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COMMENT: Even relatively staid political and national security insiders, as well as media outlets are openly expressing fear after a series of post-election shuffling by Trump at the Pentagon.
” . . . . there is speculation that more defense officials may be on their way out and that this is just the beginning — even with only 70 days until the Biden administration takes over. . . . The flurry of departures apparently sent shockwaves through the Department of Defense. A defense official told CNN that the situation was ‘unsettling,’ adding that ‘these are dictator moves.’ The Associated Press wrote that ‘unease was palpable inside’ the Pentagon Tuesday. . . . ‘I’ve been shot at a lot. I’ve been nearly killed a bunch of times. I’m not an alarmist. I try to stay cool under pressure. Mark me down as alarmed,’ retired four-star Gen. Barry McCaffrey said on MSNBC Wednesday. . . .”
- The Pentagon saw a string of high-level departures this week after President Trump said he “terminated” the defense secretary, and the administration filled a number of those voids with Trump loyalists.
- Some in the Department of Defense and Congress expressed concerns about those drastic moves in the immediate aftermath of Trump’s electoral defeat, with one lawmaker writing in a statement that post-election “chaos has now reached the Pentagon.”
- David Lapan, a former Department of Defense spokesman with decades of military service, told Insider that the moves do not make sense and that part of the “cause for alarm is not knowing why this is being done.”
- Top Pentagon leadership positions are being packed with Trump loyalists for reasons that are unclear and triggering mounting concern.
- President Donald Trump fired Secretary of Defense Mark Esper on Monday, and the very next day, Chief of Staff to the Secretary of Defense Jen Stewart, Under Secretary of Defense for Policy James Anderson, and Under Secretary of Defense for Intelligence and Security Joseph Kernan resigned.
- Chris Miller, formerly the director of the National Counterterrorism Center, replaced Esper. Anthony Tata, a former Fox News commentator who the Trump administration sidestepped Congress to slip into the Pentagon, replaced Anderson, and Kash Patel and Ezra Cohen-Watnick, both former members of the National Security Council considered loyal to the president, replaced Stewart and Kernan.
- And there is speculation that more defense officials may be on their way out and that this is just the beginning — even with only 70 days until the Biden administration takes over. Trump, however, has refused to acknowledge his defeat for five days and instead baselessly claimed election fraud.
The flurry of departures apparently sent shockwaves through the Department of Defense. A defense official told CNN that the situation was “unsettling,” adding that “these are dictator moves.” The Associated Press wrote that “unease was palpable inside” the Pentagon Tuesday.
Rep. Adam Smith, a Washington Democrat and chairman of the House Armed Services Committee, sounded the alarm Tuesday afternoon, accusing Trump of sowing chaos and division after losing the election. “That chaos has now reached the Pentagon,” he wrote.
“I’ve been shot at a lot. I’ve been nearly killed a bunch of times. I’m not an alarmist. I try to stay cool under pressure. Mark me down as alarmed,” retired four-star Gen. Barry McCaffrey said on MSNBC Wednesday.
“We are watching the setup of people who are unqualified for office to be in control of the 2.1 million men and women of the armed forces,” he added.
David Lapan, a former Pentagon spokesman with decades of military service, told Insider that part of the “cause for alarm is not knowing why this is being done.”
“You have an administration with very little credibility, little to none. The level of trust is very low, so people are naturally going to think the worst,” he added. “And the administration isn’t taking steps to reassure anyone about why they’re taking these actions.”
“I think what has everybody most concerned is that it doesn’t make sense,” Lapan said.
If it were vindictive, a response to Trump’s souring on Esper as the defense secretary, then he could have simply fired Esper and elevated Deputy Secretary of Defense David Norquist. But that didn’t happen. Instead, someone was brought in from outside, and then the departures accelerated.
“There is no rational explanation for it,” he said. “There are any number of bad scenarios that could play out. We don’t know which of those might be true, if any, but in the absence of any better explanation, people are concerned.”
Lapan noted that the people coming in largely appear to be unqualified or underqualified for the positions they are taking over, potentially crippling the military’s leadership. Some worry these acting officials do not have the leverage to block or would even enable the orders of a president who increasingly shows little regard for democratic processes.
Their lack of experience with their new Pentagon roles also potentially hinders the transition process because when President-elect Joe Biden’s team is finally able to get that process moving, they will be forced to rely on people who have only been on the job a matter of weeks.
Trump continues to contest the election and repeatedly claim Biden’s win is fraudulent without evidence.
“Again, you have an administration that operates with a deficit of trust, so in this environment, people are going to question their motives,” Lapan said. “People are going to worry about what could happen.”
The problem is that the upheavals at the Pentagon create uncertainty for the Department of Defense as a whole, for both the military and civilian employees, he explained. Furthermore, it confuses America’s allies, and potentially gives an opening to US adversaries.
“All of those things are essentially damaging, not only to the Department of Defense, but to our country,” Lapan said. “That’s why people are worked up about it. There’s just a lot of potential danger there.”
Dave: I have to admit that I wondered about what you meant about the Caligulization of the United States. Unfortunately, now I know.
Brad (& Dave):
First time I heard that phrase, “The Caligulization of the U.S.” was yesterday, I realized exactly what was meant! Although, I have to confess to being prepped by Gore Vidal’s “United States of Amnesia”.
Btw., Have you heard the joke that goes: “Many Governments in at least three continents have been asking why America didn’t have insurrections on their capital? Almost unanimously, they answered, ‘Because there’s no U.S. Embassy there’ ”!
(Now, chickens back to roost)
So were any texts sent on government phones actually kept at the end of the Trump administration? It’s one of the many questions raised by the latest round of ‘missing text’ stories coming out of the Jan 6 investigation. The epidemic of missing texts isn’t just impacting the phones of the 24 Secret Service agents involved with the Jan 6 investigation. Or the phones of then-acting DHS Secretary Chad Wolf and Deputy Secretary Ken Cuccinelli. We’re now learning that there are missing text messages for the top three figures in the Pentagon too: then-Secretary of the Army Ryan McCarthy, then-acting Defense Secretary Christopher Miller, and Miller’s Chief of Staff Kash Patel.
Learning that the top three officials in the Pentagon have their text messages missing during the period would already been incredibly suspicions under ‘normal’ circumstances. But don’t forget that extremely abnormal circumstances around Miller’s and Patel’s promotions. It was suspiciously remarkable ascent for Patel, especially:
First, Trump replaces Mark Esper with counterterrorism chief Chris Miller as Defense Secretary on November 9, 2020, days after the election. But it was Trump’s decision to appoint partisan hack Kash Patel as Miller’s Chief of Staff and Ezra Cohen-Watnick as the acting undersecretary of defense of intelligence that really raised eyebrows. Then, shortly after Trump’s pardoning of Michael Flynn on November 20, both Flynn and Powell contacted Cohen-Watnick — a long-time Flynn ally — imploring him to take extreme measures involving the election. Flynn wanted Cohen-Watnick to issue orders to have the military seize ballots. But it’s the request made by Powell to Cohen-Watnick shortly after Flynn’s call that is so interesting here: Powell wanted Cohen-Watnick to order some sort of military special forces raid to capture Gina Haspel who had allegedly been injured during a secret mission in Germany to destroy the servers used to steal the election from Trump. It was two week later that Trump literally ordered the replacement of Haspel’s deputy director with Patel, only to be dissuaded at the very last minute, after the order had already been given. And that move to make Patel the acting deputy director of the CIA appears to have been part of a move that could have seen Patel replace Haspel herself as the head of the CIA. Kash Patel has A LOT of question to answer. Questions directly related to what was a partially successful post-election plot to subvert the leadership of key national security agencies.
And then there’s the incriminating info Army Secretary Ryan McCarthy could have had residing on his phone. Incriminating info that could be directly related to the various plots being pushed by Flynn and Powell, and which presumably involved Patel: Recall how McCarthy was reportedly sitting in on the ‘bonkers’ December 18, 2020, meeting at the White House with Michael Flynn and Sidney Powell where they encouraged Trump to consider the National Emergencies Act and “extraordinary measures” to address the electoral outcome. We were told that others in the meeting objected, including McCarthy and Army Chief of Staff General James McConville. McCarthy and McConville then quickly issued a statement saying, “There is no role for the U.S. military in determining the outcome of an American election.” Also recall how that December 18 meeting was followed by Trumps now-notorious December 19 1:42 am tweet calling for his supporters to attend the ‘Wild’ Jan 6 rally, which appears to have been the rallying cry to formulate plans to block the certification of the election results on that day. So while it doesn’t sound like McCarthy was someone who was willing to go along with these bonkers schemes, it does sound like he directly witnessed the plotting of these bonkers schemes.
And who knows what kind of incriminating texts Christopher Miller may have sent or received, but that fact that he was appointed to that position a week after Trump lost the election and had Kash Patel working as his chief of staff certainly suggests Miller witnessed a lot at a minimum. Imagine the kind of texts he would have sent during this period. And keep imagining that, because that imagination is as close as we’re apparently ever going to get to learning about the contents of those missing messages. Well, unless, of course, investigators look into whether or not any hackers may have gotten their digital hands on those files. But barring some sort of helpful hacker intervention it looks like the invaluable evidence that was stored on the phones of the top Pentagon officials on that day are lost forever:
“Miller, Patel and McCarthy have all been viewed as crucial witnesses for understanding government’s response to the January 6 Capitol assault and former President Donald Trump’s reaction to the breach. All three were involved in the Defense Department’s response to sending National Guard troops to the US Capitol as the riot was unfolding. There is no suggestion that the officials themselves erased the records.”
It’s a new pandemic! A pandemic of lost text messages. Which top level Trump official will succumb to this pandemic next? Time will tell. But the fact that three of the top Pentagon officials who were directly involved in the Defense Department’s response on Jan 6 all happened to lose all of their text messages on that day suggests that A LOT of incriminating texts were getting passed around during this period in question. Don’t forget that if these officials really did all consciously delete their texts as part of a collective giant coverup, they had to know it would look awful when the coverup was reveal...but not as awful as it would have looked had they not deleted those text messages. That’s the thing about a coverup of this nature. It’s not a hidden coverup. It was a vast collective coverup in plain sight that no one could possibly have expected to remain hidden. So as bad as this looks, it’s still a form of damage control. The truth presumably looks far worse.
Also note what we aren’t hearing from these three officials but did hear from the top two DHS officials with missing texts: acting DHS Secretary Chad Wolf and acting Deputy Secretary Ken Cuccinelli both insist that they did indeed turn int their phones with all of the text messages intact. Any missing messages should be taken up with the offices of DHS that handled those phones. We are told that there’s no indication that these officials themselves deleted the messages. And yet we aren’t hearing similar denials from Miller, Patel, and McCarthy like we heard from Wolf and Cuccinelli. That’s going to be a detail to keep an eye on as this story plays out.
But also keep in mind that the culpability in any coup plots are probably very different for these figures. As we saw, Wolf was largely out of the US during the period leading up to the insurrection so if he can be blamed for anything it would be neglect. And McCarthy was opposing the wild proposals of figures like Flynn and Powell, so he seems like an unlikely figure to have a large amount of incriminating evidence to hide. Kash Patel, on the other hand, appears to be a central figure in the plots to keep Trump in office. A central figure who was being actively elevated inside the national security bureaucracy after Trump lost: First, Trump replaces Mark Esper with counterterrorism chief Chris Miller as Defense Secretary on November 9, 2020, days after the election. But it was Trump’s decision to appoint partisan hack Kash Patel as Miller’s Chief of Staff that really raised eyebrows. Then, shortly after Trump’s pardoning of Michael Flynn on November 20, both Flynn and Powell contacted Cohen-Watnick imploring him to take extreme measures involving the election. Flynn wanted him to issue orders to have the military seize ballots. But it’s the request made by Powell to Cohen-Watnick shortly after Flynn’s call that is so interesting here: Powell wanted Cohen-Watnick to order some sort of military special forces raid to capture Gina Haspel who had allegedly been injured during a secret mission in Germany to destroy the servers used to steal the election from Trump. It was two week later that Trump literally ordered the replacement of Haspel’s deputy director with Patel, only to be dissuaded at the very last minute, after the order had already been given. And that move to make Patel the acting deputy director of the CIA appears to have been part of a move that could have seen Patel replace Haspel herself as the head of the CIA. Kash Patel has A LOT of question to answer. Questions directly related to what was a partially successful post-election plot to subvert the leadership of key national security agencies. It’s not exactly a shock to learn that Patel’s texts were magically ‘lost’.
But while Patel doesn’t appear to be sharing very much about what he witnessed during the period in question, then-acting Secretary of Defense Christopher Miller is talking. According to Miller, he never received a formal order to have 10,000 troops ready to be deployed to the Capitol on January 6. Don’t forget how DHS and the FBI had reports that there could be trouble on Jan 6 but apparently looked the other way. That’s part of the context of Miller’s assertion that Trump never gave him orders to have National Guard troops ready to deploy:
Also note how soon the FOIA requests for issued for the now-missing texts: days after the insurrection. It’s another piece of evidence underscoring the absurdity of the ‘whoops! We accidentally didn’t save our texts!’ explanations we’re getting:
And while the FOIA requests alone would have made the lost records subject to preservation under federal law, that’s not the only law that required the preservation of these records. In other words, bureaucratic excuses for these lost records don’t exist. The loss of those texts was an illegal act:
So who committed the crimes of deleting these records? Are we looking at a collective coverup that was collectively carried out individually? Or are we looking at a situation where someone inside the government deleted those records after the fact. Again, both Wolf and Cuccinelli insist they turned in their phones full of text messages so someone else deleted them. Is that what we’re looking at here with the missing messages of Miller, McCarthy, and Patel?
Also keep in mind we could be looking at a hybrid kind of coverup, where some government employees did indeed delete incriminating texts while others dutifully turned their phones in with the texts intact. It takes ‘takes two to tango’ when it comes to deleting incriminating texts. The sender and receiver had better both delete them, especially if we’re talking about texts sent between government employee phones. So, maybe, for example, Miller and McCarty turned in their phones full of texts — including incriminating texts from individuals like Patel — but Patel turned in a phone that was absurdly cleaned of those offending texts. Imagine that kind of situation, where only the most criminally culpable people deleting the incriminating texts but other ‘bystanders’ inside government kept the texts on their phones. If that was the case, it’s not hard to imagine someone inside the bureaucracy furiously just deleting the text records from everyone’s phones to complete the coverup. Yeah, it’s a bad look. But presumably not as bad as it would have looked if we got reports that, say, just Kash Patel’s phone was missing texts. And not remotely as bad a look as it would have looked if we could actually read those text. As the saying goes, “It’s not the crime, it’s the coverup”. And that’s generally true for most crime. So just imagine how bad the crime is when the open blatant coverup that reeks of high crimes is a better look. Because that’s what we’re looking at.
How close did the US come to having the military seize the voting machines upon Donald Trump’s executive orders? That was the question raised by reports back in January when we learned that the Trump White House had indeed drafted such orders, based on the salacious claims being peddled by conservative lawyer Sidney Powell. Powell’s claims were, in turn, based in part on the bogus claims of mass election fraud in Antrim County, Michigan.
And as we’re going to see in the following the report, the primary lawyer behind those efforts, Kalamazoo attorney Matthew DePerno, is now set to become the next GOP nominee for the upcoming attorney’s general race.
DePerno is widely expected to secure the nomination based largely on Trump’s aggressive campaigning for DePerno. But there’s a new complication: Michigan’s current attorney general, Dana Nessel, just had to request a special prosecutor take over an investigation being carried out by her office. Why? Because it was an investigation into the illegal tampering of voting tabulators allegedly carried out by the teams involved with those ‘investigations’ into alleged Antrim County voter fraud. And Nessel’s investigation has now turned up enough evidence to focus on the role DePerno played in that illegal tampering. That created a conflict of interest, with DePerno being Nessel’s likely opponent in the upcoming 2022 midterms. Hence a request for a special prosecutor.
It also turns out that DePerno was meeting with a top State Department official to make his case for voter fraud during the Jan 6 insurrection. Yep, DePerno was in DC lobbying government officials during the insurrection. It’s as clue has to the larger network DePerno was working with at this point.
Regarding that larger network, don’t forget some of the other figures involved in that ‘investigation’ in Atrim County: Russell Ramsland an J. Keet Lewis. Recall the critical role CNP members Russell J. Ramsland and J. Keet Lewis played in the lead up to the insurrection. Ramsland’s private intelligence company, Allied Security Operations Group (ASOG), was started in June 2017 by Adam T. Kraft, a former senior official at the Defense Intelligence Agency. Starting in 2018, Ramsland became a leading GOP purveyor of mass voter fraud allegations. And in the days leading up to the insurrection, Ramsland was joined by retired Army colonel and psychological warfare expert Phil Waldron as they operated in Steve Bannon’s and Rudy Giuliani’s “war room” operating out of the Willard Hotel. Also recall how Ramsland issued a report making specious allegations of voter fraud in Antrim County that was released as part of a court case alleging voter fraud there. That report was based, in part, on copies of Dominion voting system hard drives. Note that the allegations against DePerno and voting machine tampering involve ES&S machines. So at the same time we’re hearing about this ‘investigation’ by DePerno that involved tampering w8ith ES&S voting tabulators being used to justify the military seizure of voting machines, keep in mind the Dominion hard drives that Ramsland’s Antrim ‘investigation’. In other words, we should probably view DePerno’s ‘investigation’ as being an extension of the larger ‘election integrity’ efforts being co-orchestrated by the Trump White House and CNP during that post-election period
Another figure involved with DePerno’s ‘investigation’ was ‘constitutional sheriff’ Dar Leaf, of Barry County, MI. Recall how Leaf made news back in October 2020 for his casual dismissal of the militia plot to kidnap and execute Michigan governor Gretchen Whitmer. It was just a plan for a ‘citizens arrests’, according to Leaf. Also recall how Leaf was found to be sending sheriff’s deputies, paired with private investigators, to interview local elections officials in relation to the stolen election theories currently being promoted by Mike Lindell, the MyPillow Guy, in the summer of 2021! So learning that Leaf is a target of this investigation is hardly shocking. He’s basically a pro-insurrection sheriff. Or at least pro-kidnapping/execution for public officials
So the figure behind the garbage allegations of Antrim County voter fraud that was the basis for a draft order for the military to seize voting machines is now set to be the Trump-endorsed nominee for office that would put him in charge of Michigan’s future elections. And he’s under investigation for voting machine tampering. It’s about as sordid a story as we should expect by now.
It sounds like the evidence against DePerno is pretty clear: DePerno’s team was allowed to borrow a voting tabulator as part of their investigation, but they were allowed to open the tabulator up and mess around with its internal hardware . But evidence suggests that’s exactly what DePerno’s team did when it made requests to Verizon for data associated with modems found into these tabulators. Modems that couldn’t be physically accessed without breaking into the machines. And as the article also reminds us, this is just one of multiple cases of voting machine breaches nationally associated with these ‘investigations’ by Trump supporters:
“The petition was formally made to the Michigan Prosecuting Attorneys Coordinating Council, an autonomous state body. In it, Nessel’s office states that DePerno — who has been a pivotal figure promoting Trump’s false allegations that the 2020 election was stolen — was present at an Oakland County hotel room sometime in early 2021, during which tabulators were tampered with. According to people involved in the investigation, this is among multiple pieces of evidence linking DePerno to the breach of several voting machines.”
The allegations by Michigan Attorney General Dana Nessel is pretty straightforward: Kalamazoo lawyer Matthew DePerno was in the room when voting tabulators were tampered with. Tampering that took place during the time when DePerno was leading the Trump-fueled ‘investigation’ into alleged voter fraud in Antrim County. An investigation that apparently involved the illegal tampering of the vote tabulators DePerno’s team obtained as part of their ‘investigation’. It turns out DePerno’s investigation involved making requests to Verizon about the internet traffic associated with the modems inside those tabulators...something he couldn’t have done without first opening up those machines. The evidence is clear:
And then we get to the truly ominous reports about how DePerno’s ‘investigation’ was apparently being used as a pretext by the Trump White House to have the military seize voting machines. It’s one of the details that underscores just how closely DePerno’s efforts were being coordinated with the White House:
And then we get to the involvement of figures like far right ‘constitutional sheriff’ Dar Leaf. Recall how Leaf was found to be sending sheriff’s deputies, paired with private investigators, to interview local elections officials in relation to the stolen election theories currently being promoted by Mike Lindell, the MyPillow Guy, in the summer of 2021! So learning that Leaf is a target of this investigation is hardly shocking. He’s basically a pro-insurrection sheriff. Or at least pro-kidnapping/execution for public officials:
Adding to the evidence that DePerno’s efforts were part of a broader national effort being orchestrated by the Trump White House and CNP is the fact that he was reportedly meeting with a top Trump official at the State Department to discuss the stolen election claims during the Jan 6 insurrection:
But the strongest indication that DePerno’s ‘investigation’ was done with Trump’s full backing is reflected by the fact that DePerno is set to receive the GOP nomination to be the next attorney general of Michigan. A nomination he won thanks largely to Trump’s showing of support. That’s why Attorney General Nessel has to request a special prosecutor to avoid a conflict of interest: Mathew DePerno is Nessel’s likely upcoming opponent in the upcoming mid-terms. It’s the f#ck up cherry on top of an utterly f$ck up situation:
Finally, don’t forget that this is merely one of eight known attempts to gain unauthorized access to voting systems by pro-Trump groups alleging fraud. So with DePerno poised to potentially become the leading law enforcement official in the state of Michigan, we have to ask how many other blatant insider threats like this are there at this point?
Yes, the GOP isn’t just nominating ‘election deniers’ to the very offices that will be overseeing future elections. The party is nominating the figures who were directly involved in illegal tampering of voting machines. Practice makes perfect. So as we can see, Dana Nessel’s conflict of interest in investigating her own opponent is far the only conflict of interest in this story.
You know you’re in a weird place when the unprecedented feels inevitable. And yet it’s hard to shake the feeling that the FBI raid on Mar-a-Lago yesterday — an unprecedented legal action against a former president — was kind of inevitable. An ultimate legal conviction of Trump still doesn’t feel at all inevitable. But some sort of criminal investigation into at least one of the acts of open criminality seemed like just a matter of time, if nothing else for the Department of Justice to maintain some sort of pretense of rule of law. It’s why the news of the FBI raid was certainly a surprise in terms of timing, but not really a huge surprise that it happened.
As we’re going to see, this story has been building since January of this year, when 15 boxes full of classified materials were reportedly retrieved from Mar-a-Lago. At the time, we were told that the contents of seized boxes would be studied and further action would be determined. We just got an idea of what that further action would be: the FBI went back to search fore more documents. So we know the Department of Justice apparently determined that the 15 boxes seized in January didn’t contain all of the classified materials taken from the White House. Whether that determination was made based on the contents found in the boxes, vs content expected but not found in the boxes, remains to be seen.
It sounds like part of what drove this crisis of taken classified materials is the fact that Trump was routinely taking classified materials to Mar-a-Lago throughout his presidency. But it also sounds like another factor is that Trump simply didn’t review documents for the National Archives like he was supposed to be doing during the transition period after the 2020 election. Because of course he wasn’t. Trump was plotting to stay in office during this period. So while it’s not clear if any of the stolen classified documents are directly related to Jan 6, they’re at least tangentially related in the sense that all the plotting around Jan 6 was done instead of the normal transition work like transferring materials to the National Archives. It points to one of the major legal mysteries here: how many of these classified documents were taken because of the content of the documents themselves vs being taken simply because Trump didn’t have time review them because he was too busy plotting a coup.
Oh, and in other inevitable-feeling news related to this story, the FBI raid triggering for calls for civil war from Trump-supporting circles. Including members of Congress like Marjorie Taylor Greene. Because of course. This is where we are:
“Far right extremist groups, like QAnon, immediately called for a violent response to the search and classified it as a political attack by the Biden administration. Hundreds of Trump supporters gathered outside Mar-a-Lago to protest the investigation.”
That didn’t take long. As expected, the FBI raid on Mar-a-Lago immediately triggered calls for violence and civil war. It’s had to be a complication in the DOJ’s decision to send the FBI to carry out the raid. These calls for violence were highly predictable. Including the calls from members of congress like Marjorie Taylor Greene:
Now, an FBI raid on Mar-a-Lago to seize classified documents seems unlikely to actually precipitate violence on its own. It’s not like Trump or anyone else has been arrested. So it’s worth noting the warnings from legal experts issued back in February when the story of the missing classified documents initially broke. As those experts warned, while it was certainly improper for Trump to keep boxes of classified documents at Mar-a-Lago, the bar is still going to be pretty high in terms of any actual prosecution of a former president over these kinds of matters given a president’s powers to view all documents of any classification and declassify materials. After seizing 15 boxes of materials in January it was up to the FBI to review that material and determine next steps. Flash forward seven months and we have this FBI raid. It suggests they found some pretty serious violations.
But as these experts also warned back in February, the investigation isn’t potentially limited to Trump. There’s also questions of who actually transferred the boxes to Mar-a-Lago and whether they knew about the contents of the boxes at the time. As we’ll see, Trump was reportedly very secretive about the packing of boxes that were retrieved from Mar-a-Lago back in January, and did not let other aides — including some of his most senior advisers — look at them. So that suggests Trump was aware that he had effectively contraband on his residences. How many other people knew? That’s presumably part of the investigation.
It also sounds like part of the circumstances that triggered this mess is the fact that the Trump administration was rushed to carry out its role with the National Archives during the post-election transition period. A transition period, of course, overlapped with the plot to overturn the election culminating in the Jan 6 Capitol insurrection. We’re told Trump began reviewing materials in December 2020 after staff received the requests from Gary Stern, a longtime Archives lawyer. So how much actual review did Trump — who was not planning on leaving the White House — do of these documents during this period? It’s kind of hard to imagine him honestly reviewing any documents during this period.
And that’s all part of the context of this unprecedented FBI raid on the residence of a former president: while it’s possible Trump took troves of highly classified documents because he wanted to keep them hidden, it’s also very possible that a lot of these documents were taken simply because Trump didn’t spend the time reviewing them because he wasn’t planning on leaving office until he had no choice. So while these documents may not be directly related to Jan 6, the withholding of the documents could indeed be very Jan 6‑related in the sense that Trump had to choose been plotting for Jan 6 or carrying out his normal transition duties like reviewing classified materials for archiving. And he made his choice:
“Officials had to scramble to pack up before Joe Biden took office, and one person familiar with the events surmised that some of the documents from the residence likely made their way into boxes destined for Mar-a-Lago rather than being turned over as they should have been. One adviser said Trump began reviewing materials in December after staff received the requests from Gary Stern, a longtime Archives lawyer.”
It was December 2020 when Archives lawyer Gary Stern let the Trump administration know it had a responsibility to start reviewing materials. How much reviewing did Trump actually do during this period? He couldn’t have had much time given all the Jan 6 plotting he was up to. So when we learn that 15 boxes were retrieved from Mar-a-Lago back in January and the FBI decided to make this raid, that suggests the FBI had reason to believe there were quite a few classified documents that still weren’t turned over. What’s hiding in those documents?
And then there’s the reports about torn apart and taped backed together documents. Was that evidence of the attempted destruction of documents part of what triggered this raid?
And then we get the warning that Trump himself may not be the only person of interest here. Someone packed up and transported all of these documents from the White House to Mar-a-Lago. Who did this and were they aware of it at the time? It’s the kind of question that is extra interesting when we learn that Trump was reportedly very secretive about those 15 boxes that were retrieved back in January, including with some of his most senior advisers. It’s the kind of detail that suggests anyone who did indeed know about those boxes could be criminally liable in this case:
Who else was aware of the contents of these boxes? It’s a pretty big question in this case. It would obviously be a huge deal if Trump was sharing access to this contents with shady figures. And yet Trump was apparently quite secretive about them. So who else got that insider knowledge? Mike Pence? Jared Kushner? Ivanka? How about Steve Bannon or Roger Stone? Who was Trump sharing his classified treasure trove with? Hopefully we’ll learn these details at some point. Ideally before the idiotic civil war fought to protect the honor of a lunatic seemingly incapable of carrying out his basic duties.
@Pterrafractyl–
An interesting added dimension to this is the fact that the judge who authorized the FBI raid was previously the attorney for–drumroll, fanfare–Jeffrey Epstein.
“Classified” indeed!
Keep up the Great Work!
Best,
Dave
@Dave: We’re getting more information on the nature of the intelligence that triggered the FBI’s raid of Mar-a-Lago. According to the following report by Bill Arkin, based on anonymous government sources, the raid was precipitated by a confidential source who was able to identify what classified documents Donald Trump was still in possession of and the locations of those documents. It sounds like that was the basis for the intrusion into one of Trump’s safes. So someone who knew about classified documents Trump was storing in a safe informed the FBI. Recall how we were told in previous reports that Trump was highly secretive about the existence of this trove of classified documents, even hiding their existence from senior aides. So whoever acted as the source for this raid was in an unusual position inside Trump’s inner circle. That’s part of what makes this story such a crisis for Trump: someone very close to him is talking to the feds.
According to Arkin’s sources, it sounds like the classified materials Trump was believed to still be holding included classified “national defense information” and retrieving those documents was the basis for the raid. What type of national defense information was so interesting to Trump that he risk this kind of legal action to hold onto it?
Amusingly, Trump is asserting that the entire affair is a result of a moving mixup. Some boxes were accidentally moved from the White House to Mar-a-Lago during the transition process and that was it. It was just an innocent mistake. And that would have been a somewhat plausible explanation had Trump returned all of the boxes of classified materials back in January when the National Archives requested them. 15 boxes were indeed returned, but it sounds like 10–15 were kept.
And what else was in those boxes that Trump so desired that he risk breaking federal archives laws to hold onto them? What it all national security related? That’s the big meta-mystery here, which makes the fact that it was one of Jeffrey Epstein’s former defense attorneys, Judge Bruce Reinhart, who ended up ultimately signing off on the FBI raid. As we’re going to see in the second article below, Reinhart wasn’t just one of Epstein’s defense attorneys. He was a particularly controversial defense attorney because he worked as a federal prosecutor until Jan 1, 2008, and then joined Epstein’s defense team the next day. It’s not a great look. Recall how Steve Bannon apparently thought Epstein was a spy. If so, any Epstein-related materials Trump may have decided to take could indeed be seen a national security threat. We have no direct evidence that any of this story involves Epstein-related documents, but it’s hard to ignore the question when it’s Reinhart who signed off on the raid.
So it sounds like Trump’s legal perils could just be getting started with these classified documents, and while Trump doesn’t appear to have a good explanation, he does have a viable distraction in the form of Judge Reihart’s Epstein ties. Except those ties aren’t actually that great a distraction given Trump’s own extensive Epstein ties. That’s part of what going to be interesting to see as this plays out: fixating on Judge Reinhart’s Epstein ties is kind of a double-edged sword for Trump. And yet the more underlying facts on the case that comes out, the worse it looks for Trump including a possible close insider already cooperating with the feds. So he’s going to need a distraction in some form or another:
“On Monday at about 10 a.m. EST, two dozen FBI agents and technicians showed up at Donald Trump’s Florida home to execute a search warrant to obtain any government-owned documents that might be in the possession of Trump but are required to be delivered to the Archives under the provisions of the 1978 Presidential Records Act. (In response to the Hillary Clinton email scandal, Trump himself signed a law in 2018 that made it a felony to remove and retain classified documents.)”
Trump himself signed a law in 2018 that made it a felony to remove and retain classified documents. Ouch. But it appears the removal — and retaining of — classified documents is the basis for the FBI’s action under the 1978 Presidential Records Act that was originally put in place to avoid a repeat of the abuses of the Nixon administration. But it’s not just the theft of “classified information” that triggered this raid. It was specifically the illegal possession of classified “national defense information”, which was apparently discovered after the Archives examined the contents of the 15 boxes of classified materials that Trump had returned back in January. So something about the contents of those 15 returned boxes tipped them off to the existence of more classified materials still be withheld. Classified materials containing “national defense information.” What kind of “national defense information” would be of such interest to Trump that he would first take it from the White House improperly and then apparently try to keep it even after the National Archives contacted him about all the missing documents? That’s just one of the big questions looming over this story:
And note the utterly implausible explanation from Trump for how he got all those boxes in the first place: it was a all just a moving mix-up. Now, that might be a quasi-plausible explanation had Trump actually returned all the boxes back in January and not continued to withhold so much. But that’s obviously not the case:
Then, in late April, a federal grand jury began deliberating, culminating in the signoff on the raid by Florida magistrate Judge Bruce Reinhart in West Palm Beach. And yes, this same judge ended up working on Jeffrey Epstein’s defense case, which is one of those fun fact that just makes this whole story appear all the more sordid. It’s also the kind of fun fact that raises the question: Did Trump take any classified documents related to Jeffrey Epstein? It sure seems like the kind of topic he would have a keen interest in.
But also note how the information the grand jury was working off of in approving this raid included details that materials would be found in a specific safe in a specific room. Recall the earlier reporting indicating that he was being highly secretive about the existence of these classified materials even to senior advisers. So the list of people who had insider knowledge on the locations of these materials couldn’t be a long list. Who was the federal investigators’ source for this? It’s the kind of question that could tie into all sorts of other investigations involving Trump:
Now, regarding the fun fact about Judge Reinhart having served on Jeffrey Epstein’s defense team, note that the controversy isn’t just that he serviced as one of Epstein’s defense attorneys. It turns out Reinhart was working at a federal prosecutor until resigning on Jan 1, 2008. He joined Epstein’s defense team the next day:
“But one local prosecutor described Reinhart — who has been a magistrate judge since 2018 — as “well respected” within the Palm Beach County legal community. Reinhart is married to Circuit Judge Carolyn Bell, a former federal prosecutor who was appointed to the bench by then-Gov. Rick Scott, a Republican who is now a senator.”
As the article describes, Judge Reihert has a history of bipartisan donations and doesn’t have the reputation for being a partisan hack. But that’s not the part of his background that observers are taking note of. It’s the fact that Reinhart worked as a federal prosecutor until Jan 1, 2008, and joined Jeffrey Epstein’s defense team the next day. It’s the kind of questionable timing that resulted in a lawsuit accusing Reinhart of violating DOJ policies:
So at this point, based on the available evidence, it’s not clear how Reinhart’s past defense of Epstein could have played a role in the decision to approve this raid. But it sure raises all sorts of grimly fascinating questions. Like the general question of just what documents was Trump allowed to see about what the government knew about Epstein’s operations? Along with questions about what those documents may have said about Trump’s personal involvement in those operations. As well as the general question of what exactly Trump decided to do with those classified documents after reading them.