Organized criminal networks could be thought of as a coven of keepers of well guarded secrets. Powerful, profitable well guarded secrets. The organized “system” works because only “need to know” people know about it. It’s like Scientology, minus the actual Scientology. That’s sort of how militaries and governments work, where the most powerful and dangerous information and capabilities are compartmentalized in a hierarchical manner. Some mafias are quasi-legal and part of the government officially or unofficially:
The Daily Beast
The Death and Legacy of Yakuza Boss ‘Mr. Gorilla’For years Yoshinori Watanabe (aka ‘Mr. Gorilla’) ran Japan’s most powerful and successful yakuza group. Jake Adelstein on his mysterious death over the weekend—and his legacy of modern and ruthless management of the crime syndicate.
Dec 3, 2012 5:54 PM EST
Jake AdelsteinWatanabe was found collapsed at his home in Kobe on Saturday, by his family; his death was confirmed the same day. A memorial service was held for him Monday. The cause of death is unknown, but he allegedly had been in poor health for years.
Watanabe became the fifth head of the Yamaguchi-gumi in 1989 after a four-year gang war between the Yamaguchi-gumi and the Ichiwa-kai, which had split off from the main group. Watanabe, in a move to encourage Ichiwa-kai members to return to the fold, is credited with introducing a pension plan to the Yamaguchi-gumi that promised to take care of retired “employees,” much like major Japanese corporations. Watanabe was a highly intelligent gangster, but because of his slightly simian facial features, he was known amongst some police officers and some yakuza affectionately as “Mr. Gorilla”.
Watanabe was a charismatic leader and a good businessman. By keeping the association dues low and through aggressive gang wars and leveraged peace treaties with rival gangs, he expanded the organization to become Japan’s largest organized crime group; by 2004, the Yamaguchi-gumi headquarters was collecting nearly $25 million per year in association dues alone, according to police files. In the book The Business Management Methods of the Yamaguchi-gumi (2005), by yakuza expert Atsushi Mizoguchi, Watanabe succinctly explains the secret of his organized crime management: “Absolute Unity. Retaliation. Silence. Appropriate rewards and punishments, and judicious use of violence.”
However, during his reign, problems also emerged. Anti-yakuza legislation went on the books (1992) and legal precedents were set that gradually forced the yakuza underground. In a civil lawsuit over the shooting death of a policeman in a gang conflict that involved the Yamaguchi-gumi, Watanabe was effectively ordered by Japan’s Supreme Count to pay damages of about 80 million yen in 2004. This was the first time the courts recognized a Yakuza boss’s “employer liability.”
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Watanabe was a folk hero in Kobe, the town where he died, after organizing relief efforts and providing food, water, and essential supplies to the locals after the Great Hanshin Earthquake in January of 1995.
Under Watanabe’s successor, Shinobu Tsukasa, the Yamaguchi-gumi absorbed the Tokyo-based Kokusui-kai in 2005, giving them a strong base in eastern Japan. By 2007 the Yamaguchi-gumi had effectively put the Inagawa-kai under their umbrella, making them the Walmart of Japanese organized crime with more than half of the total yakuza (79,000) being under their control.
Note the references to the Yamaguchi-guchi’s pension plan for its “employees” as well as the “employer liability” legal ruling that forced the Yamaguch-guchi clan to pay a fine in 2005 after one of its “employees” killed a police officer. The yakuza’s employment efforts will be highly relevant in excerpts below. Their disaster relief efforts are also going to be highlighted. As evidenced by the yakuza’s post-earthquake/tsunami/nuclear meltdown actions, the yakuza are a lot like a corrupt political party in many ways but one difference is that the yakuza’s awful attempts at populist folksiness actually involve helping people sometimes:
The Daily Beast
Yakuza to the Rescue
Even Japan’s infamous mafia groups are helping out with the relief efforts and showing a strain of civic duty. Jake Adelstein reports on why the police don’t want you to know about it.Mar 18, 2011 5:00 AM EDT
Jake AdelsteinThe worst of times sometimes brings out the best in people, even in Japan’s “losers” a.k.a. the Japanese mafia, the yakuza. Hours after the first shock waves hit, two of the largest crime groups went into action, opening their offices to those stranded in Tokyo, and shipping food, water, and blankets to the devastated areas in two-ton trucks and whatever vehicles they could get moving. The day after the earthquake the Inagawa-kai (the third largest organized crime group in Japan which was founded in 1948) sent twenty-five four-ton trucks filled with paper diapers, instant ramen, batteries, flashlights, drinks, and the essentials of daily life to the Tohoku region. An executive in Sumiyoshi-kai, the second-largest crime group, even offered refuge to members of the foreign community—something unheard of in a still slightly xenophobic nation, especially amongst the right-wing yakuza. The Yamaguchi-gumi, Japan’s largest crime group, under the leadership of Tadashi Irie, has also opened its offices across the country to the public and been sending truckloads of supplies, but very quietly and without any fanfare.
The Inagawa-kai has been the most active because it has strong roots in the areas hit. It has several “blocks” or regional groups. Between midnight on March 12th and the early morning of March 13th, the Inagawa-kai Tokyo block carried 50 tons of supplies to Hitachinaka City Hall (Hitachinaka City, Ibaraki Prefecture) and dropped them off, careful not to mention their yakuza affiliation so that the donations weren’t rejected. This was the beginning of their humanitarian efforts. Supplies included cup ramen, bean sprouts, paper diapers, tea and drinking water. The drive from Tokyo took them twelve hours. They went through back roads to get there. The Kanagawa Block of the Inagawa-kai, has sent 70 trucks to the Ibaraki and Fukushima areas to drop off supplies in areas with high radiations levels. They didn’t keep track of how many tons of supplies they moved. The Inagawa-kai as a whole has moved over 100 tons of supplies to the Tohoku region. They have been going into radiated areas without any protection or potassium iodide.
The Yamaguchi-gumi member I spoke with said simply, “Please don’t say any more than we are doing our best to help. Right now, no one wants to be associated with us and we’d hate to have our donations rejected out of hand.”
To those not familiar with the yakuza, it may come as a shock to hear of their philanthropy, but this is not the first time that they have displayed a humanitarian impulse. In 1995, after the Kobe earthquake, the Yamaguchi-gumi was one of the most responsive forces on the ground, quickly getting supplies to the affected areas and distributing them to the local people. Admittedly, much of those supplies were paid with by money from years of shaking down the people in the area, and they were certainly not unaware of the public relations factor—but no one can deny that they were helpful when people needed aid—as they are this time as well.
It may seem puzzling that the yakuza, which are organized crime groups, deriving their principal revenue streams from illegal activities, such as collecting protection money, blackmail, extortion, and fraud would have any civic nature at all. However, in Japan since the post-war period they have always played a role in keeping the peace. According to Robert Whiting’s Tokyo Underworld and Tim Weiner’s Legacy of Ashes, the US government even bought the services of one infamous yakuza fixer, Yoshio Kodama, to keep Japan from going communist and maintain order. Kodama would later put up the funding to create the Liberal Democrat Party of Japan that ruled the country for over fifty years. When President Obama visited Japan last year, the police contacted the heads of all Tokyo yakuza groups and asked them to behave themselves and make sure there were no problems.
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Interesting fun-fact: The “yakuza fixer”/power-broker referenced above, Yoshio Kodama, was the one-time prison cell mate of former prime minister Nobosuke Kishi for war crimes(Kishi is the grandfather of current prime minister Shinzo Abe). Kodama was also a backer of gangster/oligarch/sushi king/new messiah reverend Sun Myung Moon. It’s a small world at the top. The glue that seems to hold the world at the together appears to be highly profitable and powerful secrecy and lots of money. Curiously, though, an large number of those powerful secrets aren’t really very secret:
The Daily Beast
Japan’s Justice Minister to Resign Over Yakuza Ties
It’s almost too perfect: Japan’s new minister of justice is about to resign over his ties to a leading yakuza (mafia) organization. Jake Adelstein reports on the latest political scandal—and just what the yakuza do for the politicians.Oct 18, 2012 11:30 PM EDT
Jake AdelsteinIt seems like Japanese politicians just can’t get enough of the yakuza.
It was reported last week that the newly appointed Minister of Justice Keishu Tanaka (Democratic Party of Japan) had strong ties to the Japanese mafia. This Thursday, Japan’s respected weekly news magazine, Shukan Bunshun, ran an article on how Japan’s Minister of Finance Koriki Jojima, was supported by a yakuza front company during his election campaign. Minister Tanaka is expected to resign Friday (Japan time). If he does, he’ll be the second Democratic Party of Japan (DPJ) appointed cabinet minister since 2009 to resign after exposure of yakuza ties. Not a good thing for the DPJ, which came to power as “the clean party.”
Last Thursday the weekly magazine Shukan Shincho was the first to write that Minister Tanaka had long running ties to the Inagawa-kai. The Inagawa-kai, Japan’s third-largest crime group, was founded as Inagawa-Kogyo circa 1948 and their current headquarters are across the street from the Ritz Carlton Tokyo; they have 10,000 members. According to the police, since 2007 the group has been under the umbrella of the Yamaguchi-gumi, the largest yakuza group in the country, with 39,000 members. Kazuo Uchibori, the leader of the Inagawa-kai, was arrested this month on money-laundering charges. The Tokyo Prosecutor’s Office (TPO) has not yet decided whether to prosecute him. The TPO is also part of the Ministry of Justice, headed by Mr. Tanaka.
The Shincho article alleges Tanaka has long relied on the support of the Inagawa-kai in his political and business dealings and had participated in many Inagawa-kai events—including serving as a matchmaker (nakoudo) at the wedding of an underboss. The piece also states that the Inagawa-kai suppressed scandalous rumors about Tanaka’s life, involving a tawdry love affair. The underboss responsible for handling the negative PR matters allegedly told would-be extortionists, “Tanaka was the matchmaker at my wedding. Save my face—forgive and forget about it.”
The Daily Beast spoke with Inagawa-kai members and police officers from Kanagawa Prefecture who confirmed that Tanaka did indeed have strong ties to the Inagawa-kai, until at least two years ago.
Tanaka has admitted to attending Inagawa-kai events in the past, including the wedding, but has denied the rest of the allegations.
Sen. Shoji Nishida who has investigated and written about the ties of some DPJ members to the mob in WILL magazine (November 2011) says, “Tanaka is the 4th DPJ-coalition-appointed minister with yakuza ties. I wonder if they even screen the people they put in cabinet positions. The minister of Justice is supposed to be the watchdog of the law, not a matchmaker for the yakuza. Putting a yakuza associate in charge of Japan’s criminal-justice system ... that’s outrageous. Now I can understand why the Yamaguchi-gumi endorsed their party.”
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It should be pointed out that the DPJ coalition has not officially endorsed any organized crime group in Japan. It may very well be a unilateral relationship. The DPJ has consistently opposed passing a Criminal Conspiracy Law, legislation that would be fatal to Japan’s semi-legitimate organized-crime groups. It would make sense for the mob to support their own interests.
It was not that unusual for Japanese politicians to have yakuza ties in the past. In the good old days, yakuza themselves even served as ministers of the Japanese government. The grandfather of ex-prime minister Junichiro Koizumi (Liberal Democratic Party), Matajiro Koizumi, was a member of a yakuza group later absorbed into the Inagawa-kai. During his term serving as the minister of general affairs (1929–1931), due to his ornate body art, Matajiro Koizumi was fondly known as “Irezumi Daijin” or “the tattooed minister.”
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It is increasingly likely that at least Keishu Tanaka will be forced to resign from office due to his past role as a “yakuza matchmaker.” His resignation is unlikely to be the end of—what so far—has been a really great relationship for the Japanese political parties and the underworld—a match made in heaven. For Japan’s political parties the yakuza are a necessary evil. When you need to get out the vote, squelch possible political scandals—or create them, nobody does the job quite as well as Japan’s mafia.
The embrace of the yakuza or any mafia outfit as a “necessary evil” by politicians is not a surprising global phenomena. If you go deep enough into the world of deep state power politics you’ll end up above the law. Normal laws no longer apply in those environments.
Smoldering piles of highly radioactive waste. No roof. Big problem.
One prominent exception to exemption from normal laws for deep state actors would be the laws of physics. They’re just really hard to get around. For example, if an earthquake/tsunami happens to trigger a powerful enough explosion to blow its roof off AND the building happens to contain over a thousand spent nuclear fuel rods, the laws of physics strong suggest that you’re going to have a really hard time cleaning that up. And those difficulties are going to last for a very long time:
Asahi
High radiation bars decommissioning of Fukushima plant
February 21, 2013By HISASHI HATTORI/ Senior Staff Writer
Preparations for the mammoth task of decommissioning crippled reactors at the Fukushima No. 1 nuclear power plant are being stymied by continued high levels of radiation from the triple meltdowns there two years ago.
Tokyo Electric Power Co., operator of the plant, has had to install more tanks to store radioactive water, which continues to swell by several hundreds of tons daily.
Asahi Shimbun reporters entered the No. 4 reactor building on Feb. 20, accompanied by inspectors from the secretariat of the Nuclear Regulation Authority, to assess the situation.
The reactor was offline for regular inspections when the magnitude‑9.0 Great East Japan Earthquake struck on March 11, 2011, generating towering tsunami that swamped the plant.
In the days that followed, a hydrogen explosion tore through the No. 4 reactor building. It raised alarm worldwide that the storage pool for spent nuclear fuel in the building might lose its water through evaporation, resulting in the discharge of voluminous amounts of radioactive substances.
That was narrowly averted.
Most of the debris, such as steel frames mangled in the explosion, have been removed from the roofless top floor of the reactor building, but radiation levels remain high.
“Here, the reading is 200 microsieverts per hour,” an inspector said. “But it is 1,000 microsieverts on the north side close to the No. 3 reactor building. Keep your distance.”
A shroud has been placed over the spent fuel storage pool on the top floor. The water temperature was about 20 degrees. The water, seen through an opening, was muddy and brown. The fuel inside the pool was not visible.
Workers were installing a shroud for the No. 4 reactor building on the south side of the building. It will be equipped with a crane to remove spent fuel from the storage pool.
The foundation work was already completed, and steel frames were being assembled.
TEPCO intends to mount a determined effort to remove spent fuel from the storage pool in November. Two fuel assemblies were removed on a trial basis in July.
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Ever-increasing radioactive water has become a key challenge for TEPCO.
Groundwater is flowing into reactor buildings, where it mixes with water used to cool melted fuel inside the No. 1, No. 2 and No. 3 reactors.
The amount of radioactive water stored in tanks and other facilities rose to 230,000 tons this month, up from 10,000 tons in July 2011.
In addition, an estimated 100,000 tons of water have accumulated in the basements of buildings.
Currently, there are nearly 500 storage tanks on the plant premises, many as tall as three-story buildings. TEPCO plans to add more by 2015 when it expects to have to store 700,000 tons of radioactive water.
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Preparations for decommissioning have only recently begun. Decommissioning will not be completed for the next 30 to 40 years under a plan drawn up by the government and TEPCO.
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Currently, workers cannot easily approach the three reactor buildings where the meltdowns occurred due to high radiation levels. They have been removing debris, such as concrete blocks, on the plant premises.
Work to remove melted fuel from the three reactors is expected to begin by around 2022. Fuel is believed to be scattered within the pressure vessels, containment vessels or piping systems, but exact locations remain unclear.
In addition, TEPCO has yet to identify where radioactive water has been leaking from the damaged containment vessels. The containment vessels must be filled with water before melted fuel is removed.
In December, TEPCO sent a remote-controlled robot near the pressure suppression chamber in the No. 2 reactor building to find out where water was leaking. But the mission failed when the robot lost its balance and got stuck.
New technologies must be developed for decommissioning, but manufacturers and general contractors have shown little enthusiasm.
The companies fear they will not be able to recover their investments because the technologies would have little practical application other than for the Fukushima plant.
Yep, the nuclear plant that had its roof blown off two years ago by an earthquake/tsunami-induced hydrogen explosion is going to take 30–40 years to decontaminate. And it’s still very very radioactive. And the building is still leaking very very radioactive water. Thanks “Laws of Physics”!
Additionally, the article ends by informing us that fixing the situation will require the development of new technologies. But businesses aren’t interested in developing the technologies because the anti-nuclear catastrophe technologies won’t have obvious applications beyond the still unfolding nuclear disaster...even though the successful cleanup of that nuclear waste is required for the long-term health of Japan and the biosphere at large. As some might say, “corporations are people”. And like people, corporations can be mind-numbingly shortsighted and lack even a basic sense of self-preservation. Thanks “The Market”!
Help Wanted: Smoldering piles of highly radioactive waste. No roof. Big problem.
Fortunately, while new technologies may be at hand, there are strong indications that finding new people to work on the cleanup efforts won’t be as much of an issue. And there’s probably going to be a lot of new workers required for the cleanup given time-frame involved (30–40 years) and other staffing complications.
Unfortunately, that pool of available manpower appears to be due, in part, to organized crime bosses trying to secure nuclear cleanup contracts. Let’s hope there aren’t any “employer liability” cases related to the Fukushima cleanup effort for the next few decades:
Japanese underworld tries to cash in on tsunami clean-up
The yakuza is turning its attention from helping disaster victims to winning contracts for the massive rebuilding effort
Justin McCurry in Tokyo
The Guardian, Wednesday 15 June 2011 09.44 EDTIn the aftermath of the devastating March tsunami, Japan’s underworld made a rare display of philanthropy, handing out emergency supplies to survivors, sometimes days before aid agencies arrived.
Three months later, however, the yakuza appears to have dispensed with largesse and is instead hoping to cash in on the daunting clean-up effort in dozens of ruined towns and villages.
The government and police fear they are losing the battle to prevent crime syndicates from winning lucrative contracts to remove millions of tonnes of debris left in the tsunami’s wake, including contaminated rubble near the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant that many firms are reluctant to handle.
The disaster created almost 24m tonnes of debris in the three hardest-hit prefectures, Fukushima, Miyagi and Iwate, according to the environment ministry. So far, just over 5m tonnes – or 22% – has been removed.
Those lining up to profit from the clearance operation, which is expected to take three years, include homegrown gangs and Chinese crime syndicates, according to the June edition of Sentaku, a respected political and economic affairs magazine.
The magazine recounts the story of a leading Chinese gangster who, accompanied by a national politician, visited the mayor of Minamisoma – a town near Fukushima Daiichi, where a partial evacuation order is in place – hoping to win contracts to remove radioactive waste that, according to police, could have ended up at disposal sites in China.
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“The yakuza are trying to position themselves to gain contracts for their construction companies for the massive rebuilding that will come.”
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Officials have said that the removal of debris should come under central government control, and the names of “antisocial” individuals have been forwarded to local authorities.
But given the sheer quantity of debris, and the manpower required to remove and dispose of it, few believe Japan’s most powerful yakuza gangs will be kept out altogether.
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“The nexus of massive construction projects, bureaucrats, politicians, businessmen and yakuza are as revealing about Japan as they are about Italy and Russia,” Jeff Kingston, director of Asian studies at Temple University in Tokyo, wrote in his recent book, Contemporary Japan.
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So just months after the Fukushima disaster (when the above article was written), organized crime groups were angling to get a share of the massive cleanup proceeds. And they were already so infused into construction/government contract sectors of the economy that their involvement was virtually guaranteed. And that cleanup effort is scheduled to take decades and will involve the handling of large amounts of highly radioactive material. And the mafia appears to be interested in the highly radioactive material disposal contracts. AND hardly anyone appears to be surprised or perturbed by this development because the yakuza has supplying manpower to Japan’s nuclear power industry for a long time. Major catastrophes often have a sudden “quick” phase of disaster (the earthquake/tsunami) followed by long, slow rolling phase of secondary disasters that emerge in the wake of the catastrophe. Organized criminal outfits infiltrating powerful institutions is an example of the larger pattern of endemic systemic corruption and endemic systemic corruption is a global phenomena. Endemic systemic corruption is also a slow motion disaster. And full-spectrum too:
The Telegraph
How the Yakuza went nuclear
What really went wrong at the Fukushima plant? One undercover reporter risked his life to find outBy Jake Adelstein
11:30AM GMT 21 Feb 2012
On March 11 2011, at 2:46pm, a 9.0 magnitude earthquake struck Japan. The earthquake, followed by a colossal tsunami, devastated the nation, together killing over 10,000 people. The earthquake also triggered the start of a triple nuclear meltdown at the Fukushima Nuclear Power Plant, run by Tokyo Electric Power Company (Tepco). Of the three reactors that melted down, one was nearly 40 years old and should have been decommissioned two decades ago. The cooling pipes, “the veins and arteries of the old nuclear reactors”, which circulated fluid to keep the core temperature down, ruptured.
Approximately 40 minutes after the shocks, the tsunami reached the power plant and knocked out the electrical systems. Japan’s Nuclear Industrial Safety Agency (Nisa) had warned Tepco about safety violations and problems at the plant days before the earthquake; they’d been warned about the possibility of a tsunami hitting the plant for years.
The denials began almost immediately. “There has been no meltdown,” government spokesman Yukio Edano intoned in the days after March 11. “It was an unforeseeable disaster,” Tepco’s then president Masataka Shimizu chimed in. As we now know, the meltdown was already taking place. And the disaster was far from unforeseeable.
Tepco has long been a scandal-ridden company, caught time and time again covering up data on safety lapses at their power plants, or doctoring film footage which showed fissures in pipes. How was the company able to get away with such long-standing behaviour? According to an explosive book recently published in Japan, they owe it to what the author, Tomohiko Suzuki, calls “Japan’s nuclear mafia… A conglomeration of corrupt politicians and bureaucrats, the shady nuclear industry, their lobbyists…” And at the centre of it all stands Japan’s actual mafia: the yakuza.
It might surprise the Western reader that gangsters are involved in Japan’s nuclear industry and even more that they would risk their lives in a nuclear crisis. But the yakuza roots in Japanese society are very deep. In fact, they were some of the first responders after the earthquake, providing food and supplies to the devastated area and patrolling the streets to make sure no looting occurred.
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“Almost all nuclear power plants that are built in Japan are built taking the risk that the workers may well be exposed to large amounts of radiation,” says Suzuki. “That they will get sick, they will die early, or they will die on the job. And the people bringing the workers to the plants and also doing the construction are often yakuza.” Suzuki says he’s met over 1,000 yakuza in his career as an investigative journalist and former editor of yakuza fanzines. For his book, The Yakuza and the Nuclear Industry, Suzuki went undercover at Fukushima to find first-hand evidence of the long-rumoured ties between the nuclear industry and the yakuza. First he documents how remarkably easy it was to become a nuclear worker at Fukushima after the meltdown. After signing up with a legitimate company providing labour, he entered the plant armed only with a wristwatch with a hidden camera. Working there over several months, he quickly found yakuza-supplied labour, and many former yakuza working on site themselves.
Suzuki discovered evidence of Tepco subcontractors paying yakuza front companies to obtain lucrative construction contracts; of money destined for construction work flying into yakuza accounts; and of politicians and media being paid to look the other way. More shocking, perhaps, were the conditions he says he found inside the plant.
His fellow workers, found Suzuki, were a motley crew of homeless, chronically unemployed Japanese men, former yakuza, debtors who owed money to the yakuza, and the mentally handicapped. Suzuki claims the regular employees at the plant were often given better radiation suits than the yakuza recruits. (Tepco has admitted that there was a shortage of equipment in the disaster’s early days.) The regular employees were allowed to pass through sophisticated radiation monitors while the temporary labourers were simply given hand rods to monitor their radiation exposure.
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A former yakuza boss tells me that his group has “always” been involved in recruiting labourers for the nuclear industry. “It’s dirty, dangerous work,” he says, “and the only people who will do it are homeless, yakuza, or people so badly in debt that they see no other way to pay it off.” Suzuki found people who’d been threatened into working at Fukushima, but others who’d volunteered. Why? “Of course, if it was a matter of dying today or tomorrow they wouldn’t work there,” he explains. “It’s because it could take 10 years or more for someone to possibly die of radiation excess. It’s like Russian roulette. If you owe enough money to the yakuza, working at a nuclear plant is a safer bet. Wouldn’t you rather take a chance at dying 10 years later than being stabbed to death now?” (Suzuki’s own feeling was that the effects of low-level radiation are still unknown and that, as a drinker and smoker, he’s probably no more likely to get cancer than he was before.)
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The situation at Fukushima is still dire. Number-two reactor continues to heat up, and appears to be out of control. Rolling blackouts are a regular occurrence. Nuclear reactors are being shut down, one by one, all over Japan. Meanwhile, there is talk that Tepco will be nationalised and its top executives are under investigation for criminal negligence, in relation to the 3/11 disaster. As for the yakuza, the police are beginning to investigate their front companies more closely. “Yakuza may be a plague on society,” says Suzuki, “but they don’t ruin the lives of hundreds of thousands of people and irradiate the planet out of sheer greed and incompetence.” Suzuki says he’s had little trouble from the yakuza about his book’s allegations. He suspects this is because he showed they were prepared to risk their lives at Fukushima – he almost made them look good.
Finding Good Help is Hard Everywhere
The practice of forcing debtors to work around nuclear waste isn’t just an incredibly cruel form of debtors prison, it’s also kind of crazy for all parties involved. When you’re paying an organization to safely dispose of toxic waste you have the obvious concern that waste will be disposed of unsafely. This is a lesson the Italian mafia has — a longtime partner of both the Vatican and Italian power networks — taught us in recent years. And when it’s nuclear waste, you have the additional concern that the mafia might want to dump it in the sea or bury it, or maybe enrich it (imagine a mob-bomb. yikes). These are some lesson the Italian mafia has been teaching us for decades:
From cocaine to plutonium: mafia clan accused of trafficking nuclear waste
Tom Kington in Rome
The Guardian, Monday 8 October 2007Authorities in Italy are investigating a mafia clan accused of trafficking nuclear waste and trying to make plutonium.
The ‘Ndrangheta mafia, which gained notoriety in August for its blood feud killings of six men in Germany, is alleged to have made illegal shipments of radioactive waste to Somalia, as well as seeking the “clandestine production” of other nuclear material.
Two of the Calabrian clan’s members are being investigated, along with eight former employees of the state energy research agency Enea.
The eight are suspected of paying the mobsters to take waste off their hands in the 1980s and 1990s. At the time they were based at the agency’s centre at Rotondella, a town in Basilicata province in the toe of Italy, which today treats “special” and “hazardous” waste. At other centres, Enea studies nuclear fusion and fission technologies.
The ‘Ndrangheta has been accused by investigators of building on its origins as a kidnapping gang to become Europe’s top cocaine importer, thanks to ties to Colombian cartels. But the nuclear accusation, if true, would take it into another league.
An Enea official who declined to be named denied the accusation, saying: “Enea has always worked within the rules and under strict national and international supervision.”
A magistrate, Francesco Basentini, in the city of Potenza began the investigation following others by magistrates and the leaking to the press of the police confession of an ‘Ndrangheta turncoat, detailing his role in the alleged waste-dumping.
An Enea manager is said to have paid the clan to get rid of 600 drums of toxic and radioactive waste from Italy, Switzerland, France, Germany, and the US, the turncoat claimed, with Somalia as the destination lined up by the traffickers.
But with only room for 500 drums on a ship waiting at the northern port of Livorno, 100 drums were secretly buried somewhere in the southern Italian region of Basilicata. Clan members avoided burying the waste in neighbouring Calabria, said the turncoat, because of their “love for their home region”, and because they already had too many kidnap victims hidden in grottoes there.
Investigators have yet to locate the radioactive drums allegedly buried in Basilicata — although, in a parallel investigation, police are searching for drums of non-radioactive toxic waste they believe were dumped by the ‘Ndrangheta near the Unesco town of Matera in Basilicata, famous for its ancient houses dug into the rock, the Ansa news agency reported yesterday.
Shipments to Somalia, where the waste was buried after buying off local politicians, continued into the 1990s, while the mob also became adept at blowing up shiploads of waste, including radioactive hospital waste, and sending them to the sea bed off the Calabrian coast, the turncoat told investigators. Although he made no mention of attempted plutonium production, Il Giornale newspaper wrote that the mobsters may have planned to sell it to foreign governments.
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Ah, wonderful: the destination of choice for the disposal of nuclear waste by the Italian mafia has been somewhere off the coast of Somalia. Problem solved! And the most notorious of the Italian mafias, the ‘Ndrangheta, appears to be interested in plutonium production (plutonium production ambitions shouldn’t be as much of an issue for the Fukushima disaster, although not for reassuring reasons).
So do we have to worry about any yakuza with nuclear-trafficking ambitions? Well, given that the yakuza are sort of like an arm of the Japanese government, full-scale nuclear enrichment and trafficking is probably not a massive concern. It sounds like the yakuza have been playing a role in Japan’s nuclear industry for decades including roles involving the handling of nuclear material. There’s got to be some sort of TEPCO-yakuza informal protocol that’s been developed over the years so indiscriminate nuclear trafficking. Nuclear dumping, on the other hand, is a real possibility given the scale of radioactive material that’s going to have to be decontaminated and moved somewhere. Out of sight out of mind lots of profit. There’s going to be dumping. TEPCO has already engaged in no-longer-secret dumpling so it’s not really a question of whether or not secret dumping of radioactive material will take place but whether or not the yakuza will be doing TEPCO-approved secret dumping or their own “independent” secret dumping.
It’s widely presumed that the mafia is going to continue to be involved with these nuclear cleanup activities and the police appear to lack the resources to identify mob-supplied workers. It seems like just a matter of time before we get reports of illegal dumping of nuclear material by yakuza affiliates and probable some non-yakuza affiliates too. Hopefully that’s not the case. There was an enormous amount of officially tolterated dumping of radioactive waste into the countryside in the initial aftermath based on reports. Nuclear cleanup fraud is where the big money’s going to be for a lot of connected parties in Japan for a long time. Probably.
So let’s hope the yakuza never goes down the path of egregious dumping, because each of those ships filled with toxic/nuclear waste that the Italian mafia sank off the coast of Italy were extremely serious wounds to the biosphere. Life is pretty tough, but enriched nuclear waste can be tougher. Or at least it can give life a serious headache. And maybe mutations. Mutations just add up. So does nuclear waste. The half can get nasty with the stuff found in that roofless building. The Japanese government is still looking at sites to store the waste so we really have very little idea of what the long-term plans are going to be for the disposal of that stuff but presumably the disposal space will be at a premium. There’s a lot or material to store. Lots is going to get tossed. Please dump gently Mr. yakuzas. Like, at least hire ecology grad students to find the least damaging spots to dump stuff if it comes to that. And take lower profits to do it in the least environmentally damaging way. And if you could use your yakuza powers to ensure all the other dumpers also dump gently that would be super of an epic proportion. Don’t dump, of course. But if you just have to dump, dump gently. The ecosystem is already in a quasi-state of collapse and climate change is just getting underway. Throwing large amounts of radiation into the mix is cruel.
Just over a month ago, we saw the first arrest of a yakuza boss providing cleanup staff. Police called it the first such arrest of a yakuza boss for sending people to work at Fukushima. It was also the second such “first arrest of a yakuza boss for Fukushima”. The first one took place last May, although the reports are unclear if this is the same person that was arrested on both occasions. Either way, there were no hints of improper activities by the employees in the reports...the problem was that they were hired by a yakuza boss subcontractor that was taking a cut of their salaries. So it appears that there is indeed some yakuza muscle moving that nuclear waste. Not much, based on reports, but some:
Japan police arrest mobster over Fukushima clean-up
(AFP) – Feb 1, 2013
TOKYO — Japanese police have arrested a high-ranking yakuza over claims he sent workers to the stricken Fukushima nuclear plant for the clean-up without a licence.
Officers in northern Yamagata prefecture were quizzing Yoshinori Arai, a 40-year-old senior member of a local yakuza group affiliated to the Sumiyoshi-kai crime syndicate, a police spokesman said.
Arai allegedly dispatched three men to Fukushima to work on clean-up crews in November, he said.
Under Japanese law, a government licence is required by anyone who acts as an employment agent.
Arai is also suspected of sending people to work on the construction of temporary housing in the tsunami-hit northeast, the spokesman said.
Arai reportedly told police that he intended to profit from the scheme by taking a cut of the workers’ wages. Those employed at Fukushima earn more than others in similar work because of the potentially hazardous nature of the job.
It was the first arrest of a mobster linked to Fukushima clean-up, the police spokesman said.
...
The full scale of the damage done from the Fukushima disaster is yet to be determined. Some of it will come down to luck, like whether or not another major earthquake and/or tsunami hits the plant before those nuclears rods can be safely removed. But much of the damage that will emerge for the disaster two years ago is yet to be determined and its going to be determined primarily by human error and human choices. The “Fukushima 50” — workers that heroically worked at the plant in spite of the enormous personal risks — included Yakuza-affiliates. Their actions prevented a bad situation from become much worse. There are going to be an enormous number of sacrifices required in the future in order to minimize the addition damage that has yet to be inflicted by the giant pile of highly radioactive material sitting in a building with its roof blown off. Due the nature of the situation and the existing political power structures, those critical future decision are going to be largely in secret be largely unknown individuals. And due to the yakuza’s unique “risky/dirt business” niche in both Japan’s power structure and nuclear industry it seems likely that some of those secret decisions will be made by the yakuza. Secrets like “who dumped what horrible toxin where?” might be the exclusive domain of yakuza bosses in many instances.
The idea of yakuza mob bosses possibly having control of enormously powerful nuclear secrets should be a rather disturbing thought. At the same time, organized criminal syndicates have always played a role in national security affairs and power secrets, so this isn’t a new situation and the world hasn’t blown up yet. Then again, the world is going to hell in a handbasket, so while quasi-mob-rule isn’t a new situation, it’s still a bad situation that’s getting worse. And if you removed the mobs from the equation, it wouldn’t necessarily get much better. Mob rule can be a a state of mind.
The Saving the Economy By Saving Each Other Stimulus Plan
One of the reasons the Japanese government’s recent decision to engage in serious stimulus spending was likely to be a useful policy is that an enormous amount of work needs to be done to address the still dire situation at Fukushima. That’s going to cost money. A LOT of money. The entire world really should be participating in a global economic stimulus plan: the “Save Japan” plan. It had a horrific earthquake, tsunami, and ongoing nuclear meltdown all at once. Yeah, it’s a very wealthy country with immense resources but again: earthquake, tsunami, ongoing nuclear meltdown. And EVERYONE needs the existing dangers put under control. So why not have a global “Save Japan because, you know, earthquake, tsunami, and ongoing nuclear meltdown” plan?
Japan may be acting like it has everything all under control but it’s totally fronting. It’s not going to ask for help because, you know, it’s Japan. But they still need help and the more help they get, in terms of real manpower, the less yakuza and other shady contractors will be required and hired. They’re just going allow themselves to quietly get irradiated and it’s going to take longer to deal with those extremely radioactive rods. “Save Japan” is in everyone’s best interest. Countries around the world can build all sort of new businesses and areas of research and develop whatever technologies the businesses reportedly weren’t interested in doing. This would be the perfect stimulus target: global radioactive calamity that could take place should another major event hit that plant and release even more radiation. How many tens of billions of dollars would it cost to figure out whatever needs to be figured out for Fukushima rods? It’s going to take a while, but learning how to move and store highly radioactive crap better seems like a very useful thing for humanity to know how to do given our predilection for creating it. $100 billion over a decade for a crash movement/processing/storage program divided up between the world maybe?
Ok, now add a save Yemen because it’s about to run out of water global stimulus program. There’s clearly going to be a number of new technologies and infrastructure needed to prepare Yemen for that fateful “oh crap” day that’s hitting sometime sooner or later.
Similarly, make a “Save the Nile region because a Nile Water War Would be Hell” global stimulus plan. Nations all over could study the region’s growing water needs and study what’s going to be required to transition that regions towards a sustainable economy. Not one on a trajectory towards eco-catastrophe and war.
And just keep going finding regions of the world with the place is careening towards calamity and needs help. And just do it as stimulus. No counterbalancing austerity nonsense (I’m looking at you Europe). Just stimulus. Save the world and stimulate the economy while you’re doing it! Each country could throw in whatever money they want but would all have to be directed as solving one of the most troubled regions of the world. A place facing looming disaster. The amount should probably be a pretty big chunk for countries that can afford it. The US, for instance, could probable afford to contribute at least, oh, say, around $85 billion or so to the “Save the World and Stimulate While You Do It” plan. At least $85 billion, if not more. US industries could be developed dedicated to finding things like awesome new desalinization technologies, better radiation shielding (great for space travel), robotic factories that build ultra-eco-friendly homes and then factories that build the factories that build the homes. And then we give the home-building factories to the places that need ultra-eco-friendly homes. And we just keep doing that and no one cares about balance of trade or whatever. The entire modern economy needs to be technologically revamped to deal with the constraints of the 21st century. And once there are no more serious problems — problems like poverty or thousand of highly radioactive spent fuel rods that are sitting in a building with its roof blown off — we can end the stimulus program. We will have saved ourselves by saving each other in a stimulating way.
Update 11/12/2013
Here’s an update on the situation in Fukushima: Tepco is about to begin the highly dangerous process of safely removing the 1,300+ spent fuel-rods from Fukushima Daiichi 4.
Q. What could go wrong?
A: OMFG.
Agence France-Presse
November 6, 2013 23:21
Facts on complex operation to remove Fukushima fuel rodsTokyo Electric Power (TEPCO) will this month start removing fuel from a storage pool at Japan’s Fukushima nuclear plant, the most challenging operation since runaway reactors were brought under control two years ago.
Here are some key facts about the operation.
Q: What’s the state of nuclear fuel at the site?
A: Reactors No. 1, 2 and 3 went into meltdown after their cooling systems were knocked out by the March 2011 tsunami. The temperature of the cores and spent fuel pools at all reactors is now stable and water is being used to keep them cool.
Reactor No. 4, whose outer building was damaged by fires and an explosion, has an empty core but a total of 1,533 fuel assemblies — 1,331 spent fuel bundles and 202 unused ones — are in its storage pool.
Q: Why does TEPCO have to take fuel from the pool?
A: According to the firm, it is safer to store all fuel in a shared pool that is reinforced against possible future earthquakes and tsunamis.
This will be the first post-tsunami attempt to move any fuel from one part of the plant to another.
Q: How will the operation work?
A: Under normal circumstances, nuclear plants shuffle fuel rods around fairly frequently, often using computer-controlled robotic arms that “know” exactly where each fuel assembly is.
But the damage to the building housing this pool, along with the presence in the pool of debris from explosions, is a wildcard that will complicate this operation considerably.
Workers in heavy protective equipment will use a remote control to direct a specially installed “grabber” into the pool where it will latch onto fuel assemblies and drop them into a huge cask.
Each 4.5‑metre (15-foot) fuel bundle needs to be kept completely submerged at all times to prevent it from heating up.
Once loaded with assemblies and water, the 91-tonne cask will be lifted out by a different crane and put onto a trailer. It will then be taken to another part of the complex and the process will be reversed.
Removing all 1,500-odd assemblies is expected to take until the end of 2014. Getting this done successfully will mean engineers can then start trying to extricate fuel from the reactors that went into meltdown.
But where the fuel pool operation is tricky and contains a few unknowns, removing fuel from the melted and misshapen cores of reactors 1, 2 and 3 will pose a whole new level of difficulty.
Q. What could go wrong?
A: Each rod contains uranium and a small amount of plutonium. If they are exposed to the air, for example if they are dropped by the grabber, they would start to heat up, a process that, left unchecked, could lead to a self-sustaining nuclear reaction — known as “criticality”.
TEPCO says a single assembly should not reach criticality and the grabber will not carry more than one at a time.
Assemblies exposed to the air would give off so much radiation that it would be difficult for a worker to get near enough to fix it.
Sceptics say with so many unknowables in an operation that has never been attempted under these conditions, there is potential for a catastrophe.
Government modelling in the immediate aftermath of the Fukushima disaster, which was only subsequently made public, suggested that an uncontrolled nuclear conflagration at Fukushima could start a chain reaction in other nearby nuclear plants.
That worst-case scenario said a huge evacuation area could encompass a large part of greater Tokyo, a megalopolis with 35 million inhabitants.
Only one rod can be moved at a time and if one spent fuel rod drops on the ground during it might give off so much radiation that workers will be unable to get near enough to fix it. Plus, if a rod is allowed to heat up too much it could spontaneously go “critical”. And this whole process will have to be repeated 1,300+ times, hopefully by the end of 2014.
How about we all send some extremely good vibes to the Fukushima cleanup workers that are taking one for Team Life-on-Earth. Especially the new ones.





“They did it then and they are still doing it”:
See the 11/12/2013 update in the OP. Fuel rod removal from Fukushimi Daiichi 4 is beginning. The end might near, but hopefully not. We’ll find out in a year or so.
Some rare actually good nuclear news:
It begins...err...it began. Yesterday. So far so good!
So the good news thus far is that the highly dangerous operations in reactor 4 are getting underway without any unexpected “criticality”. But the good news is also part of the bad news in that the removal of over 1,500 fuel rods from the fuel pool in reactor 4 is the easy job. Getting the rods out of the actual reactor at Fukushima’s Daiichi reactor 4’s (not the spent fuel pool) won’t be so easy:
And then there’s the REALLY hard part: Reactors 1, 2, and 3...
Something to keep in mind give all the bad news coming out of Fukuhima: As bad as the situation seems, it could have been worse. Reactor 4 could have actually been in use that day:
In late 2011, Mitsuhiko Tanaka warned that Tepco was using overly optimistic computer simulations. It’s something to also keep in mind given reports that “computer simulations show the melted fuel in Unit 1, whose core damage was the most extensive, has breached the bottom of the primary containment vessel and even partially eaten into its concrete foundation, coming within about 30 centimeters (one foot) of leaking into the ground.” Let’s hope those aren’t overly optimistic simulations.
Let’s also hope that Mr. Tanaka is being overly pessimistic since he recently warned that all of the damaged fuel rods could be making the situation hopeless.
Here’s a reminder that the challenge of extracting radioactive goo from buildings at risk of collapsing isn’t limited to Fukushima:
Here’s a reminder that the problems of large volumes of radioactive goo seeping into underground aquifers and possible spontaneous nuclear reactions aren’t limited to Fukushima:
The IAEA has idea that might help Tepco avoid more uncontrolled discharges of radioactive water into the Pacific: Make controlled discharges instead:
Stories like this raise the question of what the ground water radiation levels will look like when the three melted down cores finally melt through the concrete basement floors and into the ground water:
According to TEPCO’s own admission, the status of reactor No. 3 might be worse than previously thought:
In addition to being alarming, the report is a reminder that there’s still quite a bit yet to be learned about what happened inside those buildings and why. It’s an unfortunate situation that’s probably not going to chang anytime soon:
In what may be the first piece of good news to emerge from the Fukushima tragedy since it began almost 3 years ago, we can probably dismiss the reports that reactor No. 3 has again reached criticality. Those reports are based exclusively on the “Turner Radio Network”.
Still, as the above article suggests, if one of the reactors really does go critical again in the future, the Japanese government and TEPCO may not feel to need to tell us about it.
While humans aren’t immune to radiation, we’re continuing to find out just how immune Tepco is to lawsuits:
In tangentially-related news:
And in other news...
Great, so according to Tepco, all those radiation horror stories from April through September of 2013 were significantly more horrible than we thought
A senior adviser to the Fukushima cleanup effort has determined that storing massive amounts of radioactive water on-site is not sustainable. Uh oh:
Imagine getting laid off from your low-paying job at the local nuclear meltdown site due to heavy radiation exposure and they don’t even give you the hazard pay you were promised:
TEPCO promises to comply with the standards regulating the dumping of groundwater under the Fukushima plants directly into the Pacific:
Well, at least there are standards in place. Let’s hope there are no clarifications needed...
Embarrassment isn’t normally very dangerous. But when it’s TEPCO expressing the embarrassment anything is possible:
About that accidentally misdirected 203 tons of highly radioactive water that was
pumped into the basement of the wrong building...it turns out the basement was already designated as an emergency water storage area and it was filled when four pumps located in two separate buildings were accidentally turned on:
Nuke plants + Water troubles. Yuck. Even worse? Nuke plants with experimental reactors + No Water troubles:
In a bit of good news, should there be a sudden radioactive release coming from North Korea soon, it may not be a meltdown. It’s pretty bad good news.
With the spent fuel rod removal still underway at Fukushima, it’s worth pointing out that the US has a spent fuel rod issue of its own. Fortunately, it’s not nearly as urgent as the situation in Japan. Yet:
Hmmm...well, at least now that the resources that were to be spent on the expedited removal of fuel rods from spent fuel pools have been freed up (because the only thing to fear from earthquakes is fear itself), hopefully there will be more resources available for other nuke-related projects. For instance, how about planning for giant ice walls to trap the radioactive water under an earthquake-stricken plant? That might be useful assuming giant ice walls are a prudent idea in the first place:
16mm horror: It’s not just films.
One of the few advantages a full-scale meltdown situation is that, at least once the damage is already done, news like this isn’t quite as immediately alarming:
“We are considering various technological measures [to deal with cyber-attacks]”. That sure sounds like an admission that cyber-attacks weren’t really something TEPCO worried about before.
In other news...
While anger directed towards TEPCO’s management, owners, and the larger Japanese nuclear regulatory regime is probably appropriate at this point, stigmatizing and underpaying the people trying to clean up the radioactive mess threatening your entire society seems like an exceptionally horrible idea:
A leak was just detected in the pipes used to cool the spent fuel rod pool in the undamaged No. 5 reactor building. And this was following the shut down of a similar cool system in the undamaged No. 6 reactor building after a leak was found there on July 11. It’s a chilling indication that the scale of the challenge facing the clean up crews is so daunting that even the basic maintenance of the undamaged units is becoming a challenge:
It looks like the future dumping of radioactive water in the Pacific in the will be less due to accidents and leaks and more due to a lack of any other options:
FYI:
In the future, power plant disasters will just float away:
With the exception of the offshore nuclear plant — which would likely jettison the reactor cores at the first hint of an emergency and generally treat the oceans as a nuclear waste dump — the rest of these ideas sure sound like something that not only Japan but the whole world could use...at least any country with a coastline. Sure, the floating natural gas plant would exacerbate the threat of catasrophic sea level rises but since humanity seems intent on flooding the world anyways (and may have already crossed the tipping down) there’s an undeniable future appeal to floating power plants. And the Seasteaders will no doubt love all of these proposals (they already have an eye on the floating nukes). So who knows, maybe someday we’ll even see the solar moon belt. Someday. But not today:
Here’s one more reason it’s a tragedy the developed world hasn’t invested more in researching and fostering cheap, safe green energy technology over the last few decades: The developing world is building nuclear plants instead:
Yes, the technology that Japan needs to develop for the Fukushima clean up over the next few decades has quite a growing potential market, especially in South and Southeast Asian countries like India, China, Vietnam, Bangladesh. Hopefully Japan will make a developing-world discount available on the nuclear clean up tech because it might be getting unpleasantly wet in many of those growing nuclear markets:
As Josh points out, it’s unfair and insane to expect the poorest parts of the world to skip out on energy-driven technology, but it’s also insane to expect that this isn’t going to dramatically complicate dealing the climate change (barring the development of some incredibly cheap and pollution-free green tech). So more nuclear plants (and probably more nuclear weapons too) are on the way for the countries with the greatest growth in energy needs and it just so happens that those countries are going to be the most flood-prone. So lets hope all those new nuke plants in soon-to-be flooded countries are built on high ground because the moral high ground of committing to clean, safe energy (when it was obvious the world was going to need it soon) was abandoned quite a while ago. The moral low ground, on the other hand, has yet to be fully explored.
Tepco’s plans for building a giant ice wall in the ground around the plant have hit another snag: In addition to building a massive underground ice wall (or something else) to keep the fresh groundwater out of the nuclear facilities, the existing highly toxic groundwater in the basements of the buildings needs to be extracted too. And that basement extraction process involves first blocking the primary entry points where the groundwater is already entering/leaving the buildings. And the latest attempts using an ice-plug to block those groundwater entry points in Fukushima No. 2 reactor building at plant No. 1 didn’t work. Now they’re trying specially developed cement. Cement has already been tried following the collapse of the freezing approach, but now they’re going to use special non-water-absorbing cement. That’s all pretty alarming but on top of that Tepco officials acknowledge that this new method might create a build up of radiation in the soil in the immediate area around the plant, posing a risk to workers. It’s a horrible snag:
And with that report about the potential for more dangerous working conditions emerging, here’s a report about a new Tepco survey that indicates false labor contracting is rampant:
This is all an example of why this is a ‘good luck to Tepco’ and ‘good luck to the people suing Tepco’ kind of situation going forward.
Here’s a story from 2012 that’s a reminder that having a system for detecting radiation in the goods and raw materials flowing across the global supply chain are useful for a lot more than any concerns over radioactive fish or other materials from the Fukushima cleanup. Working with radioactive substances is basic component of the modern global economy and that’s not changing any time soon:
When the $140 billion global scrap metal market is struggling to deal with “loose” radioactive industrial material it’s pretty clear there’s more to worry about than just a radioactive Fukushima fish.
But as the article below points out, those fish concerns remain, especially for South Korea, which banned seafood imports from Fukushima and sever other prefectures last year. Back in September, South Korean officials were considering reviewing that ban. And South Korean inspectors are investigating the safety of the seasfood from those eight Japanese prefectures right now:
So we’ll see if the ban is lifted but it’s going to be a big test for seafood safety from that immediate area. Especially since the head of Japan’s nuclear watchdog is calling for another round of emptying radioactive water tanks into the ocean:
Keep in mind that the number of people living off of the fishing industry in Fukushima dropped precipitously following the meltdowns of 2011, with a 77% drop to only 409 people living off of the fishing business today in the entire Fukushima prefecture according to one recent report that indicating the fishing industry has been heavily impacted in the region .
Keep in mind that the 6,000 Fukushima workers working to clean up the “forgotten” Fukushima no. 1 plant, continue to be wildly underpaid as their jobs only get harder and the buildings no one can currently enter eventually become work sites. So concerns over the risks posed by that stored radioactive water to the clean up workers should be pretty significant given their generally unsafe working conditions. But since “releasing the radiation into the water” seems to be the primarily solution to these very valid safety concerns, ongoing concerns over the local fishing industry are going to be very valid too because Japan’s clean up workers are probably going to be facing unsafe working conditions for another few decades:
“From now, our work will become even harsher because we will have to go inside the reactor buildings, where the radiation level is even higher. I want people to recognize that there are such workplaces.” And the risks associated with working in those new dangerous environments are only going to get compounded by the growing risks of stored radioactive water leaks. So as the head of Japans nuclear watchdog suggested, more massive water dumps into the ocean are probably happening and that’s the situation going forward. Water builds up in the radioactive tanks, space runs out or the tanks start leaking, the water gets dumped into the ocean, rinse, maybe scrap the tank, and repeat.
Here’s some more good news/bad news from Fukushima, and this case the good news is genuinely fabulous news.
The good news: All the spent fuel rods have been remove from reactor 4 at Fukushima Daiichi, eliminating the risk of a future earthquake causing what could have been an even greater release of radiation than took place during the initial catastrophe.
The bad news, of course, is the same bad news that has been plaguing the project all along: Removal of the spent fuel rods from reactor 4 was the easy part:
In other (entirely good) news...
Tepco has a message to the Japanese public: let us restart some nuclear reactors or also we’ll have to increase rates because the company can’t keep propping up profits by postponing repairs. Yes, the company was profitable last year, and yes, that appears to be due, in part, to the postponement of repairs. Keep in mind that the reactors aren’t running right now due to the public’s concerns over another meltdown, so it will be interesting to see the public’s response to the ‘higher rates or more nukes’ proposal considering Tepco just acknowledged that it’s been running a profit by cutting costs and postponing repairs:
That wasn’t exactly the most sympathy-inducing plea from Tepco, but it could have been worse. For instance, it could have been an acknowledgement that Tepco had kept secret for the past year a leak that was releasing massive amounts of radiation into the Pacific for the last 10 months. That would have been worse:
Well, at least Tepco gets brownie points for being honest about the damage to public trust their dishonesty inflicts although the admission that “the trust of the people in Fukushima is the most important thing...we’ve been working with that in mind, but unfortunately, we have damaged that trust this time”. This time?
Also keep in mind that the leak they’re acknowledging after 10 months isn’t 70 times the natural baseline radiation levels or what’s considered the safe limit. That’s 70 times the average reading for for the discharge gutter of one of the plant building rooftops in a corner where the leak is and those levels were already quite high. So this is a significantly worse leak than normal that we’re just learning about:
“Tepco has been “aware since last spring” that the rainwater pooling in one corner of the roof contained 23,000 becquerels per liter of radioactive material cesium 137, which is more than 10 times more radioactive than samples of water taken from other parts of the roof, Reuters reports.”
Yikes. Well, let’s hope the roof leak is fixable. And at least Tepco is profitable! It’s important.
With a potentially historic agreement between Iran and the West over Iran’s nuclear enrichment program possibly coming to fruition, here’s a reminder that although the country still intends on pursuing a industrial-scale nuclear program for peaceful purposes, it still has plenty of compelling reasons to abandon its peaceful nuclear program too. Ditto for everyone else:
Muon detectors to the rescue! It’s a neat plan and hopefully it will work, but note this part:
That’s the kind of ‘practical’ nightmare Japan is dealing with thanks to nuclear power: it needs to set up muon radiation detectors outside the reactor buildings, but it’s unclear how it’s going to be able to do that because the overall radiation levels outside the building are too high. So hopefully Toshiba can figure out how to do that soon because you can’t decommission those plants without finding the missing fuel:
That was kind of a neat fun fact:
So if anyone knows where we can find Superman that would be helpful (or maybe one of his relatives).
And as the article points out, confirming a complete meltdown in reactor 1 with muon detectors is pretty helpful too. Sure, a complete meltdon was already suspected, but knowing is half the battle, especially when attempting to decommission a nuclear meltdown site. Or, better yet, know that it’s not worth setting up a nuclear site in the first place.
So now that Iran and the West appear to have reached a settlment that ideally halts Iran’s development of nuclear weapons capabilities but leaves open civilian nuclear power development perhaps it would be a good to time for the world to emphasize to Iran how potentially disasterous even civilian nuclear capabilities could be for Iran. Especially in the even any of future conflicts that will leave those reactors vulnerable.
Sure, without nuclear power plants it’s harder to eventually develop your own nukes and join the MADness club. But at the same time, nations without nuclear power plants are also nations with a Fukushima-like mega-disaster waiting to happen. So if Iran was willing to decomission its existing plants would the world help foot the bill? Sure, the current Iranian government appears to be intent on continuing with the civilian program but that could easily change in the future.
So could the world maybe start working on a nuclear decommissioning fund for countries that would like to get rid of ALL their nuclear power plants, including those for civilian purposes and any nukes they might have sitting around too? That could be useful. And not just for Iran.
Still, assuming this deal disarmament deal works out that’s some pretty great news. Ending global MADness doesn’t happen in a day.
Here’s some news you might find rather shocking: When an earthquake is powerful enough, its aftershocks can go on for years:
Here’s another bit of shocking news: The 6.6 magnitude aftershock experienced off the coast of Japan this week was preceded by well over 830 previous aftershocks of magnitude 5 or greater:
And here’s some news that, given the volume of aftershocks that have already hit the region, isn’t really shocking. But it’s still rather alarming:
While the aftershock only registered a 4 in Fukushima Prefecture, keep in mind that, once you start getting into the 5 range, weak structures might start getting damaged. That’s why, even though Fukushima has managed to dodge +830 aftershock ‘bullets’ since the 2011 disaster thus far, when these quakes hit off the cost of Fukushima it’s still pretty alarming.
Given the unprecedented challenges facing the Fukushima cleanup workers, it’s tempting to forget that so much of the damage on the day of the Fukushima disaster had nothing to do with the nuclear meltdown. That tsunami, alone, was devastating enough to classify as a mega-disaster even without the nuclear meltdown. Hence, the Great Anti-Tsunami Sea Wall of Japan plan. The underground icewall of frozen soil that’s supposed to redirect the ground water flowing into reactor basements is also still part of the plan. It’s a really difficult plan:
So let’s hope the ice and walls do indeed come to fruition so the current crisis can come to a sustainable resolution and future crises can be avoided.
The ice wall is especially urgent, since, as we learned last year, the best sustainable solution recommended by Tepco for dealing with the radioactive water flowing into the basements of the Fukushima buildings was controlled release of the radioactive water into the ocean. Until the ice wall works or some other plan ends the flow of water into the buildings, controlled release is ‘Plan A’, as Tepco was recommending last March:
Keep in mind this article was from March of last year. So when it says this:
That time is now.
Also note one of the reasons given for ground water decontamination being a higher priority than the decommission of the plant itself: The government wants to ease worries about the the ground water getting radioactive and then flowing into the sea (or getting d)evacuees to move back soon:
And based on the recent statements by the Fukushima government, a number of those evacuees living just outside mandatory evacuation zone just might end up doing and returning. In 2017. But not necessarily because they’ve been reassured that the ground water contamination/controlled discharge issues have been adequately dealt with. They might return after getting kicked off the government relocation assistance program:
So the decision on whether or not to rescind the assistance to the ~36,000 evacuees living close to the official evacuation zone is going to be made later this month. And if they do return they’re going to presumably be quite concerned about water safety since that’s presumably one of the main reasons they’re staying away in the first place. So a sustainable solution is going to be increasingly urgent for the radioactive ground water that either leaks into the sea or gets discharged by Tepco. The people most freaked out by that are getting forced back in a couple years. And for something like this, with four decade time frame for the whole decommissioning plan, a couple of years isn’t much time. Underground ice walls with no leaks don’t build themselves.
Fortunately, there’s an international community that’s there to potentially help is things get out of hand although the IAEA has already assessed the situation and issued a recommendation for how Tepco should handle the water storage issue and the returning evacuees probably aren’t going to be very enthusiastic about the IAEA’s recommendations:
The resumption of controlled discharges might be part of a “sustainable solution” according to the IAEA. And it really is possibly the most sustainable option in terms of the sustainability of the overall decommissioning work there since the tanks just might fill up and there really won’t be another option other than controlled discharges. In other words, the IAEA’s recommendation to Tepco was basically “deal with reality”. If the tanks fill up, something is getting dumped. Dump wisely. That’s basically the message and it might be the only message that’s feasible if space runs out.
It all raises the question: So what happens if the planned 800,000 tons of total water storage capacity eventually runs out? Will they be able to build more? If so, maybe not nearby:
“Tepco recently announced a plan to build more tanks to boost storage capacity to 800,000 tons. But after that, there will be no place to build additional tanks”.
So we have groundwater that needs to be diverted using an ice wall, plus all the rest of the water that’s continually used to cool the nuclear fuel in the reactors that needs to be eventually cycled through the various radiation decontamination systems that we hope are working. And if the 800 tons of water storage capacity is eventually reached there’s presumably going to be a lot more dumping because, at that point, controlled discharges are the only sustainable solution left.
Some sustainable solutions are scarier than others.
Here’s another bad news/worse news update out of Fukushima.
The bad news: 10 percent of the radioactive water tanks appear to be leaking.
The worse news: The reasons so many tanks are leaking is because water is getting pushed out by the potentially explosive hydrogen gases that are building up in the tanks:
“In the long term, we’re going to lower the water level of current facilities so as to prevent further leakages.” Yep. That’s the plan.
FYI, Japan, and the world, just dodged another couple of bullets:
Yikes.
In tangentially related news, the US just announced that it’s going to be extending its “cyber defense umbrella” to Japan
So why is this news related to Fukushima? Well, let’s just say that when the Japan’s defense ministry pledges to address “various cyber threats, including those against Japanese critical infrastructure and services utilized by the Japan Self-Defense Forces and U.S. Forces,” there’s some very ‘critical’ infrastructure that could use a cyber umbrella. Plus an OS upgrade:
“The Board of Audit calls this out as not only catastrophically unsafe, but not even likely to result in cost savings”. Double yikes.
Oh great. Someone else wants to join the nuclear meltdown club:
Well, you can’t say the head of Malaysia’s nuclear power isn’t optimistic:
There we go! Positive energy will save us from the dangers of nuclear energy, so what’s the problem?
Of course, as Dr Zamzam also indicated, getting the locals where the plants will be built on board with the project could be a challenge. Which raises the question of where those plants are actually built. For a country on the edge of the Ring of Fire, decision over the location or those plants (other than the decision to build them at all) is quite possibly going to be the most important decision in this project. Earthquakes can happen where you don’t expect them. And also where you do expect them:
So it sounds like earthquakes are possible on the Malaysian peninsula, but it’s in places like Sabah, which was hit with a 5.8 earthquake in 1978 where you probably want to avoid plopping down a giant meltdown box (especially since a 6.0 earthquake hit Sabah today).
And then there’s the issue of tsunamis. So if Malaysia does decide to build those nuke plants, it sounds Malaysia is going to have to be rather careful in where it decides to go nuclear.
And we do have a general idea of where they’re going to be built based on previous government : The east coast states of Pahang, Johar, and Terengganu, and Pahang, as indicated above, has an active fault line that warrants close study.
So hopefully Malaysia chooses wisely, and skips the nukes boxes and goes solar. But if we do end up seeing nuclear power in Malaysia, let’s hope those plants have extensive flood-proofing. Earthquakes or not, Malaysia’s nuke boxes are going to need some serious flood-proofing.
The winds of change are blowing in Fukushima. They might slightly radioactive winds but that’s less bad now now thanks to Fukushima’s new giant wind turbine:
Pretty nifty! Cleans and earthquake proof. Two features that are easy to ignore until you can’t:
Technically that would be a win-lose-less deal, but if Japan’s nuclear officials wants to characterize the proposal as ‘win-win’ for Japan to just pay the French company Areva to store the growing stockpiles of unusable plutonium following the shutdown of Japan’s nuclear plants following the Fukushima catastrophe, that works too. Whatever helps get that plutonium away from shaky fault lines.
But it’s still hard to avoid seeing this as a ‘lose-lose’ deal, like all deals that involve generating a bunch of highly toxic material that someone is going to have to watch over for potentially millenia. France gets paid, but it also gets a bunch of plutonium to take care of and for who knows how long. Nice work if you can get it and have a place to stash 16 tons of plutonium fuel. As the energy consultant hinted above, Areva’s price for that plutonium storage will probably be pretty high. And it should be (not actually). Areva’s going to need that high revenue stream from Japan to pay for important things to do the service safely, like hiring lots of security to guard the plutonium so no one steals it. And as Frank von Hippel, co-founder of the International Panel on Fissile Materials, warned France, Japan, and the rest of the world recently, those kinds of concerns represent a “clear and present danger” that applies to everyone else’s growing nuclear fuel stockpiles too:
That wasn’t exactly the most uplifting assessment of the risks involved with storing Japan’s plutonium. Storage that could go on for a long, long time if Japan decides to keep its plants mostly shut down. But don’t forget that there’s a strange race going on between the development of new technological capacities to safely dispose the world’s nuclear stockpiles and the race and do potentially dangerous things with it, like build something much scarier than a dirty bomb. Who knows what will be possible with civilian material, say, 20 or 30 years from now with advances in technology.
Who knows how many different ways there are for us to use future-tech to dispose of the crap. We’ll have to not blow ourselves up to find out. Either way, we should probably have everyone around the globe stop producing more fissile material even if we do have some future-tech that can clean it up. Why? Because Lockheed Martin is apparently a decade away from commercially viable mobile fusion reactors:
Well, at least Lockheed Martin might be developing portable fusion reactors. It didn’t sound like the other fusion experts were very convinced. But that’s no reason to give up on fusion. Especially since it could potentially be used to clean up our fissile nuclear waste.
And fusion or not, let’s hope we see a lot more giant wind turbines. Like solar, wind generates waste too...when you don’t capture it for your electrical needs and use something more polluting instead, you waste it.
So hopefully we’ll cut down on the build up of nuclear waste by cutting down on our wind waste. And that means more giant turbines. Really giant turbines. There’s going to be a lot of wind waste to avoid generating.
There’s been more news coming out out Fukushima recently. Some good, some not so good. But to put it in context, here’s some bad news from back in October,
when TEPCO had to postpone plans for the removing the nuclear fuels from reactor‑1 for five years due to concerns over radioactive dust escaping into the atmosphere:
Yes, the dismantling of reactor 1 got delayed five years due, in part, to concerns raised over the radiation released when from debris removal at reactor 3:
So that was some bad news. Although the ruling by a California court that US Navy personnel exposed to radiation during the initial event can indeed sue TEPCO from within the US sounds like good news (and potentially quite impactful news regarding international nuclear liability laws).
Flash forward to July and we got another round of good news/bad news: the Japanese government is declaring some of the evacuation zone habitable again, including the town of Nahara, one of the towns that was completely evacuated. So assuming the government and TEPCO are correct in their assessment of the safety for returning evacuees, this would be pretty good news. On the other hand...:
It looks like there might be quite a few more number of additional inhabitants in the areas around the clean up site. Financially coerced inhabitants:
So that some rather awful good news.
But just a week later, we got some very good news. At least, let’s hope it’s good news, because it was very significant: the canopy at reactor 1 that couldn’t be removed back in October due to concerns over the release of radiation was getting removed:
Good news! At least, it’s good assuming it’s actually safe to remove to the canopy.
But that wasn’t the only good news. The situation in reactor 3 just got unambiguously MUCH better in a highly critical way: A 20-ton fuel handling machine that had fallen onto reactor 3’s spent fuel pool, preventing the remove of those fuel rods, was successfully removed:
Excellent! In terms of good news stories, removing the giant piece of machinery that’s preventing the spent fuel rod removal is one of the best pieces of news we can get. And it’s looking like TEPCO’s executives might actually get sued too. More good news!
But while TEPCO’s leadership sucks, it’s cleanup workers sure don’t. And that brings us to the latest round of bad news which is particularly alarming given the recent removal of both the canopy on reactor 1 and the debris removal on reactor 3: A 30 year old TEPCO worker just died on the job while working on the underground “ice wall”. The cause of death is not yet known:
So that was some very bad news. And it wasn’t the only new coming from Japan’s nuclear power sector this week. Guess what Japan’s nuclear regulator just did: It just placed the largest nuclear power plant in the world, which has a similar design to Fukushima’s boiling-water reactor, on the list of nuclear plants to restart:
Yes, Japan’s government and TEPCO want to prioritize the restart of the Kashiwazaki-Kariwa plant. It’s not good news.
Look who’s back!
It’s one of the fun things about nuclear power: you can turn the power generation off, but you can’t really off the need to store your nuclear fuel. And when you have 40 tons of weapons grade plutonium lying around, more nuclear reactions are one of your obvious options for making your plutonium a little more storable. 18 reactors is apparently a good start:
So we’ll see what happens with that 40 tons of weapons-grade plutonium. Hopefully the technology to safely get rid of all of it is developed soon. There are less than safe alternatives available.
It turns out volcano gods don’t support nuclear power. Now we know:
“The volcano is about 50 kilometres (31 miles) from a nuclear reactor that was switched on this week, as Japan restarted its nuclear power programme following the 2011 Fukushima crisis when a quake-sparked tsunami set off reactor meltdowns at the now-crippled site.”
Yikes. Well, it would been nice if Japan hadn’t awoken the volcano gods by tempting fate so brazenly, but at least appeasing those gods might still be an option.
Parts of eastern Japan were just hit with flooding so severe that parts of some towns are now submerged. Fukushima prefecture wasn’t in the hardest hit areas, but it was still hit hard enough to overwhelm the pumps operating at the nuclear plant, sending hundreds of tons of contaminated water into the ocean. So it could have been a lot worse for Fukushima, and was a lot worse for the areas that are still submerged:
So Fukushima prefecture sort of dodged a bullet considering the devastation to the south. And considering the unprecedented nature of the storm, it might be tempting to assume that this type bullet is only going to have be dodged once or twice century. And 50 years ago that may have been the case. Times change:
The researchers project that even under a scenario of moderate warming—one in which there are cutbacks in greenhouse gas emissions—the average typhoon intensity will still increase by another 14 percent by 2100. If emissions continue apace, “we anticipate that the typhoons will intensify even more,” Mei says.
Yes, times change, and that just might include changes in typhoon intensity. How fun facts like this change humanity remains to be seen, although if that change comes in the form of us spontaneously sprouting gills that could work.
It was a historic day for the Fukushima cleanup work: TEPCO dumped 850 tons of water into the ocean, but for the first time ever it’s not radioactive (at least not very radioactive...one hopes):
Just to put it into perspective, the 850 tons of treated water is 0.125% of the 680,000 total tons of highly radiactive water, with 300 additional tons added each day. So if we assume 850 tons can be cleaned and released every day, with 300 tons of new radictive water added to the storage tanks, that’s a net of 550 tons of water storage capacity that could be freed up each day and it would take 1,236 days to empty them completely which is just under 3 1/2 years. So when you read...
keep in mind that it is sort of possible that we could see those water storage tanks could be completely emptied by 2018 if we assume an 850 ton/day cleaning capacity.
Another thing to keep in is mind that, as this article from last year mentions, TEPCO’s radiation scrubbing equipment doesn’t remove tritium. And while tritium is probably the best radioactive element to have around if you have to be exposed to radiation, it’s still not something you really want to dump in the environment at high levels:
Yes, as of last year, the news reports about the Advanced Liquid Processing System included fun facts like this:
And yet we now have the announcement from TEPCO in the first article about today’s debut ocean dumping that:
So let’s not only hope that the ALPS radiation scrubbers don’t suffer from any major maintenance issues over the next few years or so, but let’s also hope that TEPCO figure out a solution to the tritium problem that doesn’t simply involve declaring it safe to dump. Because as of April, simply declaring the tritium safe to dump was definitely where TEPCO was leaning:
As Dale Klein, the former chairman of the US Nuclear Regulator Commission puts it:
Yes, if TEPCO dumps the tritium, it’ll just be raining tritium in Japan. But as many experts also point out, simply storing the water indefinitely isn’t really an option either because at some point the space just runs out.
So just FYI, it’s probably about to start raining tritium in the areas around Fukushima. It’s certainly nothing to be enthusiastic about but, of course, as far as radiation in the rainwater goes, it could be a lot worse.
There was some “good news/horrible news” news for a Fukushima worker that’s also a reminder of the risks the wildly underappreciated Fukushima clean up workers are taking: the horrible news for the man, who worked at the cleanup site for 18 months, was getting diagnosed with leukemia in his late 30’s. The good news is that he was compensated by the government for it, becoming the first Fukushima cleanup worker to get compensated for developing cancer.
The fact that he was the first to get compensated is also, in itself, sort of a “good news/bad news” situation. It’s good that workers might finally start getting compensated when their cancer can be connected to their work. But it’s sort of bad news because, with over 44,000 people having worked at Fukushima since the disaster, there’s going to be a lot more “good news/horrible news” situations going forward. And that’s assuming the workers actually get compensated when they get cancer which is going to be an open question for Fukushima’s cleanup crew since, as the article below points out, the man who become the first recipient of cancer compensation was one of eight people at his site to apply for the compensation:
“Researchers have found high rates of thyroid cancer among children and adolescents in Fukushima prefecture, but disagree about whether that is the result of radiation exposure or more rigorous testing. Some people with thyroid cancer don’t have symptoms.” That’s also some horrible news.
And keep in mind when you read:
that the 10 millisieverts of radiation that Tepco estimates over 15,000 workers have already been exposed to is the equivalent of about 2.5–5 coronary angiograms. So, assuming Tepco’s estimations are correct, the Fukushima workers are getting radiation doses that you might get after a series of medical imaging scans. And while 100 millisieverts is clearly associated with cancer, the cancer risks for 10 — 100 millisieverts of exposure is more of an open question.
So it looks like about a third of Fukushima’s ~44,000 workers are getting radiation doses at “maybe dangerous, but not conclusively cancer-causings” levels (and they’re underpaid). And that’s assuming Tepco isn’t underestimating the exposure. So let’s hope that’s not the case.
And let’s also hope that Fukushima’s children aren’t also getting elevated levels of thyroid cancer:
Note the parallels in the debate over whether or not the increased rates of thyroid cancer detection in Fukushima’s children and whether or not a Fukushima worker’s cancer was due to their work at the cleanup site or just random. In both cases there’s inevitably going to be a number of cases where someone is known to be exposed to radiation levels that aren’t officially “you’re going to get cancer” levels, but still higher than “don’t worry” levels. It’s a reminder that “what caused this tumor” is going to be be of a number of difficult judgement calls involving the people both living at Fukushima at the time and continuing to work there. So let’s hope the researchers make the most scientifically appropriate calls, but since the difficulty in conducting things like attributing thyroid cancer spikes in the Fukushima children to radiation is highly related to questions like “did this Fukushima worker get cancer from all the extra radiation they got exposed to?”, let’s hope the cancer compensation screening committees err towards not continuing to screw over the people trying to stop an ongoing catastrophe.
Here’s an update on TEPCO’s new strategy for dumping treated radioactive water groundwater into the ocean to free up the limited space in the storage tanks for more highly radioactive water: As we saw back in September, 300 tons of contaminated ground water has been pumped from the ground each day and stored in tank. But as that tank capacity nears its limit, the decision was made to treat those 300 tons of ground water and dump it into the ocean. And while the “Advanced Liquid Processing System” radiation scrubbing technology is supposed to be able to get rid of 62 different types of radiation, it can’t get rid of tritium. The levels of tritium were still deemed low enough to be safe for ocean dumping anyway.
Well, as we’ll see below, following the installation of seawalls in October to prevent the flow of contaminated groundwater into the sea, groundwater has been collecting in wells dug between the seawalls and the nuclear plants. But the seawalls have also resulted in a build up of groundwater at a faster rater than TEPCO expected. In addition, TEPCO started pumping groundwater from of those wells with the intent of treating the water and dumping it into the ocean. Unfortunately, the company just announced that four of the five of those wells have way too much tritium to dump into the oceans and, as part of its emergency response to this situation, TEPCO has starting pumping 200–300 tons of that contaminated groundwater out of the wells since November, but not into the swindling supply of storage tanks. Instead, that 200–300 tons of groundwater each day is getting pumped back into the reactor buildings (where it gets a lot more than just extra tritium added):
“TEPCO officials said the situation has left the utility with no option but to transfer 200 to 300 tons of groundwater each day into highly contaminated reactor buildings since November, a move that could further contaminate the water.”
The Japanese farm ministry made an announcement that should please the farmers of Fukushima: the EU is dropping mandatory radiation checks on vegetables, fruits, and livestock products from the Fukushima Prefecture:
While that’s the kind of news that could obviously raise concerns over radiation in imported food, here’s a reminder that concerns over radiation and other toxins in your food
probably shouldn’t be limited to imports:
“The dump site was so big that forestry officials could only estimate its size after three days’ digging with bulldozers.”
That a lot of toxic waste, including nuclear waste...sitting just 10 cm below the surface, often in agricultural and residential areas:
It sort of puts a new spin on the Mafia’s historic association with ‘shallow graves’.
And with 20 billion euros a year made from this illegal dumping, and plenty of complicit authorities and industries that played a role and apparently continue to play a role, it’s hard to see how what’s going to stop the practice. But when you consider that the Mafia groups suspected of this are basically dumping this stuff in their own home states, hopefully the growing cancer rates, and this thing called a ‘conscience’, will help put a stop to the practice. Because otherwise there’s probably going to be a lot more stories about the people of that region heading to an early grave, including a growing number of very early, very tiny graves:
“The report by the National Institute of Health said it was “critical” to address the rates at which babies in the provinces of Naples and Caserta are being hospitalized in the first year of life for “excessive” instances of tumors, especially brain tumors.”
Naoto Kan, Japan’s prime minister during the 2011 Fukushima tragedy, recently reflected on his experiences during the disaster and his reassessment of the costs and benefits of nuclear power. Surprise! He not a big fan. It’s an understandable position for a lot of reason. But for Mr. Kan, those reasons included that time he was about to evacuate Tokyo and declare martial law:
“He said the experience had turned him from a supporter of nuclear power into a convinced opponent. “I have changed my views 180 degrees. You have to look at the balance between the risks and the benefits,” he said. “One reactor meltdown could destroy the whole plant and, however unlikely, that is too great a risk.””
Technologies with the capacity to damage the entire planet tend not to do well with cost/benefit analysis.
And while the Fukushima disaster hopefully won’t spiral out of control and end up, if not taking down the ecosystem, at least doing massive, massive damage because it’s just harder to clean up than anticipated, let’s not forget that there’s no guarantee advancements in nuclear technology will actually make future nuclear plants any safer. After all, as Mr. Kan acknowledges, this main cause of the Fukushima disaster wasn’t the earthquake/tsunami. It was the fact that the plant wasn’t designed to handle such an event. And while there already exists plenty of nuclear technologies and designs that are vastly safer than what was used at the Fukushima plant, the fact that plants as dangerous as the Fukushima plant or worse are still operating around the world is a reminder that the availability of safer nuclear technology doesn’t necessitate the use of that safer options. There are plenty of reasons to keep using the dangerous nuclear powder kegs that are already built. They might be bad reasons, but they’re empirically persuasive reasons nonetheless, which is why it’s not really a question of whether or not the world experiences another Fukushima-league nuclear disaster. It really just a question of frequency.
And once the disaster hits, the frequency of another mega-disaster at the same location go up significantly. Why? Because as the interview below with Akira Ono, the head of the Fukushima disaster cleanup note, the five year old cleanup has barely gotten under way yet, with the most difficult and dangerous tasks still ahead. And it’s probably another four decades, assuming all goes well. But as Ono also nos, the biggest risk to that successful cleanup is something that’s rather difficult to control for: another nearby natural disaster. Because it’s probably not going to take a massive earthquake/tsunami nearly as large as the one that struck in 2011 to hit the cleanup site and cause another mega-disaster:
“The possibility may be low, but if a major earthquake or tsunami hit, that would cause a lot of anxiety”
Yes indeed. And as the former prime minister noted, that anxiety could include the possible evacuation of Tokyo if the next disaster is bad enough.
Given all that, you have to marvel as Mr. Ono’s insistence that the chaos of 2011 would not be repeated. After all, it’s hard to avoid another ill-placed natural disaster. At least if Japan continues restarting nuclear reactors. As he put it, “the accident was partly due to a narrow view of what an accident would be and a fixed view of safety, and we now know that our attitude towards safety has to be better today and better again tomorrow.” Let’s hope so. But if the following article about Stanford Professor Robert Ewing’s risk-assessment of the nuclear industry’s risk-assessment methodologies and track record are accurate, Mr. Ono’s optimism might be an indication of a risk-assessment problem:
“It can be that the risk analysis works against safety, in the sense that if the risk analysis tells us that something’s safe, then you don’t take the necessary precautions,” he said. “The Titanic had too few lifeboats because it was said to be ‘unsinkable.’ Fukushima is similar in that the assumption that the reactors were ‘safe’ during an earthquake led to the failure to consider the impact of a tsunami.”
That’s quite a conundrum: If you think you have safe technology, you’re less likely to ensure it’s actually safe. It’s going to be something to keep in mind going forward as long as humanity continues dabbling in risky nuclear energy technologies. Sure, once there’s a super-non-risky tried and tested nuclear energy technology available that replaces the risky technology, maybe we can start getting lazy. But for now, it’s hard to see how nuclear energy is seen as viable option when, as Ewing points out, cheap renewables like wind and solar are getting cheaper.
So lets hope governments heed professor Ewing’s risk-assessment warnings. Especially warnings the need to ask questions like:
Ok, so it sounds like questions like “What if I have a string of reactors along the eastern coast of Japan? What is the risk of a tsunami hitting one of those reactors over their lifetime, say, 100 years?” are rather novel questions in the nuclear risk-assessment world. That seems risky.
Of course, non-nuclear energy options are risky too in their own ways. Fossil fuels have obvious climate catastrophe risks. Biofuels can carry similar climate risks along with agricultural pollution and habitat loss. And green technology like solar and wind have their own costs. But it’s the non-nuclear green technologies like wind and solar that don’t pose the possible mega-disaster threat that comes with nuclear technology (that becomes more and more possible over time) or the almost certain mega-disaster that comes with climate change. So, in the spirit of Professor Ewing’s suggestions, shouldn’t we be asking what kind of risk we’re taking by not making a transition to a green energy grid, globally, a top priority everywhere? It seems insane risky not to do that ASAP. And yet we don’t. So that’s something that should be added into the risk-assessment the risk-assessment of our models for both nuclear and fossil-fuel energy technologies: we’re too stupid not to use it. That seems like that should increase the overall risk.
Here’s an update on the Fukushima clean up effort: The radiation-hardened robots being sent into the Fukushima wreckage are still dying. It’s not much of an update. So if anyone is selling a robot manufacturing firm that can build robots capable of handling extremely high levels of radiation, there’s still at least one big potential buyer:
“Each robot has to be custom-built for each building.“It takes two years to develop a single-function robot,” Masuda said.”
Yikes. That definitely sounds like a job for a robotics firm specializing in robots designed for rough terrains. And lo and behold, look what Google just put on the market:
““There’s excitement from the tech press, but we’re also starting to see some negative threads about it being terrifying, ready to take humans’ jobs,” wrote Courtney Hohne, a director of communications at Google and the spokeswoman for Google X.”
So Google is scared of being associated with technologies that could end up taking human jobs. Huh. Well, at least there wouldn’t be any human jobs stolen when it comes to building radiation-hardened Fukushima-bots!
So it will be interesting to see if a Japanese company ends up acquiring Boston Dynamics. After all, a Japanese company working with the Japanese government on the Fukushima cleanup effort probably isn’t going to be focused on generating a profit over the next few years. Especially when each of the current Fukushima-bots take literally years to build. And note which companies are listed as potential buyers: Amazon, and Toyota:
So who knows, maybe Toyota will end up the lucky owner of a new cutting-edge robots firm. It seems possible, although there’s going to be plenty of competition, including Amazon. So while we shouldn’t be surprised if a Toyota-owned Boston Dynamics ends up sending robots where no human can go, we also shouldn’t be super surprised if an Amazon-owned Boston Dynamic ends up sending robots where no human should go. Or, who knows, maybe the firm will get scooped up by a defense contractor and start churning out the Terminator-bots of our nightmares.
Of course, it’s really “all of the above” in the long run, which means it’s just a matter of time before radiation-hardened robots are just a standard technology. And while that’s the kind of future that any up and coming Skynets would like to see developed as soon as possible, it’s worth keeping in mind that radiation-hardened robots is one of those technologies the rest of us should probably be pining for too.
The new ice wall is nearing completion. It’s intended to freeze the soil and prevent groundwater from reaching the radioactive goo still sitting in the basement of the the Fukushimi Daichii complex and, for the most part, it sounds like it’s going to do that.
Unfortunately, due to the volume of groundwater, some is still going to get through and add to the radioactive water headache. How much? About 50 tons a day, according to the estimates provided by the project’s chief architect, which is around as much tainted water as was released in the eight months following the 3‑mile island disaster. So a lot less water should be joining the radioactive nightmare in the Fukushima complex basement once the ice wall is nice and chilly, but it’s still a nightmare’s worth of water every day:
“Even at the reduced amount of 50 tons a day, the contaminated water produced at Fukushima will equal what came out of Three Mile Island’s total in just eight months because of the prevalence of groundwater in Fukushima, he said.”
Well, let’s hope those radiation scrubbers are working. And note the amount of electricity required:
And that’s just the electricity for the ice wall. When you think about how much electricity the rest of the cleanup efforts require, it’s not surprising that the Japanese government is so tempted to restart more reactors beyond the two in Sendai. Those plans for further restarts were reportedly halted, though. Why? The strongest earthquake since the 2011 disaster that just hit off the coast of Sendai:
The earthquake near Japan’s only operating reactors “may boost the nation’s anti-nuclear sentiment...Technical and political obstacles mean even those units approved for restart are returning at a snail’s pace.”
Yeah, that’s a reasonable analysis. When strongest earthquake since the 2011 disaster hits near the only two plants restarted since, it’s a pretty strong sign the gods are anti-nuclear. Giant monsters are just a matter of time. That’s all bound to increase anti-nuclear sentiments. Especially near Sendai.
But as the delayed plans to restart more nuclear plants beyond Sendai reminds us, when you have a bunch of nuclear plants just sitting there, the temptation is to use them. The Sendai plant is near a volcano. That’s the one that got reopened first. It’s clear there’s going to be a lot more reopened. And if something does unfortunately happen and there’s a new nuclear disaster on the scale of Fukushima that requires years of energy-intensive cleanup efforts, the temptation to open even more nuclear plants is only going to be that much more urgent as the power it was providing goes away and another energy-sucking cleanup effort gets created. And the more nuclear accidents that take place in the future, the more tempted Japan is going to be to restart one of its other many aging nuclear plants to fill in the gap. Until the shutdown plants are decommissioned, that temptation to restart is going to be there due to all the resulting nuclear energy slack and plants that could be shut back on in short order. It’s one of the other seemingly uncontrollable chain-reactions set off by the 2011 meltdown and nuclear industry shutdown.
There was some new research at a recent geochemistry conference in Japan on how the caesium released from Fukushima disaster spread. It’s unfortunate new research because it suggests that most of the radioactive fallout on downtown Tokyo days after the disaster was a ‘glassy soot’. And the research shows that a very large amount of the caesium released (~89 percent) was caesium trapped in these glass particles that were part of the glass soot. The micron-sized beads were formed by blowtorch temperatures during the meltdown. And these microbeads were 100 times more concentrated with caesium than the rest of the soil and distributed in a more uneven manner than was previously assumed because of a lack of water-solubility.
So now we know when nuclear meltdown temperatures hit blowtorch temperatures we need watch out for radioactive microparticle formation. Unfortunately:
“According to Dr Satoshi Utsunomiya: “This work changes some of our assumptions about the Fukushima fallout. It looks like the clean-up procedure, which consisted of washing and removal of top soils, was the correct thing to do. However, the concentration of radioactive caesium in microparticles means that, at an extremely localised and focused level, the radioactive fallout may have been more (or less) concentrated than anticipated. This may mean that our ideas of the health implications should be modified”.”
Well, if there’s one positive thing about something like the Fukushima disaster it’s that we’ll inevitably learn lots of useful things about how to prevent and respond to future Fukushima-like disasters. So now you know that if if you happen to be caught in the wake of a nuclear disaster similar to the Fukushima meltdown, there’s non-water-soluble glass particles you’ll want to think about scrubbing away along with all the other decontamination procedures. Hopefully, for personal decontamination purposes, the radioactive microparticles will be soluble in all the bodywash and skin care products that advertise their microbeads, although that raises the question of how radioactive microparticles impact radiation bioaccumulation in the wildlife since consumption of man-made microbeads is such a plague on the ecosystem from animals eating them.
Radioactive glass soot that very heavy rainwater doesn’t wash away. That is some terrifying soot. And now we know about it. Unfortunately.
Here’s a public service announcement for any Pokemon Go players who decide to make a pilgrimage to the Pokemon homeland: If you’re in the Fukushima area and just gotta catch ’em all, don’t forget the radiation suit:
“Tepco said it tested the Fukushima Daiichi plant, the Fukushima Daini plant and the Kashiwazaki-Kariwa plant in Niigata Prefecture and found Pokemon.”
Yeah, you probably want to skip the actual Fukushima Daiichi plant during your Pokemon Go tour of Japan. Just skip the Pokemon requiring a radiation suit. Although, while you’re wander around the surrounding forest and waterways looking for non-radioactive Pokemon, there’s a pocket Geiger count that you can hook up to your iPhone that still might be worth taking on your Fukushima area Pokemon hunt:
“All of the samples but one exhibited more than 1,000 Bq/kg of radioactive material. The lowest level, 309 Bq/kg, was logged at a spot along the Abukuma River.”
Luckily for the Pokemon they’re digital.
In other news, radioactive wild boars are breeding out of control within the Fukushima exclusion zone and rampaging across surrounding populated areas. It’s unclear what the best iPhone app is for dealing with packs of radioactive wild boars, although a real life army of Pokemon would really be preferably during any sort of radioactive wildlife encounter.
Oh well. Have fun on your Fukushima Pokemon Go adventures. Try to be safe.
Here’s a reminder that we shouldn’t be surprised if the cost tallies for the Fukushima cleanup effort change dramatically over the years since the the initial estimates for what it’s going to cost to clean up the Fukushima plant were exactly that. Estimates. Specifically, underestimates:
“The figure surged because the number of compensation targets expanded and the decommissioning work for the unprecedented accident is facing more difficulties than initially expecte. Part of the additional costs will be reflected in electricity bills and covered by tax, which means the general public will shoulder them.”
Yeah, while it would have been a remarkably positive turn of events if the cleanup effort turned out to be cheaper and easier than expected, it also would have been a remarkably improbable turn of events. Instead, it’s what we should have expected, which is that the cleanup effort is going to be a lot harder than expected and the costs a lot higher than expected. This probably isn’t going to be the last doubling.
But that doesn’t mean there won’t be plenty of opportunities for things to go better than expected in some instances given the massive number of different things that are going to have to be actually accomplished if the scheduled cleanup over the coming decades is going to come to completion. Imagine all the custom ordered technical feats that will be required, with each melted down reactor its own special nightmare.
So, for instance, if the radiation-hardened robotic crane that’s being built by Toshiba to go down into No. 3 reactor’s cooling pool and remove the highly radioactive fuel rods works out much better than expected, who knows what kind of savings that could create in the long run. So let’s hope it’s on schedule. Or better yet ahead of schedule. Because according to this article from January of this year, it’s going to be needed very soon since the remote remove of reactor 3’s submerged fuel rods is scheduled to start next year:
“Tepco said it hopes to eventually bring radiation levels down to 1 millisievert per hour — a rate still too high for long-term work at the reactor 3 site.”
Toshiba is going to be really good at building remote controlled disaster robots by the end of this. Let’s wish them luck. Especially next year. Hopefully there will be some positive surprises. But don’t be surprised if we get some negative ones instead. Negative surprises like, for instance, the cooling system for No 3 reactor getting accidentally shut off for nearly an hour during an inspection. Things like that should be expected too. Hopefully not too often:
“Monday’s incident occurred when the worker was passing by a dimly lit isle that was only 85 centimeters (2.8 feet) wide, flanked by tall switch panels on both sides, Okamura said. With radiation levels still high, the worker was wearing a full-face mask and hazmat suit when he lost his balance while carrying equipment. His elbow jammed into the switch, breaking off its safety cover and inadvertently turning the lever to turn off the water injection pump to the No. 3 reactor”
Wow. That’s like the stumble of doom. But at least it sounds like a backup system eventually kicked in. So that’s fortunate. We don’t need to see Toshiba’s remote controlled radiation hardened robot development team receive any more custom projects.
Tepco is getting a pair of early Christmas present this year: First we have Nuclear Santa bringing the gift of state funds to cover the cleanup costs of Fukushima. And it’s one of the best gifts you can get: money. Basically:
“The revised guidelines say that the government will bear the costs for the construction of the base, instead of calling on TEPCO to shoulder the expenses.”
Public financing for meltdown clean up costs. That’s a pretty sweet gift from Nuclear Santa. Radiation decontamination bases can’t be cheap. It’s one of the implicit fun gifts that come with being a nuclear power utility: the public doesn’t just share the cost of building the damn things, it’s also inevitably going to share the costs after the meltdowns. Because cleaning that kind of mess up generally isn’t optional.
The second gift to Tepco this Christmas is possibly much sweeter, and it’s also not exclusively publicly financed, although it is publicly financed to the extent that the rest of the Japanese power industry is publicly financed: Japan’s government is urging Tepco to divest its risk and costs by partnering with the rest of Japan’s power industry. Which is basically the government’s way of saying Tepco should use it’s profitable operations to entice other players to buy up those operations, assuming parts of Tepco’s long-term clean up costs in the process. As you can imagine, the rest of Japan’s power industry doesn’t appear to be very enthusiastic about this particular gift from Nuclear Santa:
“Other utilities have voiced opposition to joining with Tepco because of concerns they will get saddled with the Fukushima costs.”
With Nuclear Santa, if you’re ‘meltdown’-league naughty you’ll get immense gifts that year. And for decades and perhaps centuries to come. But part of that gift might have to come from the other Nuclear Santa gift recipients. Nuclear Santa isn’t like regular Santa but still pretty sweet. Sweet for Japanese oligarchs.
If the other utilities end up getting forced into unwanted partnerships with Tepco that will perhaps be something to complain about. Although if any outside players should be saddling the costs of the Fukushima clean up effort it would seem like the rest of Japan’s power industry — which gets all sort of Power Industry Santa gifts day after day year after year — should be the first sector of society to be saddled with costs of this nature.
Also note that when you read things like:
such mergers have already happened, like the Tepco Chuba liquid natural gas mega-merger that created the largest natural gas buyer in the world. It’s a reminder that the Japanese government’s call for Tepco to merge its operations with other power operators, the government is simultaneously calling for a pretty significant consolidation of the energy sector:
“The growing ties between Chubu and Tepco may prompt mergers in the industry after the government opens up the $63 billion retail market from April 2016, said Tom O’Sullivan, founder of independent energy consultant Mathyos Japan.”
The proposed merger became a reality the next month.
And as the article makes clear, we shouldn’t expect the corporate mergers to be limited to Tepco. Because the crisis created in the electricity markets following the Fukushima disaster when Japan’s nuclear sector was shutdown became a pretext for deregulating Japans electricity sector. And now that deregulation is actually happening. And that means a flood of opportunities for small operators to enter the markets. And a flood of opportunities for large operators like Tepco to form service “bundles” in partnership with other major service providers and dominate its markets more efficiently:
“Tokyo Electric Power, Japan’s largest utility, announced a partnership with SoftBank Group this month to package power, telephone and Internet service. More partnerships may be on the horizon as companies bundle offerings to scoop up more customers.”
As we can see, the Tepco’s mega-merger with Chuba Power’s LNG sector happened shorly before the whole electricity market got deregulated and companies with large customer bases, the biggest being Tepco, are poised to potentially benefit the most. So those calls by the Japanese government for Tepco to form more partnerships and reinvent itself over the next year and half aren’t quite as outlandish as they might seem. Some sort of big Tepco reinvention of sorts really could happen in the near future if more mega-mergers take place. And that appears likely because Tepco is already huge and the whole sector is about to get redrawn from the deregulation. Whether or not Tepco’s deregulation reinvention plans actually work and save Tepco a significant amount of money remains to be seen. But if it doesn’t work there’s always another round of gifts from Nuclear Santa. And probably more deregulation and mega-mergers.