by a bunch of Macedonian teenagers. Instead, it was founded by a Macedonian attorney, Trajche Arsov, who describes himself as a right-leaning libertarian. Arsov was working closely with a group of US conservatives for the final six months of the campaign who provided the bulk of the actual fake news content.
Specifically, Arsov ended up partnering with Paris Wade, who is currently running for office in Nevada, and Ben Goldman. Wade and Goldman were the people behind Liberty Writer News, one of the many right-wing ‘news’ sites that’s occupies the ‘fake news’ junk media territory somewhere between InfoWars and Newsmax. Their operation was notable enough to have a Washington Post article written about them in the weeks following the election profile.
The way they describe it, Wade and Goldman met Arsov in 2016 over Facebook. Wade went on to write over 40 articles for Arsov’s sites and his brother Alex Wade went on to write 670 more articles.
Arsov continued to hire hire more US conservatives, Johnny Roberts and Alicia Powe, to provide content for his sites. Powe now writes from the far right disinformation outlet Gateway Pundit. A a British former content provider for Arsov, Oliver Dollimore, was also a Gateway Pundit contributor.
Arsov originally got into the business of providing clickbait content to US audiences in the fall of 2015. The article also notes that an individual associated with the ‘Kremlin troll farm’ Internet Research Agency also spent some time in Macedonia in June of 2015. This angle is actually be investigated by US authorities in relation to the #TrumpRussia investigation and there are apparently 20 people in Macedonia being investigated as part of that. No connections to Arsov’s operations have been discovered.
So that’s one notable instance of ostensibly foreign influence in the US 2016 campaign that turned out to actually be the work of a bunch of US conservatives:
“Media outlets from around the world descended upon Veles to tell the story of how the so-called fake news teens — many of whom had a shaky understanding of English — made large sums of money from digital ads shown next to their misleading stories about US politics.”
That was the story at the time when this Macedonian troll farm was first uncovered: it was a story of a bunch of Macedonian teens making money taking advantage of gullible American conservatives.
But upon further investigation, it turns out it it was an Macedonian lawyer partnering with a bunch of US conservatives making money taking advantage of gullible American conservatives:
The Macedonian lawyer, Trajche Arsov, describes himself as as a libertarian who idolizes Rand Paul and Ted Cruz. And as website domain registration records show, it was Arsov who registered the very first of the political sites to suddenly pop up in the Macedonian town of Veles, USAPoliticsToday.com. There were many other copycats in the town of Veles with political sites of their own, but it was Arsov they were copying:
And according to Arsov, it was in the fall of 2015 when it all got started. Arsov and his brother allegedly tried to make money with a car site, but soon discovered by political sites with a conservative bent was where the money was at:
And note how Arsov claims to have been interested in left-leaning political sites, but, interestingly, Arsov found that when he created conservative content for Facebook it ended up staying online longer before Facebook removed it:
“We found that the names of the groups where we could stay longer, where our profiles were not removed, were related to conservatives, to Republicans, to Trump.”
So that’s pretty interesting. Facebook was apparently much more tolerant of right-wing fake news than left-wing fake news. At least that’s what Arsov’s statement suggests.
And at one point, Arsov’s USAPoliticsToday.com site actually published an article from satirical website the Onion as real news! He was literally peddling officially fake news as real news:
And as word spread in Veles about his remarkable success with USA Politics Today more and more people created their own fake news sites:
So the explosion of Macedonian fake news sites was catalyzed by the success of Arsov’s fake news site, which, in turn, was fueled by the content provided by US conservative fake news provocateurs, starting with Paris Wade and Ben Goldman of Liberty Writers News:
Arsov went on to hire more American conservatives to provide his fake news content. One, Alicia Powe, currently writes for the far right disinformation outlet Gateway Pundit. A British conservative hired by Arsov, Oliver Dollimore, also used to write for Gateway Pundit:
The Facebook pages for Liberty Writers News and USA Politics Today have all subsequently been taken down due to Facebook’s push to have “inauthentic” financially motivated content removed from the site:
But it’s not just Facebook belated cracking down on these kinds of troll farms. The Macedonian government itself appears to now be investigating the spread of political misinformation during the 2016 election:
And that Macedonian investigation is taking place in cooperation with US law enforcement, along with two other Western European countries:
And, of course, most of the investigative interest appears to be over whether or not there was any Russian involvement in this disinformation operation. This has led to a focus on Anna Bogacheva, one of the 13 Russian nationals named in the Mueller probe indictment of the Internet Research Agency. Immigration records indicate Bogacheva was in Macedonia in June of 2015. But no connection between Bogacheva was found:
So, to summarize what we learned about the Veles, Macedonia fake news phenomena:
1. It wasn’t spontaneously started by a bunch of Macedonian teens. They may have created their own copycat sites later, but the first political site in the town of Veles was set up by Arsov.
2. Arsov is a self-described libertarian who idolizes Rand Paul and Ted Cruz.
3. Arsov claims he tried to dabble left-leaning websites early on, but found that Facebook was much better about keeping his conservative content online before removing. In other words, Facebook had a bias towards right-wing lies.
4. The actual content for the Arsov’s USAPoliticsToday.com site (which generated clicks via promotion on Facebook), was provided by American conservative clickbait creators, starting with Paris Wade and Ben Goldman.
5. Investigators are looking into a link to the Internet Research Agency, but none has been found.
It’s also worth recalling that neo-Nazi hacker Andrew ‘weev’ Auernheimer claimed to be currently residing in Macedonia during an October 2015 interview. Given Auernheimer’s apparent role in the Macron email hacks and his clear interest in disseminating as much far right propaganda as possible, he seems like an obvious person to examine in the context of this investigation. So hopefully investigators are looking into whether or not Auernheimer spent any time in Veles. They probably aren’t looking into that, but it would nice if they were.
The UK’s Channel 4 sent an investigative journalist undercover to work for one of the third-party companies Facebook pays to moderate content. And, of course, it turns out that this investigative journalist was trained to take a hands-off approach to far right violent content and fake news because that kind of content engages users for longer and increases ad revenues. Surprise!:
“An investigative journalist who went undercover as a Facebook moderator in Ireland says the company lets pages from far-right fringe groups “exceed deletion threshold,” and that those pages are “subject to different treatment in the same category as pages belonging to governments and news organizations.” The accusation is a damning one, undermining Facebook’s claims that it is actively trying to cut down on fake news, propaganda, hate speech, and other harmful content that may have significant real-world impact.”
Oh look, it turns out Facebook’s internal policies were as cynical as it gets. Shocker. Investigative journalism strikes again.
So an undercover journalist gets hired at a third-party content moderator firm that Facebook hired to remove content that violate Facebook’s terms of service, and, lo and behold, it turns out he’s told more or less ignore those policies. Specifically, he was told to give a hands-off approach to flagged content like like graphic violence, hate speech, and racist and other bigoted rhetoric from far-right groups. Oh, and he was told to ignore users who appeared to be under the age of 13. In other words, this third-party content moderator helping to ensure far right violent hate speech would be delivered to preteens:
Facebook, of course, plays dumb and claims to be all surprised and thankful to the journalist who helped uncover it. And note that they didn’t assert that this was just a problem with one rogue third-party company. Instead, they assures us all that they will be retraining all of their third-party trainers around the globe:
Adding to Facebook’s bad new is the fact that this the documentary of this investigation came just after a congressional hearing investigating why outlets like InfoWars are allowed to promote fake news (actual fake news) on social media platforms without consequence:
So this investigation provides an answer that Facebook probably wouldn’t like to admit: Alex Jones’s content engaged users for longer, driving up advertising revenue.
Ominously, it sounds like Facebook is looking to AI-driven content moderators as the end solution to this. The company wants to create “machines that have some level of common sense” and that learn “how the world works by observation, like young children do in the first few months of life”:
Great, an AI that learns what’s ‘right’ or ‘wrong’ by observing humans. Remember Tay, the AI-chatbot Microsoft released to the internet and was turned into a neo-Nazi after a bunch of trolls chatted with it? That’s the kind of path Facebook is apparently going down for the future of content moderation.
So that was just one of the new Facebook scandals of late: Facebook’s content moderators like inflammatory far right content because it’s more engaging and drives ads. It’s worth recalling the recent story about how conservatives in the US and UK were actually working with the Macedonian Facebook fake news farms, and how the Macedonian individual behind it claims that they tried to create fake news for liberals too but it just didn’t make nearly as much money for them as the fake news targeting conservatives.
It’s also worth noting that Facebook did eventually ban Alex Jones from Facebook for 30 days last week. Except, of course, there’s a catch: they only banned Alex Jones himself. Not his many admins. So Alex Jones is still streaming his show over Facebook despite the ban because it wasn’t a real ban because his non-banned admins are still free to stream his show live:
“Alex Jones, the founder and star of conspiracy site Infowars, was suspended by Facebook on Thursday, and may face harsher consequences. But as of Friday morning, you’d be hard-pressed to tell — on Facebook, he’s still streaming his show live.”
So Facebook bans Alex Jones and he’s still live because Facebook didn’t actually ban InfoWars. They only banned Alex Jones’s personal, leaving all of his admin minions free to continue as if nothing happened:
Facebook defended itself by pointing out that it immediately removes content of a bullying nature. And yet videos of Jones making pretend shooting gestures towards Robert Mueller were left up (Facebook says it didn’t constitute a real threat of violence). In other words, Facebook’s policy is perfect for anyone with a large audience who wants to encourage violence towards individuals in a plausibly deniable manner:
Facebook also assures us that one of Jones channels is close to being permanently banned if it gets a few more strikes:
And yet, as we saw with YouTube, the 90-day ban of Jone’s InfoWars channel was easily gotten around by switching his livestreams to an InfoWars affiliated channel:
And that’s probably what we should expect if Facebook actually Jones InfoWars page and not just ban Jones himself. They’ll just switch over to a new page.
As we can see, Facebook basically handed Jones a giant gift: he gets to act like a banned martyr without actually getting banned.
Might Jones get banned in the future as Facebook hinted could happen? Well, as undercover report makes abundantly clear, banning InfoWars isn’t good for business. It generate the kind of content that gets clicks and sells ads. And as ALL of the other stories to come out in recent years amply demonstrate, Facebook is basically an amoral profit-maximizing entity with a paragon of the far right sitting on its board. So, sure, Alex Jones could get actually banned in the future, but probably only if it significantly helps Facebook’s bottom line to do. And for that to happen Facebook is going to need a very different business model. Or shame. Or a government mandate to address chronic peddlers of disinformation. But barring that, it’s hard to see what it would prompt Facebook to kick off one of its cash cows.
One this is clear: there needs to be a lot more investigative journalists going undercover at Facebook. Let’s hope they can find the funds to do so.
Here’s a peak at the never category of personal information that will soon by incorporated in the Big Data profiles on all of us being assembled by tech giants like Facebook and Google:
Even in the Big Data internet age, there’s one area of personal information that has yet to be incorporated into the Big Data profiles on everyone and it happens to be one of the most data-rich categories of information in existence. It’s your personal banking information. And while individuals have ample reason to be concerned about entities like Facebook and Google getting their hands on this category of information, there’s another group out there that’s concerned too: banks.
Specifically, the banks appear to recognize that they are sitting on one of the most valuable piles of information about people. They also recognize that mobile banking is a potential growth sector for the industry and there’s no dominant player yet in that realm. And that appears to be where the concern comes in. The banking industry recognizes that, at some point, a dominant player is going to emerge for person-to-person mobile banking (like sending money on a messaging app), and banks are concern that companies like Facebook and Google are going to be the ones to creating that dominant player instead of the banks.
And as the president of BlackRock puts it in the following article, if tech companies are in control of payment systems, they’ll know “every single thing you do,” which will have obvious value for delivering ads. So it sounds like the finance industry is getting increasingly anxious to find ways to monetize the value of the information they have about people, but they’re more anxious that Facebook or Google will figure out how to monetize it first:
“The president of BlackRock, the world’s biggest asset manager, is among those who think big technology firms could invade the financial industry’s turf. Google and Facebook have thrived by collecting and storing data about consumer habits—our emails, search queries, and the videos we watch. Understanding of our financial lives could be an even richer source of data for them to sell to advertisers.”
Yep, of all the information that’s currently collected about it — our email content, search queries, etc. — it’s the financial information that its potentially the most valuable to advertisers. So if the Big Tech advertising manage to get this information on top of everything else they already know about you there’s going to be very little left they don’t know. And Big Tech is already very interested in moving into this space:
So that was a warning from back in November about the unfolding battle to create a dominant Big Tech platform that incorporates your banking data and, in turns, makes that data available to the company running that platform.
Flash forward to today and, surprise!, it turns out Facebook is approaching a number of big banks — JP Morgan, Wells Fargo, Citigroup, and US Bancorp — requesting financial data including card transactions and checking-account balances. As the following article also notes, Facebook is joined by Google and Amazon who are also trying to get this kind of data.
Facebook assures us that this information, which will be opt-in, will be solely used to offer new services on Facebook messenger. Like a service where you get your checking account balance. Facebook also assures us that this information, which would obviously be invaluable for delivering ads, won’t be used for ads at all. It will ONLY be used for Facebook’s Messenger service. Uh huh. Sure. So it sounds like the technique Facebook is going to be using to address privacy concerns over Facebook getting their hands on deep source of personal data is to give the public laughably unbelievable assurances:
“The social-media giant has asked large U.S. banks to share detailed financial information about their customers, including card transactions and checking-account balances, as part of an effort to offer new services to users.”
Bank card and checking-account balances. That’s the kind of data Facebook would like to get its hands on, to offer cutting edge services like letting people get their checking-account balances online (what an innovation):
Facebook also suggests it would like this information because it will encourage people to spend more time on Facebook Messenger. But it definitely won’t use the data for ad-targeting or sharing with third parties. That’s what we’re supposed to believe:
And this financial transaction data will, of course, include all sorts of geographic data about a person because it’s going to include information about where a purchase took place. But, again, this kind of data that would be invaluable for serving ads won’t be used for serving ads:
It also sounds like the banks are concerned about the scope of the information Facebook is asking for. Concerned enough that they’re willing to stay off of a platform used by so many of their customers:
And it’s not just Facebook. Google and Amazon are also trying to get their hands on this data (also, apparently NOT for advertising purposes but just to offer new services):
They just want the data for provide basic banking services on their applications. That’s all. Don’t worry about this data getting throwing into the giant pools of data about you and used for ad serving algorithms even though this data would be perfect for that.
So that going to be a story to watch: the story about the growing attempts by Big Tech to watch your bank account and their laughably implausible cover stories for why they want to do that.
The New York Times has an interesting new report on Psy-Group. That’s Israeli-owned firm that offers Cambridge Analytica-style social media manipulation campaigns that micro-target individuals based on their psychological profiles. Recall how we already learned about a delegation of Saudi and UAE representatives making a trip to Trump Tower in early August of 2016 to make a sales pitch to the Trump Team of using Psy-Group to help Trump win. The following report makes it clear that the Trump Team was getting sales pitches from Psy-Group months earlier, starting in March of 2016, when Trump was still in a primary fight with Ted Cruz.
The initial services pitched to the Trump Team were as follows:
1. A Cambridge Analytica-style micro-targeting campaign focused on Republican delegate. This would include social media and offline influence operations (like phone calls to delegates)
2. An opposition research plan on Hillary Clinton and “complementary intelligence activities” about Clinton and people close to her.
3. A Cambrdige Analytica-style micro-targeting social media operation targeting battleground states. In particular, women, minorities, and undecided voters were be targeted using fake online personas that would deliver messages designed to exacerbate “rifts and rivalries within the opposition.”
Also recall how we already learned that Psy-Group doesn’t just offer Cambridge Analytica-style social media manipulation campaigns. It also offers services like setting up sexual honey-traps for the purpose of political blackmail and character assassination and services like navigating the Dark Web to search for hacked documents. And when a company offers to ‘look for hacked documents on the Dark Web’, that would really be seen as a cover for offering services to outright hack a target.
So back in March of 2016, which happens to be the month when the hack of the DNC server and John Podesta began (allegedly by ‘Fancy Bear’), we have Psy-Group making a pitch to the Trump team to offer the kinds of services that were eventually deployed.
It sounds like the pitches by Psy-Group to the Trump team started with George Birnbaum, a Republican consultant with close ties to current and former Israeli government officials. Birnbaum was a protégé of Arthur J. Finkelstein, a legendary Republican political operative, and helped Benjamin Netanyahu’s defeat Shimon Peres in 1996. Birnbaum approached Rick Gates in March of 2016. Gates and Manafort had just joined to the Trump team and one of stated reasons for bringing Manafort on board was for the purpose of wrangling Republican delegates, which highlights how Manafort was seen as a person in very good standing within the GOP at this point. Birnbaum was going to help Trump win that nomination.
Recall that one of facts we previously learned about Psy-Group was that George Nader, a representative of the Saudis and the UAE, admitted that he was approaching the Trump Team on the behalf of the Saudis and UAE starting in March of 2016 to offering Trump their assistance soon after Trump appeared to have locked up the nomination. But as we’re learning now, the services they were actually offering at that point was to help Trump lock up the nomination.
According to the report there’s no indication that the Trump team actually took them up on their offers. But let’s keep in one of the biggest WTF moments of this story: we already learned that George Nader apparently paid the owner of Psy-Group $2 million after Trump’s election and the explanation they gave was that the $2 million was payment for a very elaborate sales pitch made to the Trump Team. Which was, of course, a blatant lie of some sort. And as we learn in the following article, the price tag Psy-Group had for the services they offered was around $3 million. So Psy-Group asked for $3 million and got paid by the Saudis and UAE $2 million after the election. They were clearly paid from some sort of service and it clearly wasn’t just for an obscenely expensive sales pitch.
In addition, as the following article notes, one of the individuals involved with the witness tampering that Paul Manafort was charged over was, Eckart Sager, a political consultant who worked with both Rick Gates and George Birnbaum. It was Sager who gave Birnbaum the initial contact information of Rick Gates. So Paul Manafort didn’t simply engage with witness tampering over the ‘Hapbsburg Group’ episode, he was also trying to tamper with witnesses involved with this Psy-Group story.
So there’s no indication that the Trump team hired Psy-Group’s services in the sense that it doesn’t appear that anyone involved is admitting to it. But there’s plenty of circumstantial evidence that indicates that the Psy-Group was indeed operating in the US election, whether or not they were formally hired by the Trump team. Don’t forget, if George Nader paid Psy-Group $2 million, that strongly suggests it was the Saudis and UAE who were doing the hiring instead of the Trump team:
“A top Trump campaign official requested proposals in 2016 from an Israeli company to create fake online identities, to use social media manipulation and to gather intelligence to help defeat Republican primary race opponents and Hillary Clinton, according to interviews and copies of the proposals.”
They merely heard a sales pitch. That’s was all that happened. That’s the spin that’s still being put on this story. But we’re learning a lot more about the details of that sales pitch and wow does it all sound eerily familiar: micro-targeting manipulation services, opposition research, and even “intelligence activities”:
“The proposal to gather information about Mrs. Clinton and her aides has elements of traditional opposition research, but it also contains cryptic language that suggests using clandestine means to build “intelligence dossiers.””
Cryptic language about using clandestine means to build “intelligence dossiers” on Hillary. Hmmmm....might that involve the offer of “Dark Web” services to find hacked emails? And might those “Dark Web” offers be euphemisms for actual hacking operations? Again, let’s not forget that the second hack of the DNC server, the ‘Fancy Bear’ hack that was filled with “I’m a Russian hacker!” clues left behind, happened in March of 2016.
Let’s also recall the report that someone was passing the FBI documents in March of 2016 allegedly from Russian intelligence claiming that the Russians had hacked the Democrats and it was discovered that these documents contained misinformation and it was suspected by some that the documents were intended to confuse the FBI. So the same month that someone hacked the DNC server we also had someone sending the FBI faked Russian intelligence documents saying the Russians had the hacked DNC documents. That’s worth keeping in mind with this Psy-Group story because the forces behind Psy-Group (presumably Saudi/UAE/Israeli forces) were clearly ready to go with their big disinformation campaign as of March 2016.
It’s also interesting that the pitch was made to Rick Gates just days after he and Paul Manafort joined the Trump Team. One of Manafort’s specialties was supposed to be getting delegates. So we can say, unambiguously at this point, that the forces behind Psy-Group were very willing to pick sides and get very involved in the GOP primary fight. Because while Trump was clearly in the lead in the GOP primaries as of March 2016, there was no guarantee at that point that there wouldn’t be a big primary fight:
Isn’t is kind of remarkable that we’re learning about multiple foreign countries getting involved in the GOP primary and there doesn’t appear to be anyone in the GOP upset or even batting an eye in response to this. It raises the question of whether or not foreign interference in US elections is just assumed to be a given by political operatives at this point.
It’s interesting to note that the person acting on behalf of Psy-Group to make the contact with Rick Gates was George Birnbaum, himself a long-time political GOP operative and a protege of legendary GOP operative Arthur J. Finkelstein. So maybe this is part of why no one cares about the foreign interference: American political operatives routinely work for foreign clients, which makes those political operatives natural conduits for bringing foreign influence back to the US. So maybe the international nature of political consulting these days makes foreign influence the norm and no one wants to publicly admit it:
And here’s one of the points that suggests something big is being covered up here: the guy who put Birnbaum in touch with Gates, Eckart Sager, is one of the people Paul Manafort illegally reached out to an his attempts at witness tampering. So Manafort too a big risk — an got burned — trying to say something to this guy:
And note how that intial March 2016 meeting apparently resulting in Birnbaum working directly with Psy-Group to refine that proposals. That sure sounds like the Trump team was receptive to the initial pitch. And given how willing the Trump team was to accept the help of foreign agents (the June 9th 2016, Trump Tower meeting made that willingness abundantly clear) why wouldn’t they be receptive to the pitch? Psy-Group was offering some very sophisticated services. And don’t forget that Cambridge Analytica was still working for Ted Cruz at this point and didn’t join the Trump Team until Steve Bannon replaced Manafort in August of 2016. So Psy-Group was offering a very useful service that the Trump team may not have been able to get elsewhere at that point:
And then there’s the Psy-Group pitch that it would obtain “unique intel” using “covert sources” to persuade delegates. Is that an offer of hacking services? Or sending in spies into rival organizations?
In all, the price tag Psy-Group was asking for was more thant $3 million. This included the opposition research on Hillary’s campaign that also included “complementary intelligence activities” and the creation of comprehensive dossiers on targets that included “any actionable intelligence”. That’s all quite vague sounding, which is kind of the point. They were offering intelligence services they didn’t want to describe on paper:
And then there’s the offer of social media manipulation services that would target “minority, suburban female and undecided voters in battleground states,” a strategy that Cambridge Analytica and the Trump digital campaign aggressively pursued, along with what appears to be a much smaller and largely inconsequential similar operation run out of the Internet Research Agency in Russia. Was Psy-Group also part of that maelstrom of manipulation?
So we have the initial pitch in March of 2016, another pitch in April of 2016. And then, shortly after the Republican convention, we have the August 3, 2016, meeting with George Nader and Erik Prince offering these services for the general election. And don’t forget that when this meeting was initially reported it was described as the Saudis and UAE offering to help Trump which implies that the people paying Psy-Group would be the Saudis and UAE:
And yet, we are told that there is no evidence that the Trump team acted on any of the proposals and Rick Gates was ultimately uninterested in Psy-Group. We’re told that this lack of interest was in part because the Trump campaign was already working on its own social media strategy:
And yet, despite those claims that the Trump team didn’t take the Psy-Group offer, there’s still the pesky fun fact that George Nader paid Psy-Group $2 million following the elections. Also, both George Nader and Psy-Group chief Joel Zamel gave different accounts on whether or not Psy-Group ultimately carried out a social media manipulation effort. So they are clearly lying about Psy-Group not doing any work for the Trump team:
So we now know more about this Psy-Group effort. We know that Psy-Group wanted to help Trump defeat Cruz in the primary and we know that George Birnbaum, a prominent GOP operative, was the person working on behalf of Psy-Group to get in touch with Trump team. We also know that this outreach apparently happened just days after Manafort and Gates joined the Trump team. And this all started in March of 2016, the same month when the second hack of the DNC, the alleged ‘Fancy Bear’ hack, took place. Given the growing evidence of that a Saudi/UAE/Israeli team was clearly involved in the 2016 campaign and clearly willing to engage in all sorts of digital dirty tricks that are currently blamed on the Russians, we have to ask the question: so if a Saudi/UAE/Israeli team was indeed going to pull off a series of high-profile hacks that would captivate the American audience, who would they try to pin the blame on? Would they try to make it look like random hackers? Chinese hackers? Russian hackers, perhaps?
And given that the same figures behind this Psy-Group initiatives are the same people behind the whole ‘Seychelles meeting’ mystery, you also have to wonder if one of the topics of that Seychelles meeting was something like “hey, sorry we totally framed you guys, but we’ll make it up to you...”
Here’s an interesting recent report on the Trump team’s work with Psy Group, the Israeli Cambridge Analytica-style digital psychological warfare firm that was pitched at the Trump campaign in 2016 by the Saudis and UAE trying to help Trump win. Recall the revelation of a secret August 3, 2016, Trump Tower meeting involving Erik Prince, George Nader, and Joel Zamel where they pitched the use of Psy Group and Wikistrat to run a social media campaign and was all going to be backed by the crown princes of Saudi Arabia and the UAE. And Psy Group was indeed paid $2 million by Nader after the 2016 elections for mysterious reasons. And recall how we’ve since learned that the outreach efforts started back in March of 2016, with Rick Gates reaching out to Psy Group initially for assistance in Trump’s primary fight against Ted Cruz. In that report we learned that, while Joel Zamel remains adamant that Psy Group never did any work for the Trump campaign but Nader gives a “differing account” from Zamel over whether or not work was ultimately done.
So according to the following article, in addition to Gates’s outreach to Psy Group, there were at least two other individuals from the Trump campaign who reached out to Psy Group during the 2016 campaign. Both represented themselves as part of Trump’s inner circle. The identities of these Trump-associated individuals remains unknown, along with the sources for this report although it sounds like the sources are former Psy Group employees.
And much like how Zamel and Nader previously gave conflicting accounts of whether or not Psy Group ended up doing work for the Trump campaign, several of these former Psy Group employees claim the firm never went foward with any plans to help the Trump campaign, but others dispute that claim:
“But The Daily Beast has learned that the overtures from Trump world to Psy Group in 2016 were more extensive than previously reported. Former employees said there were at least two other individuals who reached out to the firm during the campaign. Both represented themselves as members of Trump’s inner circle, former employees said.”
So we don’t know who these Trump inner circle associates were or when exactly they reached out to the firm, but we are told it happened by these anonymous Psy Group employees. Interestingly, the former employees commenting on the article didn’t agree on whether or not Psy Group actually did work for the campaign:
And that inconsistent answer to the question of whether or not Psy Group did work for the Trump campaign raises the question of whether or not Psy Group’s work for the Trump campaign was so secret that even some of Psy Group’s own employees didn’t know it was happening. Is that possible? Well, according to the following Daily Beast article about Joel Zamel’s open-source intelligence firm, Wikistrat, it sounds like Zamel was running Wikistrat was staffed by a large number of people from the intelligence community. It also has ties to some senior US intelligence officials like former NSA/CIA director Michael Hayden. Michael Flynn also reportedly has close ties to Zamel and at one point Zamel was trying to recruit Flynn to the company. Recall how the services of both Psy Group and Wikistrat were being offered to the Trump campaign as part of that August 3, 2016, Trump Tower pitch.
And while Wikistrat billed itself as being a “crowdsourced” geopolitical analysis firm that relied on the insights from its broad array of hired experts working together, insiders claim it was often effectively being run as an intelligence operation that relied heavily on on-the-ground reports from its network of experts. In other words, its main service wasn’t crowdsourced analysis. It was crowdsourced intelligence. And the vast majority of its clients were foreign governments.
Not surprisingly, we also learn that Zamel ran Wikistrat in a highly compartmentalized manner, where even its executives didn’t necessarily know what the company was working on. So if Wikistrat was run on it doesn’t seem like much of a stretch that Psy Group was also run in a highly compartmentalized manner:
“Wikistrat bills itself as a “crowdsourced” geopolitical analysis firm based in Washington, D.C. But interviews with current and former employees and documents reviewed by The Daily Beast tell a different story: that the vast majority of Wikistrat’s clients were foreign governments; that Wikistrat is, for all intents and purposes, an Israeli firm; and that the company’s work was not just limited to analysis. It also engaged in intelligence collection.”
So Wikistrat was, in reality, focused on providing the service of intelligence collection. And the vast majority of its clients were foreign governments. That’s a pretty big divergence from the company’s stated commitment to “transparent, open-source methodologies”:
And yet, despite Wikistrat’s clients being overwhelmingly foreign governments, the firm has remarkable ties to the US military and intelligence community:
The firm also tried to hired Michael Flynn as one of its advisors, although Flynn’s lawyer tried to downplay this. And note how Zamel was apparently trying to recruit Flynn around the time Flynn was forming the Flynn Intel Group. Keep in mind that the Flynn Intel Group was initially formed in the fall of 2014, so it’s possible Flynn’s ties to Zamel go back to around that period:
But despite running what appears to be a private intelligence collection service for foreign governments, it sounds like Wikistrats still wasn’t making a profit, raising the question of whether or not the company had a secret benefactor or of Zamel was paying out of his own pocket:
And that’s all party of why it’s so intriguing to learn that Wikistrat was also run in a highly compartmentalized manner, were even company executives didn’t have the whole picture of what was going on:
So, returning the question of whether or not Psy Group and Wikistrat did any work for the Trump campaign and the conflicting accounts from the various Psy Group insiders, it’s worth keeping in mind the possibility that if Psy Group and/or Wikistrats was indeed working for Trump’s campaign it was some highly compartmentalized work that was being kept a secret from Psy Group’s and Wikistrat’s own employee. It was, after all, highly scandalous work involving the interference in the US elections on behalf of the crown princes of the UAE and Saudi Arabia. That seems like the kind of work a company might want to hide from its own employees.
The Daily Beast has a new report pointing towards Psy Group and Wikistrat playing an active role in the 2016 US election on behalf of Saudi Arabia and the UAE: First, recall the previous reports about how, contrary to the characterization of Wikistrat as simply a crowd-sourced think-tank, it was actually run as a private intelligence firm that relied heavily on on-the-ground intelligence and operated in a highly-compartmentalized manner and had deep connections to the US military and intelligence community, including Michael Flynn. Also recall how, while some Psy Group employees assert that Psy Group never ended up doing any work for the Trump campaign, other Psy Group employees say work was actually done.
So now we have this new report about how Wikistrat was running election interference simulations in 2015 that just happened to be remarkably similar to the ‘Russian’ interference in 2016. And this simulation was run days after Trump first announced in June of 2015. According to five current and former Wikistrat employees, the simulation project lasted more than a week and included multiple scenarios including including hacking groups targeting American polling stations, Russian trolls, sources of revenue for cyber-mercenaries, and hacked corporate records. So the Wikistrat simulations of foreign interference literally involved hacking groups and Russian trolls and this was done just days after Trump announced. Isn’t that interesting.
It also turns out that the proposals that Psy Group made to the Trump campaign in early 2016 for election assistance just happened to be remarkably similar to the interference simulations Wikistrats was working on months earlier. The Wikistrat simulations talked about foreign governments hiring cyber-mercenaries to carry out social media trolling operations designed to influence election outcomes. And according to a former senior Psy Group employee, the language used in the Wikistrat simulation mirrored the language used in the pitch Psy Group eventually made to Rick Gates offering Psy Group’s services to the Trump campaign in April of 2016 to help Trump win the GOP primary. “All jargon across all materials is more or less the same,” according to this senior Psy Group employee:
“Days after Donald Trump rode down an escalator at Trump Tower and announced he’d run for president, a little-known consulting firm with links to Israeli intelligence started gaming out how a foreign government could meddle in the U.S. political process. Internal communications, which The Daily Beast reviewed, show that the firm conducted an analysis of how illicit efforts might shape American politics. Months later, the Trump campaign reviewed a pitch from a company owned by that firm’s founder—a pitch to carry out similar efforts.”
Yep, just days after Trump announced his candidacy, this remarkably prescient simulation is run by Wikistrat that basically predicts what happened. It’s quite a coincidence!
And don’t forget that we now know of two points in 2016 when Psy Group was making pitches to the Trump campaign for exactly these kinds of online targeted manipulation services: In April of 2016 when Trump was still in the primaries and in August of 2016 when Joel Zamel himself met with the Trump team in Trump Tower and informed them that the Crown princes of Saudi Arabia and the UAE wanted to help him win. So Psy Group was clearly very interested in offering these services to the Trump team and very interested in helping a Republican win:
It’s also interesting to note that the title of the Wikistrat report was “The Rise of the Cyber Mercenary.” Because there’s hardly a better way to describe an entity like Psy Group than “Cyber Mercenary”. That’s literally what they do:
And recall that, when you read about how this Wikistrat simulation was done after the Internet Research Agency had begun its US election interference campaign, that’s actually a reflection of the fact that the Internet Research Agency’s alleged US election interference campaign didn’t actually appear to be very sophisticated or even focused on the US election based on what we know about their Facebook ad purchases and looks more like a for-profit click-bait operation, with almost half of their ads taking place after the 2016 election. But the fact that the Internet Research Agency was recognized as one of the cyber-mercenary entities already operating at that point and the fact that the Wikistrat analysis explicitly simulated “Russian trolls” highlights how spoofing a cyber-campaign to make it look like it was being done by the Kremlin would have been something very much on the mind of Wikistrat and PsyGroup.
But the fact that makes this Wikistrat simulation in 2015 so conspicuous is that Psy Group’s pitch to the Trump campaign in April of 2016 mirrored the Wikistrat report:
It’s also noteworthy that the analysts who worked on this simulation apparently didn’t know if this was being done for a particular client because they didn’t know if most of their projects were for a client of not. Only a few full-time staff at the top of Wikistrat knew which projects were for clients and who those clients were, underscoring the highly compartmentalized nature of the company. It also underscores why a number of these employees are now coming forward: they had no idea at the time their work would be used for what transpired and are probably feeling some degree of regret:
Finally, it’s worth noting a key point the article makes: that Wikistrat and Psy Group are merely two entities in a much larger universe of private intelligence firms that were ‘explore’ the growing threat of online propaganda and political interference. And as the Wikistrat/Psy Group experience makes clear, those firms that ‘explore’ the growing threat of online propaganda just might offer those services too. So while there should be intense interest in what Wikistrat/Psy Group did in the 2016 campaign, we shouldn’t assume they were the only actors in this area:
So that’s the latest revelation about the whole Psy Group/Wikistrat chapter of this story. But keep in mind the ties Wikistrat has to the US intelligence community and how that potentially relates to the timing of this and the strange ‘I’m a Russian hacker’ nature of the 2016 ‘Fancy Bear’ hack of the Democrats: The first hack of the DNC server appears to have taken place around May of 2015 and the US intelligence community was aware of this. But the FBI reportedly wasn’t informed about this hack by the NSA until September 2015, leading to the bizarre six month period when the FBI was apparently trying to inform the DNC that it was hacked but to no avail. And now we learn that Wikistrat started this simulation just days after Trump announced his candidacy in June of 2015 and these simulations involved Russian trolls and interference by a hostile foreign power. So given the Wikistrat connections to the US intelligence community (Michael Hayden sits on its advisory board), we have to wonder if Wikistrat was already aware of the initial 2015 DNC hack by the time these simulations were carried out. Because if Wikistrat knew about that 2015 DNC hack, that would make plans for a big 2016 foreign interference campaign with blatant ‘Russian fingerprints’ all over it a much more tempting scenario for an entity like Psy Group and its Saudi/UAE clients.
There’s been a lot of sudden new interest in secret relationships between the Trump team and Ukraine following the CIA whistleblower who filed a complaint over President Trump secretly pressuring the newly elected president of Ukraine — Volodymur Zelensky — into carrying out investigations related to events in 2016 that happen to be highly politically convenient for Trump in 2020. Investigations with particular conclusions Ukraine knows Trump would appreciate. Politically convenient investigations like the Joe Biden/Burisma fiasco. Or whether or not Ukraine’s government played a played in the conclusion of the US government that Russia was behind the hacks of the Democrats and incriminating evidence against Paul Manafort.
So it’s worth noting another story about interference in US politics that also appears to be emanating out of Ukraine with possible implications in 2020 and, perhaps, 2016: Earlier this week, ThinkProgress founder Judd Legum published a piece in his “Popular Information” political newsletter on a massive pro-Trump Facebook propaganda operation working out of Ukraine.
This isn’t the first story about a massive foreign Facebook operation pumping out pro-Trump propaganda. Recall the recent story about how the media complex closely behind the Epoch Times — which is closely associated with Falun Gong — is spending millions of dollars on pro-Trump Facebook ads.
Part of what makes this new story about the Ukrainian operation potentially so explosive is that the description of this network sounds remarkably similar to the description of the Facebook operation in 2015–2017 that were attributed to the Kremlin-connected Internet Research Agency’s (IRA) Facebook operations. But this Ukrainian operation is much, much larger than what had been attributed to the IRA. It also appears to be reusing many of the same pro-Trump memes attributed to the IRA.
But we are also told there is no indication that this Ukrainian Facebook network is associated with a nation-state actor. It appears to just be a click-bait operation. A click-bait operation with remarkable similarities to the IRA’s network but much larger. Recall how the Facebook networks attributed to the IRA in 2016 also appeared to largely be click-bait operations and only of a fraction of the activity in the pages attributed to the IRA were related to politics. So the characterization of this new Ukrainian outfit as being similar to the IRA outfit includes the fact that both operations appear to have been largely focused on just non-political click-bait. In other words, they both appear to be focused on making money.
The information that allowed Judd Legum to attribute the Facebook pages to Urkainians came from a website registered to an online strategist from the Ukrainian city of Odessa, Andriy Zyuzikov, that was linked to in the “About” section of the “I Love America” Facebook page. The “I Love America” appears to be the largest of the Facebook groups identified in this network. It was created in March of 2017, about five months before Facebook took down all of the pages identified as IRA-run pages. The page reportedly has the kind of traffic that dwarfs the traffic of nearly all US media companies’ Facebook traffic. Over the last 90 days the page has more engagements (likes, shares, etc) than even USA Today’s Facebook page.
But it’s only in recent weeks that “I Love America” has started aggressively pumping out pro-Trump messaging. Before that, the page focused on click-bait content like pictures of puppies and Jesus along with patriotic themes with lots of references to “our country” and “our military.” So recent switch to pro-Trump content doesn’t appear to be a very big leap in terms of the target click-bait audience. Other pages identified in this network, like “I Love Jesus Forever” and “Cute or Not?”, that previously focused on click-bait have also started injecting pro-Trump memes into their content.
We’re also told that the “I Love America” page is recycling many of the pro-Trump memes and videos that were archived from the “Being Patriotic” page that was operated by the IRA and taken down by Facebook in 2017. The Being Patriotic page was one of the pages taken down by Facebook in August 2017.
So we have a Ukrainian click-bait operation that sounds remarkably similar to the operation attributed to the IRA and even recycles the exact same memes and content, but on a much larger. The biggest page in this network, “I Love America” was apparently started in March of 2017, but we don’t yet have an idea of when this network was originally started. And that raises the obvious question: So was this Ukrainian network actually responsible for some of the content in 2015–2017 that has been attributed to the IRA?
Keep in mind one of the primarily absurdities in the entire fixation on nation-state troll bots over the past few years: there’s basically no standard for the attribution of who is behind a Facebook page. Researchers look for ‘signs’ that a page ‘might’ be an IRA operation. For instance, when the US Senate Intelligence Committee’s released its December 2018 report on 2016 Russian social media operations, some of the clues for a Facebook account being traced back to the IRA was signs like a Russian IP address, technical evidence tracing the account back to the St. Petersburg area, or paying for ads in rubles. It was portrayed as a damning sign of the IRA’s incompetence at covering its tracks, despite the fact that all of that is easily spoofable forms of evidence.
Also recall how that same Senate report was put together by New Knowledge, the same firm that was found to be running its own fake ‘Russian twitter bot’ network in the Alabama 2017 election. So the question of who was actually behind the Facebook posts widely attributed to the IRA remains an open question based on the publicly available evidence because the publicly available evidence has been highly suspect all along
Might it be that this IRA-like Ukrainian Facebook network that Judd Legum stumbled upon is actually the source of at least some of those 2016 ‘IRA’ Facebook posts? If so, that raises the question of whether or not this Ukrainian operation has any ties to the many Ukrainian figures who were interacting with the Trump campaign in 2016. Because it’s entirely possible an existing click-bait operation owned by someone trying to cozy up to Trump team could have been partially retooled that click-bait operation to pump out pro-Trump propaganda, which is basically the scenario we’re told happened with the IRA:
“There are lots of references to “our country” and “our military.” Not mentioned is that the page is managed by ten people based in Ukraine. (There is also one manager from Kazakhstan, one from France, and one from the United States.) A website that was previously linked in the “About” section of the “I Love America” page is registered to Andriy Zyuzikov, an online strategist from the Ukrainian city of Odessa.”
A website linked to on the “About” page registered to a Ukrainian social media strategist in Odessa. That appears to be the primary clue as to who is behind this network of surprisingly high-traffic Facebook pages.
But it’s only in the last few months that this network has created overtly pro-Trump pages and then started directing people there from their already established click-bait pages. And all of these newly created pro-Trump pages appear to be managed exclusively by people based out of Ukraine. Although it does sound like at least one of the click-bait pages (“Cute or Not?”) has a manager in the US:
And on these established click-bait pages, like “I Love America”, there are recycled pro-Trump memes apparently taken from pages previously attributed to the IRA. Pages like “Being Patriotic”. Presumably these recycled 2016 memes are only recently recycled since it sounds like this network has only recently started pushing pro-Trump memes but that’s unclear:
And this network dwarfs the IRA’s Facebook pages in terms of the number of people its interacting with. It also exceeds major US media outlets like the LA Times and BuzzFeed:
And yet, we are told be experts that there’s no reason to assume this network is connected to a nation state because there wasn’t much done to hide the identities of who was behind it. Instead, it’s assumed to be a for-profit click-bait operation:
And while the conclusion that this looks like a click-bait operation, and not a nation state operation, appears to be a reasonable one, don’t forget that the US Senate Intelligence Committee’s report on the IRA criticized Silicon Valley companies for not identifying all sorts of clues that suggested pages were part of an IRA operation. Clues like Russian phone numbers as contact information and paying for ads in rubles. Also note that Renee DiResta was the person who wrote that Senate Report as part of her work at New Knowledge, the same firm that created the fake ‘Russian bot’ network in the 2017 Alabama Senate race. It’s a reminder of just how suspect much of this attribution really is:
So is it possible Legum actually came across a network that was creating at least some of the pro-Trump content in 2016 that was attributed to the IRA? At this point we have no idea, although there don’t appear to be any readily apparent ties between the Odessa-based online strategist, Andriy Zyuzikov, and the larger network of Ukrainian figures known to be interacting with the Trump team.
But if it turned out elements in Ukraine’s were behind at least of the pro-Trump 2016 Facebook activity attributed to the IRA, it’s worth keeping in mind that this scenario could potentially play into the existing questions surrounding Trump’s shakedown of Zelensky that have suddenly resulted in an impeachment inquiry. Because if Ukrainians were behind some of that pro-Trump 2016 social media content, that could end up being a public relations disaster for Ukraine. The last thing Ukraine’s government is going to want at this point is getting dragged into the whole #RussiaGate fiasco as a possible culprit in the mind of the American public. In other words, the implied threat Trump was leveling at Zelensky could have involved more than just the threat of withholding military aid. Hopefully the impeachment inquiry takes a look at this. It probably won’t but it should.
So perhaps today is a good day for a break from stories that center around the US’s extreme political dysfunction. Instead, here’s a pair of articles about...wait for it...Canadian dysfunction. After four years — and maybe four more — of having the world watch with slack-jawed amazement at the farcically broken nature of the US’s politics it seems only fair to note that the US isn’t the only modern democracy with major problems.
So in the spirit of celebrating horrible dysfunction around the world, here’s a fun, yet absolutely chilling, look at an emerging scandal in Canada. It’s a scandal that will have a lot of parts that sound familiar: The Canadian military has reportedly paid $1 million for training in propaganda methodologies. The course is taught by a British firm, Emic Consulting. Emic’s director, Gaby van den Berg, had previously worked with SCL Group — the parent company of Cambridge Analytica ‑and the course is described as a direct descendant of SCL’s public manipulation techniques.
Recall that SCL Group apparently went out of business in 2018 when the Cambridge Analytica scandal exploded, so Emic is an example of one of the spin-offs that lives on following the demise of SCL. And now the Canadian military has hired one of those spinoffs to teach it how to use SCL Group-style psychological warfare techniques.
So who is the target audience for the Canadian military’s new psychological warfare skill set? The Canadian public. Teaching the Canadian military how to message to the general messaging more effectively is how Canada’s military is describing the purpose of this contract. It’s actually two contracts. One to train military staff and the other to train civilian public affairs staff at the National Defense headquarters in Ottawa. We’re also told the Dutch military has received similar training for Emic.
So that’s the program we learned about a few weeks ago, after it was revealed by US academic Emma Briant who specialized in military propaganda techniques. But as we’ll see in the second excerpt below, we just got an update on the scale of the Canadian military’s public influencing plans: The Canadian military wants to create a whole new organization dedicated to influence operations, with the Canadian public as one of the target audiences, as well as foreign populations in countries where Canadian troops are stationed. The planned Defence Strategic Communication group will advance “national interests by using defence activities to influence the attitudes, beliefs and behaviours of audiences,” according to an October 2020 document.
The office of Canada’s Defence Minister is asserting that the plan hasn’t been authorized to move forward, at least for now. At the same time, a series of town halls were already conducted last week for a number of military personnel on the strategies contained in the draft plan. So while the official authorization hasn’t happened yet, it sounds like they are actively preparing for it.
The plan doesn’t include just messaging campaigns. It also includes sweeping up social media content on Canadian citizens. In addition, dossiers are being created about journalists who cover the military. The article describes an example of one of these influence operations that involved the creation of journalist dossiers: in 2018, the Department of National Defence and the Canadian Forces planned a public relations campaign to counter what the military believed were false claims that Canada’s military had a problem with racists in the ranks. But that plan had to be scrapped after alleged racists and far right sympathizers with links to military became involved in a series of high-profile incidents. So the example of the types of propaganda campaigns we can expect was a campaign that was essentially hiding the Canadian military’s problem with far right infiltrators.
So we have the Canadian military hiring an SCL Group offshoot to teach them SCL’s psychological warfare influencing techniques at the same time there are plans for creating a whole new organization dedicated scooping up social media information and executing influencing campaigns. It sure sounds like the kind of story we should expect from the Trump administration. But no, this is Canada. Happy Election Day! You aren’t the only democracy that can’t stop playing with fire:
“Briant noted the training the Canadian military staff received is a direct descendent of SCL Group’s “behavioural dynamics methodology” which promises to help military clients analyze and profile groups to find the best strategy to effectively influence a target audience’s behaviour.”
As we can see, it’s not a course in the SCL Group’s psychological warfare techniques. It’s a next generation version of that course:
And it’s not just Canada. The work Emic did with the Dutch military was part of Emic’s pitch to Canada:
That’s what we learned a few weeks ago. Only after a US academic who specialized in studying military psychological warfare techniques. Emma Bryant, revealed it in a report. But as we just learned yesterday, these Emic courses are just one part of a much larger agenda. The Canadian military is planning on a whole new organization — the Defence Strategic Communication group — and the primary focus of this new entity appears to be collecting social media information, building profiles, and running influence operations against Canadians:
“The new Defence Strategic Communication group will advance “national interests by using defence activities to influence the attitudes, beliefs and behaviours of audiences,” according to the document dated October 2020. Target audiences for such an initiative would be the Canadian public as well as foreign populations in countries where military forces are sent.”
The plans are in place, according to the October 2020 document that revealed the Defence Strategic Communication group initiative. Plans that include the bulk collection of Canadians’ social media data and the use of that data for these influencing campaigns. Influence campaigns like convincing the Canadian public there isn’t a problem with far right infiltrators in the military (despite evidence to the contrary):
But while this all appears to be it’s a plan a long time in the making and seen as the end result of an ongoing agenda for the “weaponization” of the military’s public affairs branch that’s going on since 2015:
So the creations of this new organization is the culmination of plan that’s been in the works for at least five years. Which means this is just the start of a very big initiative. A very big initiative that’s presumably going to be a lot bigger in coming years. At least until it all blows up in the inevitable Cambridge Analytica-style scandal.
It raises the question of what we should probably expect for Canada’s first big domestic psyop scandal once this gets underway. Will the military secretly get involved in political influence campaigns? How about those far right infiltrators rising in the ranks of these psychological warfare teams and creating all sorts of havoc that way? We’ll find out. But it will probably be something a lot more scandalous than just falsely crying ‘wolf’. Because they already had that scandal.
One of the questions that has long loomed over the whole story of the alleged mass ‘Russian interference’ in the 2016 election involving social media manipulation and the pushing of ‘fake news’ stories is the question of what would happen if any of the domestic mass manipulation operations that were surely being quietly run by conservative groups operating the US were ever publicly exposed. Would there be a general willingness to reexamine the whole ‘Russian fake news’ narrative? Or would any reports be resisted and dismissed as merely more pro-Russian disinformation? Well, we’re about to find out, because the person who appears to have almost single-handed built and operated one of the largest mass propaganda operations in 2016 just came forward and identified himself and his employer. No Russians were involved. Surprise!
That’s the story coming from Ars Technica last week identifying Robert Willis as “Hacker X”, an individual hired by the secretive “Koala Media” in 2015 to build a large network of seemingly independent ‘news’ websites that was used to successfully push the wildest pro-Trump stories and build what became arguably the largest pro-Trump web operation in 2016. At one point, one of Willis’s fake sites was the #1 site on Google for the search term “Trump News”.
While Willis chose not to name his employer in the initial story, Willis revealed its identity a few days later: Koala Media was being operated on behalf of NaturalNews.com, run by the pro-Trump Mike Adams.
Crucially, Willis makes it clear that this was a highly profitable operation set up to commercialize all of the clicks these fake news stories were generating. So while we’ve long been told the Internet Research Agency spent around $100,000 on anti-Hillary ads on Facebook in 2016 and that campaign was responsible for much of the disinformation, we’re now learning about a domestic commercial operation that was running very similar kinds of content but operating for-profit and at a much vaster scale. It points towards one of the under-asked questions about what happened in 2016: while many have been asking how much money was spent on promoting mass disinformation, a far more relevant question might be to asking who was making the most money promoting mass disinformation: